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Moog Inc.NYSE:MOG.A Stock Report

Market Cap US$11.7b
Share Price
US$373.33
US$328.25
13.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y103.1%
7D9.0%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Moog Inc.

NYSE:MOG.A Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.7b

Moog (MOG.A) Stock Overview

Designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets in the United States, Germany, and internationally. More details

MOG.A fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

MOG.A Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 24 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Moog Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Moog
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$373.33
52 Week HighUS$370.86
52 Week LowUS$171.11
Beta0.93
1 Month Change24.23%
3 Month Change9.48%
1 Year Change103.13%
3 Year Change270.04%
5 Year Change314.95%
Change since IPO18,116.70%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 01

MOG.A: Defense Exercise Success And Index Changes Will Shape Steady Outlook

Analysts have modestly reduced their 12 month price target for Moog to $328.25, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged. What's in the News Echodyne and Moog reported successful testing of the Reconfigurable Integrated weapon Platform at a U.S. Army exercise, where their combined radar, control systems, and AI detected, tracked, and engaged small unmanned aerial systems in less than 3 seconds (source: Echodyne and Moog announcement).
Narrative Update May 14

MOG.A: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance And Index Move Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Moog higher from $324.50 to $328.25, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, and expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Moog reaffirmed earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of $4.3 billion, matching its previous net sales guidance for the year (Corporate guidance).

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 01

MOG.A: Defense Exercise Success And Index Changes Will Shape Steady Outlook

Analysts have modestly reduced their 12 month price target for Moog to $328.25, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value, revenue growth, and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged. What's in the News Echodyne and Moog reported successful testing of the Reconfigurable Integrated weapon Platform at a U.S. Army exercise, where their combined radar, control systems, and AI detected, tracked, and engaged small unmanned aerial systems in less than 3 seconds (source: Echodyne and Moog announcement).
Narrative Update May 14

MOG.A: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance And Index Move Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Moog higher from $324.50 to $328.25, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate assumptions, and expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Moog reaffirmed earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of $4.3 billion, matching its previous net sales guidance for the year (Corporate guidance).
Narrative Update Apr 22

MOG.A: Updated Guidance And Index Shift Will Shape Balanced 2026 Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog by $54, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These changes keep the intrinsic value estimate near $324.50 per share.
Seeking Alpha Apr 20

Moog: This Quiet Defense Winner Still Has Upside

Summary Moog (MOG.A) continues to outperform the S&P 500, driven by resilient demand in aerospace, defense, and space markets. Despite appearing overvalued on median EV/EBITDA, I maintain a buy rating with a raised price target of $366.26, implying 13.5% upside. Moog’s improving free cash flow, reduced net debt leverage, and strong backlog visibility support robust multi-year growth expectations. I expect annual revenue growth of 8%, EBITDA margins near 15%, and free cash flow growth of 42%, with capital intensity tapering significantly. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 05

MOG.A: Rising Aircraft Production And Aftermarket Demand Will Drive 2025 Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog to $290, an increase of $28, citing expectations for strong 2025 performance and ongoing support from rising aircraft production, sustained aftermarket demand, and continued defense recapitalization and replenishment needs. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive view on Moog, with bullish analysts lifting price targets as they reassess the company against sector trends in commercial aerospace and defense.
Narrative Update Mar 21

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Production And Aftermarket Demand Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog by $54 to $290, citing expectations for rising aircraft production, sustained aftermarket demand, and ongoing defense recapitalization as key supports for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive stance on Moog, with the higher price target linked to expectations around commercial aerospace and defense demand rather than any specific short term trading call.
Narrative Update Mar 06

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft And Defense Demand Will Support Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have raised their price target on Moog, increasing it by $54 to $290. This change reflects expectations for continued aircraft production growth and sustained demand in both original equipment and aftermarket segments, as well as ongoing defense recapitalization and replenishment needs.
Narrative Update Feb 19

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Defense Recapitalization Will Offset Tariff And Cash Risks

Narrative Update on Moog Analysts have raised their Moog price targets by $54 to $290. This reflects stronger confidence in the company’s multi year revenue and earnings outlook, supported by expected aircraft production growth, sustained aftermarket demand, and ongoing defense recapitalization needs.
Narrative Update Feb 05

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Support Balanced Tariff Headwinds

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about US$324.50 from roughly US$275.25, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to repeated price target increases as a sign that updated assumptions on revenue, margins, and P/E support a higher valuation framework for Moog.
Narrative Update Jan 20

MOG.A: FY26 Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Balance Tariff Headwinds

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about $275 from roughly $256, citing stronger confidence in 2026 earnings potential, supported by positive sector views on aircraft production, resilient aftermarket demand, and management's longer term revenue and margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price targets, now referenced as high as $290, as reflecting stronger confidence in Moog's ability to execute on its earnings plans into 2026.
Analysis Article Jan 06

Is Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update Jan 06

MOG.A: FY26 Outlook Aircraft Demand And Cash Conversion Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target on Moog to about $262, up from roughly $240, citing better than expected Q4 results, a stronger FY26 revenue and EPS outlook, and more reassuring free cash flow conversion than previously feared. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates give you a clearer view of how the Street is thinking about Moog today, especially after the latest Q4 print and refreshed FY26 outlook.
Narrative Update Dec 18

MOG.A: FY26 Outlook And Aircraft Demand Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Moog to $256.50 from $243.00, citing stronger long term revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, and confidence in management's above Street FY26 outlook despite margin and cash flow headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Moog's stronger than expected Q4 performance and management's FY26 outlook as key drivers behind recent price target increases.
Narrative Update Dec 04

MOG.A: Aircraft Demand And FY26 Outlook Will Support Balanced Upside-Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target on Moog higher to about $243, reflecting stronger long term revenue growth expectations, a modestly richer future earnings multiple, and confidence in the company’s above consensus FY26 outlook despite margin headwinds and only moderate improvement in free cash flow conversion. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive stance on Moog, with higher price targets anchored in improving growth visibility and a more confident multi year earnings outlook.
Narrative Update Nov 19

MOG.A: Aircraft OEM Momentum And Aftermarket Demand Will Support Upside Through Q3

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog to $240 from $215, citing strengthened sentiment in aerospace production and resilient aftermarket demand as key factors for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analysts have weighed in on Moog’s positioning within the Aerospace and Defense sector, highlighting both drivers for growth and potential risks that could impact the company’s valuation and execution in the coming quarters.
Narrative Update Nov 05

MOG.A: Aircraft Production Momentum And Aftermarket Demand Will Drive Share Performance

Narrative Update: Moog Analyst Price Target Increased Analysts have raised their price target for Moog from $215 to $240. They cite stronger sentiment around aircraft production, robust aftermarket demand driven by continued passenger travel, and supply chain dynamics in the Aerospace and Defense sector.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Raise Moog Price Target Amid Strong Aerospace Outlook and Updated Valuation Metrics

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog, increasing it from $222.50 to $228.75. They cited stronger sentiment in the aerospace segment and ongoing resilient demand for aftermarket services, even though there is some uncertainty around defense outlooks.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Defense Spending And Automation Will Expand Market Presence

Analysts have raised their price target for Moog from $217.50 to $222.50. This reflects minor but positive updates to fair value estimates, supported by stable growth outlook and profitability forecasts.
Analysis Article Aug 28

Should You Investigate Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) At US$198?

Moog Inc. ( NYSE:MOG.A ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 14% on the NYSE...
Analysis Article Jul 15

Here's Why Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Analysis Article Jul 03

Is Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) Trading At A 34% Discount?

Key Insights Moog's estimated fair value is US$276 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price of...
Seeking Alpha Mar 11

Moog Seeing Improved Demand, But Margin Leverage Remains A Key Unknown

Summary Moog's end-market conditions are improving, but valuation already factors in significant future improvements, making the stock a tough call for meaningful undervaluation. Fiscal Q1 results showed mixed performance, with better revenue growth but ongoing margin challenges and particularly weak free cash flow generation. Management's efforts in pricing and portfolio adjustments are positive, but the company's margins and ROIC remain ordinary compared to peers. While Moog's business outlook is strong across commercial aviation, military, and industrial sectors, current valuation assumptions make it a "hold" absent better margin leverage. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 17

Moog Inc.: Temporary Financial Challenges Blur Long-Term Potentials

Summary Modest sales growth (6.19%) and $165M negative cash flow raise concerns about Moog’s financial health. Strong prospects in space exploration and robotics align with growing industries, offering long-term growth opportunities. High valuation, geopolitical uncertainties, and liquidity risks justify a cautious 'HOLD' investment recommendation for Moog. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 22

Moog: Strong Performance And Outlook, But Share Price Lacks Margin Of Safety

Summary MOG.A's historical financial results have shown robust growth post-COVID-19, driven by the aerospace and defense sectors. Additionally, its adjusted operating margins were expanding as well. The company is well-positioned for long-term growth in 6th-generation fighter jets, unmanned collaborative aircraft systems, and new-generation armored vehicles. Strategic initiatives like facility consolidation and European business sales are expected to enhance operational efficiency and allow the company to focus on core business areas. Despite strong performance and a favorable outlook, the current share price lacks a margin of safety. Therefore, I am recommending a hold rating for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative Aug 28

Securing New Contracts And Lean Principles Propel Aerospace And Defense Leader To New Heights

Moog's expansion in both commercial aftermarket business and defense sales is driven by new contracts and increased defense spending in Europe.
Seeking Alpha Aug 16

Moog Delivering On Growth And Margin Promises, But The Valuation Reflects It

Summary Moog has exceeded growth expectations, delivering better-than-expected revenue and margin improvement, driving a strong share price and outperformance relative to key competitors like Curtiss-Wright, Parker Hannifin, and Woodward. The company's core markets, including widebody commercial aircraft and military aircraft, remain strong, with significant longer-term growth opportunities in space, defense, industrial automation, and commercial aftermarket services. Moog's margin improvement initiatives, including pricing actions and manufacturing enhancements, have already yielded significant results, and I expect EBITDA margins to rise from 13% to 15% in the near future. Although Moog's performance is strong and I like the outlook for above-average revenue and FCF growth, current valuation reflects these positive qualities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MOG.AUS Aerospace & DefenseUS Market
7D9.0%4.6%1.6%
1Y103.1%31.1%28.2%

Return vs Industry: MOG.A exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 31.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MOG.A exceeded the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MOG.A's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MOG.A volatility
MOG.A Average Weekly Movement5.4%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement8.9%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: MOG.A has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MOG.A's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
195113,500Pat Rochewww.moog.com

Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets in the United States, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft, and Industrial. Its Space and Defense segment provides critical defense components and motion-control systems used in defense vehicle platforms, missile systems, naval ships and submarines; high-performance components and systems used for space launch vehicles, satellites and spacecraft vehicles.

Moog Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Moog's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MOG.A fundamental statistics
Market capUS$11.66b
Earnings (TTM)US$283.58m
Revenue (TTM)US$4.17b
41.7x
P/E Ratio
2.8x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MOG.A income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$4.17b
Cost of RevenueUS$3.03b
Gross ProfitUS$1.14b
Other ExpensesUS$853.87m
EarningsUS$283.58m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 28, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)8.95
Gross Margin27.27%
Net Profit Margin6.80%
Debt/Equity Ratio59.0%

How did MOG.A perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.3%
Current Dividend Yield
13%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/02 21:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/09/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Moog Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kristine LiwagBofA Global Research
Kenneth HerbertCanaccord Genuity
Jonathan TanwantengCJS Securities, Inc.