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Capital One Financial CorporationNYSE:COF Stock Report

Market Cap US$113.3b
Share Price
US$187.23
US$308.09
39.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y0.2%
7D3.1%
Portfolio Value
View

Capital One Financial Corporation

NYSE:COF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$113.3b

Capital One Financial (COF) Stock Overview

Operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. More details

COF fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends4/6

COF Community Fair Values

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See what 120 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Capital One Financial Corporation Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Capital One Financial
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$187.23
52 Week HighUS$259.64
52 Week LowUS$174.98
Beta1.05
1 Month Change-8.98%
3 Month Change-8.70%
1 Year Change0.16%
3 Year Change88.19%
5 Year Change17.14%
Change since IPO3,410.56%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Apr 30

COF: Buybacks And Resilient Credit Execution Will Support Future Upside

Analyst price targets for Capital One Financial have edged lower by about $2 to $308, with recent research citing a mix of trimmed sector multiples, slightly more cautious revenue growth assumptions and a lower future P/E, partly balanced by firmer profit margin expectations and at least one upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture for Capital One Financial, with many firms trimming price targets while still highlighting areas where the story could appeal to long term investors.

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 30

COF: Buybacks And Resilient Credit Execution Will Support Future Upside

Analyst price targets for Capital One Financial have edged lower by about $2 to $308, with recent research citing a mix of trimmed sector multiples, slightly more cautious revenue growth assumptions and a lower future P/E, partly balanced by firmer profit margin expectations and at least one upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed picture for Capital One Financial, with many firms trimming price targets while still highlighting areas where the story could appeal to long term investors.
Narrative Update Apr 16

COF: Brex Acquisition And Credit Trends Will Shape Post 2025 Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have reduced the price target for Capital One Financial by about $12 per share. This change reflects a series of recent target cuts across Wall Street as they factor in a more uncertain macro backdrop, lower market multiples and mixed views on consumer finance stocks, despite at least one high profile upgrade.
Seeking Alpha Apr 12

Capital One: Discover Drag, Subprime Stress, Hold

Summary Capital One Financial earns a hold rating as integration costs from Discover and Brex acquisitions will depress earnings over the next 12–24 months. COF's transformation into a vertically integrated, closed-loop payments network is strategically significant but faces macro headwinds and minimal valuation upside. Rising consumer delinquencies, a softening labor market, and higher-for-longer rates threaten COF's credit quality and net interest margin. At 1.79x P/TBV and 11.15x P/E, COF trades near peer medians, limiting near-term upside despite operational improvements. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 02

COF: Brex Deal And Benign Credit Trends Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Capital One Financial, with a range of cuts between $7 and $38 alongside some smaller upward revisions. These changes reflect lower sector valuation multiples and a more cautious macro outlook, even as views on credit trends and loan growth remain mixed across recent research.
Narrative Update Mar 18

COF: Brex Purchase Will Expand Corporate Payments Exposure Despite Policy Overhangs

Capital One Financial's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower as analysts weigh a more uncertain macro backdrop and sector wide multiple compression against still supportive views on card issuers and recent corporate card growth initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Capital One reflects a more mixed backdrop, with several firms trimming price targets even as they maintain generally constructive views on card issuers as a group.
Narrative Update Mar 04

COF: Brex Acquisition And Benign Credit Trends Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on Capital One Financial Analyst price targets for Capital One have been reset modestly lower, with a cluster of recent cuts and fewer raises contributing to a pullback that reflects more tempered expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as several firms still highlight the stock as a key name they would defend within consumer finance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Capital One reflects a mixed backdrop for consumer finance, but with pockets of clear support for the stock.
Narrative Update Feb 18

COF: Brex Acquisition Will Strengthen Business Payments Despite Credit And Regulatory Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their aggregate price target on Capital One by a double digit dollar amount. The shift reflects updated views on credit card profitability, regulatory risk around potential rate caps, and expectations for more measured loan and earnings growth across consumer finance, even as some still point to supportive credit trends and steady fundamentals.
Narrative Update Feb 04

COF: Fair Outlook Balances Brex Expansion With Credit And Regulatory Risks

Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Capital One, and our updated fair value estimate now stands at US$231.21 per share. The change is tied to revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E, as reflected in recent mixed but generally constructive research commentary on consumer finance and card issuers.
Narrative Update Jan 21

COF: Steadier Credit Trends And Higher P E Assumptions Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their implied fair value on Capital One Financial to about US$310 from roughly US$261, citing higher price targets across the Street, expectations for steadier consumer credit trends, and the application of richer P/E multiples to reflect more constructive views on loan growth and returns. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Capital One Financial has tilted more positive, with a series of higher price targets clustered around the upcoming Q4 reporting season and 2026 outlook updates.
Narrative Update Jan 06

COF: Capital Return Plans And Credit Trends Will Shape Post 2025 Risk Reward Profile

Narrative Update on Capital One Financial The analyst price target for Capital One Financial has been raised by about US$6 to reflect updated assumptions around fair value, P/E, discount rate, and growth, with analysts pointing to recent target increases supported by loan growth expectations, net interest income momentum, and a relatively constructive credit backdrop in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Capital One Financial highlights a mix of optimism on earnings power and loan growth, paired with ongoing caution around credit risk and sector macro questions.
Narrative Update Dec 18

COF: Capital Return And Credit Normalization Will Shape Post 2025 Return Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Capital One Financial higher to approximately $263.5 from about $260.2 per share, citing modestly stronger profit margin expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and supportive Street price target increases following robust Q3 results, improved credit performance, and enhanced capital return plans. Analyst Commentary Street Research remains broadly constructive on Capital One, with several firms lifting price targets following recent quarters of stronger profitability and credit performance.
Narrative Update Dec 04

COF: Massive Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Drive Returns Beyond 2025

Capital One Financial's analyst price target has inched higher to reflect a modestly improved outlook for credit quality, net interest margin, and capital return plans, including up to roughly $16B in share repurchases and higher dividends, as analysts factor in strong recent quarterly results and updated multi year buyback assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a predominantly constructive view on Capital One, with multiple upward price target revisions and only modest downward adjustments, as analysts recalibrate models for improving credit trends, higher net interest margin, and a more aggressive capital return trajectory.
Narrative Update Nov 20

COF: Buybacks And Rising Dividend Will Sustain Bullish Sentiment Through 2025

Capital One Financial's analyst price target saw a modest increase overall, with several firms now expecting targets in the $237 to $271 range. Analysts point to strong quarterly performance, robust credit quality, and planned capital returns as key drivers for the upward revisions.
Narrative Update Nov 05

COF: Share Buybacks And Dividend Increase Will Drive Sentiment Higher

Capital One Financial's analyst price target has moved higher, with the fair value estimate increasing slightly from $258.57 to $260.24. Analysts cite robust credit performance, resumption of share buybacks, and resilient net interest margins as supportive factors behind the adjustment.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Adjust Price Targets for Capital One Amid Strong Results and Share Repurchase Plans

Capital One Financial's analyst price target has increased from $250.70 to $258.57. Analysts cite strong credit performance, higher net interest margins, and the anticipated impact of share repurchase activity following robust quarterly results.
Analysis Article Aug 01

Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.60

The board of Capital One Financial Corporation ( NYSE:COF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 2nd of...
Seeking Alpha Apr 26

Capital One: Credit Trends Resilient Despite Downside Risks

Summary Capital One Financial shares gained 25% over the past year due to better-than-expected credit costs and optimism around its Discover acquisition. Q1 results were strong, with earnings of $4.06 per share, beating estimates, and a 3% reduction in noninterest expenses. Despite a solid performance, the stock is rated as a hold due to limited upside potential and higher risks associated with credit card lending. Capital One's strong deposit franchise, conservative reserves, and well-capitalized position provide a buffer against economic uncertainties and potential credit quality risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 26

Capital One's Bottom Line Could Expand On Improving Credit Losses

Summary Consumer loan delinquency growth has stabilized, and Capital One is starting to capitalize on the tailwind. COF will likely see increasing margins from lower credit loss expenses as delinquency and charge-off rates normalize in the coming few quarters. Capital One's valuation is attractive relative to its peers as the company's bottom-line growth forecast far exceeds that of its peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 05

Capital One Has The Ability For Returns To Continue

Summary Capital One's strong Q4 2024 results, with $1.1 billion net income and a P/E of 17.5, support continued robust shareholder returns. The company's credit card business requires high provisions for credit losses, but its strong net interest margin comfortably covers this. Capital One maintains a strong liquidity coverage ratio over 150%, with $140 billion in reserves, ensuring depositor confidence and stability. The ongoing merger with Discover Financial Services aims to create a competitive credit card and banking powerhouse, enhancing long-term shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 24

Capital One Q4 Earnings: Encouraging Credit Trends Justify The Stock Rally

Summary Capital One Financial shares have gained 57% over the past year, driven by strong Q4 results and hopes for easier regulatory approval of its Discover acquisition. Encouraging credit trends, including stable delinquencies and manageable charge-offs, have bolstered Capital One's performance, despite rising credit card debt levels. Capital One's robust deposit growth and strong capital position, with a 13.5% CET1 ratio, support its financial stability, though buybacks are limited until the Discover deal completes. Valued at ~12.5x earnings, Capital One shares are fairly priced, with limited upside potential; I maintain a hold rating, expecting performance in line with the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 24

Capital One On Hold, Like Its Pending Buyout Of Discover Financial

Summary Capital One gets its prior hold rating reaffirmed, as uncertainty and potential legal challenges facing its buyout of Discover Financial continue looming. The bank has growth indicators in its card segments, but an uncompetitive profit margin vs peers. Indicators of continued consumer demand and spending should support this bank going into 2025. The dividend yield and growth are not competitive vs peers. Beyond the merger risk, some other risks to consider are Fed decisions impacting interest rates, and rising trends in credit loss allowances. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 30

Capital One: Upside Potential Remains

Summary I maintain a bullish rating on Capital One due to decelerating consumer loan delinquency rates and improved macroeconomic conditions. The Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cuts could create an additional tailwind. Despite a temporary spike in provisions for credit losses due to Walmart program termination, COF's loan delinquency trends show quarter-over-quarter improvement. Capital One's organic growth is evident with a 5% increase in credit card purchase volume and improved revenue margins, supported by healthier customer credit profiles. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 27

Capital One: Deep Dive To Discover What's In Your Portfolio (Technical Analysis)

Summary Conduct a deep dive into Capital One Financial Corporation's financials to understand risks and investor sentiment, as highlighted by Avi Gilburt and the Safer Banking Research team. Avoid confirmation bias by seeking comprehensive research and understanding methodologies like Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci mathematics. Our analysis suggests a bearish scenario for Capital One, with defined risk levels and potential for lower prices ahead. Implement a robust system like Fibonacci Pinball to manage risk and preserve capital in trading and investing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

COFUS Consumer FinanceUS Market
7D3.1%1.3%-0.3%
1Y0.2%7.0%26.7%

Return vs Industry: COF underperformed the US Consumer Finance industry which returned 7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: COF underperformed the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is COF's price volatile compared to industry and market?
COF volatility
COF Average Weekly Movement5.2%
Consumer Finance Industry Average Movement6.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: COF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: COF's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198877,100Rich Fairbankwww.capitalone.com

Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts.

Capital One Financial Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Capital One Financial's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
COF fundamental statistics
Market capUS$113.28b
Earnings (TTM)US$2.58b
Revenue (TTM)US$36.31b
45.2x
P/E Ratio
3.2x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
COF income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$36.31b
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$36.31b
Other ExpensesUS$33.73b
EarningsUS$2.58b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)4.14
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin7.10%
Debt/Equity Ratio48.5%

How did COF perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.7%
Current Dividend Yield
65%
Payout Ratio

Does COF pay a reliable dividends?

See COF dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy COF by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Capital One Financial dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 19 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 01 2026
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date11 days

Does COF pay a reliable dividends?

See COF dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 11:15
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Capital One Financial Corporation is covered by 47 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen BiggarArgus Research Company
David GeorgeBaird
Terry MaBarclays