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Updated 3h ago
XPEV logo

XPeng Inc.NYSE:XPEV Stock Report

Market Cap US$10.2b
Updated 3h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-51.0%
7D0.8%
1D0.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

XPeng Inc.

NYSE:XPEV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.2b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

XPeng (XPEV) Stock Overview

Operates as a physical AI company. More details

XPEV fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 2.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 75.72% per year

Earnings have grown 12.3% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for XPEV from our risk checks.

XPEV Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 179 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
44.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•3d ago

International Expansion And Margin Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Profit Prospects

2.1k
0
94
AN
AnalystLowTarget
17.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•17d ago

Global EV Rivalry And Regulatory Hurdles Will Trigger Pricing Wars

276
0
7
AN
AnalystHighTarget
62.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Global EV Adoption And Autonomous Software Will Redefine Mobility

269
0
11

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
44.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•3d ago

International Expansion And Margin Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Profit Prospects

2.1k
0
94
AN
AnalystLowTarget
17.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•17d ago

Global EV Rivalry And Regulatory Hurdles Will Trigger Pricing Wars

276
0
7
AN
AnalystHighTarget
62.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•2mo ago

Global EV Adoption And Autonomous Software Will Redefine Mobility

269
0
11
View all narratives

XPeng Inc. Competitors

NIO

Symbol: NYSE:NIO
Market cap: US$9.2b

VinFast Auto

Symbol: NasdaqGS:VFS
Market cap: US$7.6b

Li Auto

Symbol: NasdaqGS:LI
Market cap: US$11.9b

Rivian Automotive

Symbol: NasdaqGS:RIVN
Market cap: US$21.7b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for XPeng
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$10.62
52 Week HighUS$28.24
52 Week LowUS$10.16
Beta1.1
1 Month Change-12.88%
3 Month Change-20.45%
1 Year Change-50.97%
3 Year Change-35.40%
5 Year Change-69.95%
Change since IPO-49.95%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 17

XPEV: Physical AI Robots Will Support Future Margin Upside

XPeng's updated analyst price target has shifted lower to about $19, with analysts pointing to tougher assumptions on growth, margins and discount rates as competition, supply chain issues and recent guidance updates weigh on the outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng shows a split view.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

XPEV: Robotaxis And Overseas Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Despite Execution Risks

XPeng's updated fair value estimate has shifted from about $15.17 to $12.81 as analysts trim price targets following lower Q3 guidance linked to supply chain issues, mixed volume expectations, and adjusted long term sales forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPeng highlights a more cautious tone as several bearish analysts reset expectations following the latest guidance and volume outlook.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 17

XPEV: Physical AI Robots Will Support Future Margin Upside

XPeng's updated analyst price target has shifted lower to about $19, with analysts pointing to tougher assumptions on growth, margins and discount rates as competition, supply chain issues and recent guidance updates weigh on the outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng shows a split view.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

XPEV: Robotaxis And Overseas Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Despite Execution Risks

XPeng's updated fair value estimate has shifted from about $15.17 to $12.81 as analysts trim price targets following lower Q3 guidance linked to supply chain issues, mixed volume expectations, and adjusted long term sales forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPeng highlights a more cautious tone as several bearish analysts reset expectations following the latest guidance and volume outlook.
Analysis Article • Aug 28

XPeng Inc. (NYSE:XPEV) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know

It's shaping up to be a tough period for XPeng Inc. ( NYSE:XPEV ), which a week ago released some disappointing...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 24

XPeng Q2: A Better Bet Than Tesla

Summary XPeng Inc. is a cautious Buy, offering high potential but facing intense competition and execution risk in the Chinese EV and AI-driven automotive sector. Q2 results were lackluster with flat vehicle sales, high operating losses, and missed expectations, but operational execution in both low-budget and premium segments shows promise. Long-term upside hinges on scaling software, AI, and robotics—licensing, subscriptions, and partnerships like Volkswagen could drive margin expansion beyond traditional auto sales. Valuation is attractive relative to peers; if XPEV achieves higher gross profit per vehicle and controls expenses, substantial shareholder value could be unlocked. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 29

XPEV: Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Drive Future Margin Upside

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target outlook for XPeng, reflecting a move from a fair value estimate of about $28.16 to roughly $22.36. They cite a mix of reduced revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a higher discount rate, partly balanced by updates to longer term P/E expectations and recent research highlighting both margin headwinds and overseas and robotaxi driven opportunities.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 15

XPEV: Physical AI Robotaxis Will Drive Overseas Expansion And Margin Upside

XPeng's updated fair value estimate has been reduced by about $1.90 to roughly $28.03 per share, as analysts balance stronger overseas growth prospects, margin-driven upside and emerging businesses such as robotaxis and humanoid robots against higher discount-rate assumptions and cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research on XPeng remains mixed, but several bullish analysts see the recent Q1 report as a constructive step for valuation, with an emphasis on overseas growth, margin execution and new business lines such as robotaxis and humanoid robots.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 01

XPEV: Robotaxi And Physical AI Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Potential

XPeng's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to around $15.64 from about $15.14, with analysts pointing to updated views on margins, overseas growth potential, and contributions from areas like technical services and emerging businesses such as robotaxis and humanoid robots. Analyst Commentary on XPeng Recent research on XPeng highlights a split in sentiment, with some analysts pointing to opportunities in overseas sales, technical services and emerging businesses, while more cautious voices focus on margins, cost pressures and execution risk around new initiatives such as robotaxis.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 17

XPEV: AI Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Drive Overseas Expansion Upside

The updated XPeng price target, now implying a fair value of about $29.92 compared with $40.56 previously, reflects analysts balancing stronger revenue growth assumptions and overseas expansion plans against a higher discount rate, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and more moderate future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPeng highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with several bullish analysts pointing to overseas expansion, new business lines, and margin resilience as key supports for the stock's valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 03

XPEV: Rising Robotaxi Spend Will Constrain Margins And Future Share Returns

XPeng's analyst price target is modestly adjusted as analysts balance lower targets such as Citi's cut to $22.50 with higher ones like BofA's lift to $25.00, while factoring in margin pressure from rising input costs, growing overseas sales, and emerging businesses including robotaxis and humanoid robots. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPeng highlights a split in sentiment.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 12

XPEV: 2026 Delivery Execution Risks Will Temper Intelligent Driving And Expansion Hopes

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $16.15 to $15.07 as analysts factor in more cautious views from several recent downgrades and target cuts, while some still highlight the company's product and technology strengths. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned more cautious on XPeng, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets or downgrading ratings, while a smaller group highlights product and technology strengths such as intelligent driving systems.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 20

XPEV: 2026 Delivery Uncertainty Will Outweigh Intelligent Driving Enthusiasm

XPeng's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to align with a modestly raised fair value estimate of about $16.15, as analysts balance tempered revenue growth assumptions and a marginally higher discount rate with slightly better profit margin expectations and a small reduction in the assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and cutting ratings, while only a few are modestly more constructive on the shares.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 05

XPEV: 2026 Volume Ambitions Will Face Mounting Execution Doubts

XPeng’s updated fair value estimate has moved from about $17.05 to $16.03 as analysts reflect a lower blended price target following several recent target cuts and downgrades, partly offset by a smaller number of upward revisions tied to product and technology updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng reflects a split view, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or issuing downgrades, while a smaller group highlights upside tied to product and technology developments.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 22

XPEV: Global AI Driving Push And Overseas Expansion Will Test Execution

XPeng's updated analyst price target has inched higher to approximately $17.05 from about $17.02, as analysts balance recent target cuts and a downgrade with ongoing interest in the company's intelligent driving advances and new model initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng mixes enthusiasm for its intelligent driving technology with tempered views on valuation and execution.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 07

XPEV: Global Expansion And AI Vehicle Rollout Will Test Execution And Pricing

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has inched down by about $0.03 to $17.02, as analysts factor in a series of reduced price targets from several firms alongside mixed views on growth, margins, and upcoming guidance, partially balanced by at least one more optimistic upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets on XPeng as they reassess the balance between execution risks and the current valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

XPEV: Global Expansion And Robotaxi Optionality Will Test Execution And Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on XPeng to about $17 from roughly $18.80, reflecting a lower assumed future P/E multiple, even as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth and profit margins supported by recent research on the Mona sub brand and premium vehicle pricing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng points to a more cautious tone, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets even as some highlight operational progress and product expansion.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 06

XPEV: Future Robotaxi And Robotics Optionality May Drive Re-Rating

XPeng's updated fair value estimate edges up to US$18.81 from US$18.24 as analysts factor in stronger projected revenue growth, higher profit margins and a lower assumed discount rate, even as some recent price targets on the stock have been revised and others raised on product and new business initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng sends a mixed message, with some firms lifting targets and ratings while others trim expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 23

XPEV: Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Drive Future Upside Potential

XPeng's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to US$28.16 from US$28.24, as analysts factor in modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, a smaller discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple aligned with recent mixed guidance and product pipeline updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng shows a wide range of views, with some bullish analysts lifting targets sharply on product and AI progress, while more cautious voices focus on execution risks and guidance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 09

XPEV: AI Robotaxis And Physical AI Will Shape Future Mobility Upside

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate is now essentially unchanged at about $40.56, as analysts balance more cautious assumptions on revenue growth and margins with higher assumed future P/E multiples. These are supported by recent price target increases tied to performance trends, new model launches and emerging opportunities in areas like robotaxis and "Physical AI" applications.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 26

XPEV: AI Robotaxis Will Drive Future Mobility Upside Narrative

The analyst price target for XPeng has been modestly increased by approximately $0.19 as analysts factor in stronger long term revenue growth and profit margin prospects, supported by rising volume forecasts, AI enabled model launches, and incremental opportunities in robotaxis and robotics. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have turned increasingly constructive on XPeng, pointing to expanding total addressable markets, stronger than expected AI capabilities, and improving long term delivery trajectories as key drivers of upside to the equity story.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 12

XPEV AI Robotaxis Will Drive Long Term Mobility Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for XPeng to about $40.51 from $33.26. This reflects increased confidence in long term profitability and new total addressable market opportunities from AI enabled models, robotaxis, and robotics, despite slightly moderated near term growth assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 28

XPEV: International Expansion And Robotaxi Launches Will Drive Upside Despite Recall Hurdles

XPeng's analyst price target has increased from $26.95 to $28.24 per share, as analysts cite stronger future profit margins and expanding opportunities in AI-driven mobility solutions. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect diverging perspectives on XPeng's outlook, with both bullish and cautious views surfacing around the company's strategic direction and growth potential.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 13

XPEV: New Model Launches And Supply Chain Progress Will Balance Recall Challenges

XPeng's analyst price target has increased modestly from $26.49 to $26.95 per share, as analysts cite slight lifts in volume and revenue estimates following recent product updates and improved guidance. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on XPeng remains mixed, with several firms recently updating their price targets or ratings in response to company developments and broader industry factors.
Analysis Article • Nov 12

Market Participants Recognise XPeng Inc.'s (NYSE:XPEV) Revenues Pushing Shares 34% Higher

XPeng Inc. ( NYSE:XPEV ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 29

International Expansion And Margin Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Profit Prospects

XPeng’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from $26.29 to $26.49. This adjustment is driven by improved vehicle margins and a resilient outlook for net profit despite near-term challenges, according to analysts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 30

Proprietary AI And International Expansion Will Advance Autonomous Mobility

XPeng's consensus price target increased modestly to $26.43, reflecting analysts' optimism on improved vehicle margins, higher volume forecasts from new model launches, and recent earnings outperformance. Analyst Commentary Improvement in vehicle margin driven by better product mix, supply chain optimization, and economies of scale.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 21

XPeng Almost A Buy,  But Hold On Expansion Slowdown

Summary XPeng (XPEV) remains a "Hold" due to potential long-term gains despite recent momentum loss; suitable for investors with risk tolerance and willingness to buy on dips. Financials show promise with improving gross margins, but profitability remains a concern amid a competitive EV market. Risks include price wars, tariff impacts, and China's economic slowdown, - strategic partnerships and tech advancements provide a competitive edge. Valuation, despite contraction, appears to have valued in the tech edge; if you consider short-term downside due to international expansion slowdown. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

XPeng: Growth And Margin Upside

Summary XPeng's strong Q4'24 performance, supported by Mona M03 deliveries, led to a 52% year-over-year increase in delivery volume. Despite improving vehicle margins, XPeng's valuation remains high compared to rivals like Li Auto, which offers higher margins and a lower price-to-revenue ratio. XPeng's growth in low-cost EV deliveries is promising, but Li Auto and BYD present more attractive risk-return profiles due to higher margins and profitability. XPeng submitted a strong delivery outlook for Q1'25. Deliveries should continue to grow after Q1 when delivery volumes normalized after the Chinese New Year holidays. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

XPeng Earnings Preview: Stock Value Rising On A Key Breakthrough Bet

Summary XPeng Inc. has seen a 99% stock increase in 2025, driven by potential breakthroughs in FY 2024 earnings due on March 18. Despite flat vehicle sales, higher average selling prices and reduced costs have led to a significant reduction in net loss relative to revenue. Investor conviction in XPeng is stronger in Hong Kong, with daily traded volumes 2.3 times higher than in the U.S. in 2025. Future growth hinges on profitability in the upcoming earnings release and the feasibility of ambitious projects such as humanoid robots and flying vehicles. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

XPEVUS AutoUS Market
7D0.8%-0.8%-0.2%
1Y-51.0%-14.0%12.1%

Return vs Industry: XPEV underperformed the US Auto industry which returned -14% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XPEV underperformed the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is XPEV's price volatile compared to industry and market?
XPEV volatility
XPEV Average Weekly Movement6.1%
Auto Industry Average Movement9.1%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: XPEV has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: XPEV's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201520,632Xiaopeng Hewww.xpeng.com

XPeng Inc. operates as a physical AI company. It has developed a Physical AI architecture covering Turing AI chips, foundation models, and integrated software and hardware applications. The company’s products include smart EVs, robotaxis, and humanoid robots.

XPeng Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do XPeng's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
XPEV fundamental statistics
Market capUS$10.16b
Earnings (TTM)-US$465.43m
Revenue (TTM)US$11.25b
0.9x
P/S Ratio
-21.8x
P/E Ratio

Is XPEV overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
XPEV income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥75.41b
Cost of RevenueCN¥59.69b
Gross ProfitCN¥15.72b
Other ExpensesCN¥18.84b
Earnings-CN¥3.12b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-3.26
Gross Margin20.85%
Net Profit Margin-4.14%
Debt/Equity Ratio73.2%

How did XPEV perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/20 00:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

XPeng Inc. is covered by 58 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
"Jiong ShaoBarclays
Yuet LeeBernstein

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