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Yum China Holdings, Inc.NYSE:YUMC Stock Report

Market Cap US$14.6b
Share Price
US$43.39
US$61.69
29.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y0%
7D-1.9%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Yum China Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:YUMC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.6b

YUMC Community Fair Values

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Yum China Holdings, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Yum China Holdings
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$43.39
52 Week HighUS$58.39
52 Week LowUS$41.69
Beta0.12
1 Month Change-11.09%
3 Month Change-17.08%
1 Year Change0%
3 Year Change-26.46%
5 Year Change-37.41%
Change since IPO69.16%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 25

YUMC: Buybacks And Executed Store Base Will Support Future Re Rating

The analyst price target for Yum China Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower by about $1, with analysts pointing to updated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts adding Yum China Holdings to a conviction list see the updated fair value work as still supportive of upside potential even with a slightly lower target price.
Seeking Alpha May 11

Yum China: High-Quality Operator In The QSR Space

Summary Yum China's primary brands are KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell, of which it has exclusive rights to operate and sub-license in China (paying a 3% systemwide sales royalty back to its former parent company). Yum China increased its revenue from $7.2 billion in FY 2017 to $11.8 billion in FY 2025. That’s a compound annual growth rate of 6.4%. Yum China has a stellar financial position. The company carries essentially no long-term debt at all. YUMC stock is trading hands for a P/E ratio of 18.7. That’s well below where almost all large QSRs are at right now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 25

YUMC: Buybacks And Executed Store Base Will Support Future Re Rating

The analyst price target for Yum China Holdings has been adjusted slightly lower by about $1, with analysts pointing to updated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts adding Yum China Holdings to a conviction list see the updated fair value work as still supportive of upside potential even with a slightly lower target price.
Seeking Alpha May 11

Yum China: High-Quality Operator In The QSR Space

Summary Yum China's primary brands are KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell, of which it has exclusive rights to operate and sub-license in China (paying a 3% systemwide sales royalty back to its former parent company). Yum China increased its revenue from $7.2 billion in FY 2017 to $11.8 billion in FY 2025. That’s a compound annual growth rate of 6.4%. Yum China has a stellar financial position. The company carries essentially no long-term debt at all. YUMC stock is trading hands for a P/E ratio of 18.7. That’s well below where almost all large QSRs are at right now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 22

YUMC: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Yum China higher by roughly $0.19, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent mixed target moves and heightened conviction from firms covering the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets both raised and trimmed and the stock added to a key regional conviction list.
Narrative Update Apr 08

YUMC: Share Buybacks And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Yum China by a small amount to around $62, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and only modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations, even as recent research includes both target increases and decreases and a fresh addition to a major conviction list. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms fine tuning their targets and ratings around execution, growth potential, and valuation.
Narrative Update Mar 24

YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Expansion Progress Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Yum China Holdings slightly to $62.43 from $62.02, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue, profit margin and expected future P/E that align with recent price target increases and rating upgrades from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Yum China highlight a mix of optimism around execution and growth potential, alongside caution on valuation risk and operational delivery.
Narrative Update Mar 08

YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Store Expansion Will Support Future Re Rating

Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Yum China by about $6, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates and future P/E multiples, and supported by recent target hikes and an upgraded rating from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent price target increases as support for a higher implied valuation range, with the combined US$4.89 and US$1 raises suggesting more confidence in Yum China Holdings' earnings power and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 22

YUMC: Rising Cash Returns And Store Expansion Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Yum China higher by a few dollars to reflect modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, supported by recent positive research, price target lifts of $1 and $4.89, and an upgrade to a more favorable rating. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are signaling a slightly more constructive stance on Yum China, reflected in modest price target increases of $1 and $4.89 and a move to a more favorable rating from one research house.
Analysis Article Feb 10

Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.29

Yum China Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:YUMC ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...
Narrative Update Feb 07

YUMC: Shareholder Returns And Modest Outlook Reset Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have lifted their price target on Yum China by about US$4, citing refreshed estimates for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together underpin a slightly higher long term valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Yum China points to a modest reset higher in fair value assumptions, with several firms revisiting their models and lifting price targets by roughly US$1 to just under US$5.
Narrative Update Nov 22

YUMC: Aggressive Share Buybacks Will Drive Future Shareholder Value

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Yum China Holdings from $57.99 to $57.94, citing adjustments to growth and risk assumptions in their updated models. What's in the News Yum China Holdings, Inc.
Narrative Update Nov 05

YUMC: Share Buybacks And Improving Margins Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Yum China Holdings from $58.48 to $57.99. They cite adjustments in projected profit margins, discount rates, and forward price-earnings ratios as reasons for the change.
Analysis Article Aug 08

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Last week saw the newest half-yearly earnings release from Yum China Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:YUMC ), an important...
Analysis Article Jul 31

Estimating The Fair Value Of Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Yum China Holdings fair value estimate is US$46.60 Current...
Analysis Article Jul 17

Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Jun 18

Market Participants Recognise Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:YUMC) Earnings

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...
Seeking Alpha Feb 10

Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Keeps Winning, While KFC Simmering - Very Slowly

Summary Taco Bell's strong performance in FY 2024, driven by same-store sales and innovation, contrasts with KFC's struggles in the U.S. but gains internationally. Pizza Hut remains the underdog in the 'Battle of Pizzas,' with weak same-store sales and top-line growth, but easier comparisons ahead. Valuation models suggest Yum! Brands is fairly valued; without significant improvement in KFC's U.S. performance, the stock is unlikely to soar. Reiterate 'Hold' rating with a raised price target of $135, emphasizing Taco Bell's heavy lifting and the need for KFC's U.S. turnaround. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 03

Yum! Brands: Taco Bell Eyes Dutch Bros' Success

Summary Taco Bell's success with innovative menu items and value promotions contrasts with KFC and Pizza Hut's struggles amid fast-food inflation and international challenges. Yum! Brands' EBIT growth forecast lowered due to headwinds, despite Taco Bell's strong performance and new beverage spin-off, Live Más Café. KFC faces significant same-store sales declines and closures, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, impacting overall company performance. Valuation seems stretched, even more so when compared to other fast-food chains with the same geographic distribution. Valuation seems stretched, even more so when compared to other fast-food chains with the same geographic distribution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 22

Yum China Holdings: Potential For Sales Growth To Accelerate

Summary I reiterate my buy rating for YUMC due to robust growth prospects and solid management execution. YUMC benefits from China's high savings rate and government stimulus, driving potential consumer spending recovery. Aggressive store expansion, particularly with the KFC mini model, positions YUMC well for growth in lower-tier cities. Strategic initiatives like K Coffee and PH Wow are contributing to significant sales growth and profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 25

Yum China's Expansion Continues In Slower Economy

Summary Yum China Holdings, Inc. has rapidly expanded, especially its company-operated KFC and Pizza Hut chains, with good space for continued growth. The Q3 report will likely have weak same-restaurant restaurants, as China's economy has been weak over the short term. The government's potential stimulus measures won't yet affect the economy positively. YUMC stock is valued with fair growth expectations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 17

Yum China Holdings: Solid Execution Deserves A Buy Rating

Summary YUM China Holdings continues to demonstrate solid execution and outperform peers in a challenging macro environment. I am positive about YUMC's strategy of value for money, new store openings, and growth initiatives. YUMC should see a rerating of valuation multiples eventually. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

YUMCUS HospitalityUS Market
7D-1.9%2.0%1.2%
1Y0%-6.7%27.0%

Return vs Industry: YUMC exceeded the US Hospitality industry which returned -5.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: YUMC underperformed the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is YUMC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
YUMC volatility
YUMC Average Weekly Movement3.2%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement7.4%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: YUMC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: YUMC's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1987210,000Joey Watwww.yumchina.com

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China. The company operates KFC, Pizza Hut, and All Other segments. It operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang concepts.

Yum China Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Yum China Holdings's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
YUMC fundamental statistics
Market capUS$14.62b
Earnings (TTM)US$946.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$12.09b
15.6x
P/E Ratio
1.2x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
YUMC income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$12.09b
Cost of RevenueUS$9.62b
Gross ProfitUS$2.47b
Other ExpensesUS$1.52b
EarningsUS$946.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.78
Gross Margin20.42%
Net Profit Margin7.83%
Debt/Equity Ratio0.3%

How did YUMC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.7%
Current Dividend Yield
39%
Payout Ratio

Does YUMC pay a reliable dividends?

See YUMC dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy YUMC by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Yum China Holdings dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMay 27 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 17 2026
Days until Ex dividend8 days
Days until Dividend pay date13 days

Does YUMC pay a reliable dividends?

See YUMC dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/02 17:46
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ali DibadjBernstein
Chen LuoBofA Global Research
Yunqiao DuCCB International Securities Limited