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Mitsubishi Chemical Group CorporationTSE:4188 Stock Report

Market Cap JP¥1.6t
Share Price
JP¥1.09k
JP¥987.5
10.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y45.0%
7D0%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation

TSE:4188 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.6t

4188 Community Fair Values

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Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Mitsubishi Chemical Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceJP¥1,089.50
52 Week HighJP¥1,171.00
52 Week LowJP¥735.10
Beta0.64
1 Month Change21.33%
3 Month Change-1.89%
1 Year Change45.02%
3 Year Change34.46%
5 Year Change18.94%
Change since IPO33.68%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 15

4188: Earnings Will Soften As Decarbonization Restructuring Continues Yet Shares Remain Fairly Valued

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group slightly higher to ¥987.5 from ¥982.7. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin, and forward P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Revised slightly higher to ¥987.5 from ¥982.73.
Narrative Update Apr 24

4188: Structural Reform Losses And Profit Cut Will Depress Future Returns

Analysts have kept their ¥790 price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group steady, as small tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue trend, profit margin and future P/E are seen as offsetting each other rather than shifting the overall valuation view. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, keeping sales revenue guidance at ¥3,672.0b but adjusting operating income to ¥70.0b, net income to ¥114.8b, and basic EPS to ¥34.29, compared with prior guidance of operating income ¥176.0b, net income ¥189.9b, and EPS ¥91.21.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 15

4188: Earnings Will Soften As Decarbonization Restructuring Continues Yet Shares Remain Fairly Valued

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group slightly higher to ¥987.5 from ¥982.7. This reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin, and forward P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Revised slightly higher to ¥987.5 from ¥982.73.
Narrative Update Apr 24

4188: Structural Reform Losses And Profit Cut Will Depress Future Returns

Analysts have kept their ¥790 price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group steady, as small tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue trend, profit margin and future P/E are seen as offsetting each other rather than shifting the overall valuation view. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, keeping sales revenue guidance at ¥3,672.0b but adjusting operating income to ¥70.0b, net income to ¥114.8b, and basic EPS to ¥34.29, compared with prior guidance of operating income ¥176.0b, net income ¥189.9b, and EPS ¥91.21.
Narrative Update Apr 09

4188: Structural Reform Losses And Profit Cut Will Cap Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their ¥790.0 price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group, reflecting expectations of slightly softer revenue contraction, a higher projected profit margin of 3.33%, and a lower assumed future P/E of 9.45. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group revised full year guidance for the year ending March 31, 2026, keeping sales revenue at ¥3,672.0b but cutting operating income guidance from ¥176.0b to ¥70.0b.
Narrative Update Mar 26

4188: Earnings Downgrade And Restructuring Losses Will Restrain Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their ¥790 price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group, noting that a slightly lower discount rate, a softer revenue outlook, a modestly higher profit margin and a small increase in the assumed future P/E multiple are offsetting factors. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group cut its consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending March 31, 2026, keeping sales revenue at ¥3,672.0b but reducing expected operating income to ¥70.0b, net income to ¥114.8b, and basic EPS to ¥34.29, compared with prior guidance of operating income of ¥176.0b, net income of ¥189.9b, and basic EPS of ¥91.21 (Corporate guidance).
Narrative Update Mar 12

4188: Earnings Will Weaken As Decarbonization Restructuring Progresses Yet Shares Appear Fairly Valued

Analysts have kept their ¥982.73 price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group broadly unchanged, citing only slight tweaks to the discount rate and long term P/E assumptions rather than any major shift in their view of the company. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending March 31, 2026, keeping sales revenue guidance at ¥3,672.0b but revising operating income to ¥70.0b, net income to ¥114.8b, and basic EPS to ¥34.29 from earlier guidance of operating income ¥176.0b, net income ¥189.9b, and basic EPS ¥91.21 (company guidance).
Narrative Update Feb 26

4188: Structural Reforms And Decarbonization Shift Will Depress Earnings And Margins

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group to ¥982.73. The change reflects updated views on a slightly higher discount rate, softer revenue growth assumptions, modestly lower profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article Feb 12

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of ¥16.00

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) will pay a dividend of ¥16.00 on the 4th of June. Based on this...
Narrative Update Feb 11

4188: Decarbonization Shift And Weaker Revenues Will Pressure Long Term Margins

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group from ¥905 to ¥983, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Asahi Kasei, Mitsui Chemicals, and Mitsubishi Chemical were selected for Japan's Fiscal 2025 HtA Support Program to promote decarbonization and production conversion at two ethylene facilities in western Japan, with a reported investment scale of ¥21.2b and a maximum subsidy application amount of ¥10.4b (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Feb 07

Results: Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation Delivered A Surprise Loss And Now Analysts Have New Forecasts

It's been a good week for Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) shareholders, because the company has just...
Narrative Update Jan 28

4188: Decarbonization Investments And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mitsubishi Chemical Group from ¥700.0 to ¥790.0, citing updated assumptions that include a revised discount rate, revenue trajectory, profit margin outlook, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Asahi Kasei, Mitsui Chemicals, and Mitsubishi Chemical were selected for Japan's Fiscal 2025 HtA Support Program to promote decarbonization and production optimization at two ethylene facilities in western Japan, including the use of biomass feedstock as an alternative to petroleum based resources.
Analysis Article Jan 22

Pinning Down Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation's (TSE:4188) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Chemicals industry in Japan, you could be...
Narrative Update Jan 14

4188: Advanced Cooling Materials Will Support Future Upside In High Performance Computing

Analysts have lifted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group from ¥1,230.65 to ¥1,279.92, reflecting updated views on its fair value, discount rate, revenue growth outlook and profit margin profile, as well as an adjusted future P/E assumption. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group and Boston Materials, Inc.
Analysis Article Dec 31

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥16.00

The board of Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 4th of...
Analysis Article Dec 17

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥16.00

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation's ( TSE:4188 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥16.00 per share on 4th...
Narrative Update Dec 13

4188: Advanced Cooling Materials And Semiconductor Packaging Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group by approximately ¥15, reflecting a slightly lower fair value, along with improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins supported by updated valuation assumptions and a lower discount rate. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group entered a strategic collaboration with Boston Materials, including an investment via Diamond Edge Ventures, to advance thermal management solutions for high performance computing and AI data centers (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Dec 03

Mitsubishi Chemical Group's (TSE:4188) Dividend Will Be ¥16.00

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) will pay a dividend of ¥16.00 on the 4th of June. This makes the...
Narrative Update Nov 29

4188: Core Segment Pressures And Margins Will Define Next Phase Of Stability

Analysts have raised their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group from ¥900.91 to ¥905.45, citing a shift to positive revenue growth expectations as well as slight improvements in profit margin and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News Mitsubishi Chemical Group revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the full year ending March 31, 2026, lowering sales revenue, operating income, and net income forecasts.
Narrative Update Nov 15

4188: Future Profit Margins And Market Pressures Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group to ¥900.91. They cite updated views on the company's slightly improved profit margin outlook and a lower projected discount rate.
Narrative Update Oct 31

4188: Share Repurchase And Sustainable Margins Will Support Long-Term Performance

Mitsubishi Chemical Group: Narrative Update Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group, lowering it from approximately ¥902.73 to ¥900.91. This change reflects minor shifts in projections for revenue growth, profit margins, and discount rates.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrative Update Oct 17

Specialty Materials And Advanced Composites Will Build A Sustainable Future

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Mitsubishi Chemical Group from ¥905 to ¥902.73. This reflects a minor adjustment based on updated projections for revenue growth and profit margin.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Specialty Materials And Advanced Composites Will Build A Sustainable Future

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Mitsubishi Chemical Group downward from ¥923 to ¥905. This change reflects modest updates to profit margin expectations and discount rate assumptions.
Analysis Article Sep 25

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of ¥16.00

The board of Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 3rd of...
Analysis Article Jul 24

Mitsubishi Chemical Group's (TSE:4188) Dividend Will Be ¥16.00

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥16.00 per share on the...
Analysis Article Jul 10

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥16.00

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) will pay a dividend of ¥16.00 on the 3rd of December. Based on this...
Analysis Article Jun 30

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Mitsubishi Chemical Group's (TSE:4188) Soft Earnings

The market for Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation's ( TSE:4188 ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak...
Analysis Article Jun 27

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

The full-year results for Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation ( TSE:4188 ) were released last week, making it a good...
User avatar
New Narrative Nov 28

Boosting Revenue And Profitability With Calculated Reforms In The Semiconductor Market

Strategic expansion in photosensitive polymers and resins targets semiconductor industry growth, potentially significantly boosting revenue.

Shareholder Returns

4188JP ChemicalsJP Market
7D0%5.2%1.9%
1Y45.0%56.7%41.5%

Return vs Industry: 4188 underperformed the JP Chemicals industry which returned 56.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 4188 exceeded the JP Market which returned 41.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 4188's price volatile compared to industry and market?
4188 volatility
4188 Average Weekly Movement7.5%
Chemicals Industry Average Movement5.9%
Market Average Movement4.9%
10% most volatile stocks in JP Market9.6%
10% least volatile stocks in JP Market2.5%

Stable Share Price: 4188's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the JP market.

Volatility Over Time: 4188's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of JP stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200563,258Manabu Chikumotowww.mcgc.com

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation provides performance products, industrial materials, industrial gases, and others in Japan and internationally. It operates in five segments: Specialty Materials, MA & Derivatives, Basic Materials & Polymers, Pharma, and Industrial Gases. The company provides chemicals; film & sheet/molding/composite; information/electronics/ display/ battery; environment & living solutions; polymers/resins, high performance chemicals; carbon/carbon fibers & composite materials; inorganic products; and agriculture/food materials/ medical & health; as well as provides service/IT/ analysis, and industrial gases.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Mitsubishi Chemical Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
4188 fundamental statistics
Market capJP¥1.56t
Earnings (TTM)-JP¥82.95b
Revenue (TTM)JP¥3.70t
0.4x
P/S Ratio
-17.8x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
4188 income statement (TTM)
RevenueJP¥3.70t
Cost of RevenueJP¥2.63t
Gross ProfitJP¥1.07t
Other ExpensesJP¥1.15t
Earnings-JP¥82.95b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-61.06
Gross Margin28.92%
Net Profit Margin-2.24%
Debt/Equity Ratio78.3%

How did 4188 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.9%
Current Dividend Yield
-53%
Payout Ratio

Does 4188 pay a reliable dividends?

See 4188 dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy 4188 by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Mitsubishi Chemical Group dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMar 30 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 03 2026
Days until Ex dividend64 days
Days until Dividend pay date1 day

Does 4188 pay a reliable dividends?

See 4188 dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 14:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation is covered by 19 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mikiya YamadaBarclays
Takashi EnomotoBofA Global Research
Yuta NishiyamaCitigroup Inc