Portillo's Inc.

NasdaqGS:PTLO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$399.4m

Portillo's Valuation

Is PTLO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of PTLO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: PTLO ($5.4) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($13.54)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PTLO is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTLO?

Key metric: As PTLO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PTLO. This is calculated by dividing PTLO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PTLO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
EarningsUS$19.35m
Market CapUS$399.44m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PTLO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PTLO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
NATH Nathan's Famous
19.2xn/aUS$412.4m
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings
15.7x10.20%US$415.2m
DIN Dine Brands Global
22x44.09%US$340.6m
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
53.2x51.49%US$460.3m
PTLO Portillo's
20.1x-4.65%US$399.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PTLO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PTLO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DHCC Diamondhead Casino
0.5xn/aUS$217.79k
No more companies available in this PE range
PTLO 20.1xIndustry Avg. 21.2xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PTLO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (20.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PTLO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PTLO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PTLO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PTLO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.40
US$7.50
+38.89%
45.48%US$17.00US$5.00n/a11
Mar ’27US$5.34
US$7.70
+44.19%
45.66%US$17.00US$5.00n/a10
Feb ’27US$5.65
US$7.80
+38.05%
46.42%US$17.00US$5.00n/a10
Jan ’27US$4.54
US$8.15
+79.52%
43.56%US$17.00US$5.00n/a10
Dec ’26US$5.08
US$8.15
+60.43%
43.56%US$17.00US$5.00n/a10
Nov ’26US$5.35
US$9.85
+84.11%
40.99%US$18.00US$6.00n/a10
Oct ’26US$6.44
US$11.25
+74.69%
32.49%US$18.00US$7.00n/a10
Sep ’26US$7.08
US$11.90
+68.08%
26.96%US$18.00US$8.00n/a10
Aug ’26US$9.51
US$14.90
+56.68%
18.37%US$21.00US$12.00n/a10
Jul ’26US$12.02
US$15.30
+27.29%
20.05%US$21.00US$12.00n/a10
Jun ’26US$12.00
US$14.89
+24.07%
19.88%US$21.00US$12.00n/a9
May ’26US$10.39
US$15.89
+52.92%
18.40%US$21.00US$12.00n/a9
Apr ’26US$12.15
US$16.67
+37.17%
13.56%US$21.00US$13.00US$5.409
Mar ’26US$13.97
US$16.90
+20.97%
13.35%US$21.00US$13.00US$5.3410
Feb ’26US$13.91
US$15.60
+12.15%
17.72%US$21.00US$11.00US$5.6510
Jan ’26US$9.40
US$15.60
+65.96%
14.67%US$21.00US$13.00US$4.5410
Dec ’25US$11.55
US$15.60
+35.06%
14.67%US$21.00US$13.00US$5.0810
Nov ’25US$13.88
US$15.20
+9.51%
16.33%US$21.00US$13.00US$5.3510
Oct ’25US$13.12
US$15.00
+14.33%
17.13%US$21.00US$13.00US$6.4410
Sep ’25US$12.31
US$15.00
+21.85%
17.13%US$21.00US$13.00US$7.0810
Aug ’25US$9.99
US$15.40
+54.15%
17.95%US$21.00US$13.00US$9.5110
Jul ’25US$9.44
US$16.60
+75.85%
15.98%US$21.00US$13.00US$12.0210
Jun ’25US$10.02
US$17.20
+71.66%
17.60%US$22.00US$13.00US$12.0010
May ’25US$12.03
US$20.20
+67.91%
14.31%US$27.00US$16.00US$10.3910
Apr ’25US$13.88
US$21.11
+52.10%
14.20%US$27.00US$17.00US$12.159
US$7.5
Fair Value
28.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/01 09:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/28
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Portillo's Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Sara SenatoreBofA Global Research
Matthew CurtisD.A. Davidson & Co.