Knife River (KNF) Stock Overview
Provides aggregates-based construction materials and contracting services in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
KNF Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 7 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Knife River Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$78.43 |
| 52 Week High | US$96.12 |
| 52 Week Low | US$58.72 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| 1 Month Change | -15.65% |
| 3 Month Change | -10.52% |
| 1 Year Change | -17.75% |
| 3 Year Change | 112.61% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | 99.06% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 10
KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Will Drive Q4 Backlog Execution
Knife River's analyst fair value estimate has moved slightly higher from $102.50 to $104.70, as analysts factor in recent price target increases tied to Q4 margin progress and vertically integrated execution, while also weighing valuation concerns and mixed views on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Knife River highlights a split view, with some analysts focusing on execution and margin progress after Q4, and others flagging valuation and 2026 guidance as areas of concern.Narrative Update • Apr 24
KNF: EDGE Margin Progress And Integration Will Support 2026 Execution Potential
Analysts have trimmed the Knife River fair value estimate by about $0.10 to $102.50, as they balance recent target hikes linked to Q4 margin progress with fresh concerns around valuation, lower margin backlog, and regulatory and policy risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Knife River reflects a split view, with some focusing on execution and margin progress and others calling out valuation and policy risk.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 10
KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Will Drive Q4 Backlog Execution
Knife River's analyst fair value estimate has moved slightly higher from $102.50 to $104.70, as analysts factor in recent price target increases tied to Q4 margin progress and vertically integrated execution, while also weighing valuation concerns and mixed views on the 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Knife River highlights a split view, with some analysts focusing on execution and margin progress after Q4, and others flagging valuation and 2026 guidance as areas of concern.Narrative Update • Apr 24
KNF: EDGE Margin Progress And Integration Will Support 2026 Execution Potential
Analysts have trimmed the Knife River fair value estimate by about $0.10 to $102.50, as they balance recent target hikes linked to Q4 margin progress with fresh concerns around valuation, lower margin backlog, and regulatory and policy risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Knife River reflects a split view, with some focusing on execution and margin progress and others calling out valuation and policy risk.Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Knife River Remains Compelling As Focus On Growth Achieves Solid Growth
Summary Knife River Corporation is outperforming the S&P 500 and remains a compelling 'Buy' due to robust growth and attractive valuation. KNF delivered strong Q4 2025 results, with revenue up 14.9% and significant gains in aggregates and ready-mix concrete volumes and pricing. An aggressive acquisition strategy, including the $454 million Strata purchase, is driving backlog growth and expanding geographic and operational scale. Management guides for 2026 revenue of $3.3–$3.5 billion and EBITDA of $520–$560 million, supported by infrastructure tailwinds and public sector exposure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 09
KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Will Support 2026 Execution Upside
Analyst fair value for Knife River is now set at $102.60, a slight adjustment from $102.82 as analysts weigh recent Q4-driven price target hikes against updated views on discount rates, margin improvement and valuation risk. Analyst Commentary Street research around Knife River is split, with a cluster of price target increases after the Q4 report balanced by a valuation driven downgrade and caution on execution risks into 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 26
KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Are Expected To Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Knife River has moved higher to a range of $81 to $109, as analysts highlight Q4 margin improvement, the benefits of the vertically integrated model and the EDGE strategy, while also flagging valuation, lower margin backlog and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Knife River highlights a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh questions on valuation and risk.Narrative Update • Mar 12
KNF: EDGE Margin Gains And Integration Benefits Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Knife River higher to about $102.82 per share from roughly $102.18, reflecting recent price target increases clustered around post Q4 margin improvement themes and efficiency benefits cited in new research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Knife River has focused on how Q4 results, margin trends, and updated guidance line up with the current share price.Narrative Update • Feb 25
KNF: EDGE Execution And Big 6 Project Will Support Future Upside
Knife River's fair value estimate has moved from $96 to about $102, as analysts factor in higher Q4 price targets, stronger expectations around the EDGE and vertically integrated model, and differing views on how current valuation lines up with 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Knife River reflects a wide range of views on how current pricing stacks up against the company’s Q4 performance, EDGE initiatives, and 2026 guidance.Narrative Update • Feb 10
KNF: Big 6 Contract And Future Earnings Framework Will Drive Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Knife River by about $1 to roughly $96, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E, even as new coverage maintains a generally supportive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Knife River's positioning in its core markets as a key support for the current valuation, arguing that the revised target still reflects confidence in the company’s ability to execute on its existing project pipeline.Narrative Update • Jan 25
KNF: Big 6 Contract And Execution Will Support Long-Term Upside
Analysts have slightly lifted their fair value estimate for Knife River to roughly $96.91 per share, supported by fresh coverage that highlights a constructive long term outlook and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the refreshed fair value estimate of about $96.91 per share as supported by updated assumptions around revenue trends and profit margins, which they view as better aligned with the company’s recent execution.Narrative Update • Jan 11
KNF: Major Texas Project And Backlog Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Knife River to $96.80, a modest adjustment that reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while keeping their fair value view essentially unchanged. What's in the News Knife River was awarded a $112 million materials and paving project in Texas, known locally as "Big 6," involving reconstruction and expansion of a 12 mile stretch of State Highway 6 in the Bryan/College Station area, with work expected to run through 2030.Narrative Update • Dec 14
KNF: Construction Recovery And Backlog Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Knife River to $96.80 from about $98.22, reflecting a slightly lower fair value and profit margin outlook, even as they acknowledge resilient demand, a solid $1.3B backlog and sector wide expectations for a multi year construction recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research presents a mixed but constructive view on Knife River, with analysts balancing near term execution risks against a solid backlog and longer term recovery potential in U.S. construction and infrastructure spending.Analysis Article • Dec 04
There's Reason For Concern Over Knife River Corporation's (NYSE:KNF) Massive 25% Price Jump
Those holding Knife River Corporation ( NYSE:KNF ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in...Narrative Update • Nov 29
KNF: Recovery in Home Improvement Will Drive Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered Knife River’s price target by $20 to $100, citing near-term headwinds from funding issues and weather conditions. Despite these challenges, a solid project backlog supports the long-term outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 15
KNF: Early-Cycle Recovery Will Drive Renewed Momentum Amid Sector Headwinds
Analysts have lowered Knife River's fair value estimate from approximately $102 to $98 per share, citing forecasted revenue growth headwinds and sector-specific challenges as highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent street research offers a mix of optimism and caution regarding Knife River's outlook, with analysts weighing sector headwinds against potential catalysts for recovery and growth.Narrative Update • Nov 01
KNF: Regional Infrastructure Recovery And Backlog Will Drive Upside Into 2025
Analysts have revised Knife River's price target downward to $100 from $120, citing concerns over regional funding challenges and weather disruptions. However, they note continuing strong demand elsewhere.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Multiyear Department Of Transportation Funding Will Enable Expansion
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Knife River from $106.78 to $102.11. This adjustment reflects a modest decrease in expected growth and profit margins, amid sector-wide caution and regional funding challenges.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Multiyear Department Of Transportation Funding Will Enable Expansion
Analysts have lowered their price target for Knife River from $120 to $100. They cite ongoing funding challenges in Oregon and adverse weather conditions in key regions as the primary reasons for the revised outlook.Analysis Article • Jul 26
The Returns At Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Aren't Growing
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • May 03
Should You Be Adding Knife River (NYSE:KNF) To Your Watchlist Today?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Apr 17
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Knife River (NYSE:KNF)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...Analysis Article • Apr 02
Is Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Mar 22
Knife River: It's Not Time To Turn Bearish Just Yet
Summary Knife River Corporation has significantly outperformed the market, with a 16.8% stock increase since July 2024 and a 78.8% rise since October 2023. Despite mixed volume results, revenue and gross profit have surged due to higher pricing in aggregates, ready-mix concrete, and asphalt. Its recent acquisition of Strata Corporation and strong public spending forecasts support continued growth, justifying a maintained 'buy' rating for now. While the company’s debt is under control, a potential downgrade to 'hold' could occur if the stock spikes back to where it was earlier this year. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 03
An Intrinsic Calculation For Knife River Corporation (NYSE:KNF) Suggests It's 25% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Knife River fair value estimate is US$128 Current share price...Analysis Article • Feb 15
The Knife River Corporation (NYSE:KNF) Yearly Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
As you might know, Knife River Corporation ( NYSE:KNF ) recently reported its full-year numbers. It was a credible...Analysis Article • Feb 03
What Knife River Corporation's (NYSE:KNF) P/E Is Not Telling You
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...Analysis Article • Jan 19
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Presents An Opportunity
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Seeking Alpha • Dec 22
Knife River: Aggregating Of Aggregates
Summary Knife River's shares have doubled since its spin-off, but current premium valuations make me cautious despite relative discounts compared to industry peers. The company, a major aggregates and construction materials player, reported $2.8 billion in 2023 sales, driven by price hikes with volumes down. Recent acquisitions, including the $454 million Strata Corporation deal, could boost EBITDA and earnings, but high valuation multiples remain a concern. Despite potential growth and relative valuation advantages, absolute multiples are demanding, making me hesitant to invest but interested in future developments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 25
Investors Will Want Knife River's (NYSE:KNF) Growth In ROCE To Persist
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Knife River Corporation Just Missed EPS By 6.9%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
As you might know, Knife River Corporation ( NYSE:KNF ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues of US$1.1b...Analysis Article • Nov 05
Knife River Corporation's (NYSE:KNF) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Knife River Corporation's ( NYSE:KNF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.4x might make it look like a sell right...Analysis Article • Oct 18
Should You Be Adding Knife River (NYSE:KNF) To Your Watchlist Today?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
New Narrative • Sep 02
Decisive Acquisitions And EDGE Strategy Propel Positive Revenue And Net Margin Growth
Strategic improvements and expansion efforts, including dynamic pricing and acquisitions, are set to enhance profitability and broaden market presence.Analysis Article • Aug 17
Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...Analysis Article • Jul 30
These 4 Measures Indicate That Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jul 12
Do Knife River's (NYSE:KNF) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Jun 19
Knife River Corporation (NYSE:KNF) Shares Could Be 42% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Knife River is US$124 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Knife River...Analysis Article • Apr 18
We Think Knife River (NYSE:KNF) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Apr 15
Watch For Flying Knives: Knife River Looks Quite Good, But Valuation Isn't Low
Summary Demand for aggregates in 2024 should be quite healthy as public works projects move forward, benefiting Knife River and its leading share across its Northwest/North U.S. footprint. Management's guidance for 2024 may be too conservative given strong trends in its business footprint. Volumes are likely to be pressured by more selective bidding, but aggregate pricing could surprise. Knife River's margins are a valid talking point, but the company is moving on opportunities to improve them through its ongoing EDGE plan and potential M&A. Valuation isn't much of a bargain today and the stock likely needs beat-and-raise quarters to maintain the momentum; macro trends are supportive, but that adds to the risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 18
Earnings Beat: Knife River Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Knife River Corporation ( NYSE:KNF ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with...Analysis Article • Jan 18
Knife River Corporation's (NYSE:KNF) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 20% Below Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Knife River is US$49.96 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Knife River...Shareholder Returns
| KNF | US Basic Materials | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| 1Y | -17.8% | 9.9% | 27.0% |
Return vs Industry: KNF underperformed the US Basic Materials industry which returned 12.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: KNF underperformed the US Market which returned 28.2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| KNF volatility | |
|---|---|
| KNF Average Weekly Movement | 7.6% |
| Basic Materials Industry Average Movement | 5.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.9% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
Stable Share Price: KNF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: KNF's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1917 | 5,298 | Brian Gray | www.kniferiver.com |
Knife River Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides aggregates-based construction materials and contracting services in the United States. The company operates through West, Mountain, Central, and Energy Services segments. It mines, processes, and sells construction aggregates, including crushed stone and sand, and gravel; and produces and sells asphalt and ready-mix concrete.
Knife River Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| KNF fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.46b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$146.61m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$3.20b |
30.4x
P/E Ratio1.4x
P/S RatioIs KNF overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| KNF income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$3.20b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.62b |
| Gross Profit | US$584.15m |
| Other Expenses | US$437.54m |
| Earnings | US$146.61m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.58 |
| Gross Margin | 18.24% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.58% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 91.9% |
How did KNF perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/02 05:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Knife River Corporation is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Sherif El-Sabbahy | BofA Global Research |
| Rohit Seth | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Adrian Huerta | J.P. Morgan |