Travis Perkins plc

LSE:TPK Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.1b

Travis Perkins Valuation

Is TPK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of TPK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: TPK (£5.1) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (£2.71)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: TPK is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPK?

Key metric: As TPK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TPK. This is calculated by dividing TPK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TPK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUK£4.56b
Market CapUK£1.08b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TPK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TPK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
GFTU Grafton Group
0.6x4.89%UK£1.5b
RS1 RS Group
1x3.51%UK£2.8b
LTHM James Latham
0.8x1.06%UK£282.7m
HWDN Howden Joinery Group
1.6x5.06%UK£3.9b
TPK Travis Perkins
0.2x2.92%UK£1.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TPK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TPK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Trade Distributors Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHI SIG
0.04x2.33%US$126.39m
LORD Lords Group Trading
0.06x6.57%US$37.64m
PRO ProService Building Services Marketplace
0.09x4.39%US$36.51m
SLNG H C Slingsby
0.02xn/aUS$667.58k
TPK 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies6PS00.81.62.43.24+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TPK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Trade Distributors industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TPK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£5.10
UK£6.62
+29.84%
16.90%UK£8.60UK£4.43n/a15
May ’27UK£5.28
UK£6.73
+27.63%
16.04%UK£8.60UK£4.64n/a15
Apr ’27UK£5.63
UK£6.93
+23.11%
13.99%UK£8.60UK£5.07n/a15
Mar ’27UK£6.98
UK£6.91
-0.97%
11.96%UK£8.60UK£5.30n/a15
Feb ’27UK£6.26
UK£6.83
+9.22%
10.67%UK£7.70UK£5.30n/a15
Jan ’27UK£6.36
UK£7.00
+10.20%
11.87%UK£8.65UK£5.30n/a15
Dec ’26UK£6.34
UK£7.07
+11.47%
9.23%UK£8.65UK£5.94n/a14
Nov ’26UK£6.29
UK£7.05
+12.13%
9.42%UK£8.65UK£5.94n/a14
Oct ’26UK£6.33
UK£6.95
+9.94%
12.20%UK£8.65UK£5.30n/a14
Sep ’26UK£5.92
UK£6.97
+17.86%
12.33%UK£8.65UK£5.30n/a14
Aug ’26UK£5.23
UK£7.11
+36.00%
16.97%UK£10.50UK£5.30n/a14
Jul ’26UK£6.18
UK£7.19
+16.38%
15.97%UK£10.50UK£5.30n/a16
Jun ’26UK£6.36
UK£7.15
+12.57%
16.45%UK£10.50UK£5.30n/a16
May ’26UK£5.78
UK£7.21
+24.71%
16.66%UK£10.50UK£5.30UK£5.2816
Apr ’26UK£4.94
UK£8.62
+74.44%
11.37%UK£10.50UK£6.75UK£5.6316
Mar ’26UK£6.52
UK£8.92
+36.87%
9.75%UK£10.75UK£7.50UK£6.9816
Feb ’26UK£7.14
UK£9.07
+27.00%
9.13%UK£10.75UK£7.50UK£6.2616
Jan ’26UK£7.29
UK£9.17
+25.78%
7.84%UK£10.75UK£7.80UK£6.3616
Dec ’25UK£7.61
UK£9.36
+23.13%
8.99%UK£11.50UK£7.80UK£6.3416
Nov ’25UK£8.14
UK£9.50
+16.72%
9.21%UK£11.50UK£7.80UK£6.2916
Oct ’25UK£9.14
UK£9.67
+5.74%
10.33%UK£11.50UK£7.80UK£6.3316
Sep ’25UK£9.07
UK£9.45
+4.18%
10.44%UK£11.00UK£7.75UK£5.9216
Aug ’25UK£9.35
UK£9.16
-2.09%
13.34%UK£11.00UK£7.60UK£5.2316
Jul ’25UK£7.68
UK£8.68
+13.16%
14.31%UK£11.00UK£6.10UK£6.1817
Jun ’25UK£8.60
UK£8.54
-0.63%
14.32%UK£11.00UK£6.10UK£6.3617
May ’25UK£7.69
UK£8.06
+4.79%
11.57%UK£10.11UK£6.10UK£5.7817
UK£6.62
Fair Value
23.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/15 18:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Travis Perkins plc is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Paul Daniel CheckettsBarclays
Rajesh PatkiBarclays
Emily BiddulphBarclays