Trex Company, Inc.

NYSE:TREX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

Trex Company Valuation

Is TREX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TREX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$75.02
Fair Value
37.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TREX ($47.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($75.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TREX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TREX?

Key metric: As TREX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TREX. This is calculated by dividing TREX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TREX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27x
EarningsUS$186.67m
Market CapUS$5.14b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TREX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TREX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations
18.2x23.34%US$6.1b
UFPI UFP Industries
17.4x10.27%US$5.4b
SSD Simpson Manufacturing
21x7.07%US$7.2b
CSW CSW Industrials
27.7x10.88%US$4.2b
TREX Trex Company
27x17.40%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TREX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TREX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
TREX 27.0xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TREX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the US Building industry average (20.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TREX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TREX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TREX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TREX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$47.04
US$68.41
+45.44%
13.57%US$92.00US$54.00n/a19
Oct ’26US$51.94
US$72.00
+38.62%
12.15%US$92.00US$54.00n/a17
Sep ’26US$61.63
US$72.00
+16.83%
12.15%US$92.00US$54.00n/a17
Aug ’26US$63.42
US$69.94
+10.28%
11.93%US$85.00US$54.00n/a17
Jul ’26US$57.68
US$68.00
+17.89%
11.61%US$85.00US$54.00n/a17
Jun ’26US$55.87
US$68.17
+22.02%
11.56%US$85.00US$54.00n/a17
May ’26US$57.97
US$69.23
+19.42%
13.61%US$90.00US$54.00n/a17
Apr ’26US$58.46
US$75.36
+28.91%
9.20%US$90.00US$61.00n/a17
Mar ’26US$61.69
US$75.13
+21.79%
8.99%US$90.00US$61.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$72.83
US$77.63
+6.59%
10.33%US$100.00US$65.00n/a16
Jan ’26US$69.03
US$81.15
+17.55%
13.48%US$106.50US$65.00n/a17
Dec ’25US$75.03
US$80.44
+7.21%
13.74%US$106.50US$65.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$70.76
US$79.68
+12.60%
14.10%US$106.50US$65.00US$48.3217
Oct ’25US$67.74
US$79.62
+17.53%
14.46%US$106.50US$65.00US$51.9417
Sep ’25US$63.74
US$79.21
+24.26%
15.06%US$106.50US$64.00US$61.6317
Aug ’25US$80.43
US$96.42
+19.88%
12.99%US$120.00US$75.00US$63.4218
Jul ’25US$72.65
US$102.12
+40.56%
10.57%US$120.00US$75.00US$57.6817
Jun ’25US$86.48
US$102.12
+18.08%
10.57%US$120.00US$75.00US$55.8717
May ’25US$89.14
US$101.44
+13.80%
10.39%US$120.00US$75.00US$57.9718
Apr ’25US$97.97
US$99.53
+1.59%
12.79%US$120.00US$72.00US$58.4619
Mar ’25US$94.61
US$97.89
+3.47%
14.27%US$120.00US$72.00US$61.6919
Feb ’25US$86.80
US$81.42
-6.20%
9.51%US$92.00US$65.00US$72.8319
Jan ’25US$82.79
US$77.11
-6.87%
11.27%US$90.00US$63.00US$69.0319
Dec ’24US$72.07
US$72.89
+1.14%
10.87%US$87.00US$62.00US$75.0319
Nov ’24US$58.40
US$73.30
+25.51%
10.77%US$87.00US$63.00US$70.7619
US$68.41
Fair Value
31.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/04 05:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/04 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trex Company, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Timothy WojsBaird
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Reuben GarnerBenchmark Company