Silver Storm MiningSVRS
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Fair Value
CA$8.84
Share price19 Jul
CA$0.4794.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y123.81%
7D20.51%

Silver Storm Mining, 34 Million Oz Produced, Now Targeting Q2 2026 Restart

Ex-forex trader turned value investor focused on mining opportunities. Commodities trader, macro & data analyst.

Published
05 Dec 24
Updated
19 Jul 26
Views
598
Not Invested

Last Update 19 Jul 26

Fair value Decreased 80%

Valuation Update (July 2026)

FCF Multiple Model at US$150/oz and US$200/oz Silver

This is a simplified free cash flow valuation model. Because Silver Storm does not have a current PEA, PFS, FS, or published AISC guidance for La Parrilla, this model uses historical production and historical cash cost data as a rough proxy. It is not a formal valuation, not a target price, and not a guarantee.

Base Assumption

Value

Historical average annual silver equivalent production

3.520 million AgEq ounces

Historical cash cost

US$8.46/oz silver, net of by-product credits

Fully diluted shares used

1.0458 billion

CAD/USD assumption

1.37

Assumption

This model ignores taxes, royalties, sustaining capital, working capital, corporate G&A, financing cost, restart delays, higher modern costs, dilution, and production ramp-up risk.

La Parrilla FCF Model

US$150/oz Silver Step

Result

Margin Proxy

US$150 minus US$8.46 = US$141.54/oz

Estimated Annual FCF Proxy

3.520 million oz AgEq x US$141.54 = approximately US$498M/year

10x FCF

US$4.98B market value = approx. US$4.77/share or C$6.53/share

15x FCF

US$7.47B market value = approx. US$7.15/share or C$9.80/share

20x FCF

US$9.97B market value = approx. US$9.54/share or C$13.06/share

US$200/oz Silver Step

Result

Margin Proxy

US$200 minus US$8.46 = US$191.54/oz

Estimated Annual FCF Proxy

3.520 million oz AgEq x US$191.54 = approximately US$674M/year

10x FCF

US$6.74B market value = approx. US$6.45/share or C$8.84/share

15x FCF

US$10.11B market value = approx. US$9.67/share or C$13.25/share

20x FCF

US$13.49B market value = approx. US$12.90/share or C$17.69/share

Valuation Summary Table

Silver Price

Asset

Avg Annual FCF Proxy

10x FCF/share

15x FCF/share

20x FCF/share

US$150/oz

La Parrilla

US$498M

C$6.53

C$9.80

C$13.06

US$200/oz

La Parrilla

US$674M

C$8.84

C$13.25

C$17.69

This valuation is aggressive and simplified. It is designed to show silver-price torque, not a guaranteed target price. The real numbers could be much lower if costs are higher, production is lower, recoveries are weaker, taxes are higher, dilution increases, or the restart takes longer than expected.

38 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Silver Storm Mining Ltd. TSXV: SVRS / OTCQX: SVRSF / FSE: SVR

Introduction

Silver Storm Mining Ltd. is a near-term silver restart story focused on Durango, Mexico. Its flagship asset is the 100 percent owned La Parrilla Silver Mine Complex, a past-producing underground silver, lead, zinc, and gold operation located approximately 76 kilometres southeast of Durango City. The company also owns the San Diego project, an advanced exploration silver-zinc project in the Velardeña Mining District.

The bull case is simple: Silver Storm is not trying to build a new mine from scratch. It is trying to restart a past-producing silver complex with major infrastructure already in place. La Parrilla already has a 2,000 tpd processing facility, multiple underground mines, established mining infrastructure, and a history of production under First Majestic. The company says La Parrilla produced over 34 million silver equivalent ounces between 2006 and 2019, and from 2012 to 2018 averaged around 3.52 million silver equivalent ounces per year at historical cash costs of US$8.46 per ounce silver, net of by-product credits.

The strongest part of the story is timing. Silver Storm is targeting a restart of operations at La Parrilla in Q2 2026, subject to further technical evaluations. The company says it is fully financed for rehabilitation and ramp-up, has secured a two-year concentrate offtake agreement with Samsung C&T, and is expanding the sulphide circuit from 1,000 tpd to 1,250 tpd.

The main risk is also very clear. Silver Storm is advancing La Parrilla toward production without a current NI 43-101 reserve, PEA, pre-feasibility study, or feasibility study supporting the production decision. The company itself warns that this creates a higher degree of economic and technical risk than a restart supported by formal reserve and economic studies.

This makes Silver Storm a very interesting but high-risk silver stock. It has infrastructure, past production, strong strategic shareholders, and near-term restart potential. But investors must understand that the company still needs to prove the restart plan can deliver reliable tonnes, grade, recoveries, costs, and cash flow.

Projects / Location / MRE / Grades

Project 1: La Parrilla Silver Mine Complex, Durango, Mexico (Flagship Restart Asset)

Main Asset

La Parrilla is Silver Storm’s flagship project. It is located in Durango State, Mexico, approximately 76 kilometres southeast of Durango City. The property consists of 41 contiguous mining concessions covering 69,478 hectares, according to MarketScreener company data, while the company’s March 2026 presentation highlights a large 38,128-hectare land package for La Parrilla exploration.

This is a past-producing mine complex, not a greenfield exploration project. La Parrilla includes five underground mines around the mill, including Rosarios, La Rosa, San Jose, Quebradillas, and San Marcos, plus the Quebradillas open pit. It also hosts a 2,000 tpd processing facility and significant in-place infrastructure.

This matters because the biggest advantage for Silver Storm is infrastructure. New silver mines are usually expensive, slow, and difficult to permit. La Parrilla already has a processing plant, underground workings, mining history, site access, equipment orders, ventilation upgrades, and an existing production footprint. The company estimates around US$150 million of infrastructure is already in place.

Grade Feel

La Parrilla is not a giant ultra-high-grade pure silver deposit. It is a polymetallic silver-dominant mine complex with silver, lead, zinc, gold, and silver-equivalent value. The March 2026 company presentation states that around 64 percent of indicated gross metal value and around 67 percent of inferred gross metal value is silver.

The updated La Parrilla resource is respectable for a restart scenario. The indicated resource totals 10.8 million silver equivalent ounces, while the inferred resource totals 16.3 million silver equivalent ounces. The company also notes an additional 3.8 million AgEq ounces in pillars excluded from the resource.

The strongest grade zones appear to be in the underground mine extensions. At Quebradillas, the company highlights zones such as C1524 with 500 g/t AgEq over 15 metres, Quebradillas Zone with 523 g/t AgEq, and San Nicolas intercepts including 689 g/t AgEq over 9.4 metres and 547 g/t AgEq. These are the type of underground zones that can support a restart if they convert into mineable stopes with good continuity and dilution control.

La Parrilla Mineral Resource Estimate

The updated La Parrilla Mineral Resource Estimate was prepared by SRK Consulting and is dated March 24, 2025, with the resource as at December 31, 2024.

Resource / Metric

Detail

Indicated resource

1.197 million tonnes totaling 10.8 million AgEq ounces

Inferred resource

1.988 million tonnes totaling 16.3 million AgEq ounces

Resource detail

90 percent of indicated AgEq ounces are sulphides

Resource detail

85 percent of inferred AgEq ounces are sulphides

Resource detail

Additional 3.8 million AgEq ounces in pillars excluded from the resource

Resource detail

Resource modelled across 45 zones and three underground mining areas

Resource detail

Initial Silver Storm drilling included 138 drill holes totaling 18,626 metres

The resource is not huge yet, but it is located around existing mine infrastructure. That is the key. For a restart, the question is not only resource size. The more important question is whether the company can mine enough accessible, economic tonnes near existing underground development to restart and ramp up cash flow.

La Parrilla Restart Economics

Silver Storm has not published a full PEA, pre-feasibility study, or feasibility study for La Parrilla restart economics. That is important. There is no formal current NPV, IRR, reserve, mine life, AISC, or capex schedule comparable to a normal development-stage silver project. The company itself warns that the production decision is based largely on internal company data and historical operating information, not a current reserve-based technical study.

However, the historical operating data gives a useful starting point.

Historical Operating Metric (2012-2018)

Detail

Average annual ore processed

approximately 642,000 tonnes

Average silver grade

147 g/t Ag

Average silver recovery

78 percent

Average annual silver production

2.37 million ounces

Average annual silver equivalent production

3.52 million ounces

Average annual lead production

12.46 million pounds

Average annual zinc production

8.86 million pounds

Average cash cost

US$8.46 per ounce silver, net of by-product credits

This historical cost number looks attractive, but investors must be careful. It is not current AISC. It is historical cash cost from a different operating period, under a previous operator, and before current mining inflation. It also does not include all sustaining capital, corporate G&A, financing cost, restart risk, or taxes.

The restart upside is still real. If La Parrilla can return to even part of its historical production profile, Silver Storm could quickly transition from developer to producer. But until commercial restart performance is proven, this remains a higher-risk execution story.

Project 2: San Diego Project, Durango, Mexico (Optionality Asset)

San Diego is Silver Storm’s second major asset. It is located in the Velardeña Mining District in Durango, Mexico, around 75 kilometres southwest of Torreon and 160 kilometres northeast of Durango. The project consists of four mining concessions and covers 91.65 hectares.

San Diego is an advanced exploration silver-zinc project. The company describes it as one of the largest undeveloped silver projects in Mexico. Mineralization consists of high-grade Ag-Pb-Zn veins that widen at depth, plus large endoskarn deposits. The resource estimate is based on approximately 33,000 metres of drilling across 23 zones and veins.

The most interesting part is potential synergy with La Parrilla. Silver Storm says higher-grade structures above 150 g/t AgEq could potentially be processed at La Parrilla, though additional metallurgical testing is required.

San Diego is not the near-term driver. La Parrilla restart is the main event. But San Diego gives Silver Storm a second asset with optionality, district scale, and possible feed potential for La Parrilla if the company can prove metallurgical compatibility and economic trucking or processing synergies.

Project 3: Exploration Upside (La Parrilla District Potential)

Silver Storm has meaningful exploration upside at La Parrilla. The company says the current mineral resource footprint covers less than 790 hectares, or less than 2 percent of the La Parrilla land package.

The company began a 6,000-metre underground drilling program at La Parrilla in January 2026. The goal is to support the current internal mine plan, increase the indicated and inferred resource base, and support the potential restart of operations in Q2 2026.

Exploration upside is important because the current resource is still relatively modest. If Silver Storm can keep converting near-mine zones into mineable inventory, the restart could become more durable. If not, the market may question mine life, scale, and long-term production visibility.

Share Structure / Ownership / Insiders

Capital Structure

Silver Storm’s March 2026 corporate presentation listed the capital structure as of February 25, 2026:

Capital Structure Item

Value

Share price

C$0.67

Shares outstanding

777.6 million

Warrants

220.1 million

Options

48.2 million

Fully diluted shares

1.0458 billion

Basic market capitalization

C$521 million

Cash on hand

approximately C$31 million

Item

In-the-money warrants could bring in approximately C$49 million

More recent market data showed Silver Storm trading around C$0.59 in mid-May 2026, with a market capitalization around C$466 million and roughly 807.5 million shares outstanding.

Ownership / Insiders

Holder / Item

Ownership / Comment

First Majestic

19 percent

Eric Sprott

11 percent / 11.9 percent basic and 13.3 percent partially diluted from April 2026 early warning report

Insiders

2 percent

Other holders

68 percent

Overall view

strategic ownership is strong, but insider ownership is weak

The March 2026 presentation shows First Majestic owning 19 percent, Eric Sprott owning 11 percent, insiders owning 2 percent, and other holders owning 68 percent.

Eric Sprott’s April 2026 early warning report showed he beneficially owned 95,768,929 shares and 13,255,556 warrants, representing approximately 11.9 percent of outstanding shares on a non-diluted basis and 13.3 percent on a partially diluted basis.

This ownership structure is mixed. The positive is that Silver Storm has very strong strategic validation. First Majestic is a major silver operator and former owner/operator of La Parrilla. Eric Sprott is one of the most followed investors in the precious metals sector. The negative is that direct insider ownership is only around 2 percent, which is low.

People / Management

Person

Role

Details

Management Feel

Greg McKenzie

President, CEO, Director

Greg McKenzie is the central person in the Silver Storm story. He is a former senior investment banker with more than 20 years of experience in financing, M&A, financial advisory, valuation, and strategic advice to mid-cap companies. He has held positions with Morgan Stanley, CIBC World Markets, and Haywood Securities, and has been involved in transactions valued at more than US$18 billion. He also previously practiced corporate law with a Canadian securities and M&A law firm.

Greg McKenzie gives Silver Storm strong capital markets and deal-making experience. That is useful because the company needed to acquire La Parrilla, finance the restart, secure offtake, and keep market support. The key question is operational execution. Banking experience is helpful, but the restart depends on mine execution, grade control, cost discipline, and plant reliability.

Fernando Ragone

Chief Financial Officer

Fernando Ragone has more than 28 years of finance and mining experience. He previously served as Senior Vice President and CFO at Wesdome Gold Mines. He also held senior roles at Baffinland Iron Mines, Glencore’s North American Zinc division, First Majestic Silver, and Primero Mining.

This is a strong CFO background for a restart company. First Majestic experience is particularly relevant because La Parrilla was previously operated by First Majestic. Ragone’s operating-company finance experience is important as Silver Storm moves from exploration/development into potential production.

Will Ansley

Chief Operating Officer

Will Ansley has more than 20 years of mining industry experience, including the development and construction of seven mines in the Americas. He has held senior roles at FNX Mining and Lake Shore Gold and acted as COO of Mineral Streams Inc. in its sale to AuRico Metals in 2015.

This is one of the most important hires for Silver Storm. A restart needs operators, not just promoters. Ansley’s mine development and construction background directly helps the La Parrilla execution story.

Arturo Zamudio

General Manager, Mexico

Arturo Zamudio is a mining engineer with more than 36 years of experience in underground and open-pit mining operations. He was General Manager at La Colorada with Pan American Silver and General Manager at the El Castillo and San Agustin mine complex with Argonaut Gold. He also served as Director of Strategic Planning at Minpro.

This is highly relevant. La Parrilla is an underground Mexican restart story, so local operating knowledge matters. Zamudio’s background in Mexican operations is a positive.

Dwayne Melrose

Director

Dwayne Melrose has more than 30 years of international mining experience across Central Asia, China, Africa, North America, and South America. He was formerly President and CEO of True Gold Mining and Gold Reach Resources, and VP Exploration of Minco Silver. He was also involved in the discovery of the high-grade SB Zone at the Kumtor Gold Mine.

Melrose adds technical and exploration credibility. This is useful for growing La Parrilla’s near-mine resource base and evaluating San Diego optionality.

Risks / Catalysts / Timeline

Key Risks

Key Risk

Why It Matters

No current reserve

La Parrilla has no current NI 43-101 mineral reserve. Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and do not have demonstrated economic viability.

No current PEA/PFS/FS restart study

The production decision is not supported by a current preliminary economic assessment, pre-feasibility study, or feasibility study. This increases technical and economic risk.

Restart execution risk

The company must complete rehabilitation, contractor mobilization, plant work, mining preparation, sampling, ramp-up, and operational commissioning.

Grade reconciliation risk

Past-producing underground mines can be tricky. Historical grades may not perfectly match new mined grades.

Dilution risk

Fully diluted share count is already above 1 billion shares. Future financing, warrants, options, and potential restart capital needs may dilute shareholders further.

Cost inflation risk

Historical cash cost of US$8.46/oz silver is useful, but it may not reflect current labour, contractor, equipment, energy, reagent, sustaining capital, and corporate cost realities.

Metallurgical risk

La Parrilla has existing processing infrastructure, but recoveries and concentrate quality must be proven again under current operating conditions.

Commodity price risk

Silver, lead, zinc, and gold prices will strongly affect margins.

Mexico jurisdiction risk

Mexico is a major mining country, but permitting, labour, security, tax, and political risks must always be watched.

Mine life risk

The current resource is not huge. The company needs successful drilling and mine planning to support a durable restart.

Contractor risk

Underground development contractors must complete work safely, on time, and on budget.

Catalysts

Timeline

Key Milestone

Q2 2026

Completion of La Parrilla plant and mine rehabilitation target

Q2 2026

Potential restart of operations at La Parrilla

End of May 2026

Completion of contractor mobilization expected

End of Q2 2026

New mine laboratory commissioning expected

2026

Ongoing 6,000-metre underground drilling program

2026

Expansion of sulphide circuit to 1,250 tpd

2026

New drill results from Rosarios, San Marcos, Quebradillas, and San Nicolas zones

2026

Possible first production/ramp-up updates

2026 onward

Potential cash flow if restart succeeds

Medium term

Resource expansion and conversion

Medium term

San Diego milling synergy studies

Medium term

Potential re-rating from developer to producer if operations stabilize

Expected Timeline to Full Production

Period

Expected Progress

2026

This is the key year. Silver Storm is targeting Q2 2026 for the restart of operations at La Parrilla, subject to further technical evaluations. Rehabilitation of plant and mine infrastructure is underway, contractors are being mobilized, and the 6,000-metre underground drilling program is designed to support the current internal mine plan.

Late 2026

If the restart succeeds, investors should watch throughput, grade, recoveries, concentrate sales, cash costs, sustaining capital, and working capital. The market will not only care that the mine restarts. It will care whether the restart produces profitable ounces.

2027 onward

If La Parrilla stabilizes, Silver Storm could transition from a restart story into a small silver producer with growth optionality. The next stage would be resource expansion, mine life extension, San Diego synergy studies, and potentially higher throughput or additional feed sources.

Valuation Summary

FCF Multiple Model at US$150/oz and US$200/oz Silver

This is a simplified free cash flow valuation model. Because Silver Storm does not have a current PEA, PFS, FS, or published AISC guidance for La Parrilla, this model uses historical production and historical cash cost data as a rough proxy. It is not a formal valuation, not a target price, and not a guarantee.

Base Assumption

Value

Historical average annual silver equivalent production

3.520 million AgEq ounces

Historical cash cost

US$8.46/oz silver, net of by-product credits

Fully diluted shares used

1.0458 billion

CAD/USD assumption

1.37

Assumption

This model ignores taxes, royalties, sustaining capital, working capital, corporate G&A, financing cost, restart delays, higher modern costs, dilution, and production ramp-up risk.

La Parrilla FCF Model

US$150/oz Silver Step

Result

Margin Proxy

US$150 minus US$8.46 = US$141.54/oz

Estimated Annual FCF Proxy

3.520 million oz AgEq x US$141.54 = approximately US$498M/year

10x FCF

US$4.98B market value = approx. US$4.77/share or C$6.53/share

15x FCF

US$7.47B market value = approx. US$7.15/share or C$9.80/share

20x FCF

US$9.97B market value = approx. US$9.54/share or C$13.06/share

US$200/oz Silver Step

Result

Margin Proxy

US$200 minus US$8.46 = US$191.54/oz

Estimated Annual FCF Proxy

3.520 million oz AgEq x US$191.54 = approximately US$674M/year

10x FCF

US$6.74B market value = approx. US$6.45/share or C$8.84/share

15x FCF

US$10.11B market value = approx. US$9.67/share or C$13.25/share

20x FCF

US$13.49B market value = approx. US$12.90/share or C$17.69/share

Valuation Summary Table

Silver Price

Asset

Avg Annual FCF Proxy

10x FCF/share

15x FCF/share

20x FCF/share

US$150/oz

La Parrilla

US$498M

C$6.53

C$9.80

C$13.06

US$200/oz

La Parrilla

US$674M

C$8.84

C$13.25

C$17.69

This valuation is aggressive and simplified. It is designed to show silver-price torque, not a guaranteed target price. The real numbers could be much lower if costs are higher, production is lower, recoveries are weaker, taxes are higher, dilution increases, or the restart takes longer than expected.

Summary & Quick Scorecard

Category

Criteria / Points

Overall

Commentary

Management

Previous successful project/company sale: Yes

Exploration to development: Yes

Big mining company experience: Yes

Strong capital markets track record: Yes

✅ Strong

Silver Storm has a strong mix of capital markets, mine development, Mexico operating, and technical experience. Greg McKenzie brings financing and M&A experience. Will Ansley brings mine development and construction experience. Arturo Zamudio brings Mexican operating experience. Fernando Ragone brings mining CFO experience, including First Majestic background.

Projects

High grades: Yes, in selected underground zones

MRE size: Moderate at La Parrilla, larger optionality at San Diego

Optionality: Yes, San Diego and district exploration

✅ Strong

La Parrilla is not the biggest silver resource, but it has something many juniors do not have: a real past-producing mine complex with existing infrastructure and near-term restart potential.

Cost Structure

Low historical cash cost: US$8.46/oz silver net of by-product credits

Low capex / existing infrastructure: Yes

Fully financed for rehabilitation and ramp-up: Company says yes

✅ Strong

The historical cost profile is attractive, but there is no current AISC guidance. The market needs to see real restart costs.

Share Structure Discipline

Fully diluted shares: 1,045,800,000

Fully diluted market cap estimate: approximately US$450M using C$0.59 share price and 1.37 CAD/USD

✅ Strong

The fully diluted share count is high. This is the biggest structural weakness in the story. However, warrant exercise could bring in more cash, which helps the restart.

Insider / Ownership

Insiders: approximately 2 percent

Eric Sprott: approximately 11.9 percent basic / 13.3 percent partially diluted First Majestic: approximately 19 percent, insider aligned around 32%

✅ Strong

Strategic ownership is strong. Insider ownership is low. First Majestic and Eric Sprott involvement add credibility, but direct insider alignment is not high.

Location

Tier 2. Mexico is a major silver mining country; Durango is an established mining state, but Mexico carries higher political, permitting, fiscal, and security risk than Tier 1 jurisdictions.

✅ Good

RT Rating, Commentary

Silver Storm Mining is on our watchlist.

We rated this as 5 out of 5 stars.

Silver Storm is one of the more interesting near-term silver restart stories because it has something most silver juniors do not have: a real past-producing mine, a real mill, real underground infrastructure, a major former operator as a shareholder, Eric Sprott ownership, a Samsung offtake agreement, and a target to restart operations in Q2 2026.

The upside is obvious. If La Parrilla restarts successfully and silver prices stay strong, the market may stop valuing Silver Storm like a speculative developer and start valuing it like a silver producer. That kind of transition can create a strong re-rating.

But this is not a low-risk story. The company has no current reserve, no current PEA, no current PFS, and no current FS supporting the restart. So the market is basically betting on execution. If the restart works, the stock can become a powerful silver torque vehicle. If the restart disappoints, the share structure and lack of formal economics could become a problem. The best way to view Silver Storm is as a high-beta silver restart play. It has strong upside in a silver bull market, but investors should demand proof from the first production, cost, recovery, and cash flow updates.

 

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Disclaimer

The user RockeTeller holds no position in TSXV:SVRS. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

CA$8.84
vs CA$0.4794.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-11m22b20152018202120242026202720302031Revenue CA$21.6bEarnings CA$2.1b
11.6k%
Revenue growth
9.5%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

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Company analysis

Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.

Market capCA$372.1m
PB6.9x
Estimated GrowthN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Gregory McKenzie
CEO
6.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Mexico.