Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

NYSE:MAA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.4b

Mid-America Apartment Communities Valuation

Is MAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$224.24
Fair Value
42.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MAA ($128.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($224.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAA?

Key metric: As MAA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MAA. This is calculated by dividing MAA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MAA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.2x
EarningsUS$552.18m
Market CapUS$15.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46x
ESS Essex Property Trust
19.2x-22.61%US$16.8b
UDR UDR
76.9x12.48%US$12.2b
CPT Camden Property Trust
68.3x6.07%US$10.8b
EQR Equity Residential
19.6x-17.45%US$23.2b
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
27.2x-4.95%US$15.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the peer average (46x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Residential REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MAA 27.2xIndustry Avg. 24.8xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the North American Residential REITs industry average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.2x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$128.23
US$155.04
+20.91%
7.82%US$177.00US$121.00n/a25
Oct ’26US$138.00
US$157.60
+14.20%
5.95%US$176.00US$138.00n/a25
Sep ’26US$145.82
US$159.13
+9.12%
5.25%US$176.00US$142.00n/a24
Aug ’26US$140.00
US$166.83
+19.17%
6.38%US$185.00US$142.00n/a24
Jul ’26US$148.90
US$170.04
+14.20%
6.32%US$192.00US$149.00n/a25
Jun ’26US$156.65
US$170.77
+9.01%
6.67%US$194.00US$149.00n/a26
May ’26US$162.07
US$169.12
+4.35%
6.58%US$192.00US$149.00n/a26
Apr ’26US$167.48
US$168.73
+0.75%
6.91%US$190.00US$149.00n/a26
Mar ’26US$168.12
US$165.27
-1.70%
6.83%US$187.00US$148.00n/a26
Feb ’26US$152.58
US$163.27
+7.01%
6.44%US$187.00US$148.00n/a26
Jan ’26US$154.57
US$165.46
+7.05%
6.42%US$187.00US$140.00n/a25
Dec ’25US$164.16
US$163.48
-0.42%
7.97%US$187.00US$124.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$149.17
US$163.39
+9.53%
8.14%US$189.00US$124.00US$128.2323
Oct ’25US$157.81
US$160.23
+1.53%
10.74%US$189.00US$124.00US$138.0022
Sep ’25US$162.37
US$154.15
-5.06%
10.75%US$189.00US$124.00US$145.8220
Aug ’25US$146.41
US$141.90
-3.08%
5.72%US$156.00US$124.00US$140.0020
Jul ’25US$141.18
US$140.26
-0.65%
5.69%US$156.00US$124.00US$148.9021
Jun ’25US$133.71
US$139.50
+4.33%
5.22%US$154.00US$124.00US$156.6521
May ’25US$130.62
US$136.88
+4.79%
5.39%US$148.00US$124.00US$162.0721
Apr ’25US$128.70
US$137.16
+6.57%
5.67%US$152.00US$124.00US$167.4822
Mar ’25US$127.63
US$138.20
+8.29%
6.00%US$158.00US$124.00US$168.1222
Feb ’25US$127.92
US$140.76
+10.04%
8.71%US$181.00US$124.00US$152.5821
Jan ’25US$134.46
US$138.95
+3.34%
9.55%US$181.00US$116.00US$154.5720
Dec ’24US$126.79
US$140.21
+10.58%
11.06%US$181.00US$112.00US$164.1619
Nov ’24US$117.58
US$152.08
+29.34%
12.08%US$184.00US$112.00US$149.1719
US$155.04
Fair Value
17.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/02 20:23
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/31 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. is covered by 51 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wesley GolladayBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
Richard HightowerBarclays