Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Stock Overview
Designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products in the United States, Canada, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for WMS from our risk checks.
WMS Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 11 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Capital Goods opportunity
CE
Fair Value from
CA$5.2514.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Read full narrativeAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$148.72 |
| 52 Week High | US$179.32 |
| 52 Week Low | US$104.69 |
| Beta | 1.33 |
| 1 Month Change | 5.69% |
| 3 Month Change | -12.53% |
| 1 Year Change | 33.73% |
| 3 Year Change | 70.26% |
| 5 Year Change | 37.03% |
| Change since IPO | 829.50% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 06
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Analyst Day Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts held the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems at $190.30, making modest adjustments to underlying assumptions. This reflects a mix of recent Street research in which several firms raised longer term price targets, while others trimmed them by $5 to $17 based on their updated views of the business and its outlook.Narrative Update • Apr 20
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems by about $7 to $190.30, reflecting recent adjustments to Street price targets and updated assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several firms revising their views over the same general period.Narrative Update • Apr 04
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Framework Will Support Higher Future P E Multiple
Advanced Drainage Systems' updated analyst price target now sits at $197.20, with recent target increases from several firms generally linked by analysts to consistent assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations, despite a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems clusters around a series of higher price targets, including one move to $197 from $183.Narrative Update • Mar 21
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P E Framework
Advanced Drainage Systems' analyst price target has been updated to $197, with recent Street research citing revised views on the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Advanced Drainage Systems focuses on how updated assumptions on discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels feed into higher valuation frameworks, with several bullish price target revisions supporting the new US$197 target.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 06
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Analyst Day Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts held the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems at $190.30, making modest adjustments to underlying assumptions. This reflects a mix of recent Street research in which several firms raised longer term price targets, while others trimmed them by $5 to $17 based on their updated views of the business and its outlook.Narrative Update • Apr 20
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems by about $7 to $190.30, reflecting recent adjustments to Street price targets and updated assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several firms revising their views over the same general period.Narrative Update • Apr 04
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Framework Will Support Higher Future P E Multiple
Advanced Drainage Systems' updated analyst price target now sits at $197.20, with recent target increases from several firms generally linked by analysts to consistent assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations, despite a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems clusters around a series of higher price targets, including one move to $197 from $183.Narrative Update • Mar 21
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P E Framework
Advanced Drainage Systems' analyst price target has been updated to $197, with recent Street research citing revised views on the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Advanced Drainage Systems focuses on how updated assumptions on discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels feed into higher valuation frameworks, with several bullish price target revisions supporting the new US$197 target.Narrative Update • Mar 06
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Outlook Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
Our Analyst Price Target for Advanced Drainage Systems has been trimmed slightly by $0.80 to $197.20, even as analysts broadly lift their Street targets on the stock, supported by refreshed assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more constructive on Advanced Drainage Systems, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets by a wide range of dollar amounts while refining their assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Feb 20
WMS: Buybacks And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
The analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems has moved from $179.22 to $198.00 as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, an updated long term P/E of 29.23, and recent Street research that has reset price targets upward across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems has centered on higher price targets and an updated long term P/E framework, with several firms adjusting their models in a relatively tight time window.Seeking Alpha • Feb 12
Advanced Drainage Systems Is Doing Great, But That Doesn't Mean Gains Deserve To Flow
Summary Advanced Drainage Systems delivered solid Q3 results, outperforming the S&P 500 with a 20.9% stock gain since September 2025. WMS's recent $875M net acquisition of National Diversified Sales adds $313M revenue and expected $25M synergies within three years. Despite operational strength and optimistic 2026 guidance, WMS appears fairly valued both absolutely and relative to peers. Maintain 'hold' rating as risk/reward remains balanced; upside depends on synergy realization and further operational outperformance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 06
WMS: Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
Our updated analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems moves to US$179.22 from US$174.90, reflecting analysts' recent target increases and their supporting views on the company's margin profile and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been clustered around higher price targets for Advanced Drainage Systems, with analysts focusing on valuation inputs like P/E assumptions and expectations for the company’s margin profile.Narrative Update • Jan 23
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Price Cost Discipline Will Support Future Premium P E
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems higher to $174.90 from $173, reflecting updated views on margins, discount rate, and future P/E after a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher price targets for Advanced Drainage Systems, with several bullish analysts pointing to execution on earnings, margin structure, and end market exposure as key drivers behind their updated views.Narrative Update • Jan 08
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Price Cost Discipline Will Sustain Margin Resilience
Narrative Update on Advanced Drainage Systems We are lifting our analyst price target on Advanced Drainage Systems by about $1 to $173, reflecting incremental adjustments to our fair value and P/E assumptions in line with recent analyst research that cites stronger end market performance, solid FY26 EBITDA results, and upward price target revisions from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems has tilted constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest earnings and outlook.Analysis Article • Dec 31
Returns At Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Are On The Way Up
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Narrative Update • Dec 15
WMS: End Market Outperformance Will Sustain Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Advanced Drainage Systems by about $0.50 per share to reflect stronger than expected EBITDA growth, resilient pricing, and consistent outperformance compared with building products peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the modest price target increase as a validation of Advanced Drainage Systems' ability to consistently outperform both internal plans and broader building products peers.Narrative Update • Nov 30
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Segment Strength Will Sustain Future Upside
Analysts have slightly revised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems, lowering it from $171.78 to $171.10, citing continued end-market strength and robust segment performance, even as there is some moderation in residential-exposed businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent price target adjustments and research updates reflect a nuanced view of Advanced Drainage Systems’ performance and outlook, with analysts highlighting several areas of strength and caution.Narrative Update • Nov 16
WMS: Margin Expansion Will Drive Outperformance Versus Building Products Peers
Analysts have raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to approximately $172 from $161. They cite the company’s strong margin expansion and robust revenue growth in recent results.Narrative Update • Nov 01
WMS: Strong Q1 Delivery And Buyback Momentum Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have increased the price target for Advanced Drainage Systems from $146 to $167, citing solid first quarter results and the company's steadfast fiscal 2026 outlook as key factors behind the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the company's solid first quarter performance, viewing this as evidence of strong operational execution.Analysis Article • Oct 31
These 4 Measures Indicate That Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Oct 18
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to $167 from $146, citing solid quarterly results and the company's reaffirmed fiscal 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the company's solid first quarter results, reinforcing confidence in management's execution abilities and operational discipline.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to approximately $161.33 from $157, citing stronger-than-expected quarterly results and a maintained long-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from the analyst community reflect both optimism and caution regarding Advanced Drainage Systems following the company’s latest quarterly report and maintained long-term guidance.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to $157.00, citing stronger-than-expected Q1 results, resilient execution, and enhanced visibility into future growth. Analyst Commentary Solid Q1 financial results surpassed expectations.Analysis Article • Aug 31
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:WMS) 27% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. ( NYSE:WMS ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 5.7%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NYSE:WMS 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Advanced Drainage Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Driven by higher revenue growth forecasts and improved net profit margin expectations, the consensus analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems has been raised from $138.89 to $155.12. What's in the News Advanced Drainage Systems confirmed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance at $2.825 billion to $2.975 billion.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE:WMS)?
NYSE:WMS 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Advanced Drainage Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 10
What Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:WMS) P/E Is Not Telling You
There wouldn't be many who think Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s ( NYSE:WMS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of...Analysis Article • May 13
Why The 21% Return On Capital At Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Should Have Your Attention
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
Advanced Drainage Systems: Do Not Get Wet Feet
Summary Advanced Drainage Systems has experienced a significant stock correction after a substantial run-up, driven by post-pandemic margin gains that are now reversing. Despite the pullback, current margins remain above long-term averages, making the stock less attractive at present levels. The company's growth is in part driven by pricing, with historical operating margins peaking in the twenties, now facing potential declines. Shares trade at 18 times earnings, with further margin declines likely, suggesting current valuation levels are still too demanding. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 21
Advanced Drainage Systems: Short-Term Hold, Longer-Term More Promising (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. receives a Sell rating from Seeking Alpha’s Quant system, but I believe this is overly negative, particularly for the long-term. The company shows strong profitability metrics and future earnings growth, suggesting it is fairly valued despite short-term challenges. Growth prospects are promising beyond 2025, with expected EPS increases of 9.32% in fiscal 2026 and 14.15% in fiscal 2027. I rate ADS a Hold due to current downtrend but anticipate upgrading as earnings growth resumes. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| WMS | US Building | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | 33.7% | 16.8% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: WMS exceeded the US Building industry which returned 13.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: WMS exceeded the US Market which returned 29.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| WMS volatility | |
|---|---|
| WMS Average Weekly Movement | 5.8% |
| Building Industry Average Movement | 5.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: WMS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: WMS's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1966 | 6,000 | Donald Barbour | www.adspipe.com |
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Pipe, Infiltrator, International, and Allied Products & Other segments. The company offers single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes; plastic leachfield chambers and systems; EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles; wastewater purification through mechanical aeration wastewater for residential and commercial systems; septic tanks and accessories; combined treatment and dispersal systems, including AeroFin, advanced enviro-septic, enviro-septic, and advanced treatment leachfield; and allied products, including storm retention/detention and septic chambers, polyvinyl chloride drainage structures, fittings, and water quality filters and separators.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| WMS fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$11.11b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$470.72m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.99b |
24.6x
P/E Ratio3.9x
P/S RatioIs WMS overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| WMS income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.99b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.83b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.16b |
| Other Expenses | US$685.25m |
| Earnings | US$470.72m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 21, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 6.04 |
| Gross Margin | 38.67% |
| Net Profit Margin | 15.75% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 65.6% |
How did WMS perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.5%
Current Dividend Yield12%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 12:37 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Halloran | Baird |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |