Advanced Drainage Systems Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Advanced Drainage Systems has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 14.1%, while the Building industry saw earnings growing at 10.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.5% per year. Advanced Drainage Systems's return on equity is 22.8%, and it has net margins of 14%.
Key information
14.09%
Earnings growth rate
13.08%
EPS growth rate
| Building Industry Growth | 13.32% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.53% |
| Return on equity | 22.84% |
| Net Margin | 14.02% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • Jun 20
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Stock Could Be 18% Undervalued After Investor Day
Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) recently used its 2026 Investor Day to outline a fiscal 2030 outlook, realign operations around Stormwater and Wastewater segments, and explain how data center demand is shaping its water infrastructure focus. See our latest analysis for Advanced Drainage Systems. Advanced Drainage Systems’ recent Investor Day and the earlier acquisition of National Diversified Sales have coincided with a 1-year total shareholder return of 29.31%. The 30-day share price return...Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Advanced Drainage Systems: More Than A Pipe Story, Initiating With A Buy
Summary Advanced Drainage Systems is rated Buy, driven by its ability to deliver complete water-management systems for large, complex stormwater projects. WMS’s competitive edge stems from product breadth, engineering expertise, manufacturing scale, and national distribution, making it a preferred supplier as project complexity increases. Data center construction is a key forward catalyst, with WMS positioned to capture higher revenue per project as demand for integrated stormwater solutions grows. Trading at ~22x NTM PE, WMS’s valuation is supported by strong earnings growth potential, not solely reliant on end-market recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 07
WMS: Conservative Volume Guidance And Margin Discipline Will Support Future Re Rating
Narrative Update on Advanced Drainage Systems The updated analyst framework trims the implied fair value for Advanced Drainage Systems from $185.75 to $180.00. This reflects lower revenue growth assumptions, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, even as analysts point to conservative volume guidance, pricing resilience, and disciplined margin management as key supports.Narrative Update • May 24
WMS: Margin Discipline And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
The analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems has been adjusted from $190.30 to $185.75, reflecting recent Street revisions that balance lower estimates with ongoing confidence in margin management and long-term opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show that Street targets for Advanced Drainage Systems have been trimmed, but most covering analysts remain constructive on the long-term story and execution, even as they factor in more cautious assumptions.Narrative Update • May 06
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Analyst Day Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts held the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems at $190.30, making modest adjustments to underlying assumptions. This reflects a mix of recent Street research in which several firms raised longer term price targets, while others trimmed them by $5 to $17 based on their updated views of the business and its outlook.Narrative Update • Apr 20
WMS: Expanded Buyback And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P/E Multiple
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems by about $7 to $190.30, reflecting recent adjustments to Street price targets and updated assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several firms revising their views over the same general period.Narrative Update • Apr 04
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Framework Will Support Higher Future P E Multiple
Advanced Drainage Systems' updated analyst price target now sits at $197.20, with recent target increases from several firms generally linked by analysts to consistent assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations, despite a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems clusters around a series of higher price targets, including one move to $197 from $183.Narrative Update • Mar 21
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Outlook Will Support Higher Future P E Framework
Advanced Drainage Systems' analyst price target has been updated to $197, with recent Street research citing revised views on the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as key reasons for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Advanced Drainage Systems focuses on how updated assumptions on discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels feed into higher valuation frameworks, with several bullish price target revisions supporting the new US$197 target.Narrative Update • Mar 06
WMS: Buyback Expansion And Earnings Outlook Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
Our Analyst Price Target for Advanced Drainage Systems has been trimmed slightly by $0.80 to $197.20, even as analysts broadly lift their Street targets on the stock, supported by refreshed assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more constructive on Advanced Drainage Systems, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets by a wide range of dollar amounts while refining their assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Feb 20
WMS: Buybacks And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
The analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems has moved from $179.22 to $198.00 as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, an updated long term P/E of 29.23, and recent Street research that has reset price targets upward across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems has centered on higher price targets and an updated long term P/E framework, with several firms adjusting their models in a relatively tight time window.Narrative Update • Feb 06
WMS: Margin Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Premium P E Profile
Our updated analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems moves to US$179.22 from US$174.90, reflecting analysts' recent target increases and their supporting views on the company's margin profile and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been clustered around higher price targets for Advanced Drainage Systems, with analysts focusing on valuation inputs like P/E assumptions and expectations for the company’s margin profile.Narrative Update • Jan 23
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Price Cost Discipline Will Support Future Premium P E
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Advanced Drainage Systems higher to $174.90 from $173, reflecting updated views on margins, discount rate, and future P/E after a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher price targets for Advanced Drainage Systems, with several bullish analysts pointing to execution on earnings, margin structure, and end market exposure as key drivers behind their updated views.Narrative Update • Jan 08
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Price Cost Discipline Will Sustain Margin Resilience
Narrative Update on Advanced Drainage Systems We are lifting our analyst price target on Advanced Drainage Systems by about $1 to $173, reflecting incremental adjustments to our fair value and P/E assumptions in line with recent analyst research that cites stronger end market performance, solid FY26 EBITDA results, and upward price target revisions from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Advanced Drainage Systems has tilted constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest earnings and outlook.Analysis Article • Dec 31
Returns At Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Are On The Way Up
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Narrative Update • Dec 15
WMS: End Market Outperformance Will Sustain Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Advanced Drainage Systems by about $0.50 per share to reflect stronger than expected EBITDA growth, resilient pricing, and consistent outperformance compared with building products peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the modest price target increase as a validation of Advanced Drainage Systems' ability to consistently outperform both internal plans and broader building products peers.Narrative Update • Nov 30
WMS: End Market Outperformance And Segment Strength Will Sustain Future Upside
Analysts have slightly revised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems, lowering it from $171.78 to $171.10, citing continued end-market strength and robust segment performance, even as there is some moderation in residential-exposed businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent price target adjustments and research updates reflect a nuanced view of Advanced Drainage Systems’ performance and outlook, with analysts highlighting several areas of strength and caution.Narrative Update • Nov 16
WMS: Margin Expansion Will Drive Outperformance Versus Building Products Peers
Analysts have raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to approximately $172 from $161. They cite the company’s strong margin expansion and robust revenue growth in recent results.Narrative Update • Nov 01
WMS: Strong Q1 Delivery And Buyback Momentum Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have increased the price target for Advanced Drainage Systems from $146 to $167, citing solid first quarter results and the company's steadfast fiscal 2026 outlook as key factors behind the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the company's solid first quarter performance, viewing this as evidence of strong operational execution.Analysis Article • Oct 31
These 4 Measures Indicate That Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Oct 18
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to $167 from $146, citing solid quarterly results and the company's reaffirmed fiscal 2026 outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the company's solid first quarter results, reinforcing confidence in management's execution abilities and operational discipline.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to approximately $161.33 from $157, citing stronger-than-expected quarterly results and a maintained long-term outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from the analyst community reflect both optimism and caution regarding Advanced Drainage Systems following the company’s latest quarterly report and maintained long-term guidance.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Advanced Drainage Systems to $157.00, citing stronger-than-expected Q1 results, resilient execution, and enhanced visibility into future growth. Analyst Commentary Solid Q1 financial results surpassed expectations.Analysis Article • Aug 31
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:WMS) 27% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. ( NYSE:WMS ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 5.7%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NYSE:WMS 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Advanced Drainage Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Resilient Stormwater Management Will Unlock Future Market Potential
Driven by higher revenue growth forecasts and improved net profit margin expectations, the consensus analyst price target for Advanced Drainage Systems has been raised from $138.89 to $155.12. What's in the News Advanced Drainage Systems confirmed fiscal 2026 net sales guidance at $2.825 billion to $2.975 billion.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE:WMS)?
NYSE:WMS 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Advanced Drainage Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 10
What Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:WMS) P/E Is Not Telling You
There wouldn't be many who think Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.'s ( NYSE:WMS ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of...Seeking Alpha • Mar 16
Advanced Drainage Systems: Do Not Get Wet Feet
Summary Advanced Drainage Systems has experienced a significant stock correction after a substantial run-up, driven by post-pandemic margin gains that are now reversing. Despite the pullback, current margins remain above long-term averages, making the stock less attractive at present levels. The company's growth is in part driven by pricing, with historical operating margins peaking in the twenties, now facing potential declines. Shares trade at 18 times earnings, with further margin declines likely, suggesting current valuation levels are still too demanding. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Advanced Drainage Systems makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 3,050 | 428 | 417 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 2,989 | 471 | 389 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 2,987 | 458 | 399 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,919 | 433 | 382 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,904 | 450 | 371 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,942 | 468 | 390 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,914 | 492 | 381 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,912 | 498 | 378 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,874 | 510 | 371 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,838 | 501 | 346 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,831 | 477 | 341 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,935 | 494 | 338 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 3,071 | 507 | 338 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 3,132 | 461 | 338 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 3,192 | 442 | 332 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,014 | 353 | 318 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 2,769 | 230 | 310 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 2,535 | 206 | 305 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 2,306 | 188 | 290 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,143 | 191 | 282 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,983 | 185 | 268 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,910 | 169 | 261 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,817 | 144 | 261 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,769 | 87 | 252 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,674 | -205 | 271 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,575 | -204 | 228 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,500 | -209 | 208 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 1,411 | -192 | 197 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,385 | 70 | 188 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,363 | 64 | 182 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,365 | 79 | 182 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,360 | 69 | 183 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,330 | 56 | 188 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,324 | 44 | 198 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,298 | 23 | 197 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,258 | 28 | 193 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 1,257 | 28 | 201 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 1,258 | 33 | 198 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 1,277 | 37 | 196 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 1,299 | 27 | 200 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,291 | 21 | 181 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,252 | 8 | 174 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,219 | -8 | 169 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,203 | 2 | 157 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: WMS has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: WMS's current net profit margins (14%) are lower than last year (15.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: WMS's earnings have grown by 14.1% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: WMS's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: WMS had negative earnings growth (-5%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Building industry average (-7.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: WMS's Return on Equity (22.8%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/22 13:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Halloran | Baird |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |