Essex Property Trust, Inc.

NYSE:ESS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$16.6b

Essex Property Trust Valuation

Is ESS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ESS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ESS ($251.9) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($412.98)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ESS is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ESS?

Key metric: As ESS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ESS. This is calculated by dividing ESS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ESS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.3x
EarningsUS$669.67m
Market CapUS$16.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ESS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ESS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.6x
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
33.1x-2.22%US$14.8b
UDR UDR
30.6x-20.43%US$12.4b
AVB AvalonBay Communities
22.3x-6.59%US$23.5b
EQR Equity Residential
20.5x-14.26%US$23.3b
ESS Essex Property Trust
24.3x-10.60%US$16.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ESS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the peer average (26.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ESS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ESS 24.3xIndustry Avg. 27.1xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ESS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the North American Residential REITs industry average (26.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ESS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ESS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.3x
Fair PE Ratio24.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ESS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ESS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$251.90
US$279.00
+10.76%
4.65%US$308.00US$239.00n/a23
Apr ’27US$243.08
US$279.22
+14.87%
4.57%US$308.00US$239.00n/a23
Mar ’27US$255.11
US$280.65
+10.01%
4.81%US$314.00US$239.00n/a23
Feb ’27US$251.87
US$282.70
+12.24%
5.06%US$314.00US$239.00n/a24
Jan ’27US$261.68
US$283.83
+8.46%
5.63%US$318.00US$239.00n/a25
Dec ’26US$260.24
US$286.19
+9.97%
5.80%US$318.00US$239.00n/a25
Nov ’26US$251.77
US$291.11
+15.63%
5.67%US$318.00US$239.00n/a25
Oct ’26US$266.59
US$294.54
+10.48%
4.53%US$318.00US$275.00n/a25
Sep ’26US$270.21
US$295.44
+9.34%
4.80%US$318.00US$275.00n/a24
Aug ’26US$256.72
US$309.69
+20.63%
5.58%US$355.00US$282.00n/a24
Jul ’26US$284.77
US$310.14
+8.91%
5.01%US$355.00US$282.00n/a25
Jun ’26US$283.90
US$310.85
+9.49%
5.55%US$355.00US$282.00n/a24
May ’26US$284.47
US$310.23
+9.06%
5.61%US$370.00US$282.00n/a24
Apr ’26US$305.51
US$311.88
+2.08%
5.82%US$370.00US$282.00US$243.0824
Mar ’26US$311.57
US$309.58
-0.64%
5.96%US$370.00US$282.00US$255.1124
Feb ’26US$284.57
US$305.88
+7.49%
6.11%US$370.00US$280.00US$251.8724
Jan ’26US$285.44
US$309.46
+8.41%
6.03%US$370.00US$282.00US$261.6824
Dec ’25US$310.46
US$304.30
-1.98%
9.48%US$370.00US$202.00US$260.2423
Nov ’25US$276.97
US$302.39
+9.18%
9.27%US$355.00US$202.00US$251.7723
Oct ’25US$292.71
US$300.88
+2.79%
9.73%US$355.00US$202.00US$266.5924
Sep ’25US$301.79
US$290.14
-3.86%
10.55%US$355.00US$202.00US$270.2122
Aug ’25US$285.69
US$277.50
-2.87%
9.10%US$327.00US$202.00US$256.7222
Jul ’25US$272.82
US$265.89
-2.54%
10.30%US$327.00US$202.00US$284.7723
Jun ’25US$259.79
US$259.98
+0.072%
9.45%US$315.00US$202.00US$283.9023
May ’25US$245.47
US$249.28
+1.55%
8.46%US$291.00US$202.00US$284.4723
Apr ’25US$239.67
US$246.56
+2.88%
8.60%US$291.00US$202.00US$305.5124
US$279
Fair Value
9.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/08 11:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/08 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Essex Property Trust, Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wesley GolladayBaird
Ross SmotrichBarclays
Richard HightowerBarclays