Semtech (SMTC) Stock Overview
Provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions in the Asia- Pacific, North America, and Europe. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
SMTC Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 39 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Semtech Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$132.08 |
| 52 Week High | US$137.10 |
| 52 Week Low | US$34.59 |
| Beta | 2.22 |
| 1 Month Change | 54.99% |
| 3 Month Change | 49.19% |
| 1 Year Change | 234.04% |
| 3 Year Change | 584.71% |
| 5 Year Change | 118.60% |
| Change since IPO | 8,516.72% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 08
SMTC: Elevated AI Data Center Hopes Will Likely Strain Future Execution
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Semtech by $7 to $115, pointing to stronger expectations around data center and AI related demand, the ramp of LPO, TIA and ACC products, and benefits from the HieFo acquisition and recent Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Semtech after its Q4 report, AI related commentary and the HieFo acquisition.Narrative Update • Apr 22
SMTC: AI Data Center Connectivity And LoRa Outlook May Support Margin Recovery
The updated analyst price target for Semtech edges up to about $106, with analysts pointing to a series of higher Street targets linked to stronger AI driven data center demand, new LPO and ACC product ramps, and the recently completed HieFo acquisition. Analyst Commentary Street research has clustered around higher valuation marks for Semtech, with many firms lifting price targets following recent quarterly results, an updated outlook, and the completion of the HieFo acquisition.Narrative Update • Apr 06
SMTC: AI Optical Connectivity Ramps Will Support Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have lifted their average price targets for Semtech by $10 to $115, citing stronger data center exposure, early traction in LPO and ACC shipments, and an emerging AI driven demand story across optical connectivity. Analyst Commentary Street research is broadly constructive on Semtech, with multiple firms lifting price targets and pointing to data center strength, AI linked optical demand, and portfolio moves such as the HieFo acquisition as key support for higher valuations.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 08
SMTC: Elevated AI Data Center Hopes Will Likely Strain Future Execution
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Semtech by $7 to $115, pointing to stronger expectations around data center and AI related demand, the ramp of LPO, TIA and ACC products, and benefits from the HieFo acquisition and recent Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Semtech after its Q4 report, AI related commentary and the HieFo acquisition.Narrative Update • Apr 22
SMTC: AI Data Center Connectivity And LoRa Outlook May Support Margin Recovery
The updated analyst price target for Semtech edges up to about $106, with analysts pointing to a series of higher Street targets linked to stronger AI driven data center demand, new LPO and ACC product ramps, and the recently completed HieFo acquisition. Analyst Commentary Street research has clustered around higher valuation marks for Semtech, with many firms lifting price targets following recent quarterly results, an updated outlook, and the completion of the HieFo acquisition.Narrative Update • Apr 06
SMTC: AI Optical Connectivity Ramps Will Support Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have lifted their average price targets for Semtech by $10 to $115, citing stronger data center exposure, early traction in LPO and ACC shipments, and an emerging AI driven demand story across optical connectivity. Analyst Commentary Street research is broadly constructive on Semtech, with multiple firms lifting price targets and pointing to data center strength, AI linked optical demand, and portfolio moves such as the HieFo acquisition as key support for higher valuations.Narrative Update • Mar 23
SMTC: AI Data Center Demand Will Drive Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have lifted the Semtech fair value estimate from about $90 to around $105, reflecting updated models that factor in higher expected data center contributions, AI related demand, and recent price target increases across multiple research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes paint a largely constructive picture for Semtech, with a cluster of higher price targets tied to data center exposure, AI related demand, and the integration of recent acquisitions.Seeking Alpha • Mar 23
Semtech Q4: Strong Finish To The Year, Hold For The Next Year Or So
Summary Semtech (SMTC) delivered mixed Q4 and full-year results, with strength in data center-driven Signal Integrity offset by IoT segment weakness. SMTC's GAAP loss narrowed significantly and free cash flow rose to $171M, but sustainable profitability remains elusive despite robust data center demand. Management guides Q1 ’27 revenue and adjusted EPS above consensus, citing continued momentum in AI data center networking and margin expansion from 800G to 1.6T. I maintain a Hold rating, citing concerns over SMTC’s reliance on data center growth and underperformance in other segments, particularly IoT. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Mar 13
Heavy Reliance On AI Data Centers Will Limit Long-Term Upside
Catalysts About Semtech Semtech supplies analog and mixed signal semiconductors and IoT systems used in data centers, communications, industrial IoT and sensing applications. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 08
SMTC: Data Center And AI Demand Will Support Balanced Margin Recovery
Narrative Update on Semtech Analysts have lifted their blended price targets on Semtech by about $7 per share, citing higher fair value estimates tied to data center strength, AI related demand, and the recently completed HieFo acquisition, even as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate and a richer future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Semtech highlight a cluster of higher price targets and a focus on data center, AI and optical opportunities following the HieFo acquisition.
New Narrative • Feb 27
Long-Term AI Data Center And IoT Tailwinds Will Transform This Semiconductor Provider
Catalysts About Semtech Semtech designs and sells analog and mixed signal semiconductors and IoT systems used in data centers, industrial IoT and high end consumer devices. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Feb 22
SMTC: Data Center And LoRa Strength Will Support Focused Margin Recovery
Narrative Update on Semtech The updated analyst price targets for Semtech, which now reflect increases such as B. Riley moving to $91 from $90 and Roth Capital to $77 from $65, indicate that analysts are reacting to recent Q3 upside, stronger Data Center and LoRa trends, and planned divestitures of non core assets that they expect will sharpen the company’s operational focus.Narrative Update • Feb 07
SMTC: Data Center And LoRa Momentum Will Support Balanced Margin Story
Narrative Update on Semtech Analysts have raised their price targets on Semtech by up to about $15, citing Q3 upside driven by Data Center and LoRa strength, Q4 guidance above consensus, and expectations that divesting non core assets could support margins near 60% gross and about 25% EBITDA. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Semtech highlights a mix of optimism around growth drivers and margin potential, alongside some caution on near term earnings quality and product mix.Narrative Update • Jan 21
SMTC: Data Center And LoRa Progress Will Drive Fairly Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update on Semtech Analysts have nudged their price targets on Semtech higher, with the implied fair value estimate rising by about US$1.43 per share. They point to Q3 upside in Data Center and LoRa, expectations for a stronger Q4 on better DC capex and transceiver orders, and benefits from divesting non core assets, despite some mix driven margin pressure.Narrative Update • Jan 07
SMTC: Data Center And LoRa Execution Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Narrative Update on Semtech Analysts have lifted Semtech's price targets into a roughly US$77 to US$91 range, citing recent Q3 upside in Data Center and LoRa, expectations for stronger data center capital expenditure that could drive transceiver orders, and an emphasis on higher margin operations with about 60% gross margins and roughly 25% EBITDA margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Semtech points to a generally constructive view after the Q3 report, but with some clear areas of caution that matter for valuation and execution risk.Narrative Update • Dec 15
SMTC: Future Upside Will Depend On Expanding Data Center Demand
Analysts have raised their price target on Semtech to approximately $82 from about $80, citing Q3 earnings upside, strengthening data center and LoRa momentum, expected upside from accelerating transceiver orders, and operational streamlining through divestiture of non core assets. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive stance on Semtech, with multiple upward revisions to price targets clustered in the mid to high $70s and low $90s, reinforcing the view that the stock remains levered to a multi year growth recovery across data center, smartphone, and IoT end markets.Narrative Update • Nov 29
SMTC: Future Momentum Will Hinge On Data Center And Margin Resilience
Semtech's analyst price target has been raised from approximately $72 to over $80 per share. This reflects increased confidence in the company's margin improvements, sustained growth in key segments, and a positive operational outlook from recent quarterly results, according to analysts.Narrative Update • Nov 15
SMTC: Future Sector Momentum And Execution Risks Will Define Performance
Semtech's analyst price target has been raised significantly, from $57 to $80. Analysts cite positive management discussions and recent increases in comparable market multiples as reasons supporting a more optimistic outlook for the company's growth.Narrative Update • Nov 01
SMTC: Future Upside Will Rely On Data Center AI And LoRa Adoption
Semtech's analyst price target has been raised notably, increasing from $57 to $80. Analysts cite recent management discussions and improved industry multiples as key factors in their updated outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Hyperscale Data Centers And LoRa Will Expand Future Markets
Semtech's analyst fair value price target has increased by approximately $2.86 to $70.43 per share. Analysts cite management meetings, exposure to growth markets, and higher sector multiples as key factors driving the update.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Hyperscale Data Centers And LoRa Will Expand Future Markets
Semtech's analyst price target has been raised from $63.25 to approximately $67.57 per share. Analysts cite recent discussions with management and expansion in high-growth markets as key factors supporting the increase.Analysis Article • Sep 16
Semtech Corporation's (NASDAQ:SMTC) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Semtech Corporation ( NASDAQ:SMTC ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Sep 08
Semtech's (NASDAQ:SMTC) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
Semtech Corporation ( NASDAQ:SMTC ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. Our...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Portfolio Optimization And CopperEdge Adoption Will Shape Future Success
Semtech’s consensus price target has increased to $63.25, driven by strong positioning in the AI data center market, an earnings and guidance beat, upward revisions to revenue and EPS forecasts, and solid execution, reflecting higher analyst conviction in its growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong positioning in the AI data center market, particularly with fiber, ACC (Active Copper Cable), and impending product ramps such as LPO/TIA and Nvidia's Rubin launch.Analysis Article • Jul 24
Semtech Corporation's (NASDAQ:SMTC) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Semtech Corporation ( NASDAQ:SMTC ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Jul 08
Semtech (NASDAQ:SMTC) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Analysis Article • Jun 17
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Semtech is US$34.85 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • May 30
Semtech Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Semtech Corporation ( NASDAQ:SMTC ) released its first-quarter result to the...Analysis Article • May 29
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC)?
Semtech Corporation ( NASDAQ:SMTC ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
New Narrative • Apr 25
Portfolio Optimization And CopperEdge Adoption Will Shape Future Success
Portfolio optimization and strategic R&D investments aim to drive revenue growth and improve net margins through a focus on core competencies.Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
Semtech Stock: Not Convinced Yet, Maintaining My Sell Rating
Summary I called the top when I downgraded Semtech Corporation to a Sell with the stock down +55%, and now I'm sticking to my sell after the stock popped on earnings. I believe the post-earnings optimism will fizzle out as Semtech faces headwinds and lacks catalysts for sustained growth. Valuation concerns persist with high EV/sales and P/E ratios, and profitability struggles, making SMTC a risky investment at current levels. Guidance shows mixed expectations with industrial market decline but strong high-end consumer sales; however, I remain cautious about Semtech stock's future performance. I hereon share my sentiment on SMTC stock and why I think it's still a sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| SMTC | US Semiconductor | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 16.9% | 13.1% | 2.6% |
| 1Y | 234.0% | 117.4% | 26.2% |
Return vs Industry: SMTC exceeded the US Semiconductor industry which returned 117.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: SMTC exceeded the US Market which returned 26.2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| SMTC volatility | |
|---|---|
| SMTC Average Weekly Movement | 10.5% |
| Semiconductor Industry Average Movement | 10.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: SMTC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: SMTC's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1960 | 1,920 | Hong Hou | www.semtech.com |
Semtech Corporation provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions in the Asia- Pacific, North America, and Europe. The company operates in three segments: Signal Integrity, Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless, and IoT Systems and Connectivity. It provides signal integrity products, including a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in various infrastructure, and industrial applications; a portfolio of integrated circuits for data centers, enterprise networks, passive optical networks, wireless base station optical transceivers, and interface applications; and video products for broadcast applications, as well as video-over-IP technology for professional audio video applications.
Semtech Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| SMTC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$12.71b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$40.38m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.05b |
11.7x
P/S Ratio-304.6x
P/E RatioIs SMTC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| SMTC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.05b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$498.64m |
| Gross Profit | US$551.34m |
| Other Expenses | US$591.71m |
| Earnings | -US$40.38m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jan 25, 2026
Next Earnings Date
May 26, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.43 |
| Gross Margin | 52.51% |
| Net Profit Margin | -3.85% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 89.4% |
How did SMTC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/12 23:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/25 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/25 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Semtech Corporation is covered by 24 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tristan Gerra | Baird |
| Cody Acree | Benchmark Company |
| Sumit Dhanda | BofA Global Research |