
Software engineer and investor. I write fundamental deep-dives on AU and US tech stocks, with the edge of using the tools I analyse daily. Focused on long-term value, not momentum. Also a property investor.
No link addedGQG Partners looks oddly unloved: clients pull money out even as the firm keeps generating strong profits and paying big cash dividends to shareholders. The catch is that the whole story hinges on a star manager, shaky investor confidence, and a few headline risks that could hit fast if things go wrong.Read more

Intuit’s software is deeply woven into how small businesses run their money and taxes, and it’s trying to keep growing customers from leaving as they get bigger by offering a new mid-sized business suite. The catch is the stock price assumes a lot goes right at once, even as Mailchimp struggles, Credit Karma can swing with the credit cycle, and a government tax-filing alternative could come back.Read more

Meta’s ad business still throws off huge cash, but Mark Zuckerberg is pushing the company into a costly race to build advanced AI systems that may not pay off. With regulators tightening rules on social media—especially around kids—this is a stock where the real story is whether today’s money machine ends up funding tomorrow’s expensive detour.Read more

Microsoft’s heavy spending is scaring the market, but the real story may be that customers want more cloud and AI capacity than the company can deliver. The bigger question isn’t whether the spending is reckless—it’s what happens if demand cools or regulators step in.Read more

Lululemon is losing some of its shine in North America, and new rivals are stealing “cool,” but the business still throws off a lot of cash and keeps growing fast overseas. With a new leader on the way and activists pushing for change, the key question is whether this is a fixable slump—or the start of something permanent.Read more

NVIDIA looks unusually profitable for a hardware company thanks to a deep software and networking ecosystem that keeps customers and developers locked in. The catch is the stock already assumes a near-perfect future, so the real question is what could knock that story off course—and what price would leave room for mistakes.Read more

Australia’s construction industry is falling apart, yet SHAPE Australia keeps winning work thanks to a cash-rich, low-risk way of delivering commercial interiors. A quiet rule change is squeezing weaker rivals out, while SHAPE shifts toward steadier maintenance work and faster modular builds that could make earnings less boom-and-bust.Read more

Taiwan Semiconductor sits at the heart of the world’s most advanced chips, making it a key “picks and shovels” business behind today’s AI boom. But its dominance comes with a hard-to-ignore threat: a geopolitical flashpoint that could disrupt the entire tech supply chain, making the right entry price crucial.Read more

Objective Corporation sells the unglamorous software that many government departments rely on to run permits, records, and compliance—once it’s in place, switching it out can be painfully disruptive. The story hinges on whether it can keep growing by adding more tools to existing agencies and expanding further into the United Kingdom, without bigger tech platforms squeezing it or a leadership handover rattling confidence.Read more
