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GXO Logistics, Inc.NYSE:GXO Stock Report

Market Cap US$5.9b
Share Price
US$50.82
US$71.56
29.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y26.5%
7D11.5%
Portfolio Value
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GXO Logistics, Inc.

NYSE:GXO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

GXO Community Fair Values

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See what 15 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

GXO Logistics, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for GXO Logistics
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$51.61
52 Week HighUS$66.85
52 Week LowUS$39.33
Beta1.68
1 Month Change-7.95%
3 Month Change-11.02%
1 Year Change26.53%
3 Year Change-9.73%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-5.30%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha 12h

GXO Logistics Is Improving But Faces Headwinds From Competition And The Macro

Summary GXO Logistics delivered positive 1Q'26 results, with 4% organic revenue growth and 22% adjusted EBITDA growth, raising full-year guidance. GXO is shifting focus to strategic verticals like aerospace, defense, and technology, but retail/consumer still accounts for two-thirds of revenue. Amazon's entry into third-party logistics increases competitive pressure, especially in GXO's core consumer segment, though GXO's European exposure offers some insulation. Despite a 9-10% stock price decline, GXO's 7% earnings yield and 4.5–5% distributable yield are not compelling given leverage, macro, and competitive risks; the Hold rating is maintained. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 01

GXO: Recent Execution And Automation Wins Will Support Upside Into 2026

Analysts have adjusted the GXO Logistics price target to $71.56, reflecting a blend of higher targets from firms citing solid recent results and unchanged or lower enthusiasm from others after the stock's strong share price run and more limited sector upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GXO Logistics shows a split between analysts who see more upside after recent results and those who are more cautious after the stock's strong run.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha 12h

GXO Logistics Is Improving But Faces Headwinds From Competition And The Macro

Summary GXO Logistics delivered positive 1Q'26 results, with 4% organic revenue growth and 22% adjusted EBITDA growth, raising full-year guidance. GXO is shifting focus to strategic verticals like aerospace, defense, and technology, but retail/consumer still accounts for two-thirds of revenue. Amazon's entry into third-party logistics increases competitive pressure, especially in GXO's core consumer segment, though GXO's European exposure offers some insulation. Despite a 9-10% stock price decline, GXO's 7% earnings yield and 4.5–5% distributable yield are not compelling given leverage, macro, and competitive risks; the Hold rating is maintained. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 01

GXO: Recent Execution And Automation Wins Will Support Upside Into 2026

Analysts have adjusted the GXO Logistics price target to $71.56, reflecting a blend of higher targets from firms citing solid recent results and unchanged or lower enthusiasm from others after the stock's strong share price run and more limited sector upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GXO Logistics shows a split between analysts who see more upside after recent results and those who are more cautious after the stock's strong run.
Narrative Update Apr 16

GXO: Recent Contract Wins And Execution Strength Will Drive Upside Into 2026

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for GXO Logistics higher to about $71.56 from $66.00, reflecting a series of recent price target increases across the Street, even as one firm shifted its rating to Neutral after share price outperformance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GXO Logistics reflects a mix of optimism about execution and earnings quality alongside a more measured view on how much upside remains after the share price run.
Narrative Update Apr 02

GXO: Recent Contract Wins And 2026 Outlook Will Support Further Upside

GXO Logistics' analyst price targets have seen mixed adjustments, with several firms lifting their targets into the $66 to $80 range following record Q4 metrics and 2026 guidance viewed as cautious, while at least one major bank shifted to a Neutral stance, citing recent share price strength and more limited sector-relative upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for GXO Logistics, with several Bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid to upper $60s and $70s range, alongside a more cautious stance from Goldman Sachs, which moved to Neutral with a US$68 price target after a period of share price strength.
Narrative Update Mar 19

GXO: Automation And Sector Caution Will Shape Mid Single Digit Organic Outlook

The analyst price target for GXO Logistics has narrowed slightly as fair value moved from about $58.96 to $58.04. This change reflects updated assumptions around growth, margins, and a higher future P/E, following a mix of recent target increases from several firms and a downgrade to Neutral from one major bank citing reduced upside after strong share price performance.
Narrative Update Mar 05

GXO: Recent Contracts And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Share Gains

Analysts have modestly recalibrated their price outlook for GXO Logistics, balancing multiple recent target lifts toward the $70 to $80 range with at least one downgrade to Neutral at $68. They cite strong recent share performance and slightly lower sector-relative upside.
Narrative Update Feb 18

GXO: Record Q4 Execution And 2026 Guidance Will Support Higher Share Prices

Analysts have raised their price target on GXO Logistics from $67.00 to about $85.09, reflecting updated views on the stock's fair value after recent research highlighted record Q4 results, adjusted EBITDA performance, and refreshed 2026 outlooks across the transport and logistics peer group. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GXO Logistics centers on record Q4 revenue, adjusted EBITDA performance, and refreshed 2026 outlooks across the transports and logistics group.
Narrative Update Feb 04

GXO: Tighter Capacity And Truckload Recovery Setup Will Drive Upside Into 2026

Narrative Update on GXO Logistics Analysts have lifted GXO Logistics' price target into a range of roughly $66 to $80, citing sector wide 2026 outlook updates that reference tighter capacity, a truckload recovery on the supply side, and a generally more bullish valuation framework, with some caution around nearer term seasonality. Analyst Commentary Recent research on GXO Logistics clusters around a more constructive view into 2026, with price targets now referenced in a range of about $66 to $80.
Narrative Update Jan 21

GXO: Cost Discipline And Tighter Capacity Setup Will Drive Upside Into 2026

Analysts have nudged their price target on GXO Logistics higher from US$64.63 to US$66.00, citing sector wide target increases and upgraded views on the transports group as they factor in tighter capacity and a more supportive setup into 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets into a US$64 to US$80 range, signaling higher conviction around GXO Logistics' ability to execute on its growth plans into 2026.
Narrative Update Jan 06

GXO: Cost Discipline And Network Efficiency Will Drive Upside As Freight Stabilizes

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for GXO Logistics to $64.63 from $63.94, as recent upgrades and higher price targets highlight growing confidence in the company’s positioning within a stabilizing freight market and its focus on cost discipline and network efficiency. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a more constructive tone around GXO Logistics, with higher price targets and a fresh upgrade to Buy signaling increased confidence in how the company is positioned as the freight market steadies.
Narrative Update Dec 14

GXO: Mid Single Digit Organic Gains Will Test Automation Margin Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for GXO Logistics to approximately $59 per share from about $45, reflecting higher expected revenue growth and profit margins driven by stable mid single digit organic growth, new contract wins, and efficiencies from automation, as well as recent upgrades to Buy ratings and price targets in the low to high $60s. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a strengthening bullish consensus around GXO Logistics, with multiple price target increases into the low to high $60s and several upgrades to Buy ratings.
Narrative Update Nov 30

GXO: Contract Wins And Warehouse Automation Will Drive Upside As Market Recovers

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for GXO Logistics to $63.94, citing gradual improvements in market conditions, cost discipline, and potential upside from new contracts and operational efficiencies. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on GXO Logistics reflect a cautiously optimistic stance among analysts, with upgrades to Buy, increased price targets, and a focus on operational execution and market recovery prospects.
Narrative Update Nov 16

GXO: New Contract Wins And Automation Will Drive Momentum Ahead

GXO Logistics' analyst price target has increased from $62.12 to $63.94. Analysts point to improving growth prospects, new contract wins, and ongoing operational efficiencies as factors driving a more optimistic outlook for the company.
Analysis Article Nov 08

Analysts Are Updating Their GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results

Shareholders might have noticed that GXO Logistics, Inc. ( NYSE:GXO ) filed its quarterly result this time last week...
Narrative Update Nov 01

GXO: Cost Discipline And Automation Will Drive Renewal Amid Freight Market Uncertainty

Narrative Update on GXO Logistics Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for GXO Logistics by approximately $0.18 per share, citing continued revenue growth, stabilization in the freight market, and improving prospects for organic expansion due to cost discipline and new contract wins. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates have highlighted both opportunities and challenges for GXO Logistics as it navigates a shifting freight and logistics landscape.
Narrative Update Oct 18

E-commerce And Automation Integration Will Transform Global Logistics

The average analyst price target for GXO Logistics has risen slightly to $61.94 from $61.53. Analysts cite stable freight market conditions, improved contract win momentum, and ongoing cost discipline among the key factors supporting their modest upgrades.
Narrative Update Oct 04

E-commerce And Automation Integration Will Transform Global Logistics

Analysts have raised their price target for GXO Logistics from approximately $60.41 to $61.53, citing improved organic growth prospects and stronger margin visibility. This outlook is driven by new contracts, acquisition synergies, and operational efficiencies.
Narrative Update Aug 10

E-commerce And Automation Integration Will Transform Global Logistics

Driven primarily by a notable upgrade in consensus revenue growth forecasts from 5.6% to 6.6% per annum, the analyst price target for GXO Logistics has increased from $57.12 to $60.41. What's in the News Completed $200 million share buyback, repurchasing 4.53% of outstanding shares.
Analysis Article Jul 09

The Return Trends At GXO Logistics (NYSE:GXO) Look Promising

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...
Analysis Article Jun 21

What Does GXO Logistics, Inc.'s (NYSE:GXO) Share Price Indicate?

GXO Logistics, Inc. ( NYSE:GXO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 52% in...
Analysis Article Jun 02

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO)

Key Insights GXO Logistics' estimated fair value is US$50.15 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$41.14...
Analysis Article May 17

GXO Logistics' (NYSE:GXO) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

GXO Logistics, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GXO ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. However, we...
Seeking Alpha Apr 16

GXO Logistics: I Was Wrong, Not A Buy

Summary GXO Logistics faces a challenging landscape with high competition, macroeconomic pressures, and integration issues from its $1 billion Wincanton acquisition. Despite 3% organic growth and 20% total sales growth in 2024, net income fell due to transaction and litigation costs. The 2025 outlook is soft with modest EBITDA growth and EPS estimates lowered, compounded by macroeconomic uncertainties and realignment headwinds. Given the current valuation and limited upside until 2027, I downgrade GXO Logistics to a hold, noting potential long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 27

GXO Logistics: Short-Term Uncertainty Creates A Generational Buying Opportunity

Summary GXO Logistics’ recurring revenue, industry-leading automation, and defensive contract structures provide strong visibility, making it well-positioned to thrive across economic cycles. Organic growth is rebounding, margins are expanding, market share is increasing, and GXO remains on track to achieve its 2027 targets, fueled by e-commerce, automation, and outsourcing trends. Short-term uncertainty surrounding the new CEO, regulatory review, and rejected buyout bid has created a generational buying opportunity, despite having no tangible impact on GXO's underlying fundamentals. I rate GXO as a "Strong Buy" with a price target of $112, expecting significant upside from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 17

GXO Logistics: Buy The Dip For The Long-Term View

Summary GXO is down 24% YoY and 30% from its 2024 peak due to rising costs and CEO departure concerns. Despite challenges, GXO has strong top-line growth, with revenues up 28% YoY and a growing $2.4B backlog. Margins are under pressure from high CAPEX, acquisitions, and inflation, but technological investments aim to improve efficiency long-term. Discounted EPS valuation estimates GXO at $76/share with potential to reach $100/share by 2029, a 20% CAGR. Strong revenue growth, technological leadership, and opportunities in key markets, all with minimal risk, makes GXO Logistics a great buy opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 07

GXO Logistics: On Track To Achieve FY 2027 EBITDA Target

Summary I maintain a buy rating for GXO due to solid growth prospects, driven by new business wins and improving business confidence. GXO's Q3 revenue grew 27.8% y/y, with organic growth accelerating for the third consecutive quarter, signaling a strong FY25 outlook. The sales pipeline increased 30% y/y to $2.4 billion, with significant new business wins, particularly in eCommerce fulfillment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 30

GXO Logistics: Four Reasons Why I Bought The Dip

Summary GXO's stock recently declined as a result of Q2-24 earnings, I view this as an opportunity to buy a high quality business ata great price. GXO is the global leader in logistics contracting serving 1,200 customers located in 27 countries and 30% of fortune 100% companies. GXO has an asset light business model, predictable cash flow generation, and is riding multiyear tailwinds. Using a 7-year DCF I arrive at a price per share of $75, implying a 19% upside, even with a 20% margin of safety, the stock is still cheap. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative Aug 29

Critical Acquisitions And Technological Innovations Promise To Redefine Global Logistics Growth

Expansion into new verticals and strategic acquisitions positions GXO for enhanced revenue diversity and growth in sectors like aerospace and defense.
Seeking Alpha Aug 13

GXO Logistics: Leading Indicators Suggest A Robust Growth Outlook

Summary GXO Logistics' 2Q24 performance showed strong revenue growth and organic growth acceleration, leading to a positive outlook for the company. Macro indicators such as improving retail sales and inventory levels support GXO's growth trajectory and confidence in meeting FY27 targets. Management's reaffirmation of guidance and focus on automation (positive for long-term margin expansion) further solidify the buy rating for GXO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

GXOUS LogisticsUS Market
7D11.5%-3.7%2.2%
1Y26.5%35.9%31.1%

Return vs Industry: GXO underperformed the US Logistics industry which returned 35.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GXO underperformed the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GXO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GXO volatility
GXO Average Weekly Movement7.6%
Logistics Industry Average Movement8.4%
Market Average Movement7.3%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: GXO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GXO's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2021105,000Patrick Kelleherwww.gxo.com

GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services worldwide. It provides warehousing and distribution, order fulfilment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated in 1,043 facilities.

GXO Logistics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do GXO Logistics's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GXO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$5.94b
Earnings (TTM)US$132.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$13.50b
45.0x
P/E Ratio
0.4x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GXO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$13.50b
Cost of RevenueUS$11.42b
Gross ProfitUS$2.08b
Other ExpensesUS$1.95b
EarningsUS$132.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.15
Gross Margin15.44%
Net Profit Margin0.98%
Debt/Equity Ratio91.0%

How did GXO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 17:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

GXO Logistics, Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Ariel RosaCitigroup Inc