Live News • May 09
GXO Logistics Tops Q1 Forecasts and Raises Outlook as Amazon Entry Weighs on Shares GXO Logistics reported Q1 2026 revenue of about US$3.3b, ahead of consensus estimates, and returned to profitability with net income of US$4 to 5m versus a loss a year earlier.
Management raised full-year 2026 guidance, now targeting adjusted EBITDA of US$935 to 975m and adjusted EPS of US$2.90 to 3.20, supported by a record US$2.7b sales pipeline and US$227m of new annualized contract wins.
The launch of Amazon Supply Chain Services has pressured GXO’s share price, as investors weigh the potential impact of a large new competitor in third-party logistics.
For you as an investor, the near-term story is a mix of stronger fundamentals and higher perceived competitive risk. On one hand, the company is pointing to organic revenue growth of 4 to 5%, improved operating income and active deployment of its AI-driven GXO IQ platform across more than 50 sites in 2026. On the other, Amazon’s broader logistics offer has raised questions about how much business might be at risk, especially with larger enterprise customers.
Management is positioning GXO as a provider of more tailored, high-touch solutions, with new wins in areas like aerospace and defense, technology, consumer goods, life sciences and data centers. Company commentary so far has downplayed direct overlap with Amazon, but the competitive angle is likely to remain a key focus for upcoming quarters as investors watch contract activity, margins and adoption of warehouse automation. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$0.035 (up from US$0.81 loss in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$3.30b (up 11% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$4.00m (up US$100.0m from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 0.1% (up from net loss in 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 73%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 37% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 3% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 04
Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to US$46.27. The fair value is estimated to be US$62.00, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 42%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 55% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Apr 23
GXO Logistics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2026. Announcement • Apr 13
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 05, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 05, 2026 Announcement • Apr 09
GXO Logistics, Inc. Appoints Ajit Kara As Senior Vice President Of Account Management GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that Ajit Kara has joined GXO as Senior Vice President, Account Management, reporting to Chief Commercial Officer Karen Bomber. In this newly created role, Kara will lead the Account Management organization with responsibility for enabling scalable growth, value creation and strengthening long-term partnerships. He will be based at GXO’s headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut. Kara brings more than 25 years of experience leading supply chain transformation and client account management across multiple sectors. Prior to joining GXO, Kara served as CEO of the Americas at Prose on Pixels, as CEO of Williams Lea Tag, a DHL-owned enterprise, and as Managing Director, Client Services at Williams Lea. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 27
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 7.7% to US$49.64. The fair value is estimated to be US$62.39, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 42%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 55% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Mar 06
GXO Logistics, Inc. Appoints Mark Suchinski as Chief Financial Officer, Effective April 1, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. on March 06, 2026 announced the appointment of Mark Suchinski as Chief Financial Officer, effective April 1, 2026. Suchinski is a seasoned financial leader with more than three decades in finance, operations and supply chain management, with significant experience in the aerospace and defense sector, a key growth vertical for GXO. He has a proven track record driving enterprise performance improvement in labor productivity, contracting, pricing and sourcing. Prior to GXO, Suchinski served as Chief Financial Officer for The GEO Group, Inc. Prior to that, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Spirit AeroSystems with responsibility for financial reporting, Treasury, Investor Relations and Strategy. Earlier in his career, he served as Chief Accounting Officer at Home Products International and Controller at US Freightways. He holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from DePaul University. Price Target Changed • Feb 13
Price target increased by 8.0% to US$71.25 Up from US$66.00, the current price target is an average from 16 analysts. New target price is 8.8% above last closing price of US$65.51. Stock is up 66% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$2.04 for next year compared to US$0.28 last year. Reported Earnings • Feb 11
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$0.28 (down from US$1.12 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$13.2b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: US$32.0m (down 76% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.2% (down from 1.1% in FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 50%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.8% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 42% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 8% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Feb 11
GXO Logistics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2026. For the year, company expected Organic revenue growth of 4% to 5%. Announcement • Feb 10
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Formation of Defense Advisory Board GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the formation of a new Defense Advisory Board to advise GXO as it expands its portfolio of advanced logistics solutions for the aerospace and defense industries. The Defense Advisory Board will provide actionable defense industry insights and strategic guidance on growth opportunities within the sector. Members of the newly appointed Defense Advisory Board include:Rob Dickerson – Dickerson works in government and military business development for aviation innovator Beta Technologies. A retired U.S. Army Colonel, he served in senior leadership roles including J-5 Division Chief, Brigade Commander of the 16th Combat Aviation Brigade and service with the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment. A West Point graduate and former All-American football player, Dickerson also served as Deputy Military Athletic Director at Army West Point and a National Security Fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government.Kurt Gutierrez – Gutierrez is a managing partner and business leader with more than 25 years of executive experience across operations, finance, and sales. A West Point graduate and former U.S. Army officer with the 2nd Armored Cavalry Regiment, he combines military leadership with disciplined business execution. Gutierrez has extensive experience in scaling startups, growing mature organizations and expanding operations in both commercial and government environments. He is a crisis-tested leader known for driving sustainable growth and operational performance.Chad Hennings– Hennings is a former U.S.Air Force officer, entrepreneur and three-time Super Bowl champion with the Dallas Cowboys. A graduate of the U.S. Air Force Academy, he served as an A-10 pilot before transitioning to a successful professional football career. Hennings is the founder and president of Hennings Management Corporation and a nationally recognized speaker and author, leveraging an extensive network across military, business, and civic communities to support leadership, engagement and strategic partnerships.Rear Admiral Jonathan A. Yuen – Admiral Yuen is a senior logistics and supply chain leader and Senior Advisor at McKinsey & Company. Prior, he served as the 47th Chief of the U.S. Navy Supply Corps, overseeing global Navy logistics operations, including more than 20,000 personnel, 110 facilities and $33B in inventory while reporting directly to the Chief of Naval Operations. Admiral Yuen brings deep expertise in defense logistics, global supply chain strategy and operational transformation, including leading large-scale commercial logistics initiatives at Meta. Announcement • Jan 30
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Executive Changes On January 23, 2026, Paul Blanchett, Chief Accounting Officer of GXO Logistics, Inc., notified the Company of his decision to resign from his position as Chief Accounting Officer, with his last working day being April 24, 2026. Mr. Blanchett resigned to pursue a new professional opportunity outside of the logistics industry, and there were no disagreements between the Company and Mr. Blanchett on any matter regarding its operations, policies, or practices. On January 29, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors appointed Laura Bracken, the Company’s Vice President Controller, Americas and Asia Pacific, to also serve as the Company’s Interim Chief Accounting Officer (interim principal accounting officer), effective April 1, 2026. Ms. Bracken, 52, has served as the Company’s Vice President Controller, Americas and Asia Pacific since May 2024, after the Company's acquisition of PFSweb, Inc. (“PFS”). Prior to that time, Ms. Bracken served as Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, Head of Finance of PFS, beginning in March 2023. Prior to PFS, from September 2022 until March 2023, Ms. Bracken served as Chief Accounting Officer/Interim Chief Financial Officer of Aero Design Labs and in various roles at Home Group Inc., including Chief Accounting Officer from July 2020 until April 2022 and Vice President, Controller from April 2019 until July 2020. Prior to At Home Group Inc., Ms. Bracken served as a staff auditor with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and held various accounting roles with additional corporations. Ms. Bracken is a Certified Public Accountant. Announcement • Jan 12
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 10, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 10, 2026 Announcement • Dec 20
Gxo Appoints Karen Bomber as Chief Commercial Officer, Effective January 26, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the appointment of Karen Bomber as Chief Commercial Officer, reporting to CEO Patrick Kelleher, effective January 26, 2026. Bomber will be responsible for GXO’s global go-to-market strategy, with a clear, unified approach to customer relationships and pricing and a particular focus on accelerating sales in high-growth segments, verticals and geographies. Bomber brings more than 25 years of experience in commercial strategy, transformation and growth across the energy, industrial automation and retail technology sectors. She has a proven track record building customer-centric commercial strategies, launching new revenue streams and forging strategic partnerships across industries. Most recently, Bomber served as Chief Commercial Officer for ABB’s Energy Industries division, a technology leader in electrification and automation. Prior to ABB, she held leadership roles at Honeywell, InVue Security Products and Tyco in Business Development, Marketing and Product Management. Announcement • Dec 16
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Board Changes, Effective December 31, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that Brad Jacobs will step down as Non-Executive Chairman of the Board, effective December 31, 2025. Patrick Byrne will assume the role of Non-Executive Chairman at that time. The chairman transition follows a period of significant transformation at GXO, including the appointment of CEO Patrick Kelleher, several additional senior leadership hires, the appointment of seven new, independent board members and regulatory approval of GXO’s acquisition of Wincanton. Byrne, who joined the GXO Board in July 2025, brings more than 30 years of experience in digital transformation and operational leadership. He previously served as CEO of GE Digital and Senior Vice President of Operational Transformation at General Electric, following senior leadership roles at Fortive, Danaher and Tektronix. Byrne currently serves as Non-Executive Chair of Diebold Nixdorf and Chair of Verra Mobility and previously served as an Independent Director at Micron Technology. In connection with the resignation of Mr. Jacobs, Patrick Byrne was appointed as the new Chairman of the Board and the size of the Board was reduced from ten directors to nine directors, in each case, effective as of Mr. Jacobs’ resignation. Announcement • Dec 12
GXO Logistics, Inc. Appoints Bart Beeks as Chief Operating Officer, Effective January 2, 2026 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the appointment of Bart Beeks in the newly created role of Chief Operating Officer (COO), effective January 2, 2026. Beeks will lead GXO’s global operational excellence agenda through standardized global execution, reporting to CEO Patrick Kelleher. Prior to joining GXO, Beeks was at CEVA Logistics, where he rose from intern to Chief Operating Officer, managing operations in more than 170 countries. He has extensive experience in operations, implementation excellence, international and site-level management and building high-performing teams. As COO of CEVA, he significantly improved operating margin and revenue growth and led the integration of multiple acquisitions. Prior to his role as COO, he served as Executive Vice President in Benelux and Senior Vice President of Operational Excellence at CEVA. Before his career in logistics, Beeks served as a Commanding Officer in the Dutch Special Forces. Effective date: January 2, 2026. Reported Earnings • Nov 06
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.52 (up from US$0.28 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$3.40b (up 7.5% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$59.0m (up 79% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 1.7% (up from 1.0% in 3Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 33% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 6% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Nov 05
Gxo Logistics, Inc. Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. reaffirmed earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the year, the company organic revenue growth of 3.5% to 6.5%. Announcement • Oct 29
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Executive Changes GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the appointment of Michael Jacobs, formerly Senior Vice President of Supply Chain, Ferguson Enterprises, Inc., as President of the Americas and Asia Pacific, effective November 3, 2025. Jacobs brings more than three decades of experience in all aspects of supply chain operations with expertise spanning consumer packaged goods, retail and industrial. At Ferguson, Jacobs led the transformation of its supply chain -- improving service, increasing productivity through robotics and automation and enhancing demand forecasting and product transit predictability by leveraging AI. At Keurig, Inc., he led worldwide distribution and e-commerce fulfilment, achieving best-in-class operating levels. Prior, he led global supply chain operations at Toys “R” Us, Inc., across all divisions in 33 countries. Jacobs, who will be based in Dallas, succeeds Jorge Guanter whose leadership of the region since 2023 has set the stage for the next chapter of growth. The Company also announced that it is simplifying its management structure to strengthen execution. Effective immediately (October 29, 2025), the UK & Ireland and Continental Europe regions, led by Gavin Williams and Paul Mohan respectively, will report directly to the CEO. On October 24, 2025, the company and Richard Cawston mutually agreed that Mr. Cawston will depart from his employment as Chief Revenue Officer & President of Europe of the Company in March 2026. Mr. Cawston will continue to serve as Chief Revenue Officer & President of Europe until his departure or until such earlier date as a successful transition has occurred. Additionally, a new Chief Operating Officer role is being established, reporting to the CEO, with responsibility for driving operational excellence through standardized global execution. Announcement • Oct 06
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 04, 2025 Price Target Changed • Sep 24
Price target increased by 8.0% to US$61.24 Up from US$56.71, the current price target is an average from 17 analysts. New target price is 20% above last closing price of US$50.96. Stock is down 0.2% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$0.75 for next year compared to US$1.12 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 27
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from US$0.875 to US$0.775 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$13.2b. Net income forecast to grow 176% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Logistics industry in the US. Consensus price target of US$60.41 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at US$53.35 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Aug 06
Second quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.23 (down from US$0.32 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$3.30b (up 16% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$26.0m (down 32% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 0.8% (down from 1.3% in 2Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 6.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 30%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 31% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Jul 31
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Board Changes GXO Logistics, Inc. appointed Patrick Byrne and Michael Kneeland to its board of directors, effective July 31, 2025 . Additionally, Dr. Jason Papastavrou has stepped down from the board. These appointments follow the election of five new board members in May, bringing the total to ten directors, nine of whom are independent. Patrick Byrne – A digital leader for more than three decades, Byrne served as CEO of GE Digital and SVP of operational transformation at General Electric. He previously held senior leadership positions at Fortive, Danaher, and Tektronix. He serves as non-executive chair of Diebold Nixdorf and chair of Verra Mobility. Prior, he served as an independent director at Micron Technology. Michael Kneeland – Kneeland serves as chair of Gildan Activewear and as non-executive chair of United Rentals, following his retirement as CEO in 2019. Kneeland led United Rentals’ expansion over 26 years, including overseeing approximately $8 billion in acquisitions. He also held board positions at YRC Worldwide and Brinks Home Security. Announcement • Jul 17
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Aug 05, 2025 Announcement • Jun 26
GXO Logistics, Inc. Launches GXO IQ, A First-Of-Its-Kind AI-First Platform to Power Global Supply Chain Operations GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the launch of GXO IQ, the first AI-powered intelligent platform built for the logistics industry by logistics experts. GXO IQ will help businesses navigate the complexity of today's global supply chains by deploying AI capabilities that orchestrate more productive, more dynamic logistics operations. Informed by over 20 years of operational data, GXO IQ leverages a suite of proprietary AI algorithms that intelligently orchestrate millions of complex, multi-step actions across inventory distribution and movement, order picking and packing, shipping, and staffing. GXO IQ was designed by logistics experts and leverages a best-in-class technology stack including Google Cloud's Vertex AI and Snowflake Cortex AI. The tool also leverages Google Cloud's API management product Apigee to give customers secure and seamless access to critical warehouse data. GXO IQ is comprised of four layers that create a seamless, intelligent operating platform: Data Fabric Layer: GXO IQ utilizes GXO's operational expertise from 20 years of deploying supply chain solutions for customers, along with inputs from thousands of frontline operators, and a data lake that utilizes billions of transactions from GXO operations. Every day, over 200 million signals are streamed and organized to form the data fabric of the platform that trains powerful AI algorithms on every aspect of warehouse operations. AI Orchestration Layer: The AI algorithms are continuously running in the background, predicting demand shifts, anticipating inventory risks, proactively initiating inventory movement, and identifying the ideal pick, pack, and ship process of each order - all in real-time. End-to-End Execution Layer: The execution layer is comprised of a full suite of logistics management capabilities with marketplace integration and value-added micro-services, including order management, warehouse, returns, and transportation. Services are fully integrated into a cohesive end-to-end solution that can be customized to meet the evolving needs of each individual customer using the platform. Experience Layer: A unique, persona-based interface with a native, interactive AI agent called 'GIL' provides a single view to see what's important and help manage the entire process, from real-time order fulfilment status to exceptions management to inventory risk alerts. GXO IQ, which is powering GXO Direct for customers in the U.S., will be widely commercially available to customers in the second half of 2025. Announcement • Jun 20
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Patrick Kelleher as Chief Executive Officer, Effective August 19, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the appointment of seasoned supply chain leader Patrick Kelleher as its new chief executive officer, effective August 19, 2025. Kelleher brings 33 years of global supply chain experience, strategic leadership and operational excellence to GXO, having held senior executive roles at DHL Supply Chain, a division of Deutsche Post DHL Group. Most recently, he served as CEO, North America, where he oversaw significant growth and operational improvements across the business. During his tenure at DHL, Kelleher was global chief development officer and CEO, Americas for Williams Lea Tag, when it operated under DHL’s ownership. He brings extensive expertise across many key verticals, including consumer goods, healthcare, technology, ecommerce, and manufacturing. He has also led strategic initiatives spanning transportation, supply chain planning, engineered solutions, and automation. Kelleher has a distinguished track record of operational excellence, with a metrics-driven leadership style rooted in execution and innovation. He has been at the forefront of DHL’s deployment of advanced robotics, including the Boston Dynamics Stretch Robot since 2023, and oversaw four M&A transactions in the past year alone. Kelleher will be based at GXO’s global headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut. He will succeed Malcolm Wilson, who is retiring after a successful tenure leading GXO’s global growth strategy. Announcement • Jun 19
GXO Logistics, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year, the company's organic revenue growth of 3.5% to 6.5%, up from 3% to 6%. Announcement • Jun 10
GXO Logistics, Inc. Introduces Enhanced GXO Direct Solution in the U.S GXO Logistics, Inc. announced the launch of an enhanced offering for growing midsize companies in the United States by unifying the premier services platform it acquired through its acquisition of PFSweb (PFS) with GXO Direct, its multi-tenant warehousing solution. With fast onboarding, flexible space, cutting edge technology and a nationwide network of strategically located fulfillment centers, GXO Direct has been a go-to, cost-effective solution for omnichannel retail and ecommerce customers for several years. Now, GXO is integrating the key service capabilities it gained from its acquisition of PFS, including high touch contact center services, secure payments and fraud protection and distributed order orchestration systems, into a new unified solution. The enhanced GXO Direct U.S. product offers: Direct to consumer fulfillment: Custom scalable order fulfillment for all online channels and ecommerce marketplaces; Multi-tenant warehousing: A nationwide network of multi-tenant sites that offer shared infrastructure, overflow, equipment and workforce solutions; Business-to-business and retail: Solutions engineered specifically for the evolving challenges of B2B retail operations; Short-term storage & distribution: Immediate access to premium space for pop-up fulfillment, overflow storage or one-time projects; Value-added services: Personalized experiences that inspire brand loyalty, including personalization, gift box and gift wrapping, kitting and more; Transportation: A range of transport solutions, including negotiated parcel rates, dedicated fleet and freight brokerage, that leverage GXO's scale to reduce costs and enhance service levels; and Commerce Services: Complementary services native to the PFS platform, including contact center services, order management, fraud & chargeback dispute services. Board Change • Jun 01
High number of new directors There are 6 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Todd Cooper was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2025. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 21
Now 21% undervalued The stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at US$39.78. The fair value is estimated to be US$50.19, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 12% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 261% in the next 2 years. Major Estimate Revision • May 15
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 38%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$12.5b to US$12.7b. EPS estimate fell from US$1.63 to US$1.01 per share. Net income forecast to grow 108% next year vs 14% growth forecast for Logistics industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$50.47 to US$51.94. Share price rose 7.9% to US$41.07 over the past week. Reported Earnings • May 09
First quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind First quarter 2025 results: US$0.81 loss per share (further deteriorated from US$0.31 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$2.98b (up 21% from 1Q 2024). Net loss: US$96.0m (loss widened 160% from 1Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.0% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 22% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 10% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Announcement • May 08
GXO Logistics, Inc. Reaffirms Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. reaffirmed earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year, the company's organic revenue growth of 3% to 6%. Announcement • Apr 19
GXO Logistics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 13, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 13, 2025. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 08
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20% After last week's 20% share price decline to US$31.53, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Logistics industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$55.23 per share. Announcement • Apr 04
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 07, 2025 Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Mar 11
CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$327k worth of stock On the 10th of March, Malcolm Wilson exercised options to acquire 9k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$38.33 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to December 2021, Malcolm's total compensation was 12% salary and 88% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since March 2024, Malcolm's direct individual holding has increased from 88.83k shares to 100.81k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$1.1m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 25
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from US$2.33 to US$1.61 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$12.7b. Net income forecast to grow 35% next year vs 22% growth forecast for Logistics industry in the US. Consensus price target down from US$63.93 to US$54.23. Share price was steady at US$41.30 over the past week. New Risk • Feb 19
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 2.8x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.8x net interest cover). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.1% net profit margin). Announcement • Feb 18
GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) announces an Equity Buyback for $500 million worth of its shares. GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to $500 million of its shares. The company intends to fund the repurchases from existing cash, borrowings on company's revolving credit facility and/or other financing sources. Price Target Changed • Feb 14
Price target decreased by 11% to US$56.81 Down from US$63.93, the current price target is an average from 16 analysts. New target price is 44% above last closing price of US$39.41. Stock is down 29% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$1.74 for next year compared to US$1.12 last year. Reported Earnings • Feb 13
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: US$1.12 (down from US$1.93 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$11.7b (up 20% from FY 2023). Net income: US$134.0m (down 42% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.1% (down from 2.3% in FY 2023). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 6.3%. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Logistics industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 24% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Announcement • Feb 13
GXO Logistics, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2025. For the year, company expected Organic revenue growth of 3% to 6%. Announcement • Jan 24
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 12, 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 12, 2025 Announcement • Dec 04
Malcolm Wilson to Retire as CEO of GXO Logistics, Inc. in 2025 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that Malcolm Wilson, chief executive officer, has informed the board of directors that he plans to retire in 2025. He will continue to lead the company during the executive search process for his successor. Since being named CEO in August 2021, Mr. Wilson has led GXO’s growth to 130,000 employees and more than 200 million square feet of facility space in the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 04
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.7% to US$50.85. The fair value is estimated to be US$64.36, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 3.7%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.5% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 45% per annum over the same time period. Announcement • Dec 04
GXO Logistics, Inc. Announces Retirement of Malcolm Wilson as Director GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that on December 3, 2024, Malcolm Wilson will retire as director of the company in 2025. Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$11.5b to US$11.7b. EPS estimate fell from US$1.46 to US$1.16 per share. Net income forecast to grow 140% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Logistics industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$67.68 to US$69.12. Share price rose 4.0% to US$60.00 over the past week. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 22
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 14% to US$60.63. The fair value is estimated to be US$76.23, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 11% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 10%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 10% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 35% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 10
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to US$58.07, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Logistics industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 29% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$72.01 per share. Announcement • Oct 07
GXO Logistics, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 04, 2024 GXO Logistics, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 04, 2024 New Risk • Aug 07
New minor risk - Financial position The company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 78% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (78% net debt to equity). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.4% net profit margin).