Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

NYSE:FERG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$51.2b

Ferguson Enterprises Valuation

Is FERG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of FERG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: FERG ($263.01) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($232.45)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: FERG is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FERG?

Key metric: As FERG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FERG. This is calculated by dividing FERG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FERG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.1x
EarningsUS$1.89b
Market CapUS$51.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FERG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FERG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
FAST Fastenal
40.4x8.88%US$52.3b
GWW W.W. Grainger
32.5x10.13%US$55.0b
URI United Rentals
20.3x9.72%US$51.1b
SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings
20.9x14.55%US$29.7b
FERG Ferguson Enterprises
27.1x8.44%US$51.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FERG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the peer average (27.1x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FERG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
TLIH Ten-League International Holdings
2.6xn/aUS$7.35m
AMMX AmeraMex International
2.1xn/aUS$2.49m
No more companies available in this PE range
FERG 27.1xIndustry Avg. 24.5xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FERG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FERG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FERG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.1x
Fair PE Ratio29.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FERG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FERG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$263.01
US$276.05
+4.96%
7.31%US$310.00US$244.00n/a22
Apr ’27US$239.06
US$277.41
+16.04%
7.26%US$310.00US$244.00n/a22
Mar ’27US$260.76
US$276.55
+6.05%
7.21%US$310.00US$244.00n/a22
Feb ’27US$252.46
US$261.36
+3.53%
9.19%US$300.00US$201.00n/a22
Jan ’27US$222.63
US$259.77
+16.68%
9.55%US$300.00US$201.00n/a22
Dec ’26US$251.54
US$258.41
+2.73%
10.04%US$310.00US$194.00n/a22
Nov ’26US$248.50
US$257.00
+3.42%
10.01%US$310.00US$194.00n/a21
Oct ’26US$225.49
US$252.16
+11.83%
10.00%US$310.00US$193.00n/a19
Sep ’26US$231.15
US$235.00
+1.67%
10.31%US$280.00US$180.00n/a19
Aug ’26US$222.15
US$233.68
+5.19%
10.06%US$280.00US$180.00n/a19
Jul ’26US$220.89
US$229.20
+3.76%
11.34%US$280.00US$168.12n/a21
Jun ’26US$182.34
US$194.21
+6.51%
10.27%US$258.00US$168.00n/a20
May ’26US$169.70
US$193.71
+14.15%
10.28%US$258.00US$168.00n/a20
Apr ’26US$160.75
US$193.05
+20.10%
10.31%US$258.00US$168.00US$239.0621
Mar ’26US$177.50
US$215.16
+21.22%
10.81%US$258.00US$168.00US$260.7619
Feb ’26US$181.12
US$216.34
+19.45%
10.91%US$258.00US$168.00US$252.4618
Jan ’26US$173.57
US$222.71
+28.31%
9.17%US$258.00US$168.00US$222.6317
Dec ’25US$215.93
US$225.53
+4.45%
9.45%US$258.00US$167.00US$251.5417
Nov ’25US$197.98
US$225.12
+13.71%
9.44%US$258.00US$167.00US$248.5017
Oct ’25US$199.51
US$223.00
+11.77%
9.84%US$258.00US$167.00US$225.4916
Sep ’25US$205.71
US$222.59
+8.21%
12.20%US$263.00US$156.00US$231.1517
Aug ’25US$216.33
US$223.82
+3.46%
12.30%US$263.00US$156.00US$222.1516
Jul ’25US$190.01
US$216.70
+14.05%
17.04%US$263.00US$106.50US$220.8918
Jun ’25US$205.74
US$216.20
+5.08%
17.75%US$265.00US$106.50US$182.3418
May ’25US$211.43
US$214.48
+1.44%
17.22%US$263.00US$106.50US$169.7018
Apr ’25US$217.28
US$214.48
-1.29%
17.22%US$263.00US$106.50US$160.7518
US$276.05
Fair Value
4.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/21 06:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/21 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David MantheyBaird
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Paul Daniel SullivanBarclays