Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Stock Overview
Distributes essential water and air solutions to specialized professional in the United States and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
FERG Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 24 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$253.37 |
| 52 Week High | US$271.64 |
| 52 Week Low | US$207.64 |
| Beta | 1.12 |
| 1 Month Change | 13.53% |
| 3 Month Change | 4.98% |
| 1 Year Change | 12.73% |
| 3 Year Change | 59.62% |
| 5 Year Change | 78.29% |
| Change since IPO | 129.44% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 31
FERG: Buybacks And Earnings Resilience Will Support Upside As Sentiment Improves
Ferguson Enterprises' updated analyst price target now sits closer to $280. This reflects a modest recalibration as analysts balance subdued near term growth expectations with recent upgrades that point to more supportive views on the stock's longer run potential.
Narrative Update • Jul 16
FERG: FloWorks Deal And Cautious Outlook Will Shape Risk Balance
For Ferguson Enterprises, the analyst price target has shifted to $235.28 from $207.12 as analysts incorporate updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, an adjusted discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, while also weighing recent research that highlights subdued near term growth expectations and mixed pricing tailwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises points to a more cautious tone, with some high profile firms reassessing both the stock's upside potential and the pace of fundamental progress.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 31
FERG: Buybacks And Earnings Resilience Will Support Upside As Sentiment Improves
Ferguson Enterprises' updated analyst price target now sits closer to $280. This reflects a modest recalibration as analysts balance subdued near term growth expectations with recent upgrades that point to more supportive views on the stock's longer run potential.Narrative Update • Jul 16
FERG: FloWorks Deal And Cautious Outlook Will Shape Risk Balance
For Ferguson Enterprises, the analyst price target has shifted to $235.28 from $207.12 as analysts incorporate updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, an adjusted discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, while also weighing recent research that highlights subdued near term growth expectations and mixed pricing tailwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises points to a more cautious tone, with some high profile firms reassessing both the stock's upside potential and the pace of fundamental progress.
Narrative Update • Jul 02
FERG: AI Infrastructure And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Ferguson Enterprises stock from $300 to $325, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E that align with the recent mix of higher and lower Street price targets. Analyst Commentary on Ferguson Enterprises Street research around Ferguson Enterprises has been mixed, but the latest fair value move to US$325 reflects how bullish analysts are weighing recent price target changes against execution assumptions and valuation inputs.Analysis Article • Jun 21
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Stock Could Be 16.2% Undervalued After London Delisting News
London Delisting and Data Center Exposure Put Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) in Focus Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) has drawn attention after announcing the planned cancellation of its secondary London listing and highlighting growing involvement in AI driven data center infrastructure projects. See our latest analysis for Ferguson Enterprises. Recent announcements around the London delisting, a new $0.89 per share dividend and Ferguson Enterprises' growing role in AI focused data center projects...Seeking Alpha • Jun 20
Ferguson Enterprises: Attractive Model But A Muted Macro Environment
Summary Ferguson Enterprises is rated a hold, with shares fairly valued at $235–$240 amid strong execution but limited upside. FERG’s bolt-on M&A strategy and product breadth drive margin expansion and market share gains, offsetting residential construction weakness. Nonresidential growth, especially from data centers, supports revenue, while residential markets remain sluggish due to high rates and affordability. FERG’s strong balance sheet, robust free cash flow, and ongoing buybacks provide capital return flexibility, but valuation remains the main constraint. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 18
FERG: Concentrated NYSE Listing And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have adjusted their view on Ferguson Enterprises with a modest change in the implied price target. This reflects updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E, and incorporates mixed recent research that includes both raises and cuts to the stock's target, with moves closer to $10 and shifts of around $25.Narrative Update • Jun 04
FERG: Buybacks And Execution Will Support Higher Medium Term Earnings Power
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has shifted modestly higher to about $285 from roughly $276, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent mixed target revisions from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises has been mixed, with some firms lifting their price targets and others trimming them.Narrative Update • Apr 28
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Measured Medium Term Progress
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the consolidated price target for Ferguson Enterprises, reflecting slightly higher fair value around $276, small tweaks to growth and margin assumptions, and fresh research pointing to ongoing support from non residential exposure, large project work, and updated medium term targets following the recent Q4 update and hybrid analyst day. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises centers on refreshed price targets following the latest Q4 results, the hybrid analyst day, and updated medium term growth and margin targets.Narrative Update • Apr 14
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Balanced Medium Term Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Ferguson Enterprises edges lower to about $276 from roughly $277, as analysts fine-tune their models around slightly higher discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth assumptions, and ongoing support from recent Q4-driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research signals a mix of optimism and caution around Ferguson Enterprises, with most Street models adjusting to Q4 results, updated medium term targets, and evolving project pipelines.Narrative Update • Mar 31
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Buybacks Will Support Medium Term Upside
Ferguson Enterprises' updated analyst price target edges higher to $277.18 from $276.55, as analysts factor in slightly lower discount rates, modestly adjusted revenue growth assumptions, a small uptick in profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Ferguson Enterprises, with analysts reacting to Q4 results, updated medium term targets, and the company’s role in large capital projects.Narrative Update • Mar 17
FERG: Large Project Exposure And Capital Returns Will Drive Medium Term Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Ferguson into a roughly $252 to $300 range, citing Q4 results, medium term growth and margin targets, and the company's positioning in non residential and large project markets as key supports for the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive stance on Ferguson, with price targets clustered in the low to high $200s and a few reaching $300, as analysts refresh models following the latest Q4 report and management's medium term framework.Narrative Update • Mar 03
FERG: Large Projects And Capital Returns Will Shape Medium Term Risk Reward
Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target on Ferguson from about $261 to roughly $277, citing stronger modeled revenue growth, continued support from large non-residential projects, and updated post Q4 assumptions that include a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for Ferguson, with most analysts reacting to Q4 results, the non residential exposure, and management’s medium term guidance.Narrative Update • Feb 17
FERG: Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Support Distribution Exposure And Housing Risk
Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Ferguson higher, with recent upward revisions such as $243 to $247 supporting a slightly stronger outlook that leans on distribution exposure and relatively more attractive valuation assumptions, even as they continue to flag housing affordability, policy shifts, and sector volatility as key risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting their price targets in both US$ and £ terms, which signals that they see room for the shares to better reflect Ferguson's current valuation assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 02
FERG: Buybacks And Dividend Policy Will Counter Housing And Policy Uncertainty
Analysts have inched their price targets for Ferguson higher, with recent moves such as RBC Capital lifting its target to US$247 from US$243 and Morgan Stanley increasing its view to £201.00 from £193.00. These revisions reflect updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E levels.Analysis Article • Jan 23
Does Ferguson Enterprises (NYSE:FERG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Narrative Update • Jan 19
FERG: Buybacks And Dividends Will Offset Housing And Nonresidential Market Uncertainty
Analysts have inched their price targets on Ferguson higher, with recent US$11 and £800 increases supported by updated views on fair value, modestly adjusted discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ferguson Enterprises highlights a mix of optimism on execution and valuation, balanced against caution on housing and broader macro risks.Analysis Article • Jan 06
Should You Think About Buying Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG) Now?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Ferguson Enterprises Inc. ( NYSE:FERG ). The company's stock...Narrative Update • Jan 05
FERG: Ongoing Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Ferguson Enterprises to approximately $259.77, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News From August 1, 2025 to October 31, 2025, Ferguson Enterprises repurchased 901,308 shares, or 0.46% of its share count, for a total of $208.75 million under its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 20
FERG: Future Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Ferguson Enterprises slightly higher to approximately $260 per share from about $259.60, reflecting modestly higher long term valuation multiples that more than offset slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Raised quarterly dividend to $0.89 per share, a 7% increase year over year, payable February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record on January 2, 2026 (company dividend announcement) Completed a major share repurchase tranche, buying back 901,308 shares between August 1 and October 31, 2025 and totaling 27,680,792 shares, or 13.2% of shares, under the program launched September 28, 2021 (company buyback update) Updated 2025 guidance to target approximately 5% net sales growth, refining prior calendar 2025 outlook of mid single digit growth (company guidance revision) Valuation Changes Fair Value: edged higher from approximately $259.59 to about $259.91 per share, reflecting a minimal upward adjustment in intrinsic valuation.Narrative Update • Dec 06
FERG: Future Cycle Turn And Share Gains Will Support Balanced Outlook
The fair value estimate for Ferguson Enterprises edges higher to approximately $260 per share from about $258, as analysts cite robust non residential driven organic growth, ongoing share gains across key end markets, and resilient margins despite pockets of residential and HVAC volatility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have broadly lifted their price targets following Ferguson's latest quarterly results, citing better than expected execution in challenging end markets and reinforcing confidence in the company’s long term growth algorithm.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Under The Bonnet, Ferguson Enterprises' (NYSE:FERG) Returns Look Impressive
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...Narrative Update • Nov 22
FERG: Ongoing Share Gains And Market Stability Will Support Future Performance
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has been raised modestly. Analysts cite strong organic growth in non-residential markets and ongoing share gains, which are offsetting headwinds in residential and HVAC sectors.Narrative Update • Nov 07
FERG: Ongoing Share Gains And Sector Recovery Will Support Steady Performance
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target was modestly increased from $255.30 to $257.00, as analysts cited the company's strong organic growth, robust performance in non-residential markets, and continued share gains despite challenges in the residential and HVAC sectors. Analyst Commentary Following Ferguson Enterprises' latest quarterly results, a number of bullish analysts have raised their price targets, citing strong performance in key areas and ongoing share gains.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Organic Share Gains And Non-Residential Strength Will Support Upside Momentum
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has risen from $252.16 to $255.30, reflecting analysts' positive outlook on the company's strong Q4 performance, ongoing share gains, and resilience across end markets despite near-term industry headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a generally optimistic stance on Ferguson Enterprises, as analysts raise their price targets in response to the company’s strong quarterly results and proven ability to gain market share.Narrative Update • Oct 10
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Ferguson Enterprises' analyst price target has been raised by approximately $2 to $252. Analysts cite strong Q4 results, share gains across key markets, and the company's resilience despite ongoing headwinds in residential segments.Narrative Update • Sep 26
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Analysts have raised Ferguson Enterprises’ price target from $237.53 to $249.89, citing strong non-residential growth, consistent market share gains, and robust Q4 results that boost confidence in forward estimates and margin recovery despite ongoing residential sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Strong organic growth led by robust performance in non-residential segments and positive pricing/inflation tailwinds, offsetting muted residential sector activity.Narrative Update • Sep 11
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Analysts have raised their price target for Ferguson Enterprises to $237.53, reflecting confidence in stable margins, improved organic growth, supportive commodity pricing, and anticipated earnings benefits from U.S. tariffs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued improvement in topline results, with Ferguson achieving 5% organic growth in Q3.Analysis Article • Sep 10
Estimating The Fair Value Of Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Ferguson Enterprises fair value estimate is US$254 Current...Narrative Update • Aug 27
HVAC And Waterworks Expansions Will Fuel Future Market Success
Ferguson Enterprises’ consensus price target saw a modest increase to $235.00 as analysts cited stabilizing prices, supportive commodity trends, early signs of end-market recovery, and potential tariff tailwinds, all underpinned by solid organic growth. Analyst Commentary Continued topline improvement, with 5% organic growth in Q3.Seeking Alpha • Mar 13
Ferguson: Construction Headwinds Limit Recovery Potential
Summary Ferguson Enterprises' stock has fallen 21% due to disappointing earnings and economic uncertainty, despite solid free cash flow and capital returns. The company faces margin pressure and subdued construction demand, impacting earnings and leading to lower guidance for operating margins and cap-ex. Ferguson remains cash generative with a strong balance sheet, continuing share buybacks, dividends, and potential for bolt-on acquisitions. Given macro uncertainty and slow recovery expectations, FERG shares are a hold, with a more compelling buy case at or below $150. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| FERG | US Trade Distributors | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 11.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| 1Y | 12.7% | 19.9% | 20.8% |
Return vs Industry: FERG underperformed the US Trade Distributors industry which returned 19.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FERG underperformed the US Market which returned 20.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| FERG volatility | |
|---|---|
| FERG Average Weekly Movement | 4.6% |
| Trade Distributors Industry Average Movement | 6.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: FERG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: FERG's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1953 | 35,000 | Kevin Murphy | www.corporate.ferguson.com |
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. distributes essential water and air solutions to specialized professional in the United States and Canada. The company provides various products and services, including plumbing; pipe, valves, and fittings; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning; appliances; lighting; and water and wastewater solutions to residential and non-residential customers. It also supplies specialized water and wastewater treatment products to residential, commercial, and infrastructure contractors, as well as supplies pipe, valves, and fittings solutions to industrial customers.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| FERG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$49.50b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.96b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$31.06b |
25.1x
P/E Ratio1.6x
P/S RatioIs FERG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| FERG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$31.06b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$21.52b |
| Gross Profit | US$9.53b |
| Other Expenses | US$7.58b |
| Earnings | US$1.96b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Aug 10, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 10.08 |
| Gross Margin | 30.70% |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.30% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 70.3% |
How did FERG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.4%
Current Dividend Yield42%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/06 21:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Paul Daniel Checketts | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |