PBF Energy Inc.

NYSE:PBF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.9b

PBF Energy Valuation

Is PBF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of PBF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: PBF ($41.83) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($131.38)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PBF is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PBF?

Key metric: As PBF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PBF. This is calculated by dividing PBF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PBF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsUS$441.50m
Market CapUS$4.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PBF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings
6.3x3.78%US$2.8b
SUN Sunoco
16.8x27.86%US$8.9b
DINO HF Sinclair
10.4x-7.40%US$12.6b
REX REX American Resources
17.5xn/aUS$1.5b
PBF PBF Energy
11.2x4.64%US$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
TOPS Top Ships
1.6xn/aUS$4.92m
RUBI Rubico
0.2xn/aUS$455.48k
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.28%US$312.17k
PBF 11.2xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PBF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PBF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PBF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$41.83
US$43.75
+4.59%
19.93%US$62.00US$30.00n/a12
May ’27US$43.00
US$43.08
+0.19%
19.59%US$62.00US$30.00n/a12
Apr ’27US$46.09
US$40.92
-11.21%
21.78%US$62.00US$27.00n/a13
Mar ’27US$35.60
US$32.77
-7.95%
18.08%US$42.00US$22.00n/a13
Feb ’27US$33.46
US$31.92
-4.59%
19.01%US$42.00US$22.00n/a13
Jan ’27US$27.12
US$29.77
+9.77%
17.78%US$42.00US$23.00n/a13
Dec ’26US$34.70
US$30.58
-11.86%
16.59%US$42.00US$25.00n/a12
Nov ’26US$34.17
US$28.25
-17.33%
13.57%US$37.00US$21.00n/a12
Oct ’26US$29.95
US$25.42
-15.14%
17.99%US$37.00US$19.00n/a12
Sep ’26US$27.32
US$22.33
-18.25%
13.84%US$28.00US$16.00n/a12
Aug ’26US$21.68
US$21.83
+0.71%
13.59%US$26.00US$16.00n/a12
Jul ’26US$22.27
US$18.92
-15.03%
19.05%US$26.00US$12.00n/a13
Jun ’26US$19.05
US$18.54
-2.69%
19.58%US$26.00US$12.00US$41.8313
May ’26US$16.66
US$19.23
+15.43%
22.36%US$29.00US$12.00US$43.0013
Apr ’26US$19.26
US$23.23
+20.62%
15.94%US$29.00US$17.00US$46.0913
Mar ’26US$21.43
US$26.31
+22.76%
13.86%US$31.00US$19.00US$35.6013
Feb ’26US$29.26
US$29.08
-0.63%
16.21%US$35.00US$20.00US$33.4613
Jan ’26US$26.55
US$30.23
+13.86%
16.21%US$37.00US$20.00US$27.1213
Dec ’25US$31.49
US$32.00
+1.62%
15.65%US$39.00US$25.00US$34.7013
Nov ’25US$28.08
US$32.69
+16.43%
16.34%US$40.00US$25.00US$34.1713
Oct ’25US$31.36
US$39.92
+27.29%
22.56%US$53.00US$25.00US$29.9512
Sep ’25US$34.06
US$45.42
+33.34%
11.03%US$53.00US$35.00US$27.3212
Aug ’25US$39.20
US$47.50
+21.17%
12.47%US$57.00US$35.00US$21.6812
Jul ’25US$46.49
US$52.75
+13.47%
15.81%US$66.00US$37.00US$22.2712
Jun ’25US$46.33
US$55.92
+20.71%
11.89%US$67.00US$45.00US$19.0513
US$43.75
Fair Value
4.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/01 03:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PBF Energy Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yim ChengBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jean Ann SalisburyBofA Global Research