PBF Energy (PBF) Stock Overview
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the refining and supplying of petroleum products. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
PBF Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 21 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
PBF Energy Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$61.63 |
| 52 Week High | US$68.33 |
| 52 Week Low | US$21.24 |
| Beta | 0.10 |
| 1 Month Change | 42.96% |
| 3 Month Change | 51.17% |
| 1 Year Change | 155.09% |
| 3 Year Change | 30.32% |
| 5 Year Change | 572.08% |
| Change since IPO | 134.78% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 23
PBF Energy: Don't Get Trapped At The Top (Earnings Preview)
Summary PBF Energy (PBF) has reached record share prices, driven by unprecedented crack spreads and supply disruptions. I expect PBF to generate at least $1B in Q2 free cash flow, a dramatic turnaround from prior negative FCF. Despite the strong near-term performance, I recommend SELLING PBF, viewing it as a cyclical trade rather than a long-term investment. Current margins and profitability are unsustainable; historical cycles suggest holding through downturns can be painful. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 21
PBF: Refining Margin Strength Will Expose Martinez Reliability And Free Cash Flow Risks
The analyst price target for PBF Energy has moved higher, with the updated fair value estimate increasing from about $45.27 to $49.62 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, more moderate revenue growth assumptions, and higher projected profit margins supported by recent sector research on refining margins and company specific earnings leverage. Analyst Commentary Recent street research on PBF Energy highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they reassess refining margins, asset reliability, and the company’s earnings leverage.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 23
PBF Energy: Don't Get Trapped At The Top (Earnings Preview)
Summary PBF Energy (PBF) has reached record share prices, driven by unprecedented crack spreads and supply disruptions. I expect PBF to generate at least $1B in Q2 free cash flow, a dramatic turnaround from prior negative FCF. Despite the strong near-term performance, I recommend SELLING PBF, viewing it as a cyclical trade rather than a long-term investment. Current margins and profitability are unsustainable; historical cycles suggest holding through downturns can be painful. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 21
PBF: Refining Margin Strength Will Expose Martinez Reliability And Free Cash Flow Risks
The analyst price target for PBF Energy has moved higher, with the updated fair value estimate increasing from about $45.27 to $49.62 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, more moderate revenue growth assumptions, and higher projected profit margins supported by recent sector research on refining margins and company specific earnings leverage. Analyst Commentary Recent street research on PBF Energy highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they reassess refining margins, asset reliability, and the company’s earnings leverage.Narrative Update • Jul 07
PBF: Strong Refining Margins Will Test Cash Generation Consistency And Operational Resilience
The analyst price target for PBF Energy has been raised from about $36.62 to about $45.27. This change reflects analysts' updated views on stronger refining margins, higher earnings leverage to cracks, and refreshed oil and crack spread assumptions across the peer group.
Narrative Update • Jun 23
PBF: Elevated Crack Spreads And Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have increased their consolidated price targets on PBF Energy by single to low double digit dollar amounts, reflecting updated views on refining margins, crack spreads and inventory tightness, while still acknowledging mixed ratings on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PBF Energy shows a mix of higher price targets and cautious ratings, with several bearish analysts emphasizing risks around refining margins, crack spreads and the durability of current commodity assumptions.Narrative Update • Jun 05
PBF: Elevated Oil And Crack Assumptions Will Pressure Future Shareholder Returns
PBF Energy's fair value estimate has been raised by $2 to $30 as analysts factor in higher long term oil price and refining crack assumptions that have driven recent upward revisions to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PBF Energy has centered on oil price assumptions, refining crack spreads, and how much of this backdrop is already reflected in the stock.
Narrative Update • May 21
PBF: Higher Oil Price Assumptions Will Support West Coast Margin Upside
Analysts have modestly lifted the implied fair value for PBF Energy to about $60.58 per share. This reflects updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, alongside a mixed but generally higher set of recent Street price targets around the $40 to $45 range.Analysis Article • May 07
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF)
PBF Energy Inc. ( NYSE:PBF ) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. However, we...Narrative Update • Apr 29
PBF: Higher Oil Price Assumptions Will Pressure Margins And Future Shareholder Returns
The analyst fair value estimate for PBF Energy has increased from $27.00 to $28.00 as analysts factor in a series of recent price target revisions across the Street and modest updates to assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PBF Energy shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several firms reaffirming Neutral ratings even as their targets move.Narrative Update • Apr 15
PBF: Higher Oil Price Assumptions Will Pressure Refining Margins And Future Earnings
Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for PBF Energy to $27 from $22. This reflects recent increases in published price targets and a shift toward higher assumed future P/E multiples, even as they incorporate expectations for a softer revenue outlook and slimmer profit margins.Narrative Update • Apr 01
PBF: Shifting Crude Flows Will Drive West Coast Margin Upside Potential
Analysts have raised the central price target reference for PBF Energy from $43.00 to approximately $59.94, reflecting updated views on long term revenue trends, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E assumptions in light of recent sector research and commodity price outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets and rating upgrades on PBF Energy, with several bullish analysts highlighting supportive commodity assumptions, tighter regional fuel markets and potential balance sheet support as key parts of the story.Narrative Update • Mar 18
PBF: Higher Oil Price Assumptions Will Pressure Returns Despite Crude Trade Tailwinds
Analysts have raised the average fair value estimate for PBF Energy to about $36.62 from $31.92. This reflects higher price targets tied to updated oil price assumptions and expectations for U.S. refiners' crude trade flows and valuation support.Narrative Update • Mar 04
PBF: Shifting Crude Flows And West Coast Tightness Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Overview The analyst fair value estimate for PBF Energy has increased by $1, from $42 to $43, as analysts incorporate updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent research that highlights potential benefits from shifting crude trade flows and U.S. refining exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PBF Energy highlights a clear shift toward a more constructive stance, with bullish analysts updating their views as they factor in changing crude trade flows, refining exposure, and valuation gaps versus peers.Narrative Update • Feb 17
PBF: Regional Refining Margin Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for PBF Energy from $19.00 to $22.00 per share as they incorporate updated expectations for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions informed by recent price target increases from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around PBF Energy has centered on how changing crude trade flows and regional refining balances could affect the company’s earnings power and valuation.Narrative Update • Feb 03
PBF: Martinez Execution And Crude Trade Shifts Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have increased their PBF Energy price target by about $1, supported by a slightly higher fair value estimate, a lower discount rate, and modestly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that reflect recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PBF Energy highlights a mix of upside potential and execution risks that investors are watching closely.Narrative Update • Jan 20
PBF: Martinez Restart Will Unlock West Coast Tightness-Driven Cash Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for PBF Energy to US$42.00 from about US$40.36, citing expectations for improved margins, a lower required return, and continued support for the investment thesis from recent price target increases tied to California market tightness, Martinez restart progress, and potential shifts in crude trade flows benefiting U.S. refiners. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to generally constructive sentiment around PBF Energy, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets and ratings while highlighting company specific catalysts.Narrative Update • Jan 06
PBF: Martinez Restart And 4Q25 Insurance Tranche Will Reshape Cash Profile
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for PBF Energy to about $40 from roughly $42, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E. Recent Street research price target increases highlight differing views on the impact of the Martinez refinery restart and related insurance proceeds.Analysis Article • Dec 20
It's Down 30% But PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
PBF Energy Inc. ( NYSE:PBF ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Narrative Update • Dec 14
PBF: Martinez Restart Will Drive Upside In Tighter California Refining Markets
Analysts have raised their price target on PBF Energy to approximately $42 from about $28, reflecting expectations for stronger revenue growth, a lower perceived risk profile, and operational upside tied to the Martinez refinery restart and tighter California refining markets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have steadily lifted their price targets on PBF Energy over recent months, signaling rising confidence in the company’s earnings power and execution.Narrative Update • Nov 29
PBF: Margin Risks From Martinez Restart Will Weigh On Near-Term Outlook
PBF Energy’s analyst price target was increased by $0.50 to $30.58. Analysts cited refining margin resilience, successful Martinez restart progress, and improving profitability as key reasons for the upgrade.Narrative Update • Nov 15
PBF: Margin Volatility Will Challenge Recent Optimism Into 2026
The average analyst price target for PBF Energy has risen from $28.00 to $30.08. This reflects expectations for improved margins and successful execution in key markets according to recent analyst commentary.Narrative Update • Nov 01
PBF: Refining Margins May Decline As Supply Tightens Into 2026
PBF Energy's analyst price target has been increased from $26.75 to $28.00 per share. This change reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and stronger profit margin expectations according to recent analyst updates.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Underinvestment And Supply Consolidation Will Empower US Refining
Analysts have raised their price target on PBF Energy by $1.00 to $26.75. They cite tighter global product markets and improved profit margin outlooks as key factors behind the adjustment.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Underinvestment And Supply Consolidation Will Empower US Refining
PBF Energy's analyst price target has been raised from $23.83 to $25.75. Analysts cite improved profit margins, higher expected revenue growth, and tighter supply-demand dynamics in the global refining market as supporting factors for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Underinvestment And Supply Consolidation Will Empower US Refining
Analysts have raised their price targets for PBF Energy, citing tightness in global distillate markets and improved earnings outlooks, though caution remains regarding sector valuation and margin sustainability, resulting in a consensus target increase from $22.75 to $23.83. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent distillate tightness and a global products market that remains relatively tight, providing support for margins into 2026 and possibly beyond.Analysis Article • Sep 17
Improved Revenues Required Before PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) Stock's 31% Jump Looks Justified
The PBF Energy Inc. ( NYSE:PBF ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31...Narrative Update • Sep 04
Underinvestment And Supply Consolidation Will Empower US Refining
Analysts have modestly raised PBF Energy's price target to $22.75, reflecting positive earnings revisions driven by ongoing distillate strength and tight supply/demand balances, though caution persists over the sector's rally and margin sustainability. Analyst Commentary Positive earnings revisions expected for the back half of the year, driven by ongoing distillate strength and tightening global supply/demand balances into 2026 and 2027.Seeking Alpha • Feb 14
PBF Energy: Beatings Will Continue Until Crack Spreads Improve
Summary PBF Energy's high operating costs and declining crack spreads have led to significant cash burn and a degrading balance sheet, warranting a SELL rating. The Martinez refinery fire adds further uncertainty, with no clear timeline for repairs and potential negative impacts on future cash flow. Despite a low price-to-book valuation, PBF's poor financial performance and lack of cost-effectiveness make it a less attractive investment compared to peers. Crack spreads need to double from Q4 levels for PBF to achieve neutral free cash flow, which seems unlikely in the near term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 07
PBF Energy: Where Did All The Cash Go?
Summary The refining market in 2024 is challenging, with PBF Energy facing high operating costs and potential cash depletion due to continued losses. PBF's cash reserves have dwindled risking further depletion or debt accumulation if market conditions don't improve. High West Coast operations concentration and new competition from China and India pose long-term risks, prompting a maintained SELL rating. Projected Q4 losses and declining margins threaten PBF's dividend and balance sheet, with expected losses exceeding $2/share in the 4th quarter. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 29
PBF Energy Earnings Preview: More Losses In The Third Quarter
Summary Declining crack spreads have the potential to widen the quarterly loss for PBF. I expect this to be the second consecutive quarter PBF operates at a loss. Negative earnings significantly alter the typical valuation metrics and point to the deterioration of the "undervalued" thesis in the short term. Changes in valuation present near-term price risk, while the refinery markets navigate through general weakness. Refinery closures could restore the crack spreads to mid-cycle conditions by the second half of 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| PBF | US Oil and Gas | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -1.8% | 3.3% | -1.1% |
| 1Y | 155.1% | 32.5% | 15.1% |
Return vs Industry: PBF exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 32.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PBF exceeded the US Market which returned 15.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PBF volatility | |
|---|---|
| PBF Average Weekly Movement | 8.3% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 6.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: PBF has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: PBF's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 3,678 | Matt Lucey | www.pbfenergy.com |
PBF Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the refining and supplying of petroleum products. It operates through two segments, Refining and Logistics. The company produces gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt; diesel fuel; and unbranded transportation fuels, petrochemical feedstocks, blending components, and other petroleum products.
PBF Energy Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| PBF fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$7.34b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$441.50m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$30.17b |
16.5x
P/E Ratio0.2x
P/S RatioIs PBF overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PBF income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$30.17b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$29.64b |
| Gross Profit | US$534.80m |
| Other Expenses | US$93.30m |
| Earnings | US$441.50m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Jul 30, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 3.73 |
| Gross Margin | 1.77% |
| Net Profit Margin | 1.46% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 49.6% |
How did PBF perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.8%
Current Dividend Yield29%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/26 02:41 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
PBF Energy Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Yim Cheng | Barclays |
| Phillip Jungwirth | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Jean Ann Salisbury | BofA Global Research |