Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT) Stock Overview
A commercial-stage company, develops an immune medicine platform for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
ADPT Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 11 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$13.54 |
| 52 Week High | US$20.76 |
| 52 Week Low | US$8.50 |
| Beta | 2.16 |
| 1 Month Change | 5.86% |
| 3 Month Change | -13.43% |
| 1 Year Change | 42.38% |
| 3 Year Change | 108.63% |
| 5 Year Change | -60.65% |
| Change since IPO | -66.40% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 01
ADPT: 2026 MRD Outlook And Margin Discipline Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The updated analyst price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies moves slightly lower to about $20.57 from $20.86. Analysts attribute this change to modest adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, and longer term profit margin and P/E expectations.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
ADPT: MRD Revenue Outlook And Refreshed Models Will Support Future Cash Flows
Narrative Update on Adaptive Biotechnologies The consensus analyst price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies has moved up by $1, reflecting updated analyst models that incorporate adjusted discount rates, refreshed revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a revised, still very large forward P/E framework. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Adaptive Biotechnologies centers on modestly higher price targets, with several bullish analysts revising their models at roughly the same time.Narrative Update • Apr 02
ADPT: MRD 2026 Outlook And Discount Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price targets on Adaptive Biotechnologies by about $1, reflecting updated views on discount rates, growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. These changes keep the stock's fair value estimate effectively unchanged at around $21.Narrative Update • Mar 19
ADPT: MRD Outlook And Pfizer Agreements Will Support Future Cash Flows
Analysts have inched their average price targets on Adaptive Biotechnologies higher, often by about $1 increments. These changes reflect updated views that modestly adjust revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions while keeping the fair value estimate near $22.Narrative Update • Mar 04
ADPT: MRD And Pfizer Agreements Will Support Future Cash Flow Upside
The analyst price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies has shifted from $21.00 to $22.00. Analysts point to updated assumptions around growth, profitability, and long-term P/E expectations following a series of recent target increases across the Street.Narrative Update • Feb 18
ADPT: Pfizer Agreements And MRD Progress Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies higher by about $1, reflecting updated fair value assumptions and slightly revised views on growth, margins and future P/E, in line with recent target increases from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around modest target increases and a generally supportive view of Adaptive Biotechnologies, with most of the focus on refreshed fair value work rather than sweeping changes to the thesis.Narrative Update • Feb 03
ADPT: Sector Tailwinds And Pfizer Partnerships Will Support Measured Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Adaptive Biotechnologies slightly higher, with Street research pointing to target increases such as TD Cowen moving to $20 from $19. This contributes to a modest lift in our fair value estimate from $20.00 to about $20.14 as they highlight solid expected sector results and fundamentals.Narrative Update • Jan 20
ADPT: Sector Tailwinds And Cancer Testing Leadership Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update: Adaptive Biotechnologies The analyst price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies has moved from $19 to $20, reflecting updated views that incorporate recent Q4 preview work on diagnostics peers, expectations for solid sector results and 2026 outlooks, and the company’s latest Q3 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Adaptive Biotechnologies has focused on updated price targets that reflect fresh sector work and the company’s latest Q3 report.Narrative Update • Jan 05
ADPT: MRD Platform And Pfizer Agreements Will Support Long-Term Cash Flow Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Adaptive Biotechnologies to $16 from $11, citing the recent Q3 report as the key driver behind this updated view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the new US$16 price target, up from US$11, as a sign that expectations for execution and risk reward have shifted in a more constructive direction after the recent Q3 report.Seeking Alpha • Dec 26
Adaptive Biotechnologies: 2026 Is The Durability Test, Not The Hype Cycle
Summary Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation maintains a Hold rating as MRD segment momentum is offset by competitive and valuation concerns. ADPT's Q3 top-line strength was driven by a one-time Genentech payment; ex-Genentech, MRD revenue grew 52% Y/Y, showing underlying operational progress. MRD segment achieved standalone cash flow positivity, but consolidated profitability remains elusive without normalization; FY25 MRD guidance was raised. DLBCL market share defense and workflow integration are critical as competition intensifies, making 2026 a pivotal "prove it" year for ADPT. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Dec 15
ADPT: MRD Leadership Will Drive Long-Term Cash Flow Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Adaptive Biotechnologies from approximately $15 to $21 per share. They cite higher long term profit margin expectations and confidence in the company’s leadership in minimal residual disease cancer testing, even with moderating revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate.Narrative Update • Nov 30
ADPT: Future Revenue Will Be Sustained By Leadership In Cancer Testing
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Adaptive Biotechnologies to $19.57 from $19.14. They cite increased confidence in the company's sustained revenue growth and leadership position in cancer testing.Narrative Update • Nov 16
ADPT: Future Revenue Will Be Driven By Market Expansion In Blood Cancer Testing
Analysts have raised their price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies by $2.00 to $19.14, citing the company's leadership in minimal residual disease testing, as well as expectations for sustained revenue growth and improved margins. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst discussions reveal diverse perspectives on Adaptive Biotechnologies' position in the market and future prospects.Narrative Update • Nov 01
ADPT: Leadership In Cancer Testing Will Drive Market Expansion And Execution Risks
Analysts have increased their price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies from $16.00 to $17.14 per share. They cite continuing leadership in cancer testing and expectations for robust revenue growth, driven by market expansion and operational improvements.Narrative Update • Oct 18
EMR Integration And Partnerships Will Reshape Clinical Diagnostics
Analysts have raised their price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies from $14.86 to $16.00. They cite the company’s strong positioning in cancer testing and sustained revenue growth potential.Analysis Article • Oct 16
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) 31% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the...Narrative Update • Oct 04
EMR Integration And Partnerships Will Reshape Clinical Diagnostics
Analysts have increased their price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies from $14 to approximately $14.86 per share. They cite ongoing revenue growth momentum and strengthening leadership in the cancer diagnostics market as key drivers of the upward revision.Analysis Article • Sep 24
Is Adaptive Biotechnologies (NASDAQ:ADPT) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Aug 29
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares have been powering on, with...Narrative Update • Aug 07
EMR Integration And Partnerships Will Reshape Clinical Diagnostics
Despite a modest decline in consensus revenue growth forecasts and a slight increase in the discount rate, the consensus analyst price target for Adaptive Biotechnologies has been raised from $11.86 to $13.29. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 MRD business revenue guidance to $190–200 million from the prior $180–190 million range; no revenue guidance for Immune Medicine.Analysis Article • May 31
Market Participants Recognise Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Higher
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had...Analysis Article • May 07
Is Adaptive Biotechnologies (NASDAQ:ADPT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) 26% Share Price Surge
The Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an...
New Narrative • Mar 25
ClonoSEQ And NovaSeq X Will Transform Clinical Testing Pipelines
Strategic partnerships and initiatives to raise test prices and efficiency are expected to drive substantial revenue and margin growth.Analysis Article • Feb 14
Market Participants Recognise Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) Revenues Pushing Shares 40% Higher
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 40% gain in the...Seeking Alpha • Nov 26
Adaptive Biotechnologies: Making Some Progress
Summary Adaptive Biotechnologies posted strong Q3 results, beating expectations and reducing losses, while management has done a good job of reducing quarterly cash burn rates. The company's MRD segment, driven by clonoSEQ, continues to show significant growth, and the company's balance sheet remains strong. An updated analysis around Adaptive Biotechnologies follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 26
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a...Analysis Article • Nov 01
Does Adaptive Biotechnologies (NASDAQ:ADPT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Oct 05
Market Participants Recognise Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) Revenues Pushing Shares 27% Higher
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the...Analysis Article • Jul 12
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:ADPT) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 3.3x in the Life Sciences industry in the United States, you...Analysis Article • May 08
Is Adaptive Biotechnologies (NASDAQ:ADPT) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Apr 03
It's Down 26% But Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (NASDAQ:ADPT) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation ( NASDAQ:ADPT ) shares are down a...Shareholder Returns
| ADPT | US Life Sciences | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -6.6% | -0.2% | 2.6% |
| 1Y | 42.4% | -1.1% | 26.2% |
Return vs Industry: ADPT exceeded the US Life Sciences industry which returned 7.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ADPT exceeded the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ADPT volatility | |
|---|---|
| ADPT Average Weekly Movement | 9.4% |
| Life Sciences Industry Average Movement | 8.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: ADPT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ADPT's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 624 | Chad Robins | www.adaptivebiotech.com |
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation, a commercial-stage company, develops an immune medicine platform for the diagnosis and treatment of various diseases. The company offers immunosequencing platform which combines a suite of proprietary chemistry, computational biology, and machine learning to generate clinical immunomics data to decode the adaptive immune system. It provides clonoSEQ diagnostic test which detects and monitors the remaining number of cancer cells that are present in a patient’s body during and after treatment, known as Minimal Residual Disease (MRD).
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| ADPT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$2.21b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$49.68m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$295.41m |
7.3x
P/S Ratio-43.6x
P/E RatioIs ADPT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ADPT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$295.41m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$166.28m |
| Gross Profit | US$129.13m |
| Other Expenses | US$178.81m |
| Earnings | -US$49.68m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.31 |
| Gross Margin | 43.71% |
| Net Profit Margin | -16.82% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 58.2% |
How did ADPT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 21:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation is covered by 13 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Derik de Bruin | BofA Global Research |
| Mark Massaro | BTIG |
| William Bonello | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |