Trip.com Group Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 0/6
Der Gewinn von Trip.com Group wird voraussichtlich um 17.6% pro Jahr zurückgehen, während der Jahresumsatz um 8.8% pro Jahr wachsen soll. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 18.4% pro Jahr sinken. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 8.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
-17.6%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
-18.38%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Hospitality Gewinnwachstum | 18.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 8.8% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 8.43% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 21 Jul 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Jul 15
TCOM: Softer Q2 Outlook And Regulatory Scrutiny Will Test Travel Resilience
Trip.com Group's analyst price target has been reduced by about $4.65 as analysts factor in softer Q2 guidance, an ongoing regulatory overhang in China, higher fuel costs pressuring travel demand, lower projected profit margins around 15.5%, and a higher assumed future P/E of about 18.4x, despite slightly firmer revenue growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trip.com Group points to a more cautious tone, with several Bearish analysts trimming price targets and revisiting growth and valuation assumptions following the latest results and guidance.
Neues Narrative • Jul 10
Inbound Travel And AI Infrastructure Will Drive Long-Term Upside For This Travel Platform
Catalysts About Trip.com Group Trip.com Group operates a global online travel platform connecting travelers with accommodation, transportation, tours and local experiences. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative-Update • Jul 01
TCOM: AI Expansion And Partnerships Will Support Future Demand Despite Regulatory Overhang
Analysts have lowered the implied fair value for Trip.com Group from about $77.09 to $61.65. This reflects reduced revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as recent price target cuts highlight concerns around softer Q2 guidance, regulatory uncertainty in China, and the impact of higher fuel costs on demand.Seeking Alpha • Jun 29
Trip.com: Regulatory Scrutiny Leaves A Sour Aftertaste; Downgrade To Hold
Summary We downgrade Trip.com to HOLD from BUY due to Q2 revenue guidance miss and ongoing antimonopoly investigation. TCOM’s Q1 beat consensus, but 3%-8% Q2 revenue growth guidance lags expectations and signals near-term margin pressure. Regulatory scrutiny threatens TCOM’s dominant domestic market position and monetization model and could trigger substantial fines and margin compression, in our view. TCOM’s valuation at 10x 2027E earnings is justified given revenue uncertainty, regulatory risks, and the potential for further de-rating if China’s consumption weakens. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNeues Narrative • Jun 26
AI And Regulatory Pressures Will Challenge Travel Platform Before Long Term Inbound Recovery
Catalysts About Trip.com Group Trip.com Group operates a global online travel platform that connects travelers with accommodation, transportation, tours and related services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyseartikel • Jun 21
Trip.com Group (TCOM) Stock Could Be 41.5% Undervalued After Recent Share Price Weakness
Trip.com Group (TCOM) has drawn fresh investor attention after recent share price weakness, with the stock down 6% over the past month and 11.7% over the past 3 months, prompting closer scrutiny of its fundamentals. See our latest analysis for Trip.com Group. Looking beyond the recent pullback, Trip.com Group’s share price has fallen 39.45% year to date and the 1-year total shareholder return is down 19.25%, while the 3-year and 5-year total shareholder returns of 32.16% and 26.8% indicate...Narrative-Update • Jun 17
TCOM: AI Expansion And Buybacks Should Support Future Overseas Demand
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to the Trip.com Group price target to $77.09, reflecting slightly updated inputs for discount rate, fair value, and forward P/E, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin assumptions broadly consistent with prior estimates. What's in the News for Trip.com Group Trip.com Group has scheduled a board meeting for June 24, 2026, to review and approve financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and to authorize their publication.Narrative-Update • Jun 03
TCOM: AI Expansion And Global Partnerships Should Support Future Overseas Demand
Analysts have inched their price target for Trip.com Group higher to about $77.06 from around $76.91, citing updated fair value estimates, a slightly revised discount rate, and a modest adjustment to expected future P/E levels. What's in the News Trip.com Group hosted its Envision 2026 Global Partner Conference, highlighting new artificial intelligence tools aimed at more personalized travel experiences in the Attractions & Tours segment.Narrative-Update • May 13
TCOM: Solid Q4 Execution And Reinvestment Should Support Future Overseas Demand
Trip.com Group’s updated analyst price target has been reset to $75, as analysts factor in slightly lower sector valuation multiples, recent Q4 revenue strength across segments, and some margin pressure from reinvestment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trip.com Group points to a mixed but generally constructive stance, with multiple firms trimming price targets while maintaining positive ratings on the stock.Narrative-Update • Apr 28
TCOM: Solid Q4 Execution And Conservative Guidance Will Support Future Overseas Demand
Trip.com Group's updated analyst price target has edged down by a small amount, aligning with a series of recent Street target cuts into a $68 to $79 range, as analysts factor in slightly adjusted revenue growth and margin assumptions while still highlighting solid Q4 execution and broadly constructive views on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary clusters around lower price targets for Trip.com Group but still generally positive views on execution and long term growth potential.Narrative-Update • Apr 11
TCOM: Q4 Execution And Regulatory Resolution Will Support Future Overseas Demand
Trip.com Group's fair value estimate edges up to $76.50 as analysts trim formal price targets into a $68 to $79 range, reflecting sector wide multiple compression, Q4 revenue that slightly topped expectations, and updated margin assumptions tied to reinvestment. Analyst Commentary Across the Street, analysts have reset their price targets for Trip.com Group into a tighter range while keeping largely positive ratings, pointing to a balance of solid execution and valuation caution.Narrative-Update • Mar 27
TCOM: Q4 Execution And Regulatory Resolution Will Support Long-Term Overseas Demand
The updated analyst price target for Trip.com Group has edged slightly lower to approximately $76.21. Analysts point to reduced industry multiples and some margin pressure, despite broadly solid Q4 revenue performance and generally supportive ratings.Narrative-Update • Mar 11
TCOM: Regulatory Probe Resolution Will Support Long-Term Overseas Travel Demand
The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has been reduced from $87.08 to $76.26, as analysts factor in slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, a lower future P/E of 18.80 versus 21.60, and recent target cuts into the $68 to $79 range despite ongoing positive views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Trip.com Group reflects a mix of optimism on the core business and caution on valuation, margins, and regulatory headlines.Narrative-Update • Feb 24
TCOM: Regulatory Probe Resilience Will Support Long-Term Overseas Travel Strength
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Trip.com Group price target to about $87, reflecting slightly lower discount rate and P/E assumptions, while factoring in recent regulatory probe commentary that suggests limited long term impact on the company’s industry position. Analyst Commentary Street research around the recent regulatory probe is split, with some focusing on valuation support and others on potential near term share price pressure and execution risk.Narrative-Update • Feb 10
TCOM: Overseas Travel Strength Will Offset Regulatory Probe Concerns
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Trip.com Group to about $86.91 from $87.05, reflecting a marginally higher discount rate and updated views on the recent regulatory probe, as well as earlier positive readings of Q3 performance and raised Q4 expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to Q3 results that were described as solid, with hotel bookings during the summer holidays and October's Golden Week supporting the recent fair value work and helping underpin confidence in Trip.com Group's execution.Narrative-Update • Jan 27
TCOM: Overseas Travel Demand And Solid Q3 Execution Will Support Upside
Narrative Update: Trip.com Group Analyst Price Target Analysts have made only a marginal adjustment to their valuation framework for Trip.com Group, with a slightly lower fair value estimate of about US$87 per share. This reflects modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that are informed by recent research highlighting solid Q3 results, a raised Q4 outlook and ongoing attention to the recent regulatory probe.Narrative-Update • Jan 12
TCOM: Overseas Holiday Demand Will Support Q4 Momentum And Earnings Upside
Narrative Update on Trip.com Group The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has been revised higher by about US$1, supported by Street research highlighting Q3 results that were better than expected and strong holiday driven travel demand carrying into Q4. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Trip.com Group has focused on the Q3 performance and the updated view for Q4, with price targets moving higher as analysts reassess the balance between growth, execution and valuation.Analyseartikel • Jan 04
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Trip.com Group Limited's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Earnings Yet
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x Trip.com Group Limited ( NASDAQ:TCOM ) may be sending bullish...Narrative-Update • Dec 14
TCOM: Overseas Holiday Demand Will Drive Q4 Momentum And Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Trip.com Group modestly higher to approximately $86 per share from about $85, citing stronger than expected Q3 performance and an improving Q4 outlook supported by resilient travel demand despite broader consumption headwinds. Analyst Commentary Analyst commentary around Trip.com Group remains largely constructive, with recent target hikes reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to execute on growth initiatives despite a softer macro consumption backdrop.Narrative-Update • Nov 27
TCOM: Overseas Travel Strength Will Drive Q4 Momentum And Profitability
The analyst price target for Trip.com Group has increased from $83.78 to $85.81. This change reflects continued confidence in the company's strong results and improved revenue outlook, as noted by analysts following its robust Q3 performance and resilient travel demand.Narrative-Update • Nov 11
TCOM: Revenue Momentum And Margins Will Be Driven By Inbound Travel
Trip.com Group's analyst price target has been slightly increased to $83.78 from $83.58. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected revenue and margin performance, along with robust volume growth overcoming pricing pressures.Analyseartikel • Nov 03
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Trip.com Group's (NASDAQ:TCOM) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Narrative-Update • Oct 28
International Tourism Momentum Will Lift Asia-Pacific Travel Sector Through 2025
Trip.com Group's analyst price target has been nudged slightly higher to $83.58 per share from $83.54. Analysts point to stronger-than-expected Q2 results and incremental growth in inbound travel as supporting factors for the modest upward revision.Narrative-Update • Oct 05
Expanding Asia-Pacific Market Will Drive International Tourism
Analysts have raised their price target for Trip.com Group, increasing it from about $82.70 to $83.54. They cite stronger-than-expected revenue growth and improving profit margins in the latest quarter.Narrative-Update • Aug 29
Promoting Inbound Travel And Rural Revitalization In China Will Support Sustainable Long-Term Growth
The consensus Analyst Price Target for Trip.com Group has risen to $79.15, primarily reflecting a sharp decline in the company’s future P/E ratio, while revenue growth expectations remain stable. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 7,000,000 shares (1.06%) for $400 million under the buyback announced in February 2025.Analyseartikel • Aug 20
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM)
NasdaqGS:TCOM 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Trip.com Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analyseartikel • Jul 31
With EPS Growth And More, Trip.com Group (NASDAQ:TCOM) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Seeking Alpha • Feb 27
Trip.com: Navigating Global Expansion Amid Domestic Headwinds
Summary Trip.com reported strong Q4 results, with revenue growth of 23% y/y, but margins fell short due to international market investments. US shares dipped, but Hong Kong shares rose; recommend buying on the dip due to promising international expansion and reasonable margin traction. Valued at 15x forward EBITDA, implying $79/share and a 37% upside; investment in Trip.com app crucial for diversifying revenue streams. Risks include reliance on China's domestic tourism and potential increased spending on global expansion, possibly leading to multiple contraction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 23
Trip.com Group Stock: Growth Momentum Remains Strong
Summary Trip.com Group Limited's growth has remained strong, with Q3 earnings beating Wall Street's expectations through rapid growth and operating leverage. Growth prospects remain good with continued normalization in Chinese tourism and fairly good economic growth. TCOM stock remains valued with a fair margin of safety, as I estimate 13% upside to a fair value of $76. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Neues Narrative • Nov 24
China's Resilient Travel Market Spurs Revenue Growth And Global Expansion Excitement
Resilient domestic and cross-border travel, combined with personalized experiences, will enhance Trip.com's revenue growth and potentially improve margins.Seeking Alpha • Nov 19
Trip.com: Beyond Its Recovery Story Of 2024
Summary Trip.com has a strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves, but its volatile revenue growth rates and reliance on China's economy are concerning. Despite a 65% stock increase in 2024, the unpredictable growth rates and limited financial transparency under IFRS reporting make me cautious. The stock is priced at 16x EBITDA, which is somewhat appealing, but the risk-reward profile doesn't align with my Inflection investing strategy. Given the uncertainties, I prefer to stay neutral and avoid taking a position on TCOM at this time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 30
Trip.com: Chinese Travel Trends Suggest Continued Growth
Summary Trip.com Group Limited is well-positioned to capture growth from the growing Chinese travel industry. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a massive decline in especially TCOM's 2020–2022 revenues, but the following tourism recovery has led to recently incredibly strong growth momentum, looking to strengthen TCOM's Q3. TCOM stock is valued with a slight undervaluation, still falling within a margin of safety, as the industry also has cheaper alternative investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 27
Trip.com: The Hottest Consumer Market In China
Summary Trip.com is a leading online travel agent in China, controlling 50% of the market, with strong growth prospects due to eased travel restrictions and increasing international flight capacity. The company trades at 14X forward earnings, lower than international peers, but corporate governance issues and a lack of shareholder returns are significant concerns. Despite generating strong cash flow, TCOM has not paid dividends and has engaged in limited share buybacks, raising red flags about capital allocation. We recommend holding off on buying Trip.com stock until a more shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy is adopted. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 24
Trip.com: Arriving At Buy Territory
Summary Trip.com offers exposure to the Chinese recovery with decent revenue growth and margin expansion due to economic recovery and diversified revenue streams. Despite share dilution, TCOM's business model, network effect, and potential outbound travel recovery make it a compelling investment option if you tolerate the Chinese stock risks. Expectations for TCOM include margin expansion, capitalizing on outbound travel recovery, revenue growth stabilization, and continued share dilution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 83,488 | 19,342 | 19,393 | N/A | 21 |
| 12/31/2027 | 75,711 | 17,519 | 18,451 | N/A | 31 |
| 12/31/2026 | 67,813 | 14,342 | 15,189 | N/A | 29 |
| 3/31/2026 | 64,787 | 31,516 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 62,409 | 33,294 | 13,582 | 14,379 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 59,755 | 31,170 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 57,290 | 18,045 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 55,219 | 17,032 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 53,294 | 17,067 | 19,034 | 19,625 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 50,875 | 16,207 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 48,742 | 14,057 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 47,217 | 10,855 | 20,665 | 21,282 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 44,510 | 9,918 | 21,398 | 22,004 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 39,212 | 10,678 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 32,364 | 6,329 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 25,128 | 5,767 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 20,039 | 1,403 | 2,143 | 2,641 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 19,693 | -1,488 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 18,145 | -2,603 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 20,024 | -3,319 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 20,023 | -550 | 1,904 | 2,475 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20,306 | 1,288 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 20,424 | 3,715 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 17,693 | 3,886 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 18,316 | -3,247 | -4,355 | -3,823 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 21,687 | -2,243 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 26,701 | -3,028 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 32,233 | -2,955 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 35,666 | 7,011 | N/A | 7,333 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 34,891 | 3,813 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 33,770 | 1,881 | N/A | 8,649 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 32,398 | 4,665 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 30,965 | 1,112 | N/A | 7,115 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 29,581 | 2,654 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 28,345 | 5,187 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 27,482 | 3,163 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 26,796 | 2,155 | N/A | 7,069 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 25,687 | 2,449 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 23,140 | 1,079 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 21,095 | 200 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 19,245 | -1,418 | N/A | 5,270 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 17,035 | -2,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 14,645 | 391 | N/A | 1,472 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 12,761 | 1,055 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 10,898 | 2,508 | N/A | 3,049 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 9,937 | 2,208 | N/A | 1,498 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: TCOMFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-17.6% pro Jahr).
Ertrag vs. Markt: TCOMFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-17.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: TCOMFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird mit einem Rückgang der Erträge gerechnet.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: TCOMDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (12.6% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: TCOMDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: TCOMDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (8.4%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/07/21 13:51 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/07/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/03/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Trip.com Group Limited wird von 71 Analysten beobachtet. 31 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Alicia Yap | Barclays |
| Yanfang Jiang | Benchmark Company |