Microsoft（MSFT）株式概要
テクノロジー企業であるマイクロソフト社は、世界中の個人および企業向けに、さまざまなテクノロジーソリューションを開発・提供しています。 詳細
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Microsoft Corporation 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$495.63 |
| 52週高値 | US$553.72 |
| 52週安値 | US$349.20 |
| ベータ | 1.11 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | -0.25% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 26.84% |
| 1年変化 | -2.80% |
| 3年間の変化 | 50.09% |
| 5年間の変化 | 65.28% |
| IPOからの変化 | 509,692.02% |
最新ニュース
Seeking Alpha • 12h
Microsoft: Big Tech Winner Still On Sale
Summary Microsoft is rated a buy, supported by strong Azure growth, Copilot adoption, and a valuation discount to historical averages. Azure revenue surged 43% with demand outpacing supply; guidance calls for further acceleration to 45% growth next quarter. Copilot reached 30 million paying seats, up 50% quarter-over-quarter, and is positioned as a core AI orchestration layer for enterprises. Despite OpenAI partnership risks, MSFT's broad-based demand, integrated AI strategy, and discounted PEG present a compelling entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 04
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Azure Demand Will Support Future Leadership
Analysts are nudging fair value for Microsoft higher to $572.92, reflecting richer AI driven revenue assumptions tied to Azure and M365 Copilot adoption, while tempering profit margins and using a lower future P/E in line with the recent wave of higher Street price targets that cluster in the $510 to $700 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Microsoft highlights a clear divide between bullish analysts who see AI as a long runway for growth and those who are more cautious about margins, capital intensity, and valuation.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • 12h
Microsoft: Big Tech Winner Still On Sale
Summary Microsoft is rated a buy, supported by strong Azure growth, Copilot adoption, and a valuation discount to historical averages. Azure revenue surged 43% with demand outpacing supply; guidance calls for further acceleration to 45% growth next quarter. Copilot reached 30 million paying seats, up 50% quarter-over-quarter, and is positioned as a core AI orchestration layer for enterprises. Despite OpenAI partnership risks, MSFT's broad-based demand, integrated AI strategy, and discounted PEG present a compelling entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブ更新 • Sep 04
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Azure Demand Will Support Future Leadership
Analysts are nudging fair value for Microsoft higher to $572.92, reflecting richer AI driven revenue assumptions tied to Azure and M365 Copilot adoption, while tempering profit margins and using a lower future P/E in line with the recent wave of higher Street price targets that cluster in the $510 to $700 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Microsoft highlights a clear divide between bullish analysts who see AI as a long runway for growth and those who are more cautious about margins, capital intensity, and valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 03
Has the business thesis improved?
Microsoft’s AI thesis is working—but cash returns must justify a ~27.5× FY2029 P/E Microsoft’s FY2026 results strengthened my long-term company thesis. Revenue reached $331.8 billion, the operating margin was 46.8%, Azure surpassed $100 billion of annual revenue on the newly restated basis, Microsoft 365 Copilot exceeded 30 million paid seats, and commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion.新しいナラティブ • Sep 03
Microsoft: Quality Compounder Buying the AI Backbone
I'm buying Microsoft as a long-term core holding (10–15+ years) because it is, in my view, the best-positioned incumbent to convert the AI cycle into durable, recurring cash flow. This isn't a bet on a single product — it's a bet on an ecosystem: Azure as the cloud backbone, Microsoft 365 + Copilot embedding AI into the daily workflow of hundreds of millions of enterprise users, GitHub, Dynamics, security, and the OpenAI relationship.
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 19
MSFT: AI Infrastructure And Custom Chips Will Sustain Premium Earnings Multiples
Microsoft's updated analyst price target framework reflects a higher fair value estimate of $717.92, with analysts pointing to the company's AI driven Azure and M365 Commercial Cloud growth, stronger profit margin assumptions, and a lower projected future P/E multiple as key supports for the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a broadly constructive tone around Microsoft, with many bullish analysts updating price targets and reiterating confidence in the company’s AI centric cloud strategy.新しいナラティブ • Aug 05
Earnings Grew 22%, Not 31%, And The Difference Is OpenAI Accounting
Correct the growth rate first. GAAP net income rose 31%.
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 05
MSFT: AI Data Center Capex Will Pressure Margins And Cash Flows
Microsoft's updated fair value estimate has moved up by around $9 to $422.83 per share as analysts factor in higher expected profit margins and sustained AI driven demand for Azure and Copilot, reflected in a series of recent price target revisions that often sit in the $500 to $650 range. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft highlights a clear split between bullish long term AI optimism and more cautious voices that are focused on valuation, capital intensity, and execution around Azure and Copilot.分析記事 • Aug 01
Earnings Update: Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) Just Reported Its Annual Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 22% over the past week following Microsoft Corporation 's...
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 01
Microsoft Made $26.7 Billion More and Brought Home Less Cash. The Stock Jumped 15% in a Single Day.
Best year in the company's history. Record margins.
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 01
10-K Update
Updated with the most recent annual report.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 31
Microsoft (MSFT): The Toll Road Just Sent Its First Real Invoice
The Quarter That Answered the Question I Left Open Two weeks ago I closed this narrative with a question I genuinely couldn't answer: when does a $190 billion capex number stop looking like vertigo and start looking like foresight? I said nobody knew, and that not knowing was what made this a real bet rather than an obvious one.ナラティブ更新 • Jul 22
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Spending Will Support Premium Multiples Over Longer Horizon
Microsoft's analyst price targets have edged lower, with several firms trimming objectives by amounts such as $25 to $115, while still pointing to Azure, Copilot, AI driven demand and tighter cost control as key supports for the long term thesis and for updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Microsoft continues to center on how its AI and cloud spending filters through to growth, profitability and valuation.
新しいナラティブ • Jul 19
Is Microsoft on sale? and Its Case in the AI Race
(This story appeared on my substack page around a week ago: https://open.substack.com/pub/piproberts25/p/is-microsoft-on-sale-and-its-case?r=6kjdcg&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web ) Last October, Microsoft was trading at around US$540 per share. Today it trades closer to US$385.新しいナラティブ • Jul 13
Microsoft (MSFT): The AI Bull Case Everyone Sees, Trading at a Multiple Nobody's Willing to Pay
What Microsoft Actually Does (And Why the Bear Case Misreads It) Most retail investors think of Microsoft as "the Windows and Office company that also does AI now." That framing is about eight years out of date. Microsoft today is a three-headed compounding machine — enterprise productivity software, cloud infrastructure, and, increasingly, the metering layer for the entire AI economy — and the third head is growing fast enough to change how the other two should be valued.
新しいナラティブ • Jul 06
Microsoft Are Industry Leaders at a Heavy Discount
Microsoft's decline in value over the last year is not surprising, but whether or not it was deserved is another thing entirely. Similar to their peers, a lot of money has been spent developing their AI infrastructure.新しいナラティブ • Jul 04
A wonderful business at reasonable price.
Microsoft rarely goes on sale, so it's worth paying attention when the multiple compresses. At around $380, the stock trades at roughly 22–23x trailing earnings and ~14x EV/EBITDA, well below its own seven year historical range.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 30
MSFT: AI Infrastructure And OpenAI Stake Will Drive Future Upside
Microsoft's updated analyst narrative reflects a lower implied fair value of about $413 per share, compared with roughly $438 previously, as analysts trim long term gross margin assumptions and future P/E expectations while still recognizing higher modeled revenue growth and profitability tied to the company's AI positioning and recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Microsoft highlights a split view, with some firms still constructive on the company's AI roadmap while a separate group of bearish analysts has been trimming price targets and reassessing long term assumptions.分析記事 • Jun 19
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Could Be 18.6% Undervalued After China AI Push and Copilot Reset
Microsoft (MSFT) is back in focus after two linked moves: rapid expansion of its Azure hosted OpenAI services in China and a reset of Copilot Cowork pricing and underlying AI models. See our latest analysis for Microsoft. Despite a long list of AI partnerships and new products like Copilot Cowork, Microsoft’s recent share price performance has been weak, with the stock down 19.8% year to date on a share price basis and total shareholder return declining 20.4% over the past year. However,...ナラティブ更新 • Jun 16
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Commercial Backlog Will Drive Future Leadership
Analysts have nudged the Microsoft price target higher by $0.50 to reflect slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights Microsoft's positioning in AI software and its progress on capacity, models and Copilot. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft shows an active debate around how much AI should influence valuation, with both supportive and cautious voices adjusting their targets and views.分析記事 • Jun 12
Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass
Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.分析記事 • Jun 12
Software stocks just gave investors a masterclass
Software stocks crashed on fears AI would make them obsolete, then they came roaring back. This edition of Market Insights aims to hand investors a repeatable playbook for separating real risk from market panic.ナラティブ更新 • Jun 01
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Cloud Backlog Will Support Long-Term Leadership
Narrative Update on Microsoft Microsoft's analyst price target framework has been refined with a slightly lower fair value of about $560.89. This reflects analyst views that stronger revenue growth tied to AI initiatives is being balanced by modestly lower margin expectations and a slightly higher required return.
新しいナラティブ • May 21
Microsoft no es una apuesta. Es una franquicia global de la que se puede ser socio durante décadas.
Copilot me ha creado un investment memo ampliado al estilo Warren Buffett , usando exclusivamente datos verificables de Investor Relations de Microsoft (earnings, 10‑Q, reports) y manteniendo un tono sobrio, basado en principios de inversión a largo plazo. Investment Memo – Microsoft (MSFT) (Estilo Buffett: negocio, moat, retorno sobre capital, disciplina de precio) 1.ナラティブ更新 • May 11
Microsoft's enterprise cash-flow durability stays unmatched despite near-term margin pressures
Microsoft’s long‑term economic value remains grounded in the same core reality: the company’s enterprise cash‑flow durability continues to be unmatched. High‑retention subscription economics, entrenched operating‑system and productivity moats, and the scale advantages of Azure still anchor Microsoft’s intrinsic worth far more than any short‑term growth narrative.新しいナラティブ • May 10
Microsoft will achieve a future PE ratio of 24.626979x by leveraging strong growth
Valuation In 3–5 years, I think Microsoft becomes even more dominant in enterprise AI, cloud infrastructure, and productivity software. Azure and Copilot are probably the biggest growth drivers, while Windows, Office, LinkedIn, GitHub, and gaming remain huge cash generators.分析記事 • May 02
Microsoft Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Microsoft Corporation ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) released its third-quarter result to the...ナラティブ更新 • May 02
Microsoft Just Had a Quarter for the History Books. I Still Haven't Bought a Share.
In late March I told you the fundamentals were a fortress and the price had not caught up to the fear yet. The fear faded.ナラティブ更新 • May 02
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Drive Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Microsoft, reflecting a lower assumed fair value of around $562 and a reduced future P/E of roughly 28x. This comes even as they continue to reference solid revenue growth assumptions and mixed reactions to recent OpenAI and AI infrastructure updates across the latest research reports.新しいナラティブ • Apr 30
AI Infrastructure And Enterprise Agents Will Reshape Long Term Earnings Power
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that offers cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms, business applications, security products and consumer services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブ更新 • Apr 18
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Heavy Data Center Commitments Will Sustain Leadership
Microsoft's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $579.57, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect a mix of reduced P/E assumptions, along with expectations for revenue growth and profit margins tied to AI and cloud spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate price targets and ratings around AI, cloud spending, and capital intensity.新しいナラティブ • Apr 16
AI Infrastructure Constraints Will Pressure Cloud Margins Yet Support Stable Long Term Earnings
Catalysts About Microsoft Microsoft is a global technology company that provides cloud services, productivity software, AI platforms and related hardware and services to enterprise, government and consumer customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?新しいナラティブ • Apr 13
Microsoft Could Reach $600 Over the Next Five Years
Microsoft has a strong path to $600 over the next five years because it combines durable growth, elite profitability, and a leadership position in AI, cloud, and enterprise software. Its recurring revenue base makes earnings more predictable, while Azure, Microsoft 365, and its AI products give it multiple ways to compound value over time.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 03
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Microsoft's analyst price target has been modestly trimmed as the fair value estimate shifts from $594.62 to $587.31, reflecting a round of target reductions and mixed views on AI related risks and opportunities, even as several firms maintain positive long term opinions on the company's role in software and infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Microsoft shows a split view, with many research houses trimming price targets while still seeing long term potential, and a smaller group turning more cautious on AI related execution risks, valuation, and competitive threats.新しいナラティブ • Mar 29
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 19
MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership
Analysts have made a small cut to the Microsoft analyst price target, trimming fair value by about $1 to $594.62 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft presents a mixed but detailed picture, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they recalibrate expectations around AI, capital spending, and long term growth assumptions.株主還元
| MSFT | US Software | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.8% | -2.1% | -1.0% |
| 1Y | -2.8% | -9.0% | 14.1% |
業界別リターン: MSFT過去 1 年間で-9 % の収益を上げたUS Software業界を上回りました。
リターン対市場: MSFTは、過去 1 年間で14.1 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| MSFT volatility | |
|---|---|
| MSFT Average Weekly Movement | 6.1% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
安定した株価: MSFT 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: MSFTの 週次ボラティリティ ( 6% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 223,000 | Satya Nadella | www.microsoft.com |
テクノロジー企業であるマイクロソフト社は、世界中の個人および企業向けに、さまざまなテクノロジーソリューションを開発・提供しています。同社の製品には、オペレーティングシステム、サーバーアプリケーション、ビジネスソリューションアプリケーション、ソフトウェア開発ツール、デスクトップおよびサーバー管理ツール、ビデオゲームのほか、PC、タブレット、ゲーム機やエンターテインメントコンソール、その他のスマートデバイス、および関連アクセサリーなどのデバイスが含まれます。 同社の「生産性およびビジネスプロセス」セグメントでは、Microsoft 365 Commercial、Enterprise Mobility + Security、Power BI、Exchange、SharePoint、Microsoft Teams、Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance、Microsoft 365 Copilot、およびオンプレミス版のWindows CommercialやOfficeライセンスを提供しています。 また、このセグメントでは、Microsoft 365コンシューマー向け製品およびクラウドサービス、人材ソリューション、マーケティングソリューション、サブスクリプション、営業ソリューションを含むLinkedIn、クラウドベースのアプリケーション群であるDynamics 365、ならびにオンプレミス型ERPおよびCRMアプリケーションも提供しています。 「インテリジェント・クラウド」セグメントでは、サーバー製品およびクラウドサービス、クラウドおよびAIの利用量ベースのサービス、GitHubクラウドサービス、ヘルスケアおよびライフサイエンス向けクラウドサービス、仮想デスクトップソリューション、その他のクラウドサービスを提供している。 SQL Server、Windows Server、Visual Studio、System Center、および関連するクライアントアクセスライセンス；ならびにエンタープライズサポートサービス、業界別ソリューション、Microsoftパートナーネットワーク、および学習体験を提供しています。同社の「More Personal Computing」セグメントは、Windows OEMライセンスおよびSurfaceやPCアクセサリーからなるデバイス；XBOXハードウェア、ならびにXBOXの自社およびサードパーティ製コンテンツおよびサービス； Xbox Game Passおよびその他のサブスクリプション；Xbox Cloud Gaming、広告、その他のクラウドサービス；ならびにBing、Copilot、Microsoft News、Microsoft Edge、およびサードパーティ提携先からなる検索広告を提供しています。同社はパートナーや小売ネットワークを通じて製品を販売しています。同社は1975年に設立され、ワシントン州レドモンドに本社を置いています。
Microsoft Corporation 基礎のまとめ
| MSFT 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$3.68t |
| 収益（TTM） | US$133.75b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$331.84b |
27.5x
PER（株価収益率11.1x
P/SレシオMSFT は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| MSFT 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$331.84b |
| 売上原価 | US$106.37b |
| 売上総利益 | US$225.47b |
| その他の費用 | US$91.72b |
| 収益 | US$133.75b |
直近の収益報告
Jun 30, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 18.01 |
| グロス・マージン | 67.94% |
| 純利益率 | 40.31% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 9.1% |
MSFT の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る配当金
0.7%
現在の配当利回り20%
配当性向企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/09/12 01:35 |
| 終値 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/06/30 |
| 年間収益 | 2026/06/30 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Microsoft Corporation 51 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。84
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Kadambari Daptardar | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Joseph Bonner | Argus Research Company |