Palantir Technologies 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /66
Palantir Technologies利益と収益がそれぞれ年間31.8%と30.2%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に29.8% 28.9%なると予測されています。
主要情報
31.8%
収益成長率
28.90%
EPS成長率
| Software 収益成長 | 19.8% |
| 収益成長率 | 30.2% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 29.84% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 22 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
Palantir: Still Not Enough Evidence For A Sell Case Here
Summary Palantir Technologies Inc. remains a Hold due to strong growth offset by persistent overvaluation and significant SBC and dilution risks. PLTR's AIP platform drives accelerating commercial revenue, gross margin expansion, and broader customer adoption, supporting premium pricing. Stock-based compensation and tax-deferred asset risks loom, but PLTR's $7.47B investment portfolio and rising interest income partially hedge these pressures. Despite high valuation and dilution overhang, PLTR's robust earnings, cash position, and strategic flexibility preclude a Sell rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir Will Anchor AI-Driven Growth in the Next Five Years
Palantir is evolving into the defining AI infrastructure company for the West, and its Q1 2026 results made that unmistakably clear. With U.S. revenue up 104% year over year, record deal value approaching $12B, and operational deployments like GE Aerospace’s 26% production lift and the Navy’s ShipOS cutting approval times from 200 hours to 15 seconds, Palantir is proving that AIP is not a demo—it’s the first real enterprise‑scale AI platform.Palantir is strategic geopolitical asset at the intersection of AI, defense, and Western alliances.
Investment Memorandum – Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) Date: May 2026 1.My take on Palantir
For me, the story behind this company is the following. I read Alex Carpe's book, The Philosopher in the Valley, and I loved how structured and driven he was.Analysis of Palantir Technologies: Commercial Acceleration and Financial Maturity
Palantir Technologies Inc. has evolved from a specialized government contractor into a broad-market software provider.Palantir: High-Quality AI Infrastructure, but Valuation Leaves Little Room for Error
Palantir’s story is about becoming the decision engine inside complex organisations. While it is often described as an artificial intelligence company, its real strength lies in integrating data, software, and operational workflows into systems that organisations depend on to make critical decisions.Valuation Analysis of Palantir Technologies: Growth Assumptions and Market Expectations
Palantir Technologies builds software that allows governments and large organisations to integrate, analyse, and act on complex data. It's platforms, such as Gotham for defence and intelligence and Foundry for commercial enterprises, help users make operational and strategic decisions.Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR)
Shareholders in Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just...Stepping Aside on Palantir
I’ve exited my Palantir position, expecting lower prices. We could revisit the 120–107 range.The Architect of Sovereignty: Palantir’s Premium Paradox at $149
Palantir’s journey into 2026 is the story of a "Black Box" defense contractor that successfully transformed into the central nervous system of the global enterprise. Once whispered about in the halls of intelligence agencies, the company’s Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) has moved from secretive government basements to the front lines of heavy industry and sovereign AI alliances.Palantir Stock: AI Flywheel Is Now a Cash Machine
Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) just delivered what may be its most important quarter yet. Revenue grew 63% year-over-year to $1.18 billion , while profitability reached new highs with 40% GAAP net income margins.Palantir: Redefining Enterprise Software for the AI Era
Palantir Did It Again! Palantir came into Q2 priced for perfection...Palantir: Redefining Enterprise Software for the AI Era
Palantir Did It Again! Palantir came into Q2 priced for perfection...Palantir Q1 Earnings Preview: Nothing Stops The AI Train
Summary I reiterate my "buy" rating for Palantir as the company reports its Q1 earnings on 5th of May, where revenue and EPS are expected to grow 35.9% and 62.9% YoY respectively. I had upgraded my rating to “buy” in March on the back of a strong Q4 FY24 earnings and since then the stock is up 25%, hugely outperforming the S&P500. The last two weeks saw some notable developments in the federal space, where NATO acquired Palantir’s Maven Smart System and it also teamed up with Google for its FedStart initiative. Despite a noisy macro backdrop, AI continues to remain a robust growth vector as is evidenced by latest earnings reports from ASML, TSMC, Google and ServiceNow. As a result, I remain optimistic that Palantir is headed higher as we enter the application phase of the AI Revolution, with a price target of $134. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir Scores Large Contracts Going Into Q1'25 Reporting
Summary Palantir Technologies is expected to report strong q1'25 earnings, driven by significant new contracts in the banking, defense, and industrial markets. Reshoring manufacturing may drive the expansion of Palantir Warp Speed, a platform that can orchestrate industrial automation. The firm’s capital-light operating structure and strategic growth initiatives support stronger margins as revenue scales. Despite high valuation risks, Palantir's dominance in AI and robust growth justify the premium, with potential for further gains in defense and industrial sectors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir's Meltdown Is Well Deserved - Upgrade To Hold
Summary Palantir, PLTR's stock has drastically pulled back by -40.9% due to the bursting AI bubble and the macroeconomic/geopolitical uncertainties, despite its leading AI platform and minimal competition. The stock's extremely expensive valuations and exhausted buying power have also contributed to the painful selloff, with DOGE spending cuts/higher recessionary risks potentially impacting its prospects. Despite the correction, PLTR remains inflated compared to peers, with the limited near-term recovery catalysts yet deserving a Buy rating. Given the ongoing uncertainties, interested investors are advised to wait for further pullbacks to the 200 DMA/$57 ranges for an improved margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: It's Like Nvidia In 2022 (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Palantir's Q4 FY24 revenue surged 36% YoY, beating expectations by 7.6%, with FY25 revenue projected to grow above 31%, driven by AIP's 54% YoY growth. Palantir's US Commercial and Government segments saw accelerated growth, with US Commercial revenue up 64% YoY and Government revenue up 45% YoY. Despite a high valuation, Palantir's earnings are expected to grow at a 50% CAGR over the next three years, with revenue growing in the 30%+ range, justifying a premium price target of $136. With declining cost per token for inference set to explode compute demand and organizations building with AI, Palantir is at an inflection point in the AI Revolution, warranting a “buy "rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: AIP Con Solidified Its Future But Too Much Upside Is Priced In
Summary Palantir has shown impressive growth, closing 660 deals worth at least $1 million and achieving a 272.61% return over the past year. Despite strong business metrics, I believe Palantir's current valuation is dangerous and could lead to significant short-term downside. Risks include high valuation, increased competition, and heavy reliance on interest income and stock-based compensation, which dilutes shareholders. While I remain long-term bullish, I wouldn't add to my position unless Palantir's share price drops significantly, ideally to around $33. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: The Knife Can Fall More (Technical Analysis)
Summary Potential investors for Palantir are probably tempted to bottom fish amid the recent selloff. However, my technical analysis indicates a "falling knife" scenario. The stock price has fallen below key support levels, and I expect heightened volatility ahead by the widened Bollinger Bands. In terms of business operations, PLTR's balance of growth and profit (with a rule of 40 score of 68) could support sustainable growth. Due to these mixed signals, I recommend caution and will remain on the sidelines. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir Will Benefit From Government Efficiency
Summary Palantir may benefit from the Department of Government Efficiency bringing forth spending inefficiencies across government agencies, potentially driving stronger investment is Palantir's AI platforms. Palantir may also benefit from the reshoring of manufacturing operations with its Warp Speed offering and usher in Industry 4.0. I believe PLTR shares may have overshot their intrinsic value in the recent sell-off following the suggestion of reallocation of spending at the DoD. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir's Insane Valuations: Lessons From The Dot-Com Bubble
Summary Palantir's high growth in revenue and operating income is overshadowed by significant reliance on interest income and heavy stock-based compensation, leading to investor dilution. Insider selling at Palantir is rampant, signaling potential overvaluation, and posing headwinds to continued further upside. Valuation metrics suggest it would take 17–20 years for investors to recover their investment, highlighting the stock's excessive and irrational pricing. Drawing parallels to the Dot-Com bubble, I recommend cashing in gains and reallocating to stocks with more reasonable valuations like Alphabet, Meta, or Netflix. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir - 92 Times Sales Is Absurd (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Palantir stock traded at 92 times sales and 617 times GAAP earnings when this article was written. Its free cash flow was $0.51 per share in the TTM period. It would take decades for that to add up to the current stock price even if Palantir's historical 25% FCF growth rate persisted. Basically Palantir cannot pay back its investors what they are paying for it today in a reasonable timeframe. Palantir is a strong company, but it is approaching a 2000 tech bubble-like valuation. There'll probably be a major correction at some point. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: A Pivotal Quarter That Changes The Whole Outlook
Summary While being the most expensive SaaS business in the market, there's a plausible narrative that Palantir may be fairly valued at a mere 30% revenue CAGR. Q4 2024 results give confidence to prior concerns of lacking customer count growth, which is a core driver of the scalability of the business. The launch and proper monetization of Palantir’s AIP product, along with its bootcamp strategy, have driven accelerated revenue growth and customer scalability. Record low customer acquisition costs and improved sales efficiency have fueled strong U.S. commercial segment growth and promising future revenue, as indicated by robust contract metrics. Palantir's growth is of extremely high quality, showcasing not only accelerating growth but also doing so while delivering margin expansion. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir Soars After Blowing Away Q4 Estimates
Summary Palantir Technologies Inc. reported a strong earnings beat, with revenue up 36% YoY and EPS beating estimates by 30%, driving PLTR shares up over 20%. The company closed 129 deals worth at least $1 million in Q4, with commercial contracts intake totaling $803 million, indicating robust future revenue. Management's 2025 guidance forecasts $3.75 billion in revenue and $1.6 billion in free cash flow, suggesting ongoing business growth acceleration. Despite strong operational performance, Palantir's high valuation at 160x free cash flow makes it less attractive compared to other high-growth AI companies like Nvidia and Broadcom. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaDeepSeek And LLM 'Commoditization': Understanding The Palantir's Bull Case
Summary I began covering Palantir Technologies Inc. in May 2024 at $24, now raising my target to $250 per share due to high expected volatility. I detail AI's evolution from LLMs to Gen AI 2.0 and AI Agents, and explain why I believe Palantir is poised to capitalize on the next wave of AI solutions. My new $250 target is grounded in the fact that AI adoption seems to be exceeding that of SaaS, expected to hit $175-250 billion by 2027 according to McKinsey. Despite market concerns, I view DeepSeek's impact as overstated, and I doubt their $6 million development cost. I think LLM “commoditization” will benefit Palantir by providing cheaper, efficient AI solutions. The Trump administration's deregulation and ties with Silicon Valley, including Palantir, acts as a further catalyst for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: Buyer Beware, Momentum Cuts Both Ways (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Palantir Technologies Inc.'s stock skyrocketed in 2024, driven largely by trading multiple expansion and to a lesser extent by fundamental business performance. The stock's Price-to-Sales ratio has soared to 65x, reflecting investor enthusiasm for AI despite the absence of Nvidia-like hypergrowth at Palantir. A reverse DCF model reveals the unrealistic sales growth expectations baked into PLTR's current market pricing, suggesting overvaluation. Given the inflated valuation and terrible risk/reward, I am downgrading PLTR stock to a “Strong Sell.”. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir To Face DOGE: Potential Bogeyman Through The Next 4 Years
Summary Palantir's valuation is excessively high, trading at 55x revenue and 161x free cash flow, significantly above peers like Nvidia and Snowflake. DOGE's push for transparency and cost efficiency threatens Palantir's government contracts, adding to risks from high costs, long sales cycles, and proprietary systems. Profitability concerns based on heavy reliance on share-based compensation, and labor-intensive, long-dated product delivery cycles. Moreover, Palantir faces competitive pressures from Snowflake, Databricks, and Microsoft Azure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: 20% Correction After A 4x Run Means Little (Technical Analysis)
Summary Palantir Technologies Inc. stock is in a technical bear market, down 20% from its all-time high. Analysts predict a 20% annual EPS growth, but even with a 30% growth assumption, PLTR stock trades at 50 times the projected 2029 EPS. Sentiment is changing, which is good for the contrarian in me. Consider selling cash-secured puts or covered calls to profit from volatility and secure better entry points or premiums. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir Technologies will see a 25% revenue surge in 3 years
Given the valuation data provided, and drawing from broader market sentiment and historical trends, here's an analysis of Palantir Technologies Inc. including potential market risks:Valuation AnalysisPalantir: How Is The Options Market Positioning Itself For The New Year?
Summary Palantir's stock surged 360.6% due to AI integration, strong financial performance, strategic government contracts, and inclusion in major indices, raising its valuation significantly. The current forward P/E ratio of 173x is unsustainable, suggesting a potential correction, especially given the stock's price now exceeds analyst targets by 80%. Analyzing options trades reveals mixed sentiments: Some traders are bearish, betting on price drops, while others are bullish, expecting stability or slight increases. Given the high valuation and potential for a correction, closely monitoring options market activities can provide insights into future stock price movements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: Too Good To Sell, Too Pricey To Buy
Summary Palantir's aggressive revenue growth, solid operating leverage, and strong AI market tailwinds make it fundamentally robust and promising for long-term investors. However, the stock might face a bumpy road in early 2025 due to historically weak seasonal patterns in the first few months. I believe a 4% upside potential is not particularly attractive, especially given the recent aggressive insider selling. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPalantir: Redefining Enterprise Software for the AI Era
Palantir’s financial performance underscores its impressive growth trajectory and operational efficiency. Over the past year, earnings surged by 223%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52.4業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 16,115 | 7,189 | 8,858 | 8,520 | 15 |
| 12/31/2027 | 11,174 | 4,794 | 6,326 | 6,160 | 30 |
| 12/31/2026 | 7,720 | 3,465 | 4,318 | 4,351 | 28 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,224 | 2,282 | 2,688 | 2,723 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,475 | 1,625 | 2,101 | 2,134 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,896 | 1,095 | 1,794 | 1,818 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,441 | 763 | 1,709 | 1,730 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,115 | 571 | 1,318 | 1,335 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,866 | 462 | 1,141 | 1,154 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,646 | 477 | 980 | 995 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,479 | 405 | 696 | 708 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,334 | 299 | 641 | 654 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,225 | 210 | 697 | 712 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,125 | 147 | 475 | 490 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,045 | -48 | 375 | 403 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,985 | -256 | 346 | 376 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,906 | -374 | 184 | 224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,830 | -561 | 197 | 238 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,744 | -539 | 260 | 292 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,647 | -498 | 225 | 252 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,542 | -520 | 321 | 334 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,431 | -513 | 211 | 222 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,328 | -1,264 | 62 | 69 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,205 | -1,236 | 98 | 107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,093 | -1,166 | -309 | -297 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,000 | -1,186 | 47 | 57 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 901 | -472 | -63 | -51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 811 | -502 | -295 | -282 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 743 | -588 | N/A | -165 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 595 | -598 | N/A | -39 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: PLTRの予測収益成長率 (年間31.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: PLTRの収益 ( 31.8% ) はUS市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高成長収益: PLTRの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。
収益対市場: PLTRの収益 ( 30.2% ) US市場 ( 11.8% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: PLTRの収益 ( 30.2% ) 20%よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: PLTRの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 29.8 %)
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日(UTC時間) |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/26 14:02 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/26 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Palantir Technologies Inc. 30 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。42
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| William Power | Baird |
| Yi Fu Lee | Benchmark Company |
| Mariana Perez Mora | BofA Global Research |