Loading...
SHOP logo

Shopify Inc.NasdaqGS:SHOP 株式レポート

時価総額 US$134.0b
株価
US$103.00
US$122.5
15.9% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y-3.5%
7D2.0%
1D
ポートフォリオ価値
表示

Shopify Inc.

NasdaqGS:SHOP 株式レポート

時価総額:US$134.0b

Shopify(SHOP)株式概要

コマーステクノロジー企業であるShopify Inc.は、カナダ、米国、ヨーロッパ、中東、アフリカ、アジア太平洋地域、ラテンアメリカにおいて、様々な規模のビジネスを開始、拡大、マーケティング、運営するためのツールを提供している。 詳細

SHOP ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価1/6
将来の成長4/6
過去の実績2/6
財務の健全性6/6
配当金0/6

SHOP Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 311 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Shopify Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Shopify
過去の株価
現在の株価US$103.00
52週高値US$182.19
52週安値US$94.00
ベータ2.64
1ヶ月の変化-18.14%
3ヶ月変化-14.39%
1年変化-3.50%
3年間の変化77.01%
5年間の変化-17.70%
IPOからの変化3,910.90%

最新ニュース

ナラティブの更新 May 19

SHOP: AI Commerce Optionality And Multiple Compression Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have trimmed the Shopify price target from $110 to $105 as they incorporate more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a lower future P/E of about 60x, and slightly higher long run profit margin expectations, while Street research has broadly reset targets lower across the stock. Analyst Commentary Street research around Shopify has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and flagging risks around growth assumptions, valuation, and execution.
分析記事 May 14

There May Be Reason For Hope In Shopify's (NASDAQ:SHOP) Disappointing Earnings

Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Shopify Inc. ( NASDAQ:SHOP ). However, our analysis...
Seeking Alpha May 13

Shopify: Growth Acceleration (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Shopify is benefiting from accelerating revenue growth, driven by robust e-Commerce trends and expanding AI-powered Merchant Solutions. SHOP's Q1'26 revenue grew 34% year-over-year to $3.2B, with Merchant Solutions contributing 76% of total revenues and GMV reaching $101B (+35% Y/Y). Free cash flow surged 31% Y/Y to $476M in Q1'26, positioning SHOP for over $2.6B in FCF for FY 2026. Valuation reflects high growth expectations, but risks include potential slowing adoption of Sidekick AI and Merchant Solutions momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 19

SHOP: AI Commerce Optionality And Multiple Compression Will Shape Forward Returns

Analysts have trimmed the Shopify price target from $110 to $105 as they incorporate more moderate revenue growth assumptions, a lower future P/E of about 60x, and slightly higher long run profit margin expectations, while Street research has broadly reset targets lower across the stock. Analyst Commentary Street research around Shopify has turned more cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets and flagging risks around growth assumptions, valuation, and execution.
分析記事 May 14

There May Be Reason For Hope In Shopify's (NASDAQ:SHOP) Disappointing Earnings

Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Shopify Inc. ( NASDAQ:SHOP ). However, our analysis...
Seeking Alpha May 13

Shopify: Growth Acceleration (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Shopify is benefiting from accelerating revenue growth, driven by robust e-Commerce trends and expanding AI-powered Merchant Solutions. SHOP's Q1'26 revenue grew 34% year-over-year to $3.2B, with Merchant Solutions contributing 76% of total revenues and GMV reaching $101B (+35% Y/Y). Free cash flow surged 31% Y/Y to $476M in Q1'26, positioning SHOP for over $2.6B in FCF for FY 2026. Valuation reflects high growth expectations, but risks include potential slowing adoption of Sidekick AI and Merchant Solutions momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 May 07

Shopify Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

It's been a sad week for Shopify Inc. ( NASDAQ:SHOP ), who've watched their investment drop 13% to US$105 in the week...
ナラティブの更新 Apr 29

SHOP: AI Disintermediation Fears And Sector Multiple Compression Will Pressure Returns

Analysts maintained Shopify’s fair value estimate at $110.00 and made modest adjustments to underlying assumptions, citing a mix of reduced price targets from several brokers and renewed support from others who emphasize Shopify’s role as core e-commerce infrastructure and its potential in agentic commerce and AI-powered tools. Analyst Commentary The latest round of research on Shopify reflects a split view, with some firms trimming price targets and others lifting ratings or setting higher targets.
新しいナラティブ Apr 17

Shopify Inc. (SHOP): The "Agentic Commerce" Pioneer and the $131 Resistance

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) , the foundational operating system for modern commerce, enters Friday, April 17, 2026 , amidst a powerful bullish pivot.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 15

SHOP: Agentic Commerce Role Will Face Tighter Multiples And AI Disintermediation Tests

Shopify's analyst price targets have recently moved both up and down around the $150 to $165 range, with changes often tied to views on AI driven commerce opportunities, competitive positioning after OpenAI's checkout rollback, and a reassessment of sector valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shopify points to a mixed but increasingly debated outlook, with bullish views on its role in AI enabled commerce set against a wave of more conservative price target resets clustered in the $150 to $165 range.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 01

SHOP: Agentic Commerce Role Will Confront Sector Multiple Compression And High Expectations

Analysts kept Shopify's fair value estimate steady at $110, while modestly refining their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, margin profile and future P/E. This reflects a mix of recent price target increases tied to Shopify's role in agentic commerce and infrastructure, along with resets from other firms that cite valuation and sector multiple compression.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 17

SHOP: Agentic Commerce Optimism Will Face Test As Expectations Stay Elevated

Shopify's analyst fair value estimate has been modestly adjusted from $111.12 to $110.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E. Recent research highlights both rising price targets from bulls focused on AI and agentic commerce potential, and reductions from others citing valuation reset and sector multiple compression.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 03

SHOP: Rich Multiple And Agentic Commerce Promise Will Shape Near-Term Trading

The analyst price target for Shopify in our model edges up from $110.00 to about $111.12 as analysts weigh a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades, with many still highlighting growth in agentic commerce, AI supported monetization, and the stock's pullback as key parts of their thesis. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shopify reflects a split view, with some firms upgrading on the stock's pullback and AI and agentic commerce potential, while others are trimming targets or stepping to the sidelines after a strong run.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 17

SHOP: Rich Multiple And Mixed Sentiment Will Likely Cap Near-Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed our Shopify fair value estimate to $110 from about $139. This reflects lower price targets across the Street as models reset for softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly reduced margin expectations, and lower sector P/E multiples despite generally solid recent results.
分析記事 Feb 13

The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Even After Diving 34%

Shopify Inc. ( NASDAQ:SHOP ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
ナラティブの更新 Feb 03

SHOP: AI Efficiencies And Q4 Execution Will Support Higher Earnings Power

The analyst fair value estimate for Shopify has increased from US$200 to about US$218, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E following recent research highlighting Q4 fundamentals, AI driven operating leverage and a series of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Shopify has skewed constructive, with several bullish analysts revisiting their models and resetting price targets and ratings after recent earnings and product updates.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 20

SHOP: AI Monetization And Operating Leverage Will Support Measured Upside Into 2026

Analysts have nudged our implied fair value for Shopify to about US$179.49 per share, up roughly US$4 from the prior US$175.43. This reflects Street research that highlights stronger top line potential, rising AI related monetization and operating leverage, partially offset by more cautious views on valuation, margins and already high expectations.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 06

SHOP: Lofty Multiples And Soft Cash Flow Will Restrain Near-Term Upside

Analysts increased their Shopify fair value estimate from about US$116 to roughly US$139, citing stronger expected revenue growth, a slightly higher assumed future P/E, and recent price target hikes across the Street. They attribute these changes to what they view as solid Q3 execution, despite some concerns around valuation and free cash flow.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 17

SHOP: AI Partnerships And Margin Expansion Will Drive Measured Upside Into 2025

Analysts have nudged our Shopify price target higher to approximately $175, up modestly from about $170. This reflects slightly faster expected profit margin expansion and durable post Q3 growth momentum that they believe supports the stock's premium valuation.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 03

SHOP: Future AI Commerce Momentum Will Drive Premium Re-Rating Into 2025

Analysts have modestly raised their Shopify price target by about $20 to roughly $190, as stronger growth, improving profit margins, and continued estimate revisions following solid Q3 results support a higher fair value despite ongoing concerns around valuation and near term cash flow softness. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shopify reflects a constructive but more balanced stance, with most revisions skewing higher on price targets while calls for restraint grow louder around valuation and cash flow visibility.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 21

Resilient performance despite tariff and consumer sentiment pressure

Shopify’s Q3 2025 results (reported 4 Nov 2025) showed revenue growth of ~32% and GMV up ~32% despite the challenging backdrop. The The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index shows the expectations component at 71.5 (October 2025) which is below the ~80 level typically seen as a signal of recession risk.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 19

SHOP: Future Revenue Momentum Will Drive Re-Rating Into 2025

Shopify's analyst fair value target has increased from $165.87 to $175.11. Analysts point to stronger-than-expected Q3 results and sustained revenue growth outpacing market expectations as key drivers behind the positive revision.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 03

SHOP: Expansion And AI Integration Will Drive Continued Market Share Gains

Shopify's analyst price target has been raised from $170 to $200. Analysts cite continued strong growth momentum, robust AI innovation, and market share gains as primary drivers behind the updated outlook.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 20

International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets

Shopify's fair value estimate has increased modestly to $164.45 per share. Analysts point to ongoing growth momentum, resilient market share, and enthusiasm around new AI initiatives as factors supporting a higher price target, despite recent executive departures.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 05

International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets

Shopify's analyst fair value price target has increased slightly by $2.04 to $163.15. Analysts cite continued solid growth, successful product expansion, and positive momentum in recent results as factors supporting the company's higher valuation.
ナラティブの更新 Aug 27

International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets

Shopify’s consensus price target was slightly raised to $161.11 as analysts highlighted exceptional Q2 results, accelerating revenue and GMV growth, and expanding international and enterprise momentum, although some caution remains on valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite exceptional Q2 results, highlighted by accelerating gross merchandise volume growth and revenue growth above 30% despite difficult macroeconomic conditions.
分析記事 Aug 11

Optimistic Investors Push Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Shares Up 33% But Growth Is Lacking

Shopify Inc. ( NASDAQ:SHOP ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last...
ナラティブの更新 Aug 07

International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets

The significant increase in Shopify’s consensus analyst price target reflects higher growth expectations, as evidenced by a rising future P/E ratio, despite a marginal decline in net profit margin, raising the fair value estimate from $118.76 to $135.38. What's in the News FST Corp.
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Jul 16

Global Entrepreneurship And Online Retail Will Unlock Future Expansion

Global ecommerce trends, international expansion, and platform localization are driving strong merchant growth, revenue diversification, and improved onboarding for Shopify.
Seeking Alpha Apr 19

Shopify: Why Holding The Line Still Makes Sense Amid Market Uncertainty

Summary On January 19, 2025, I gave Shopify a hold rating due to its high valuation at the time. The stock price has since underperformed. Investors were disappointed in the company's free cash flow guidance for the first quarter of 2025, leading to the stock's decline. Shopify has consistently shown steady revenue growth over the last two years, a positive indicator for its long-term viability. The company is moving upmarket and has gained several large enterprises as customers during the fourth quarter. Despite its strong business model, the stock remains a hold because of macroeconomic concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 30

Shopify: Don't Overthink The Buying Opportunity

Summary Shopify has returned to its roots, focusing on doing what it does best, and the recent results have demonstrated that strategy. Shopify has also gained share with the higher value enterprise customers, pushing into spaces dominated by enterprise software firms. SHOP's execution is remarkable, but the stock isn't valued at a discount. While the stock is not assessed to be undervalued, buying momentum remains favorable after the recent 30% drop. I argue why SHOP offers growth investors another opportunity to accumulate while the market dithers due to recent pessimism. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 21

Shopify: The Price Of Perfection

Summary Growth stocks are supposed to see growth rates decelerate over time - but is Shopify excluded from that rule? The company saw growth accelerate in the latest quarter, and management continues to guide for sustained growth ahead. The company is profitable on a GAAP basis with a net cash balance sheet. I evaluate the stock against long-term projections. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

株主還元

SHOPUS ITUS 市場
7D2.0%4.9%1.2%
1Y-3.5%-5.1%28.7%

業界別リターン: SHOP過去 1 年間で-5.1 % の収益を上げたUS IT業界を上回りました。

リターン対市場: SHOPは、過去 1 年間で28.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is SHOP's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SHOP volatility
SHOP Average Weekly Movement8.7%
IT Industry Average Movement10.8%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

安定した株価: SHOP 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: SHOPの 週次ボラティリティ ( 9% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
20047,600Tobi Lutkewww.shopify.com

コマーステクノロジー企業であるShopify Inc.は、カナダ、米国、ヨーロッパ、中東、アフリカ、アジア太平洋地域、ラテンアメリカにおいて、様々な規模のビジネスを開始、拡大、マーケティング、運営するためのツールを提供している。同社はShopifyのプラットフォームを提供し、加盟店はウェブやモバイルの店頭、実店舗、ソーシャルメディアの店頭、マーケットプレイスなど、あらゆる販売チャネルで、商品と在庫の管理、注文と支払いの処理、注文の処理と発送、顧客関係の構築、商品の調達、分析、レポートの活用、事業運営のための資金調達などを行うことができる。また、オンライン・オフラインを問わず、加盟店による決済カードの受け入れと処理を可能にする、完全に統合された決済処理サービスであるShopify Paymentsも提供している。さらに、テーマやアプリの販売、Shopify Shippingによる配送ラベル、POSハードウェア、Shopify App Storeでの広告、購入者獲得のためのショップキャンペーン、ドメイン名の登録なども行っている。同社は以前はJaded Pixel Technologies Inc.として知られていたが、2011年11月にShopify Inc.に社名を変更した。は2004年に法人化され、カナダのオタワに本社を置いている。

Shopify Inc. 基礎のまとめ

Shopify の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
SHOP 基礎統計学
時価総額US$134.00b
収益(TTM)US$1.33b
売上高(TTM)US$12.37b
100.6x
PER(株価収益率
10.8x
P/Sレシオ

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
SHOP 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$12.37b
売上原価US$6.43b
売上総利益US$5.93b
その他の費用US$4.60b
収益US$1.33b

直近の収益報告

Mar 31, 2026

次回決算日

該当なし

一株当たり利益(EPS)1.02
グロス・マージン47.97%
純利益率10.77%
有利子負債/自己資本比率0%

SHOP の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/26 12:24
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Shopify Inc. 45 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。82

アナリスト機関
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Oliver LesterArete Research Services LLP