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Published
14 Dec 23
Views
1.1k
Invested
ZscalerZS
ZS logo
Fair Value
US$172.68
Share price14 Dec
US$191.5810.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-31.45%
7D15.34%

Zscaler faces tense competition from Palo Alto and Crowdstrike

WA
WallStreetWontons

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Published
14 Dec 23
Views
1.1k
Invested
Fair ValueUS$172.68
Share priceUS$191.58
10.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates0

Catalysts

Products and Services:

Zscaler is revolutionizing cloud security with the industry’s first Security as a Service platform. Their innovative solutions are used by more than 5,000 leading organizations, including 50 of the Fortune 500. Key products and services include:

  • Zscaler Zero Trust Exchange: A powerful platform that strengthens security posture across all fronts.
  • Secure Web Gateways (SWG): Protects users from web-based threats.
  • Zero Trust Network Access (ZTNA): Enables secure access to applications.
  • Cloud Application Security Broker (CASB): Ensures secure cloud app usage.
  • Secure Access Service Edge (SASE): Combines networking and security in the cloud.
  • Zscaler also offers professional services to accelerate digital transformation and enhance security.

Industry Tailwinds:

  • Convergence of Networking and Security: As the internet becomes the new corporate network, Zscaler’s vision aligns well with this trend.
  • Zero Trust Approach: The shift toward zero-trust architecture favors Zscaler’s solutions.
  • Digital Transformation: Organizations increasingly rely on cloud-based services, driving demand for Zscaler’s cloud security platform.
  • Growing Cybersecurity Concerns: Rising threats boost demand for robust security solutions, especially with using AI.
  • Market Leadership: Zscaler’s strong position and high enterprise penetration contribute to its growth.

Risks

  • Execution Challenges: Successfully capitalizing on tailwinds requires effective execution. Any missteps could impact growth.
  • Economic Conditions: Economic downturns may affect IT spending and demand for security solutions.
  • Technology Shifts: Rapid technological changes could render Zscaler’s offerings obsolete.
  • Regulatory Environment: Changes in data privacy or cybersecurity regulations may impact Zscaler’s operations.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Zscaler operates globally, so compliance with various data protection laws is crucial.
  • Competitors: Established players like Palo Alto Networks, Cisco, and others pose a competitive threat.
  • M&A Activity: Industry consolidation or acquisitions could alter the competitive landscape.
  • Geopolitical Factors: Trade tensions or geopolitical events may impact Zscaler’s business.

Valuation

Business Outlook:

  • 3 Years: Zscaler’s focus on cloud security aligns with the ongoing shift to remote work and cloud adoption. It may continue to expand its customer base and enhance its product offerings.
  • 5 Years: Assuming sustained growth, Zscaler could solidify its position as a leading cloud security provider. Market demand for zero-trust solutions may drive further expansion.
  • 10 Years: In a decade, Zscaler might be deeply integrated into the fabric of secure internet access. However, technological disruptions and competitive pressures could alter this trajectory.

Revenue and Profit Margins:

  • Revenue growth will depend on market adoption, acquisitions, and product innovation.
  • Profit margins may improve as economies of scale kick in, but investments in R&D and sales could offset some gains.

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Disclaimer

The user WallStreetWontons has a position in NasdaqGS:ZS. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

US$172.68
vs US$191.5810.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-368m5b20152017201920212023202520272028Revenue US$4.5bEarnings US$678.9m
20.8%
Revenue growth
15%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

Market capUS$31.6b
PB12.0x
Estimated Growth13.1%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Jagtar Chaudhry
CEO
4.5yrs
CEO Tenure

Operates as a cloud security company worldwide.

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