U.S. Market Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
U.S. Investing Ideas
Global Weekly Picks
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
The academically fascinating Tesla
Poised for success
Lucid Diagnostics' EsoGuard is a novel screening tool for esophageal cancer. It is relatively non-invasive and may become widely accepted soon.Read more
The Market Is Sleeping on This Parkinson's Biotech - And I Think That's a Mistake
Gain Therapeutics: The Under-the-Radar Biotech With Big Parkinson’s Potential Key Takeaways Gain Therapeutics (GANX) is developing GT-02287 – an oral, first-in-class, potentially disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson’s disease targeting the GCase enzyme pathway. Parkinson’s disease represents a $4 billion U.S. market with zero approved disease-modifying therapies.Read more
Is Tesla a Stock or a Call Option? - A valuation nightmare!
TLDR Tesla is not being valued like a car company , but like a bundle of future bets sitting on top of a real operating business. The real upside the market is paying for is Robotaxi, Optimus / Physical AI, and Elon Musk premium.Read more
Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth
Conservative valuation of $24.28 based on sustained revenues of ~RMB3bn/quarter. Potential upside if growth in store openings realises additional revenue.Read more
The happiest company on Earth, also perennially misunderstood.
When I first purchased shares in Disney, back in 2016, the narrative was all focused-on cord-cutting at ESPN. Since that time, it has shifted frequently.Read more
BBWI VALUATION
Bull BBW is set to renegotiate leases over time. Favorably updated rent agreements, new off-mall locations, and productivity gains from the White Barn format conversion could help boost profits.Read more
The First Real Lidar Winner
Something quietly shifted in the lidar space and most investors haven’t fully processed it yet. For years, lidar companies were grouped into the same bucket, high promise, heavy losses, uncertain adoption.Read more
The GOOGLE announcement finally got me
CRDO has maintained a strong rating profile over a sustained period, and its recent price correction has brought the valuation to a level that could offer meaningful near-term returns. While Credo’s exceptional growth momentum has moderated lately, its underlying profitability remains remarkably solid.Read more
Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.
Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.Read more
