Lucid GroupLCID
LCID logo
Fair Value
US$11.75
Share price11 Feb
US$6.6343.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-67.66%
7D28.74%

Positioned for Long-Term Success with a Fair Value of $12

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Published
31 Jan 25
Updated
11 Feb 25
Views
657
Invested

Last Update 11 Feb 25

Fair value Decreased 59%
M_Kabesh has decreased revenue growth from 274.9% to 156.7%.
14 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Lucid Group Inc. (LCID), currently trading at $2.76 per share, has faced significant challenges, including a 2.12% decrease in revenue to $595.27 million in 2023 and a 116.8% increase in losses, totaling $2.83 billion.

Despite these setbacks, the company is expanding its product lineup with the introduction of the Gravity SUV, aiming to broaden its market appeal.

Analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $3.07, with estimates ranging from $2.00 to $4.00, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.

If Lucid successfully executes its expansion strategy and improves financial performance, the stock could appreciate to $3.50–$4.00 by the end of 2025. Conversely, continued financial difficulties may limit the stock's performance to the $2.00–$2.50 range.

Analysts have varied forecasts: some predict modest growth, with price targets around $4.95 in the near term, while others are more optimistic, envisioning prices reaching $7.43 by 2025 and potentially $28.89 by 2030.

These projections are contingent upon Lucid's ability to scale production, manage costs effectively, and capture a substantial share of the luxury EV market. However, it's important to note that some analyses are less optimistic, suggesting potential declines if challenges persist.

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Disclaimer

The user M_Kabesh has a position in NasdaqGS:LCID. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

US$11.75
vs US$6.6343.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-4b81b2019202120232024202520272029Revenue US$81.4bEarnings US$4.8b
156.7%
Revenue growth
6%
Profit margin

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Company analysis

Adequate balance sheet with low risk.

Market capUS$2.6b
PB-7.4x
Estimated Growth36.2%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Silvio Napoli
CEO
2.5yrs
CEO Tenure

A technology company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains, and battery systems.