Rox Resources Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of RXL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

RXL (A$0.62) is trading below our estimate of [[future cash flow value]] (A$7.64)

Is RXL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RXL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: RXL (A$0.62) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (A$7.64)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: RXL is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RXL?

Key metric: As RXL barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for RXL. This is calculated by dividing RXL's market cap by their current book value.
What is RXL's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	3.1x
Book	AU$275.86m
Market Cap	AU$864.01m

RXL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	65.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-21.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does RXL's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for RXL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	6.7x
NMG New Murchison Gold	5.1x	n/a	AU$923.5m
WIA WIA Gold	8.6x	42.65%	AU$782.9m
TCG Turaco Gold	9.8x	64.41%	AU$923.0m
AUC Ausgold	3.4x	95.54%	AU$733.8m
RXL Rox Resources	3.1x	86.22%	AU$864.0m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: RXL is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).

Historical Price to Book Ratio

Historical Price to Book Ratio compares a stock's price to the book value of it's equity over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does RXL's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

46 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
OMH OM Holdings	0.2x	n/a	US$111.38m
GRR Grange Resources	0.3x	n/a	US$107.21m
BRL Bathurst Resources	0.4x	41.89%	US$71.84m
WMC Wiluna Mining	0.3x	n/a	US$46.24m

46 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: RXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.9x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RXL's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RXL PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	3.1x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RXL's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

AnalystPriceTarget

Member since 2015

AU$0.88

Fair Value

29.1% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/09/19 19:24
End of Day Share Price	2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings	2026/06/30
Annual Earnings	2026/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rox Resources Limited is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Peter Arden	Bell Potter
Paul Howard	Canaccord Genuity
Paul Kaner	Ord Minnett Limited