BP Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
BP's revenue is forecast to decline at 1.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 28.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 30.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.3% in 3 years.
Key information
28.3%
Earnings growth rate
30.42%
EPS growth rate
Oil and Gas earnings growth | 15.7% |
Revenue growth rate | -1.5% |
Future return on equity | 15.35% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 12 Sep 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
BP p.l.c. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Aug 07BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
May 01Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Feb 13Recent updates
BP p.l.c. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Aug 07BP (LON:BP.) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Aug 04Are Investors Undervaluing BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.) By 47%?
Jul 05These 4 Measures Indicate That BP (LON:BP.) Is Using Debt Extensively
Jun 20BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
May 01Investors Don't See Light At End Of BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) Tunnel
Mar 26We Think BP (LON:BP.) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Mar 08BP's (LON:BP.) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
Feb 18Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Feb 13Completion Of Eight Biogas Plants And New Assets In Iraq Will Strengthen Future Prospects
BP's strategic optimization and divestment of non-competitive assets aim to enhance capital allocation, improving net margins and long-term earnings.Here's What To Make Of BP's (LON:BP.) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Dec 19It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.)
Dec 04Is There An Opportunity With BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) 49% Undervaluation?
Nov 19Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 179,645 | 9,012 | 11,693 | 25,765 | 10 |
12/31/2026 | 170,189 | 7,696 | 10,423 | 24,078 | 11 |
12/31/2025 | 179,978 | 6,352 | 8,992 | 23,204 | 11 |
6/30/2025 | 184,806 | 562 | 8,590 | 23,293 | N/A |
3/31/2025 | 185,408 | -1,196 | 10,192 | 25,122 | N/A |
12/31/2024 | 187,386 | 390 | 12,000 | 27,297 | N/A |
9/30/2024 | 193,134 | 2,720 | 13,596 | 29,247 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 199,134 | 7,372 | 16,349 | 31,233 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 201,079 | 9,293 | 14,552 | 29,426 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 208,351 | 15,238 | 17,754 | 32,039 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 226,391 | 25,670 | 22,499 | 36,233 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 227,540 | 18,649 | 22,391 | 35,774 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 246,022 | 26,114 | 27,748 | 40,344 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 239,067 | -2,488 | 28,863 | 40,932 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 220,870 | -10,965 | 22,332 | 33,477 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 202,318 | -11,347 | 20,478 | 31,165 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 171,248 | -17,487 | 15,257 | 25,713 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 156,431 | 7,563 | 12,725 | 23,612 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 133,875 | 6,595 | 8,728 | 19,765 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 124,227 | 8,690 | 8,026 | 18,993 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 109,193 | -11,275 | 5,769 | 17,319 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 105,672 | -20,306 | -144 | 12,162 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 149,126 | -21,645 | 4,176 | 17,496 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 190,905 | -21,944 | 3,651 | 18,348 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 242,072 | -3,274 | 5,914 | 21,426 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 158,109 | 4,025 | 10,352 | 25,770 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 281,644 | 4,772 | 7,552 | 24,996 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 292,710 | 8,870 | 7,867 | 25,032 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 295,313 | 9,847 | N/A | 24,523 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 297,533 | 9,382 | N/A | 22,873 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 289,034 | 8,643 | N/A | 21,947 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 269,586 | 7,063 | N/A | 21,879 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 250,842 | 4,408 | N/A | 20,463 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 238,433 | 3,388 | N/A | 18,931 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 222,259 | 3,858 | N/A | 15,456 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 209,525 | 3,709 | N/A | 11,940 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 199,545 | 2,146 | N/A | 10,933 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 182,325 | 114 | N/A | 10,691 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 180,811 | -3,691 | N/A | 14,069 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 189,890 | -5,265 | N/A | 16,744 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 205,584 | -9,669 | N/A | 19,147 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 222,243 | -6,484 | N/A | 19,133 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 247,531 | -7,584 | N/A | 20,574 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 285,521 | -6,340 | N/A | 24,790 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 317,600 | 2,852 | N/A | 26,381 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 351,195 | 3,778 | N/A | 32,754 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 373,288 | 9,227 | N/A | 30,921 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BP.'s forecast earnings growth (28.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).
Earnings vs Market: BP.'s earnings (28.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (13.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: BP.'s earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: BP.'s revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BP.'s revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: BP.'s Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/09/14 15:05 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/09/12 00:00 |
Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
BP p.l.c. is covered by 80 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
John Eade | Argus Research Company |
Alejandro Vigil | Banco Santander |