AIA Group Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
AIA Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 3%, while the Insurance industry saw earnings growing at 11.3% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 14.3% per year. AIA Group's return on equity is 19.6%, and it has net margins of 30.9%.
Key information
3.03%
Earnings growth rate
6.85%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance Industry Growth | -1.31% |
| Revenue growth rate | -14.27% |
| Return on equity | 19.58% |
| Net Margin | 30.88% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Jun 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 22
1299: Dividend Lift And New Bylaws Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have inched their consolidated price target for AIA Group lower to about HK$104.36 from around HK$104.43, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E multiples. What's in the News AIA Group approved the adoption of new articles of association at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2026, formalizing updated company bylaws.Narrative Update • Jun 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buyback Plan Will Drive Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have made a marginal upward adjustment to the HK$104.43 price target for AIA Group. This reflects fine tuning of fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions, without a change in the overall thesis.Narrative Update • May 16
1299: Dividend And Buyback Program Will Support Stronger Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their AIA Group price target slightly lower to about HK$104.43, reflecting modest revisions to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News AIA Group plans to propose the adoption of new articles of association at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, which would update the company’s governing rules and structure (Key Developments).Narrative Update • May 02
1299: Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target on AIA Group to reflect a fair value estimate of HK$104.46, supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a forward P/E of 18.14x. What's in the News AIA Group plans to present new articles of association for shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting scheduled for 22 May 2026, signalling upcoming changes to the company’s governing documents (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 17
1299: Dividend Hike And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their HK$ price target for AIA Group, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that remain broadly consistent with prior expectations. What's in the News AIA Group Limited Board has recommended a 10% increase in the final dividend to HK$1.4408 per share for the year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval at the AGM on 22 May 2026, with payment expected on 12 June 2026 to shareholders on the register as of 29 May 2026 and an ex dividend date of 28 May 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 01
1299: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on AIA Group from about HK$100.40 to roughly HK$103.42, citing updated assumptions that now factor in revenue growth of 3.45%, a profit margin of 32.14% and a forward P/E of 17.80x. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan on March 19, 2026, as part of AIA Group Limited's capital management approach (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 18
1299: Stable Margins And Slightly Lower P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made a slight adjustment to their HK$ price target on AIA Group, reflecting updated views on future P/E assumptions, while keeping fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin estimates effectively unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.40 remains unchanged, with no adjustment to the intrinsic value estimate used in the model.Narrative Update • Mar 03
1299: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to HK$100.40 from HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$100.20 has been adjusted slightly higher to HK$100.40.Narrative Update • Feb 16
1299: Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for AIA Group from HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: HK$99.80 to HK$100.20, a very small upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 02
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for AIA Group higher to US$99.80 from about US$96.78, citing updated fair value estimates along with adjusted assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: nudged higher from US$96.78 to US$99.80, reflecting slightly revised model assumptions.Analysis Article • Jan 30
AIA Group Limited (HKG:1299) Not Flying Under The Radar
When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...Narrative Update • Jan 19
1299: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Multiple Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for AIA Group to align with a fair value estimate of about $96.78, up from roughly $96.13, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from HK$96.13 to about HK$96.78.Narrative Update • Jan 05
1299: Stable Margins And Higher P/E Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for AIA Group up from HK$95.32 to HK$96.13, citing updated assumptions on long term profitability and P/E multiples, while keeping revenue growth and the discount rate broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate is now set at HK$96.13, compared with the earlier HK$95.32, reflecting a small upward adjustment in the model output.Narrative Update • Dec 18
1299: Stable Margins And Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on AIA Group slightly higher to reflect a modest increase in fair value to approximately $95.32, supported by stable discount rate assumptions and unchanged expectations for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly, increasing from HK$95.14 to approximately HK$95.32 per share.Narrative Update • Dec 04
1299: Share Buyback And Firm Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on AIA Group, citing a slightly higher fair value estimate of about $95.14, up from roughly $94.44. This change is supported by marginal improvements in projected profit margins and valuation multiples.Analysis Article • Nov 25
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, AIA Group (HKG:1299) Presents An Opportunity
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Narrative Update • Nov 20
1299: Share Buyback and Steady Margins Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group slightly, increasing the fair value estimate by approximately $0.70 to reflect modest improvements in revenue growth expectations and a stable profit margin outlook. What's in the News Between May 23, 2025 and June 30, 2025, AIA Group completed the repurchase of 87,235,600 shares, representing 0.83% of its shares.Narrative Update • Nov 03
1299: Share Buyback Momentum And Dividend Actions Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for AIA Group, increasing the fair value estimate from $91.70 to $93.74. This adjustment is based on improved revenue growth projections and a slightly higher anticipated forward price-to-earnings ratio.Analysis Article • Aug 25
AIA Group (HKG:1299) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.49
AIA Group Limited's ( HKG:1299 ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.49 per share on 23rd of September. Even...
New Narrative • Mar 16
Expansion Into Mainland China Will Increase Customer Base And Strengthen Long-Term Prospects
Strategic expansion and partnerships in China and Hong Kong diversify channels and enhance high-margin revenue growth.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How AIA Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 25,887 | 7,994 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 26,051 | 7,114 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 26,215 | 6,234 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 25,853 | 6,145 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 25,490 | 6,056 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 23,979 | 6,446 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 22,467 | 6,836 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 21,730 | 5,832 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 20,992 | 4,828 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 20,375 | 4,296 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 19,757 | 3,764 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 19,454 | 3,901 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 19,151 | 4,038 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 18,458 | 3,685 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 17,764 | 3,331 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 24,079 | 4,528 | 796 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 30,393 | 5,725 | 1,592 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 38,375 | 6,576 | 2,312 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 46,357 | 7,427 | 3,031 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 50,633 | 7,127 | 2,962 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 54,909 | 6,827 | 2,892 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 52,880 | 6,303 | 2,794 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 50,851 | 5,779 | 2,695 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 46,970 | 5,298 | 2,619 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 43,089 | 4,817 | 2,542 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 45,517 | 5,398 | 2,505 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 47,945 | 5,979 | 2,468 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 38,528 | 4,051 | 2,134 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 33,025 | 2,920 | 2,184 | 0 |
| 30 Nov 17 | 38,761 | 6,120 | 1,969 | 0 |
| 31 Aug 17 | 36,151 | 5,572 | 1,913 | 0 |
| 31 May 17 | 33,540 | 5,024 | 1,857 | 0 |
| 28 Feb 17 | 30,669 | 4,594 | 1,805 | 0 |
| 30 Nov 16 | 27,797 | 4,164 | 1,752 | 0 |
| 31 Aug 16 | 24,643 | 3,395 | 1,715 | 0 |
| 31 May 16 | 21,489 | 2,626 | 1,678 | 0 |
| 29 Feb 16 | 21,988 | 2,696 | 1,658 | 0 |
| 30 Nov 15 | 22,486 | 2,765 | 1,638 | 0 |
| 31 Aug 15 | 24,941 | 3,437 | 1,650 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: 1299 has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: 1299's current net profit margins (30.9%) are higher than last year (23.8%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: 1299's earnings have grown by 3% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: 1299's earnings growth over the past year (32%) exceeds its 5-year average (3% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: 1299 earnings growth over the past year (32%) did not outperform the Insurance industry 32%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: 1299's Return on Equity (19.6%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/22 20:40 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AIA Group Limited is covered by 40 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark William Kellock | Barclays |
| Tianjiao Yu | Bernstein |
| Michael Li | BofA Global Research |