Banco BPM S.p.A.

BIT:BAMI Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.6b

Banco BPM Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 2/6

Banco BPM has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 32.6%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 18% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 13.4% per year. Banco BPM's return on equity is 12.5%, and it has net margins of 34.7%.

Key information

32.57%

Earnings growth rate

35.06%

EPS growth rate

Banks Industry Growth21.39%
Revenue growth rate13.38%
Return on equity12.46%
Net Margin34.70%
Next Earnings Update05 Nov 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 24

BAMI: Fair Outlook Will Weigh Crédit Agricole Influence Against Earnings Resilience

Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Banco BPM from €14.12 to €14.44, citing higher price targets, including a recent move to €16.20, which reflect updated views on the bank's earnings power and valuation multiples. What’s in the News for Banco BPM Crédit Agricole S.A. has notified the Italian government of plans to raise its holding in Banco BPM to 29.9% from 22.9% using derivative contracts, according to Reuters.
Narrative Update Jul 10

BAMI: Fair Outlook Will Balance Crédit Agricole Partnership With Earnings Resilience

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Banco BPM, with the blended price target moving from about €13.78 to around €14.12. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update Jun 12

BAMI: Fair Outlook Will Balance Monte Paschi Bid With Earnings Resilience

Analysts have nudged their price target on Banco BPM slightly lower by €0.70, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent research that included a target cut and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see support for Banco BPM's valuation even after the €0.70 price target trim, indicating they view the recent research as a recalibration rather than a fundamental reset.
Narrative Update May 28

BAMI: Fair Outlook Will Balance Rating Downgrades With Profitability And Capital Efficiency

Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Banco BPM, with the updated fair value moving by about €0.13 to €13.71. This reflects recent price target cuts and a more cautious stance in research from firms that include Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Narrative Update Feb 10

BAMI: Fair Outlook Will Reflect Higher Earnings Assumptions And Cautious Rating Shift

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Banco BPM by €0.20 to €13.58, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent price target revisions reported in Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are comfortable lifting fair value and price targets, which supports the idea that the current valuation can be justified by their updated assumptions on earnings and P/E.
Narrative Update Jan 26

BAMI: Fair Outlook As Higher Earnings Assumptions Meet Cautious Ratings Shift

Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Banco BPM higher to around €13.38, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These revisions are broadly consistent with recent Street targets in the €12.70 to €13.28 range, despite mixed rating changes.
Narrative Update Jan 09

BAMI: Balanced Outlook As Fee Shift And Cost Controls Meet Tighter Ratings

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Banco BPM slightly higher to €13.21, supported by modest adjustments to earnings assumptions and fresh price targets around €12.70 to €13.28 that reflect more cautious ratings while still clustering near the updated level. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Banco BPM points to a more mixed stance from the Street, with price targets moving closer to the new fair value estimate but ratings turning more cautious.
Narrative Update Dec 15

BAMI: Diversified Fee Shift And Cost Controls Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target for Banco BPM slightly higher to about EUR 13.19, reflecting a modestly richer future valuation multiple and confidence in the bank's diversified, fee driven growth profile, despite only marginal adjustments to the discount rate and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed but generally constructive view on Banco BPM, with higher price targets reflecting improved earnings power, even as some caution emerges around the stock's recent outperformance and execution risks.
Narrative Update Nov 30

BAMI: Diversified Income And Cost Controls Will Support Balanced Outcomes Ahead

Analysts have slightly increased their average price target for Banco BPM, with the new consensus fair value rising from EUR 13.15 to EUR 13.19. They cite the bank's diversified revenue streams and improved growth outlook as primary drivers for the upward revision.
Narrative Update Nov 16

BAMI: Diversified Income And Execution Will Drive Balanced Outcomes Ahead

Banco BPM’s analyst price target has risen from approximately €11.53 to €13.15 as analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts, a lower discount rate, along with increased confidence in the bank’s diversified income streams and cost management efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Banco BPM offer mixed perspectives, reflecting both optimism in the bank’s execution and ongoing caution around valuation and industry conditions.
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New Narrative Nov 20

Anima Integration Fuels Growth But Faces Potential Revenue Instability And Management Challenges

The strategic partnership with Anima is poised to drive growth in revenue and commission income by integrating asset management and life insurance products.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Banco BPM makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

BIT:BAMI Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Jun 265,5561,9283,1740
31 Mar 265,4242,0513,1820
31 Dec 255,3832,0823,1530
30 Sep 255,7171,8843,3100
30 Jun 255,7652,3813,2150
31 Mar 255,5042,0563,2430
31 Dec 245,4541,9153,2670
30 Sep 244,9932,0133,1340
30 Jun 244,8521,3853,1420
31 Mar 244,8211,3653,0780
31 Dec 234,5861,2603,0510
30 Sep 234,4091,1592,9780
30 Jun 234,0649553,0350
31 Mar 233,8617902,9670
31 Dec 223,7656823,0660
30 Sep 223,4336572,9320
30 Jun 223,5225592,9050
31 Mar 223,4236472,9330
31 Dec 213,2975692,9520
30 Sep 213,2423223,1390
30 Jun 212,8692773,1580
31 Mar 212,760-313,1170
31 Dec 202,587213,0940
30 Sep 203,0763582,5370
30 Jun 203,1082992,9010
31 Mar 203,7277932,6030
31 Dec 193,6957972,9370
30 Sep 192,5311022,9680
30 Jun 193,0581902,6720
31 Mar 192,491-1333,0200
31 Dec 182,607-602,7760
30 Sep 183,076-6893,0510
30 Jun 182,506-9183,1550
31 Mar 182,565-1,0943,1530
31 Dec 172,4311,8543,1830
30 Sep 171,0272,0372,2250
30 Jun 171,2061,7753,0460
31 Mar 177871,8222,4760
31 Dec 16199-1,7282,6190
30 Sep 161,117-6312,3860
30 Jun 161,706-2482,4500
31 Mar 161,889-852,3460
31 Dec 152,5554322,4140
30 Sep 15-148-1,4682,3100

Quality Earnings: BAMI has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: BAMI's current net profit margins (34.7%) are lower than last year (41.3%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: BAMI's earnings have grown significantly by 32.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: BAMI's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: BAMI had negative earnings growth (-19%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Banks industry average (3.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: BAMI's Return on Equity (12.5%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/07 23:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/07 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Banco BPM S.p.A. is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Juan Lopez CoboBanco Santander
Paola SabbioneBarclays
Marta BastoniBarclays