Obayashi Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Obayashi is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.6% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.2% in 3 years.
Key information
0.6%
Earnings growth rate
2.99%
EPS growth rate
Construction earnings growth | 5.7% |
Revenue growth rate | 2.2% |
Future return on equity | 11.21% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 18 Sep 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Obayashi (TSE:1802) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥41.00
Sep 11Does Obayashi (TSE:1802) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Aug 25Obayashi (TSE:1802) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥41.00
Aug 12Obayashi's (TSE:1802) Dividend Will Be ¥41.00
Jul 24Calculating The Fair Value Of Obayashi Corporation (TSE:1802)
Jul 23Obayashi (TSE:1802) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥41.00
Jul 09Obayashi (TSE:1802) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Jul 08Some Investors May Be Worried About Obayashi's (TSE:1802) Returns On Capital
Jun 17There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Obayashi's (TSE:1802) Earnings
May 21Here's Why Obayashi (TSE:1802) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Apr 07A Look At The Fair Value Of Obayashi Corporation (TSE:1802)
Mar 12We Think Obayashi (TSE:1802) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Feb 26Earnings Beat: Obayashi Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Feb 13Obayashi (TSE:1802) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
Feb 11Obayashi Corporation (TSE:1802) Not Flying Under The Radar
Jan 28With EPS Growth And More, Obayashi (TSE:1802) Makes An Interesting Case
Dec 03There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Obayashi's (TSE:1802) Earnings
Nov 19Is Obayashi (TSE:1802) Using Too Much Debt?
Nov 05Obayashi (TSE:1802) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
Oct 20Are Investors Undervaluing Obayashi Corporation (TSE:1802) By 24%?
Oct 06Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/31/2028 | 2,769,050 | 135,250 | 100,200 | N/A | 6 |
3/31/2027 | 2,679,080 | 128,549 | 95,750 | N/A | 8 |
3/31/2026 | 2,596,244 | 111,961 | 106,825 | N/A | 8 |
6/30/2025 | 2,572,072 | 138,322 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2025 | 2,620,101 | 146,052 | 35,447 | 85,625 | N/A |
12/31/2024 | 2,504,774 | 123,118 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2024 | 2,484,398 | 100,418 | 11,638 | 90,809 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 2,412,424 | 94,315 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 2,325,162 | 75,059 | -27,992 | 50,399 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 2,244,342 | 68,613 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 2,140,857 | 68,918 | -14,434 | 69,014 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 2,061,001 | 72,983 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 1,983,888 | 77,671 | 131,867 | 228,456 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 1,987,838 | 57,305 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 1,948,115 | 58,732 | 35,434 | 110,652 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 1,896,801 | 38,113 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 1,922,884 | 39,127 | 11,667 | 69,697 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 1,866,130 | 65,991 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 1,813,372 | 70,514 | 20,466 | 77,873 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 1,788,198 | 88,315 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 1,766,893 | 98,780 | -32,628 | 24,803 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 1,851,527 | 92,491 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 1,960,434 | 103,435 | 79,500 | 140,284 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 2,041,432 | 113,118 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 2,073,043 | 113,093 | 190,157 | 237,628 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 2,055,592 | 125,743 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 2,067,837 | 121,141 | 59,589 | 87,284 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 2,049,098 | 117,964 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 2,039,685 | 113,155 | N/A | 44,203 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 2,012,366 | 96,074 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 1,920,330 | 93,103 | N/A | 113,743 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 1,898,918 | 91,610 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 1,900,655 | 92,662 | N/A | 114,034 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 1,910,326 | 99,702 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 1,931,188 | 101,315 | N/A | 143,642 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 1,909,713 | 97,528 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 1,872,721 | 94,501 | N/A | 158,892 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 1,814,080 | 83,332 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 1,802,204 | 77,123 | N/A | 136,307 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 1,788,477 | 68,408 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 1,777,834 | 63,437 | N/A | 124,980 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 1,809,492 | 55,067 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 1,797,821 | 42,402 | N/A | 85,050 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 1,787,967 | 32,880 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 1,773,981 | 28,695 | N/A | 74,646 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 1,749,175 | 32,072 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 1,699,940 | 29,496 | N/A | 80,642 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1802's forecast earnings growth (0.6% per year) is above the savings rate (0.5%).
Earnings vs Market: 1802's earnings (0.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (8.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 1802's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 1802's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (4.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 1802's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 1802's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/09/22 13:46 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/09/22 00:00 |
Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Obayashi Corporation is covered by 24 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
Takumi Kasai | BofA Global Research |
Shusuke Terada | Citigroup Inc |
Masahiro Mochizuki | CLSA |