CKD Corporation

TSE:6407 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥170.5b

CKD Valuation

Is 6407 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6407 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
JP¥2.87k
Fair Value
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 6407 (¥2553) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2871.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6407 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6407?

Key metric: As 6407 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6407. This is calculated by dividing 6407's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6407's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.2x
EarningsJP¥12.94b
Market CapJP¥170.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6407's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6407 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.2x
6013 Takuma
18.5x6.97%JP¥173.1b
6136 OSG
13.3x7.61%JP¥169.0b
6498 KITZ
11.9x8.18%JP¥147.8b
6103 Okuma
25.3x18.82%JP¥216.3b
6407 CKD
13.2x9.75%JP¥170.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6407 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the peer average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6407's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6407 13.2xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies36PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6407 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6407's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6407 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.2x
Fair PE Ratio16.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6407 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6407 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,553.00
JP¥3,077.27
+20.54%
14.74%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,300.00n/a11
Sep ’26JP¥2,414.00
JP¥3,036.36
+25.78%
13.91%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,300.00n/a11
Aug ’26JP¥2,573.00
JP¥2,917.27
+13.38%
15.88%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,200.00n/a11
Jul ’26JP¥2,600.00
JP¥2,935.45
+12.90%
16.72%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,200.00n/a11
Jun ’26JP¥2,324.00
JP¥2,822.73
+21.46%
19.53%JP¥3,900.00JP¥1,980.00n/a11
May ’26JP¥2,092.00
JP¥3,113.64
+48.84%
18.90%JP¥3,970.00JP¥1,980.00n/a11
Apr ’26JP¥2,028.00
JP¥3,220.00
+58.78%
16.92%JP¥3,970.00JP¥2,530.00n/a10
Mar ’26JP¥2,212.00
JP¥3,250.00
+46.93%
17.77%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,530.00n/a10
Feb ’26JP¥2,554.00
JP¥3,390.00
+32.73%
17.80%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,530.00n/a10
Jan ’26JP¥2,595.00
JP¥3,490.00
+34.49%
21.75%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,530.00n/a10
Dec ’25JP¥2,496.00
JP¥3,596.67
+44.10%
20.17%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥2,565.00
JP¥3,603.75
+40.50%
20.34%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥2,999.00
JP¥3,691.25
+23.08%
17.82%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥2,932.00
JP¥3,836.67
+30.85%
15.06%JP¥5,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,414.009
Aug ’25JP¥2,925.00
JP¥3,701.11
+26.53%
10.90%JP¥4,100.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,573.009
Jul ’25JP¥3,210.00
JP¥3,656.67
+13.91%
10.35%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,600.009
Jun ’25JP¥3,060.00
JP¥3,656.67
+19.50%
10.35%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,324.009
May ’25JP¥2,967.00
JP¥3,301.11
+11.26%
17.48%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,210.00JP¥2,092.009
Apr ’25JP¥3,000.00
JP¥3,201.25
+6.71%
17.25%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,210.00JP¥2,028.008
Mar ’25JP¥3,250.00
JP¥2,938.75
-9.58%
20.15%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,212.008
Feb ’25JP¥2,517.00
JP¥2,758.57
+9.60%
19.60%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,554.007
Jan ’25JP¥2,540.00
JP¥2,487.14
-2.08%
14.60%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,595.007
Dec ’24JP¥2,487.00
JP¥2,576.25
+3.59%
16.05%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,496.008
Nov ’24JP¥1,944.00
JP¥2,314.29
+19.05%
12.31%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,565.007
Oct ’24JP¥2,061.00
JP¥2,328.57
+12.98%
11.18%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,999.007
Sep ’24JP¥2,061.00
JP¥2,342.86
+13.68%
11.14%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,932.007
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
JP¥3.08k
Fair Value
17.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/09/14 12:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/09/12 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CKD Corporation is covered by 21 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kenjin HottaBofA Global Research
Yoshiyasu TakemuraCredit Suisse
Hirosuke TaiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.