Trend Micro Incorporated

TSE:4704 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥688.3b

Trend Micro Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Trend Micro is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.4% and 5.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 34.1% in 3 years.

Key information

9.4%

Earnings growth rate

10.31%

EPS growth rate

Software earnings growth15.5%
Revenue growth rate5.2%
Future return on equity34.13%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Nov 16
Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Recent updates

4704: AI Governance And Consumer Rebrand Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,068.75 to ¥6,231.25, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Trend Micro is rebranding its consumer business as TrendLife, with a focus on protecting everyday digital activity as AI tools become more common in households, and plans to roll out its Kaleida AI companion for families to the public later in 2026 (Key Developments).

4704: AI Governance Expansion Will Support Future Upside For Shares

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro from ¥7,256.25 to ¥7,068.75, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E as they refresh their valuation work. What's in the News TrendAI, described as an enterprise AI security leader within Trend Micro, introduced the TrendAI Agentic Governance Gateway to give organizations visibility and control over autonomous AI agent interactions across data, tools, and environments, with capabilities such as policy enforcement, human oversight, simulation of governance decisions, and lifecycle management delivered through the TrendAI Vision One platform (Key Developments).

4704: Buybacks And AI Security Expansion Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Trend Micro higher from about ¥7,161 to roughly ¥7,256. This reflects small model tweaks to fair value, discount rate, and assumed future P/E rather than any major shift in the underlying outlook.

4704: Buybacks And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trend Micro by about ¥400. This reflects slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, while keeping expected future P/E broadly similar.

4704: Buybacks And Higher 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Trend Micro price target higher from ¥7,343.75 to roughly ¥7,583.33, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for 2026, with expected net sales of ¥301,500 million, operating income of ¥56,400 million, net income attributable to owners of the parent of ¥36,600 million, and net income per share of ¥280.07.

4704: AI Cybersecurity Outlook And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro to ¥7,343.75 from ¥7,464.29, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting on November 12, 2025 approved a share repurchase of common stock, setting the framework for subsequent buyback activity (Key Developments).

4704: AI Security And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Trend Micro from ¥7,950 to about ¥7,464, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board approved a share repurchase plan on November 12, 2025, authorizing the buyback of 1,670,000 shares, or 1.27% of share capital, for ¥10,000 million.

4704: AI Security Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Slightly Lower Fair Value Assumptions

Analysts have reduced their price target for Trend Micro from ¥8,416.67 to ¥7,950, citing slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025 to consider and approve a repurchase of common shares, following authorization of a buyback plan that covers up to 1,670,000 shares (1.27% of share capital) for ¥10,000m through December 23, 2025 (Board Meeting, Buyback Transaction Announcements).

4704: Expanding AI Security And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update on Trend Micro Analyst Price Target Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Trend Micro, cutting estimated fair value from approximately ¥9,150 to about ¥8,417. They are factoring in slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower long term profit margins, and a more conservative future price to earnings multiple, while revenue growth expectations remain stable.

4704: Expanding AI Security Solutions Will Drive Future Equity Performance

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Trend Micro from ¥9,250 to ¥9,150. This change reflects modest adjustments in the discount rate and financial projections.

4704: Expanded AI Offerings And New Partnerships Will Drive Profits Higher

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Trend Micro to ¥9,250. This change reflects improved expectations for both revenue growth and profit margins.

Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Nov 16
Trend Micro Incorporated Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

4704: AI Integration And Data Center Security Will Drive Robust Momentum

Narrative Update on Trend Micro: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have maintained their price target for Trend Micro at ¥9,250. This reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s fundamentals without a significant shift in projected financial metrics.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Trend Micro, decreasing it from ¥9,371 to ¥9,250. They cited minor adjustments in valuation models and updated financial projections.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Analysts have revised their price target for Trend Micro downward to approximately ¥9,371, a decrease of about ¥557. They cited slightly lower growth and profit margin projections as the reason for this adjustment.

Leveraging Vision One And AI Will Offer Comprehensive Security Solutions

Trend Micro's consensus price target has been revised downward, primarily reflecting slightly softer revenue growth forecasts, with fair value lowered from ¥10,371 to ¥9,834. What's in the News Announced new agentic AI-powered SIEM designed to automate setup, cut alert noise, and enhance security with multi-source analytics, rapid onboarding, extended data retention, and integration with digital twin technology for proactive risk mitigation in complex environments.

Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

Aug 09
Investors Interested In Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Jul 22
Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704)

Apr 25
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704)

Trend Micro (TSE:4704) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Mar 10
Trend Micro (TSE:4704) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation

Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704) Price Target To JP¥9,407

Feb 20
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Trend Micro Incorporated (TSE:4704) Price Target To JP¥9,407

Market Participants Recognise Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher

Feb 13
Market Participants Recognise Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Higher
User avatar

Unleashing Growth Through Subscription Shift And Global Expansion Strategy

Subscription model transition improves revenue stability and predicts higher margins, boosting recurring revenue growth.

Trend Micro Incorporated Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Nov 14
Trend Micro Incorporated Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Oct 06
Under The Bonnet, Trend Micro's (TSE:4704) Returns Look Impressive

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) 29% Share Price Surge

Sep 07
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) 29% Share Price Surge

Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Mar 19
Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 36% Above Its Share Price

Feb 29
Trend Micro Incorporated's (TSE:4704) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 36% Above Its Share Price

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4704 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028326,41446,48757,956N/A8
12/31/2027308,29240,59254,623N/A9
12/31/2026294,07637,00936,605N/A9
12/31/2025275,98434,523N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2025272,73334,88241,18164,302N/A
6/30/2025272,01330,79930,53454,127N/A
3/31/2025274,20832,46224,93649,270N/A
12/31/2024272,63834,35821,84146,781N/A
9/30/2024267,62424,34317,54744,911N/A
6/30/2024263,68916,77022,89051,166N/A
3/31/2024255,91815,11126,03254,051N/A
12/31/2023248,69110,73130,86657,227N/A
9/30/2023245,42014,15733,96557,143N/A
6/30/2023238,02926,73731,72254,148N/A
3/31/2023232,07227,68635,53657,137N/A
12/31/2022223,79529,84335,92456,903N/A
9/30/2022213,27941,18938,35859,694N/A
6/30/2022204,33236,82640,29560,426N/A
3/31/2022196,19238,09437,61657,369N/A
12/31/2021190,35938,36736,48055,267N/A
9/30/2021186,21233,59337,96155,448N/A
6/30/2021181,57928,28240,96756,743N/A
3/31/2021176,53026,84745,40859,002N/A
12/31/2020174,06126,90442,47054,310N/A
9/30/2020171,29124,60441,54152,161N/A
6/30/2020169,54629,42642,98553,063N/A
3/31/2020167,84829,90837,83248,305N/A
12/31/2019165,19527,94634,41745,109N/A
9/30/2019163,36729,627N/A46,157N/A
6/30/2019162,38028,491N/A44,682N/A
3/31/2019161,88928,628N/A47,030N/A
12/31/2018160,41028,314N/A49,959N/A
9/30/2018159,00526,186N/A51,461N/A
6/30/2018155,66227,784N/A49,710N/A
3/31/2018151,55426,846N/A49,607N/A
12/31/2017148,81125,691N/A46,915N/A
9/30/2017147,47431,453N/A45,314N/A
6/30/2017141,65627,414N/A42,192N/A
3/31/2017137,32424,417N/A37,828N/A
12/31/2016131,93624,651N/A33,510N/A
9/30/2016124,96218,004N/A29,009N/A
6/30/2016124,56819,603N/A29,221N/A
3/31/2016124,28621,594N/A30,266N/A
12/31/2015124,31721,435N/A30,490N/A
9/30/2015122,86322,957N/A31,236N/A
6/30/2015120,54821,983N/A30,824N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4704's forecast earnings growth (9.4% per year) is above the savings rate (0.7%).

Earnings vs Market: 4704's earnings (9.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (10.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4704's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4704's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4704's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4704's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (34.1%)

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/02 13:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trend Micro Incorporated is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hideo NodaCLSA
Sukshith ShettyCrispIdea
Deepkumar ShahCrispIdea