NIO Inc.

NYSE:NIO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.0b

NIO Valuation

Is NIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NIO ($3.69) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($4.25)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NIO is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NIO?

Key metric: As NIO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NIO. This is calculated by dividing NIO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NIO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesCN¥114.11b
Market CapCN¥60.11b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NIO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NIO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
XPEV XPeng
0.9x17.75%US$9.9b
LI Li Auto
0.7x14.45%US$11.6b
VFS VinFast Auto
2x21.23%US$7.0b
RIVN Rivian Automotive
3.9x33.33%US$23.2b
NIO NIO
0.5x12.96%US$9.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NIO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NIO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
F Ford Motor
0.3x1.99%US$55.35b
THO THOR Industries
0.4x5.11%US$3.75b
WGO Winnebago Industries
0.3x3.55%US$796.90m
NIU Niu Technologies
0.2x15.36%US$162.36m
NIO 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies13PS01.63.24.86.48+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NIO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Auto industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NIO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NIO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NIO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NIO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.69
US$6.36
+72.41%
25.20%US$10.10US$4.01n/a24
Sep ’27US$4.06
US$6.98
+72.04%
21.31%US$10.08US$4.00n/a24
Aug ’27US$4.88
US$7.37
+51.01%
16.82%US$10.03US$4.03n/a24
Jul ’27US$4.97
US$7.32
+47.19%
16.94%US$9.98US$4.01n/a24
Jun ’27US$5.98
US$7.02
+17.40%
18.49%US$9.05US$4.02n/a25
May ’27US$5.91
US$6.66
+12.65%
18.29%US$8.84US$4.02n/a23
Apr ’27US$6.20
US$6.55
+5.67%
18.47%US$9.35US$4.00n/a24
Mar ’27US$4.87
US$6.53
+34.06%
20.15%US$9.37US$4.13n/a24
Feb ’27US$4.70
US$6.65
+41.48%
20.74%US$9.23US$4.07n/a24
Jan ’27US$5.10
US$6.66
+30.55%
20.25%US$9.09US$4.00n/a24
Dec ’26US$5.18
US$6.74
+30.20%
21.22%US$9.09US$4.00n/a24
Nov ’26US$7.25
US$6.91
-4.66%
23.32%US$9.03US$3.01n/a24
Oct ’26US$7.65
US$6.58
-14.01%
25.78%US$9.04US$3.01n/a24
Sep ’26US$6.38
US$5.11
-19.84%
27.94%US$8.16US$3.02US$4.0623
Aug ’26US$5.01
US$4.84
-3.43%
26.17%US$8.07US$2.99US$4.8823
Jul ’26US$3.51
US$4.74
+35.01%
26.51%US$8.20US$3.01US$4.9724
Jun ’26US$3.54
US$5.13
+44.83%
20.15%US$8.14US$3.72US$5.9822
May ’26US$3.93
US$5.08
+29.20%
20.08%US$8.05US$3.68US$5.9122
Apr ’26US$3.87
US$5.60
+44.60%
34.83%US$12.46US$3.69US$6.2025
Mar ’26US$4.63
US$6.10
+31.70%
33.35%US$12.49US$3.90US$4.8725
Feb ’26US$4.32
US$6.24
+44.56%
32.23%US$12.49US$3.51US$4.7025
Jan ’26US$4.36
US$6.32
+44.90%
30.83%US$12.42US$3.86US$5.1025
Dec ’25US$4.48
US$6.43
+43.62%
30.54%US$12.51US$3.89US$5.1826
Nov ’25US$5.10
US$6.77
+32.75%
28.01%US$12.71US$3.99US$7.2526
Oct ’25US$7.03
US$6.72
-4.34%
29.39%US$12.91US$4.05US$7.6526
Sep ’25US$4.04
US$6.66
+64.73%
29.19%US$12.66US$4.05US$6.3825
US$6.36
Fair Value
42.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 03:58
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NIO Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 28 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Yuet LeeBernstein
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research