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Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.NasdaqGS:GSBC Stock Report

Market Cap US$781.6m
Share Price
US$71.75
US$67.5
6.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y28.3%
7D1.2%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GSBC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$781.6m

Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) Stock Overview

Operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas. More details

GSBC fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends4/6

GSBC Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Great Southern Bancorp
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$71.75
52 Week HighUS$72.75
52 Week LowUS$53.76
Beta0.52
1 Month Change4.18%
3 Month Change14.23%
1 Year Change28.26%
3 Year Change36.67%
5 Year Change26.45%
Change since IPO9,466.68%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 02

GSBC: Buybacks And Stable Margins Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

Analysts have raised their price target on Great Southern Bancorp by $2 to $67.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, margin profile, and forward P/E multiples that continue to support the existing fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their work on Great Southern Bancorp are basing the new $67.50 price target on refreshed views of the bank's earnings power, risk profile, and what they see as a reasonable P/E multiple for the shares.
Narrative Update Apr 18

GSBC: Higher Fair Value And Buybacks Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Great Southern Bancorp by $4 to $67.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the higher fair value estimate of $67.50 as better aligned with updated discount rate work and current P/E assumptions from recent Street research, rather than a stretch case.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 02

GSBC: Buybacks And Stable Margins Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

Analysts have raised their price target on Great Southern Bancorp by $2 to $67.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, margin profile, and forward P/E multiples that continue to support the existing fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their work on Great Southern Bancorp are basing the new $67.50 price target on refreshed views of the bank's earnings power, risk profile, and what they see as a reasonable P/E multiple for the shares.
Narrative Update Apr 18

GSBC: Higher Fair Value And Buybacks Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Great Southern Bancorp by $4 to $67.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the higher fair value estimate of $67.50 as better aligned with updated discount rate work and current P/E assumptions from recent Street research, rather than a stretch case.
Seeking Alpha Jul 20

Great Southern Bancorp: Strong Credit Quality But Limited Upside

Summary Great Southern Bancorp reported strong Q2 results, but much of the beat was driven by one-time items unlikely to recur, so true earnings power is lower. The bank's pristine credit quality and strong capital position are standout positives, supporting a secure 2.6% dividend and potential for buybacks. Growth prospects are limited due to muted loan demand and a slow-growth geographic footprint, constraining valuation multiples for this small community bank. GSBC is fairly valued around $62; while M&A is a possible upside risk, I rate the stock a 'hold' given limited upside beyond current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Mar 23

Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:GSBC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.40 per share on the 14th...
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New Narrative Oct 20

Credit Quality And Pipeline Strength Set To Propel Future Growth

Improved credit quality and reduced nonperforming assets should positively impact future net margins by decreasing risk and potential losses.
Analysis Article Sep 22

Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:GSBC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.40

The board of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.40 per share...
Analysis Article Jun 24

Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:GSBC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.40

The board of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GSBC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.40 per share...
Analysis Article May 02

It's Unlikely That The CEO Of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:GSBC) Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Key Insights Great Southern Bancorp's Annual General Meeting to take place on 8th of May Salary of US$433.5k is part of...
Analysis Article Mar 29

Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:GSBC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.40

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:GSBC ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.40 per share on 16th of...
Analysis Article Jul 19

Do Great Southern Bancorp's (NASDAQ:GSBC) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Seeking Alpha Oct 20

Great Southern Bancorp GAAP EPS of $1.46 misses by $0.10, revenue of $60.88M beats by $2.68M

Great Southern Bancorp press release (NASDAQ:GSBC): Q3 GAAP EPS of $1.46 misses by $0.10. Revenue of $60.88M (+11.3% Y/Y) beats by $2.68M. The company recorded a total provision expense of $3.3M in the 2022 period versus a total credit (negative expense) of $2.4M in the 2021 period. This was the most significant contributor to lower pre-tax income and net income in the 2022 period compared to the 2021 period.  Total outstanding loans, excluding mortgage loans held for sale, increased $489.6M, or 12.2%, from $4.01B at December 31, 2021 to $4.50B at September 30, 2022. As of September 30, 2022, the company’s Tier 1 Leverage Ratio was 10.6%, Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio was 10.4%, Tier 1 Capital Ratio was 10.8%, and Total Capital Ratio was 13.4%.
Seeking Alpha Sep 21

Great Southern Bancorp declares $0.40 dividend

Great Southern Bancorp (NASDAQ:GSBC) declared $0.40/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 2.6% Payable Oct. 18; for shareholders of record Oct. 3; ex-div Sept. 30. See GSBC Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.
Seeking Alpha Sep 12

Great Southern Bancorp: Continued Loan Growth To Lift Earnings

Summary Certain economic factors will drive growth in commercial real estate loans. The average earning-asset yield is quite sensitive to rate changes because of the large balance of loans tied to the LIBOR or prime rates. The December 2022 target price suggests a small upside from the current market price. Further, GSBC is offering a good dividend yield. Earnings of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) will likely continue to grow this year, mostly on the back of mid-single-digit loan growth. Further, the large balance of loans indexed to LIBOR and prime rates will lead to higher interest income amid a rising rate environment. Meanwhile, provisioning for expected loan losses will remain subdued because of the portfolio's exceptional credit quality. Overall, I'm expecting Great Southern Bancorp to report earnings of $5.89 per share for 2022, up 8% year-over-year. For 2023, I'm expecting earnings to grow by a further 9% to $6.40 per share. The year-end target price suggests a small upside from the current market price. Based on the moderately-high total expected return, I'm adopting a buy rating on Great Southern Bancorp. CRE Loan Growth to Make Up for the Anticipated Slowdown in Residential Loans Great Southern Bancorp’s loan portfolio grew by a remarkable 9% during the first half of 2022, or 18% annualized. This growth was broad-based across the chief loan segments, as mentioned in the earnings release. Going forward, I'm expecting loan growth to slow down because of several factors, especially high interest rates. Great Southern Bancorp focuses on commercial and residential real estate. The bank mainly caters to customers in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Arkansas. However, it operates in several other states as well. As a result, it is best to take national averages when attempting to determine future demand for the company’s loan products. Residential real estate loan growth will most probably decelerate in the second half of the year because of high interest rates. Further, real estate prices are still very high from a historical perspective despite the recent downturn. US House Price Index data by YCharts Additionally, the Mortgage Bankers Association expects mortgage purchase volume to decline this year and then grow by only a moderate 4% next year. Mortgage Bankers Association On the other hand, I'm expecting commercial real estate loan growth to remain strong. This is because the purchasing managers' index indicates that commercial activity is in an expansionary state, despite the overall GDP decline. US ISM Services PMI data by YCharts Considering these factors, I'm expecting the loan portfolio to grow by 4% annualized every quarter till the end of 2023. Historically, as well the loan portfolio has grown in the mid-single-digit range. The growth of other balance sheet items will mostly match loan growth. However, equity book value will face pressure from rising interest rates and the resultant hit to the market value of the available-for-sale securities portfolio. The unrealized mark-to-market losses will continue to flow directly into the equity account, bypassing the income statement. The equity book value has already dropped to $44.53 per share at the end of June 2022 from $46.09 at the end of June 2021 and $45.65 at the end of March 2022. The following table shows my balance sheet estimates. FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E Financial Position Net Loans 3,989 4,154 4,297 4,008 4,449 4,630 Growth of Net Loans 7.0% 4.1% 3.4% (6.7)% 11.0% 4.1% Other Earning Assets 338 504 904 1,137 851 885 Deposits 3,725 3,960 4,517 4,552 4,607 4,794 Borrowings and Sub-Debt 398 412 340 239 426 443 Common equity 532 603 630 617 579 639 Book Value Per Share ($) 37.3 42.1 44.6 45.1 45.6 50.4 Tangible BVPS ($) 36.7 41.5 44.2 44.7 44.8 49.5 Source: SEC Filings, Author's Estimates (In USD million unless otherwise specified) Margin’s Moderate Rate-Sensitivity Attributable to the Loan Mix Around 28% of the loan portfolio is tied to 1-month or 3-month LIBOR and another 16% of the portfolio is linked to the prime rate, according to details given in the 10-Q filing. Therefore, around 44% of the loan portfolio is likely to re-price within only a few months of a rate hike. Unfortunately, Great Southern Bancorp's average deposit cost will also respond quickly and strongly to interest rate hikes because of the large balance of interest-bearing, non-maturing deposits. These deposits, namely interest-bearing demand and savings accounts, made up an overbearing 52% of total deposits at the end of June 2022. The management mentioned in the latest conference call that customers are going to start expecting increases in their rates. Considering these factors, I'm expecting the margin to grow by 10 basis points in the second half of 2022 before stabilizing in 2023. Earnings to Grow by 8% The anticipated loan growth and margin expansion will likely drive earnings this year. Meanwhile, provisioning for expected loan losses will likely remain subdued as most of Great Southern Bancorp’s loans are secured. Non-performing loans made up just 0.10% of total loans, while allowances made up 1.38% of total loans at the end of June 2022. On the other hand, non-interest expenses will likely surge this year amid a high-inflation environment, which will restrict earnings growth. Further, as mentioned in the conference call, the management expects system conversion costs to almost double due to implementation and training. The management expects these system-related costs to remain elevated until the third quarter of 2023. Overall, I'm expecting Great Southern Bancorp to report earnings of $5.89 per share for 2022, up 8% year-over-year. For 2023, I'm expecting earnings to grow by a further 9% to $6.40 per share. The following table shows my income statement estimates. FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E Income Statement Net interest income 168 180 177 178 195 211 Provision for loan losses 7 6 16 (6) 6 9 Non-interest income 36 31 35 38 37 38 Non-interest expense 115 115 123 128 131 138 Net income - Common Sh. 67 74 59 75 75 81 EPS - Diluted ($) 4.71 5.14 4.21 5.46 5.89 6.40 Source: SEC Filings, Earnings Releases, Author's Estimates (In USD million unless otherwise specified)
Seeking Alpha Jul 21

Great Southern Bancorp GAAP EPS of $1.44, revenue of $58.15M

Great Southern Bancorp press release (NASDAQ:GSBC): Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.44. Revenue of $58.15M (+7.1% Y/Y). For the three months ended June 30, 2022 and 2021, the company's effective tax rate was 20.5% and 20.8%, respectively.  The company currently expects its effective tax rate will be approximately 20.5% to 21.5% in future periods. The Bank’s allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans was 1.38%, 1.49% and 1.46% at June 30, 2022, December 31, 2021 and March 31, 2022, respectively.

Shareholder Returns

GSBCUS BanksUS Market
7D1.2%-0.4%1.6%
1Y28.3%19.4%28.5%

Return vs Industry: GSBC exceeded the US Banks industry which returned 19.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GSBC matched the US Market which returned 28.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GSBC's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GSBC volatility
GSBC Average Weekly Movement2.5%
Banks Industry Average Movement3.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: GSBC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GSBC's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1923966Joe Turnerwww.greatsouthernbank.com

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas. The company’s deposit products include regular savings accounts, checking accounts, money market accounts, fixed interest rate certificates with varying maturities, certificates of deposit, brokered certificates, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential and commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans, construction loans, home improvement loans, and unsecured consumer loans, as well as secured consumer loans, such as automobile loans, boat loans, home equity loans, and loans secured by savings deposits.

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Great Southern Bancorp's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GSBC fundamental statistics
Market capUS$781.59m
Earnings (TTM)US$71.29m
Revenue (TTM)US$229.26m
11.0x
P/E Ratio
1.2x
P/B Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GSBC income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$229.26m
Cost of RevenueUS$0
Gross ProfitUS$229.26m
Other ExpensesUS$157.97m
EarningsUS$71.29m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)6.54
Gross Margin100.00%
Net Profit Margin31.10%
Debt/Equity Ratio86.3%

How did GSBC perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.4%
Current Dividend Yield
27%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 20:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeffrey RulisD.A. Davidson & Co.
Damon DelMonteKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Andrew LieschPiper Sandler Companies