Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34.5% and 17.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 3.5% in 3 years.
Key information
34.5%
Earnings growth rate
34.59%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 18.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 17.9% |
| Future return on equity | 3.48% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 14
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Demand Will Support 2026 Guidance Execution
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, with some trimming expectations by as much as $20 and others raising targets by up to $5. These changes reflect mixed views on valuation following recent guidance and program updates.Seeking Alpha • May 11
Kratos: Strong Growth, But The Market Demands More Than A Good Story
Summary Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is a high-growth defense tech firm focused on unmanned systems, hypersonics, and space infrastructure, but its current valuation is excessive. KTOS trades at ~85x forward earnings and 9x sales, requiring near-perfect execution amid ongoing negative free cash flow and thin operating margins. Q1 revenue grew 22.6% YoY, with a robust 1.6x book-to-bill ratio and raised FY26 guidance, but cash burn and capital intensity persist. Despite strong demand and strategic positioning, KTOS's upside is limited at current prices; a material pullback or positive free cash flow could change the investment case. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 29
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Program Demand Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $150.00, citing higher modeled revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple that reflects recent price target increases related to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into Kratos Defense & Security Solutions as a direct play on demand tied to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic programs, and recent Street research reflects that enthusiasm in both ratings and price targets.
Narrative Update • Apr 15
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Programs Will Support Future Contract Upside
The analyst price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been adjusted slightly lower from $117.95 to $117.35, as analysts factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels, alongside recent research citing missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand and mixed views on current valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions highlights both enthusiasm around its program pipeline and questions about how much of that growth story is already reflected in the current share price.
Narrative Update • Apr 01
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Program Wins Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have significantly raised Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' blended price target into a higher $100+ range, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins supported by DRSS sales targets, demand for jet drones and hypersonic systems, and expanding roles in key U.S. defense programs. Analyst Commentary Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has become more concentrated in a higher price target range, with multiple firms lifting their targets after recent earnings and guidance updates.Narrative Update • Mar 18
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Programs Will Drive Future Contract Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to $117.95 from $117.63, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect recent Q4 earnings beats, new long term sales guidance for DRSS and hypersonics, and a mix of bullish and neutral views on valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts raise price targets into the US$115 to US$135 range after the Q4 earnings beat, viewing recent execution as supportive of higher valuations.Narrative Update • Mar 03
KTOS: Unmanned Systems Momentum And Execution Risks Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been lifted by $2 to $85, as analysts factor in higher long term revenue growth expectations tied to DRSS and unmanned systems demand, while also recognizing a richer projected P/E multiple and slightly lower margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth opportunities and concern about how much of that growth is already reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Feb 17
KTOS: Defense Contract Momentum Will Face Ongoing Program And Policy Execution Tests
Analysts have raised their average price targets for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions by double digit dollar amounts into the $120s and $130s, citing stronger order momentum in Valkyrie drones, progress in hypersonic testing programs, and expanded roles in U.S. defense contracts, such as collaborative combat aircraft initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive stance on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range.Narrative Update • Feb 03
KTOS: Drone And Hypersonic Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from about $100.56 to roughly $117.63, citing a blend of higher projected revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated P/E assumptions supported by recent price target increases across several research firms focused on the company's drone, hypersonics, and unmanned systems exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has leaned toward higher price targets, with most commentary pointing to the company's exposure to drones, hypersonics, and unmanned systems as key drivers for valuation updates.Narrative Update • Jan 20
KTOS: Elevated Defense Hopes Will Likely Outrun Realistic Program Execution
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $83.00 from $80.00, citing higher Street price targets tied to Valkyrie drone order momentum, progress in hypersonic testing, new subcontractor roles on collaborative combat aircraft programs, expectations around defense budget trends, and the potential impact of the Orbit Technologies acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has centered on higher price targets tied to specific growth drivers, including Valkyrie drone order momentum, hypersonic testing progress, collaborative combat aircraft opportunities, and the pending Orbit Technologies acquisition.Narrative Update • Jan 06
KTOS: Orbit Deal And Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has moved sharply higher from about US$78 to roughly US$137. Analysts point to raised Street price targets, updated revenue guidance, and the planned Orbit Technologies acquisition as key supports for the higher range of potential outcomes.Narrative Update • Dec 21
KTOS: Future Defense Programs And Capacity Expansions Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has increased to $80 from $60, reflecting analysts' materially higher price targets and expectations for faster revenue growth, improved margins, and sustained demand tailwinds across key defense and aerospace programs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has moved sharply in favor of Kratos, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the high double and low triple digits and reiterating positive ratings.Narrative Update • Dec 07
KTOS: Multi-Decade Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions slightly higher to about $100.56 per share from roughly $99.80, citing broadly raised Street price targets and expectations that robust defense fundamentals, expanding contract opportunities, and growth bolstered by acquisitions will sustain elevated revenue growth and margin potential, despite a modestly higher discount rate and richer future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions underscores a broadly constructive view on the company, with multiple firms lifting price targets into or above the low triple digits and highlighting both near term execution momentum and longer term franchise value creation.Narrative Update • Nov 23
KTOS: Multi-Year Defense Pipeline And Recent Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target inch down marginally from $100.00 to $99.80. Analysts cited tempered profit margin and revenue growth expectations while still acknowledging robust deal flow and market opportunities.Narrative Update • Nov 08
KTOS: New Long-Term Defense Contracts Will Drive Sustained Upside Momentum
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target rise from approximately $93 to $100 per share, as analysts cite the company’s expanding growth prospects, successful contract wins, and increased revenue guidance as the foundation for heightened optimism. Analyst Commentary Coverage by Wall Street firms has intensified in recent months, reflecting increasing attention on the company’s performance and future prospects.Analysis Article • Nov 07
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter...Narrative Update • Oct 25
Aerospace Modernization And Drone Demand Will Fuel Long-Term Upside Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from approximately $87 to $93 per share. This increase is driven by expectations of continued expansion across unmanned systems, strong performance in major contract wins, and increasing demand trends in both commercial and government aerospace sectors.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, increasing the estimated fair value to approximately $86.71 from $74.21. This change is attributed to strong execution across key business segments and continued optimism about the company’s growth prospects and opportunities in unmanned systems, defense modernization, and adjacent markets.Analysis Article • Sep 30
After Leaping 34% Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Despite an already strong run, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS ) shares have been powering on...Narrative Update • Sep 27
Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Driven by a robust contract pipeline, accelerated defense spending, and strong prospects for unmanned platforms and next-generation technologies, analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from $71.21 to $74.21. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Kratos Defense's robust pipeline and new contract wins, positioning the company for significant revenue growth—with projections of $3B-plus in revenues and 13-30% annual revenue growth over the next several years.Analysis Article • Sep 09
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Sep 08
Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Analysts raised Kratos’ price target to $71.21, citing robust revenue prospects in unmanned and hypersonic systems, a record pipeline, favorable U.S. defense budget trends, recent capital raises, key regulatory shifts, and standout contract wins—all supporting a premium valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Kratos' strong revenue growth outlook, with opportunities in unmanned systems, turbine engines, hypersonics, and a record $13B+ pipeline supporting potential 20–30% annual growth through 2030 and substantial margin expansion.Analysis Article • Aug 15
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KTOS) 35% Share Price Surge
Despite an already strong run, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS ) shares have been powering on...Narrative Update • Aug 10
Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
The upward revision in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions’ price target reflects improved fundamentals, notably a rising net profit margin and stronger revenue growth forecasts, driving the consensus fair value from $57.46 to $64.46. What's in the News Kratos issued Q3 2025 revenue guidance of $315–325 million and operating income of $3–7 million; full-year 2025 revenue expected at $1.29–1.31 billion and operating income $29–34 million.Analysis Article • Jul 01
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:KTOS) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain...Analysis Article • Jun 24
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ:KTOS) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,600 | 140 | 86 | 149 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,166 | 88 | -11 | 123 | 15 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,743 | 39 | -110 | 63 | 15 |
| 3/29/2026 | 1,415 | 29 | -133 | -40 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 1,347 | 22 | -137 | -42 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 1,285 | 20 | -93 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 1,213 | 15 | -61 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/30/2025 | 1,162 | 20 | -44 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 1,136 | 16 | -8 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/29/2024 | 1,127 | 15 | 8 | 72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,126 | 10 | 3 | 65 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,083 | -1 | 30 | 92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,037 | -9 | 13 | 65 | N/A |
| 10/1/2023 | 1,013 | -20 | -39 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 967 | -26 | -40 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 934 | -29 | -86 | -44 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 898 | -37 | -71 | -26 | N/A |
| 9/25/2022 | 861 | -31 | -83 | -35 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 833 | -24 | -68 | -20 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 814 | -17 | -47 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 812 | 0 | -16 | 31 | N/A |
| 9/26/2021 | 806 | 80 | 13 | 59 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 808 | 84 | 13 | 55 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 773 | 82 | 24 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/27/2020 | 748 | 81 | 11 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/27/2020 | 726 | 6 | -11 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/28/2020 | 709 | 6 | -8 | 23 | N/A |
| 3/29/2020 | 726 | 7 | -10 | 19 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 718 | 11 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 9/29/2019 | 697 | 12 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 672 | 11 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 635 | 7 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 12/30/2018 | 618 | 4 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 620 | -25 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 7/1/2018 | 618 | -32 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 4/1/2018 | 614 | -35 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 603 | -47 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 10/1/2017 | 619 | -27 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 6/25/2017 | 627 | -45 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 3/26/2017 | 648 | -48 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 12/25/2016 | 542 | -58 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 9/25/2016 | 664 | -63 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 6/26/2016 | 661 | -35 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 3/27/2016 | 653 | -41 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 12/27/2015 | 657 | -33 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 9/27/2015 | 672 | -29 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 6/28/2015 | 700 | -44 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: KTOS's forecast earnings growth (34.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: KTOS's earnings (34.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: KTOS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: KTOS's revenue (17.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: KTOS's revenue (17.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: KTOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3.5%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/21 10:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/29 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Christopher Rieger | Berenberg |
| Matthew Akers | BNP Paribas |