Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 36.4% and 18.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 36.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.2% in 3 years.
Key information
36.4%
Earnings growth rate
36.77%
EPS growth rate
| Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 17.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.5% |
| Future return on equity | 4.20% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 02 Sep 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
Kratos Defense: Betting On Affordable Warfare, Not Just Drones
Summary Kratos Defense & Security Solutions is rated a BUY, leveraging a fast-to-market, affordable defense model beyond drones. KTOS’s growth engines include hypersonics, missile components, and satellite C2, with strong government and peer demand driving the backlog to $2.08B. Despite robust revenue growth and expanding backlog, KTOS operates with thin margins, negative free cash flow, and high CapEx, reflecting early-stage operating leverage. I see KTOS as a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, best suited for modest portfolio allocation at current $45–$47 support, with further adds near $35. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 19
KTOS: Hypersonics And Subsystems Scale Will Drive Future Defense Contract Upside
Analysts trimmed the Kratos Defense & Security Solutions fair value estimate by $3 to $105.62. This reflects slightly higher assumed risk, modest adjustments to long term revenue growth, a higher projected profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recent shifts in Street price targets and updated company models.Narrative Update • Aug 05
KTOS: Hypersonic And Subsystems Platform Will Drive Future Defense Contract Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions now carries a slightly lower implied fair value of about $108.62. This reflects a series of reduced but still supportive analyst price targets in the $82 to $100 range, as they highlight the stock's role as a broad defense subsystems and software supplier rather than just a drone platform play.
Narrative Update • Jul 13
KTOS: High Priority Defense Contracts Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $75.00 to $60.00 as analysts factor in a lower future P/E, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and updated expectations around its role as a "picks and shovels" supplier across hypersonics, missile defense, space, and microelectronics, despite continued bullish coverage and new Outperform ratings with price targets in the low-to-mid $80 range. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions highlights a split view, with some firms resetting valuation assumptions while others maintain constructive ratings and price targets.Narrative Update • Jun 29
KTOS: Missile And Drone Contract Momentum Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $85.00 to $75.00 as analysts factor in a higher discount rate, along with still supportive views on long term growth, margin expansion, and recent contract wins reflected in mixed but generally constructive price target revisions on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reflects a split view, with several firms cutting price targets even as others maintain a more constructive stance on long term growth and contract momentum.Narrative Update • Jun 15
KTOS: Drone And Hypersonic Programs Will Drive Future Defense Contract Pipeline
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been trimmed slightly from $113.05 to $112.20, as analysts factor in a mix of recent price target cuts, fresh bullish initiations, and an upgrade supported by confidence in the company's long term growth outlook, margin expansion, and recent contract wins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reflects a mix of optimism around growth and execution, balanced by caution on valuation and risk after a period of share price volatility and multiple price target revisions.Narrative Update • Jun 01
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Programs Will Drive Future Defense Contract Upside
Analysts have nudged their Kratos Defense & Security Solutions fair value estimate lower from $117.35 to $113.05, as a higher discount rate offsets updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions shows both optimism and caution around the stock's execution and valuation, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.
Narrative Update • May 14
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Demand Will Support 2026 Guidance Execution
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, with some trimming expectations by as much as $20 and others raising targets by up to $5. These changes reflect mixed views on valuation following recent guidance and program updates.Narrative Update • Apr 29
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Program Demand Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $150.00, citing higher modeled revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as well as a lower projected future P/E multiple that reflects recent price target increases related to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are leaning into Kratos Defense & Security Solutions as a direct play on demand tied to missile, jet drone, and hypersonic programs, and recent Street research reflects that enthusiasm in both ratings and price targets.Narrative Update • Apr 15
KTOS: Missile And Hypersonic Programs Will Support Future Contract Upside
The analyst price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been adjusted slightly lower from $117.95 to $117.35, as analysts factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels, alongside recent research citing missile, jet drone, and hypersonic program demand and mixed views on current valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions highlights both enthusiasm around its program pipeline and questions about how much of that growth story is already reflected in the current share price.Narrative Update • Apr 01
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Program Wins Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have significantly raised Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' blended price target into a higher $100+ range, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth and profit margins supported by DRSS sales targets, demand for jet drones and hypersonic systems, and expanding roles in key U.S. defense programs. Analyst Commentary Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has become more concentrated in a higher price target range, with multiple firms lifting their targets after recent earnings and guidance updates.Narrative Update • Mar 18
KTOS: Hypersonic And Drone Programs Will Drive Future Contract Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions' analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to $117.95 from $117.63, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect recent Q4 earnings beats, new long term sales guidance for DRSS and hypersonics, and a mix of bullish and neutral views on valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts raise price targets into the US$115 to US$135 range after the Q4 earnings beat, viewing recent execution as supportive of higher valuations.Narrative Update • Mar 03
KTOS: Unmanned Systems Momentum And Execution Risks Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has been lifted by $2 to $85, as analysts factor in higher long term revenue growth expectations tied to DRSS and unmanned systems demand, while also recognizing a richer projected P/E multiple and slightly lower margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Kratos Defense & Security Solutions reflects a mix of optimism on long term growth opportunities and concern about how much of that growth is already reflected in the share price.Narrative Update • Feb 17
KTOS: Defense Contract Momentum Will Face Ongoing Program And Policy Execution Tests
Analysts have raised their average price targets for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions by double digit dollar amounts into the $120s and $130s, citing stronger order momentum in Valkyrie drones, progress in hypersonic testing programs, and expanded roles in U.S. defense contracts, such as collaborative combat aircraft initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly constructive stance on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range.Narrative Update • Feb 03
KTOS: Drone And Hypersonic Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from about $100.56 to roughly $117.63, citing a blend of higher projected revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated P/E assumptions supported by recent price target increases across several research firms focused on the company's drone, hypersonics, and unmanned systems exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has leaned toward higher price targets, with most commentary pointing to the company's exposure to drones, hypersonics, and unmanned systems as key drivers for valuation updates.Narrative Update • Jan 20
KTOS: Elevated Defense Hopes Will Likely Outrun Realistic Program Execution
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to $83.00 from $80.00, citing higher Street price targets tied to Valkyrie drone order momentum, progress in hypersonic testing, new subcontractor roles on collaborative combat aircraft programs, expectations around defense budget trends, and the potential impact of the Orbit Technologies acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has centered on higher price targets tied to specific growth drivers, including Valkyrie drone order momentum, hypersonic testing progress, collaborative combat aircraft opportunities, and the pending Orbit Technologies acquisition.Narrative Update • Jan 06
KTOS: Orbit Deal And Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has moved sharply higher from about US$78 to roughly US$137. Analysts point to raised Street price targets, updated revenue guidance, and the planned Orbit Technologies acquisition as key supports for the higher range of potential outcomes.Narrative Update • Dec 21
KTOS: Future Defense Programs And Capacity Expansions Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward
Our fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions has increased to $80 from $60, reflecting analysts' materially higher price targets and expectations for faster revenue growth, improved margins, and sustained demand tailwinds across key defense and aerospace programs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has moved sharply in favor of Kratos, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the high double and low triple digits and reiterating positive ratings.Narrative Update • Dec 07
KTOS: Multi-Decade Defense Programs Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions slightly higher to about $100.56 per share from roughly $99.80, citing broadly raised Street price targets and expectations that robust defense fundamentals, expanding contract opportunities, and growth bolstered by acquisitions will sustain elevated revenue growth and margin potential, despite a modestly higher discount rate and richer future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions underscores a broadly constructive view on the company, with multiple firms lifting price targets into or above the low triple digits and highlighting both near term execution momentum and longer term franchise value creation.Narrative Update • Nov 23
KTOS: Multi-Year Defense Pipeline And Recent Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target inch down marginally from $100.00 to $99.80. Analysts cited tempered profit margin and revenue growth expectations while still acknowledging robust deal flow and market opportunities.Narrative Update • Nov 08
KTOS: New Long-Term Defense Contracts Will Drive Sustained Upside Momentum
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions saw its analyst price target rise from approximately $93 to $100 per share, as analysts cite the company’s expanding growth prospects, successful contract wins, and increased revenue guidance as the foundation for heightened optimism. Analyst Commentary Coverage by Wall Street firms has intensified in recent months, reflecting increasing attention on the company’s performance and future prospects.Analysis Article • Nov 07
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS ) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter...Narrative Update • Oct 25
Aerospace Modernization And Drone Demand Will Fuel Long-Term Upside Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions from approximately $87 to $93 per share. This increase is driven by expectations of continued expansion across unmanned systems, strong performance in major contract wins, and increasing demand trends in both commercial and government aerospace sectors.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Defense Modernization Will Drive Demand For Unmanned Systems
Analysts have raised their price target for Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, increasing the estimated fair value to approximately $86.71 from $74.21. This change is attributed to strong execution across key business segments and continued optimism about the company’s growth prospects and opportunities in unmanned systems, defense modernization, and adjacent markets.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,698 | 140 | 59 | 189 | 12 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,216 | 90 | -5 | 131 | 18 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,794 | 37 | -93 | 40 | 16 |
| 6/28/2026 | 1,523 | 31 | -129 | -40 | N/A |
| 3/29/2026 | 1,415 | 29 | -133 | -40 | N/A |
| 12/28/2025 | 1,347 | 22 | -137 | -42 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 1,285 | 20 | -93 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/29/2025 | 1,213 | 15 | -61 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/30/2025 | 1,162 | 20 | -44 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 1,136 | 16 | -8 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/29/2024 | 1,127 | 15 | 8 | 72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,126 | 10 | 3 | 65 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,083 | -1 | 30 | 92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,037 | -9 | 13 | 65 | N/A |
| 10/1/2023 | 1,013 | -20 | -39 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/25/2023 | 967 | -26 | -40 | 2 | N/A |
| 3/26/2023 | 934 | -29 | -86 | -44 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 898 | -37 | -71 | -26 | N/A |
| 9/25/2022 | 861 | -31 | -83 | -35 | N/A |
| 6/26/2022 | 833 | -24 | -68 | -20 | N/A |
| 3/27/2022 | 814 | -17 | -47 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 812 | 0 | -16 | 31 | N/A |
| 9/26/2021 | 806 | 80 | 13 | 59 | N/A |
| 6/27/2021 | 808 | 84 | 13 | 55 | N/A |
| 3/28/2021 | 773 | 82 | 24 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/27/2020 | 748 | 81 | 11 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/27/2020 | 726 | 6 | -11 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/28/2020 | 709 | 6 | -8 | 23 | N/A |
| 3/29/2020 | 726 | 7 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 12/29/2019 | 718 | 11 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 9/29/2019 | 697 | 12 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 672 | 11 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 635 | 7 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 12/30/2018 | 618 | 4 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 620 | -25 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 7/1/2018 | 618 | -32 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 4/1/2018 | 614 | -35 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 603 | -47 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 10/1/2017 | 619 | -27 | N/A | -21 | N/A |
| 6/25/2017 | 627 | -45 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 3/26/2017 | 648 | -48 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 12/25/2016 | 542 | -58 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 9/25/2016 | 664 | -63 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 6/26/2016 | 661 | -35 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 3/27/2016 | 653 | -41 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 12/27/2015 | 657 | -33 | N/A | -27 | N/A |
| 9/27/2015 | 672 | -29 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: KTOS's forecast earnings growth (36.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: KTOS's earnings (36.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: KTOS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: KTOS's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: KTOS's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: KTOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 02:25 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Christopher Rieger | Berenberg |
| Matthew Akers | BNP Paribas |