Argan Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 6/6
Argan has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 35.6%, while the Construction industry saw earnings growing at 24.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 18.5% per year. Argan's return on equity is 34.1%, and it has net margins of 15.5%.
Key information
35.64%
Earnings growth rate
38.27%
EPS growth rate
| Construction Industry Growth | 20.19% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.53% |
| Return on equity | 34.06% |
| Net Margin | 15.48% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Apr 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 07
Argan: Still Fueling America's AI
Summary Argan is a premier beneficiary of surging U.S. power infrastructure demand driven by AI, data centers, and electrification. AGX delivered robust quarterly results: revenue and EPS handily beat estimates, margins expanded, and backlog remains 3.5x higher than two years ago. The company boasts a capital-light model with a 38% FCF margin, zero debt, nearly $1B in cash, and increased buyback authorization. Despite a premium valuation (P/E > 50x), I maintain a buy rating, citing operational excellence, backlog visibility, and unique market positioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 03
AGX: AI Power Demand Tailwind Will Likely Overpromise Future Project Execution
The analyst price target for Argan has been raised by a combined $169, as analysts point to a stronger Q4 showing, fresh upgrades, and increasing interest in the company’s exposure to rising power demand from AI and data centers. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Argan clusters around its exposure to growing power needs from AI and data centers, as well as the impact of the latest Q4 report on expectations for execution and returns on new projects.Narrative Update • May 14
AGX: AI Power Demand Hype Will Likely Outrun Execution Risks
Argan's analyst price target has been lifted by $169 overall, as analysts point to recent upgrades, higher targets from multiple firms and expectations that growing AI and data center power demand could support the company's longer term earnings profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are pointing to a series of higher price targets, including increases of $50 and $119, as a sign that the recent upgrades are being backed by higher valuation frameworks rather than small, incremental tweaks.Narrative Update • Apr 26
AGX: AI Power Demand Tailwinds Will Likely Overpromise Versus Execution
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their average Argan price target by roughly $170, pointing to recent target hikes from Lake Street and Goldman Sachs and citing renewed interest following JPMorgan's upgrade and expectations that growing AI and data center power demand could support the company's project pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Argan highlights both optimism and caution, with price target changes and rating moves framing how different analysts are weighing the stock's risk and reward trade off.
New Narrative • Apr 11
AI Power Demand Will Drive Riskier Gas Projects And Weaker Margins Ahead
Catalysts About Argan Argan provides engineering, procurement and construction services for large power generation, industrial and teledata projects, with a heavy focus on complex natural gas facilities. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 10
AGX: AI Power Demand Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Overdiscounted
Analyst fair value estimates for Argan have been reset higher from $373.80 to $473.20. The shift is tied to updated views on revenue growth, profitability and valuation following recent price target increases and upgrades from several firms that highlight potential benefits from rising power demand linked to AI and data centers.
New Narrative • Mar 28
Electrification And Aging Power Infrastructure Will Support Long Term Earnings Strength
Catalysts About Argan Argan provides engineering, procurement and construction services for large, complex power generation, industrial and data infrastructure projects across its Power, Industrial and Teledata segments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 27
AGX: AI Power Demand And Index Additions Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on Argan The analyst price target for Argan now sits at $425, with analysts pointing to potential benefits from rising power demand tied to AI and data centers. This increased demand could accelerate the need for firm generation capacity.Narrative Update • Mar 11
AGX: AI Power Demand Reliance Will Sustain Excessive Optimism
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Argan from $361.0 to $373.8, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside fresh Street research that highlights potential benefits from rising power demand tied to AI and data centers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research frames Argan as a company with clear exposure to rising power demand tied to AI and data centers, but also as a name where investors need to weigh execution risk and valuation discipline.Narrative Update • Feb 25
AGX: Completed Buyback And M&A Hunt Will Sustain Excessive Optimism
Analysts have kept Argan's price target steady at $361.00, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. This reflects updated assumptions rather than a change in the overall view.Narrative Update • Feb 10
AGX: Buybacks And M&A Pipeline Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Argan steady at US$361.00, with only marginal tweaks to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This reflects a reaffirmed view rather than a material shift in outlook.Narrative Update • Jan 27
AGX: Texas Gas Power Backlog And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update on Argan Analysts have lifted their price target for Argan to $397, citing fresh Buy initiations and upgrades that describe the company as a pure-play way to gain exposure to combined cycle gas power generation and a growing backlog of gas-fired projects in Texas. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Argan focuses on its role as a pure-play contractor tied to combined cycle and gas-fired power projects, particularly in Texas, and what that could mean for execution risk and valuation if the current project pipeline plays out as expected.Analysis Article • Jan 17
Optimistic Investors Push Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking
Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month...Narrative Update • Jan 11
AGX: AI-Fueled Gas Power Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Potential
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Argan higher, with the average target rising from $361 to $397 as they highlight the company’s pure play exposure to combined cycle gas power generation, growing gas-fired project backlog, and what they see as strong earnings potential tied to AI driven power demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research takes a mostly constructive view on Argan, with analysts focusing on its exposure to combined cycle gas power projects and the role of its Gemma Power Systems unit in supplying new gas-fired capacity tied to growing power needs, including AI related demand.Narrative Update • Dec 26
AGX: AI-Driven Gas Projects Will Support Backlog While Execution Risks Will Persist
Analysts have modestly raised their blended price target on Argan to $369 from $361, as they factor in accelerating gas-fired power project awards, a strengthening multi-year backlog in combined cycle generation, and greater earnings leverage from the AI-driven power demand cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that Argan is increasingly viewed as a direct, pure-play way to participate in the combined cycle gas power buildout, which they see as a multi-year structural growth theme supported by rising AI-related electricity demand.Narrative Update • Dec 11
AGX: AI-Driven Gas Projects Will Support Backlog While Execution Risks Persist
Analysts have raised their price target on Argan to $361 from $295.75, citing the company’s unique leverage to growing combined cycle gas power generation demand, a deepening multi-year backlog, and expanding gas turbine pricing tailwinds that support a higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly tempered growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that Argan’s role as a pure play contractor on combined cycle gas projects positions the company as a direct beneficiary of structurally higher power demand, particularly from artificial intelligence data centers.Narrative Update • Nov 27
AGX: Record Project Backlog Will Raise Risks From Construction Delays Ahead
Argan's analyst price target has risen substantially to $295.75 from $262.00. Analysts expect stronger backlog growth, margin expansion, and a leading role in gas power generation project activity to drive significant value for shareholders.Analysis Article • Nov 22
Optimistic Investors Push Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last...Narrative Update • Nov 11
AGX: Rising Backlog Exposure Will Heighten Risks From Project Delays Ahead
Analysts have maintained Argan's fair value estimate at $262. This decision reflects continued industry optimism and increased project activity, supported by rising backlogs and margin expectations despite a modest uptick in the discount rate.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Power Demand Cycle And Project Backlog Will Drive Multi-Year Expansion
Argan's analyst price target has risen significantly, with projections now at $315 from the prior $220. Analysts cite surging demand for AI-driven power infrastructure and robust project backlogs as key factors supporting a more optimistic outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 13
North American Grid Modernization And AI Demand Will Drive Projects
Argan's analyst price target has been raised from $230.33 to $262.00 per share. Analysts cite record project backlogs, improving margins, and robust demand from accelerating power infrastructure investment as key drivers for the upward revision.Analysis Article • Oct 08
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) After Shares Rise 27%
The Argan, Inc. ( NYSE:AGX ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. The...Narrative Update • Sep 06
Texas Gas And Illinois Solar Projects Will Expand Capacity
Analysts raised Argan’s price target to $230.33, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 margins, an improving operating environment, and supportive demand outlook. Analyst Commentary Better-than-expected Q2 margins delivered by the company.Analysis Article • Jul 15
Are Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Argan's estimated fair value is US$177 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Argan is estimated to be...Analysis Article • Jun 28
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Argan (NYSE:AGX) Presents An Opportunity
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
New Narrative • Jun 05
Argan's Revenue Set to Soar with a 13.31% Growth in the Coming Decade
Material and Labor InflationConstruction material costs (steel, concrete, lumber) have risen 15–20% since 2020 due to supply chain disruptions and tariffs. For AGX, which relies on these inputs for poSeeking Alpha • Apr 18
Argan: Don't Be Fooled Into Buying This Dip
Summary Argan stock survived a 45% steep drop into the abyss, and has recovered admirably from its March lows. AGX's growth prospects are driven by electricity demand from AI data centers, manufacturing reshoring, and renewable energy. However, Trump's tariffs policy whiplash has threatened to scupper its bullish thesis, while navigating tremendous uncertainties in infra spending outlook. AGX's valuation multiples seem primed for a deeper compression if its growth outlook were to falter amidst tougher economic conditions or trade tensions. I argue why this isn't the type of dips I will buy into, and urge investors to consider sitting this one out. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Argan makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 26 | 1,042 | 161 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 26 | 945 | 138 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 25 | 915 | 120 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 25 | 921 | 117 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 25 | 910 | 100 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 25 | 874 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 24 | 806 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 24 | 713 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 24 | 627 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 24 | 573 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 23 | 528 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 23 | 482 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 23 | 458 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 23 | 455 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 22 | 462 | 22 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 22 | 468 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 22 | 483 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 22 | 509 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 21 | 501 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 21 | 504 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 21 | 458 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 21 | 392 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 20 | 343 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 20 | 274 | -9 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 20 | 250 | -14 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 20 | 239 | -43 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 19 | 259 | -38 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 19 | 317 | 2 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 19 | 390 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 19 | 482 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 18 | 564 | 61 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 18 | 681 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 18 | 804 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 18 | 893 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 17 | 930 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 17 | 872 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 17 | 775 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 17 | 675 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 16 | 585 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 16 | 523 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr 16 | 458 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan 16 | 413 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct 15 | 399 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul 15 | 413 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: AGX has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: AGX's current net profit margins (15.5%) are higher than last year (11%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: AGX's earnings have grown significantly by 35.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: AGX's earnings growth over the past year (61.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (35.6% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: AGX earnings growth over the past year (61.1%) exceeded the Construction industry 33.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: AGX's Return on Equity (34.1%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/09 10:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Argan, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Moore | CJS Securities, Inc. |
| Sergey Glinyanov | Freedom Broker |
| Drew Chamberlain | J.P. Morgan |