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Updated 1h ago
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Carrier Global CorporationNYSE:CARR Stock Report

Market Cap US$45.0b
Updated 1h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-7.5%
7D-0.5%
1D1.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Carrier Global Corporation

NYSE:CARR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$45.0b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Overview

Provides intelligent climate and energy solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. More details

CARR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 47.9% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 20.05% per year

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 40.5%

Risk Analysis

Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow


CARR Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 53 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
28.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•22h ago

Thermal Management And Digital Upgrades Will Drive New Energy Demand Trends

681
0
30
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Data Center Cooling Momentum Will Offset Residential Weakness And Keep Long Term Prospects Intact

57
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•8mo ago

Data Center HVAC And Aftermarket Expansion Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

61
0
1

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
28.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•22h ago

Thermal Management And Digital Upgrades Will Drive New Energy Demand Trends

681
0
30
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•2mo ago

Data Center Cooling Momentum Will Offset Residential Weakness And Keep Long Term Prospects Intact

57
0
0
AN
AnalystHighTarget
38.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•8mo ago

Data Center HVAC And Aftermarket Expansion Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

61
0
1
View all narratives

Carrier Global Corporation Competitors

Johnson Controls International

Symbol: NYSE:JCI
Market cap: US$87.9b

Trane Technologies

Symbol: NYSE:TT
Market cap: US$95.3b

Allegion

Symbol: NYSE:ALLE
Market cap: US$12.9b

Lennox International

Symbol: NYSE:LII
Market cap: US$12.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Carrier Global
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$55.26
52 Week HighUS$76.76
52 Week LowUS$50.24
Beta1.3
1 Month Change-8.46%
3 Month Change-25.38%
1 Year Change-7.50%
3 Year Change4.82%
5 Year Change6.35%
Change since IPO360.50%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jul 13

Carrier Global Corporation Is Too Hot For My Comfort (Downgrade)

Summary Carrier Global Corporation has delivered strong revenue growth and operational changes, but current valuation limits further upside. I downgrade CARR to Hold as shares are expensive on an absolute basis, despite being cheaper than peers. Short-term headwinds include declining residential HVAC sales and mixed profitability, with analysts expecting near-term revenue and net income declines. Long-term CARR positives include robust aftermarket growth, an expanding CHVAC market, and strategic exposure to data center and energy transition trends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

CARR: Data Center Cooling Pivot Will Likely Cap Returns At Current Levels

Carrier Global's analyst price target has increased from $55 to about $62, with analysts attributing the change to updated earnings models, data center exposure, and a view in recent initiations and revisions that the stock is fairly valued around a $75 target. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global highlights a mix of updated models, sector exposure to data centers, and a generally balanced view on valuation.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Could Be 5.9% Undervalued After Europe Leadership Change

Carrier Global (CARR) is drawing attention after announcing a leadership transition in its Climate Solutions Europe segment, with Thomas Donato taking over as president from long-serving executive Thomas Heim. See our latest analysis for Carrier Global. Carrier Global's recent leadership change in Climate Solutions Europe lands at a time when the stock has strong short term momentum, with a 30 day share price return of 16.88% and a year to date share price return of 34.17%, alongside a 5 year...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

CARR: AI Data Center Cooling And Q1 Execution Will Support Future Repricing

Carrier Global's updated analyst price target edges higher to $76.31 from $75.51, reflecting modest tweaks to revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E assumptions as analysts recalibrate models following recent earnings and a series of price target hikes from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global has centered on how the latest earnings report and refreshed models feed into valuation targets and expectations for execution.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 14

CARR: Data Center Cooling For AI Workloads Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have raised their $ fair value estimate for Carrier Global to $75.51 from $71.03, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. These updates are broadly consistent with recent price target increases from Baird, Citi, and Barclays, alongside fresh coverage from Evercore ISI and BNP Paribas.
Analysis Article • May 08

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Carrier Global's (NYSE:CARR) Soft Earnings

Carrier Global Corporation's ( NYSE:CARR ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 27

CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Drive Future Repricing

Carrier Global's analyst price target has been trimmed by a few dollars to reflect slightly higher discount rate assumptions and more conservative revenue growth expectations, even as analysts factor in modestly better profit margins and a similar forward P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets both raised and trimmed as analysts update their models for execution risk, growth assumptions, and valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 12

CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global to reflect a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $71 and a modestly higher discount rate, while still factoring in firmer profit margins and updated P/E expectations following recent mixed target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Carrier Global has centered on shifting price targets, with some firms trimming estimates around the mid $70s while others have raised their targets in recent weeks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 28

CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Carrier Global slightly higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving by about $0.05 per share as they factor in modestly adjusted growth, margin and P/E assumptions following a series of recent target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global highlights a mix of optimism around long term execution and pockets of caution around valuation and near term assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 10

CARR: Data Center Cooling And AI Tools Will Support Future Upside

Carrier Global's analyst price target has inched higher to about $71.80 from roughly $71.66 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate and steady assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Carrier Global show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and fine tuning expectations around execution and growth.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 24

CARR: Heat Pump And AI Efficiency Advances Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged our Carrier Global price target lower by about $0.53 to $71.66, as slightly higher revenue growth and a richer forward P/E are now being weighed against reduced profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global reflects a mix of optimism around growth execution and caution around valuation and earnings power.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 09

CARR: Heat Pump Progress And AI Energy Tools Will Support Future Upside

Our updated view on Carrier Global lifts the fair value estimate by about US$1 to roughly US$72, as analysts factor in higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a richer future P/E multiple, partially offset by more conservative margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Carrier Global shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting their price targets within a relatively tight range.
Analysis Article • Feb 08

Carrier Global Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

It's been a good week for Carrier Global Corporation ( NYSE:CARR ) shareholders, because the company has just released...
User avatar
New Narrative • Jan 26

Data Center Cooling Momentum Will Offset Residential Weakness And Keep Long Term Prospects Intact

Catalysts About Carrier Global Carrier Global provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration and building solutions across residential, commercial, transportation and data center markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 25

CARR: Commercial Heat Pump Progress And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Carrier Global's analyst price targets have seen mixed revisions recently, with our fair value estimate shifting modestly by about $0.05 as analysts updated their assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while still reflecting a range of views from recent JPMorgan, Citi and Morgan Stanley reports. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global highlights a split in how analysts are thinking about upside versus execution risk, with one major bank lifting its target while others trimmed theirs as they refreshed models ahead of upcoming results.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 09

CARR: Commercial HVAC Progress And Larger Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update Overview Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global by about $1 to roughly $71, reflecting slightly lower fair value estimates and modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions after recent research updates, including a reduced $55 target from Morgan Stanley. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carrier Global centers on updated earnings assumptions ahead of the next quarterly report, which has fed into a lower fair value range and a trimmed price target near US$55 from US$60.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 14

CARR: Commercial HVAC Momentum Will Support Recovery As Expanded Buybacks Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Carrier Global slightly by about $0.55 per share, citing a marginally higher discount rate and only modest upward revisions to long term revenue growth that together temper their view of the stock's future valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research commentary on related industrial and cyclical names offers a useful framework for interpreting sentiment around Carrier Global, particularly on how investors are weighing cyclical demand, pricing power, and valuation against execution risk.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 28

CARR: Commercial HVAC Momentum Will Support Recovery As Channel Inventories Reach Lows

Carrier Global’s analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, decreasing from $72.94 to $72.69. Analysts cite tempered near-term expectations for U.S. HVAC sales, while highlighting ongoing strength in commercial and aftermarket segments that support long-term prospects.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 08

CARR: Commercial HVAC Strength Will Drive Improved Operating Leverage In Coming Periods

Carrier Global's analyst price target has been revised down from $74.29 to $72.94, as analysts cite ongoing headwinds in U.S. RHVAC sales and a slightly weaker profit margin outlook, both impacting near-term earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent price target adjustments for Carrier Global reflect a mixed outlook among Wall Street analysts, balancing the company’s resilient segments against noticeable ongoing headwinds.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 25

Thermal Management And Digital Upgrades Will Drive New Energy Demand Trends

Carrier Global's analyst price target has been reduced from $76.18 to $74.29. Analysts cite softer U.S. residential HVAC demand and lowered earnings outlooks based on recent industry trends and updates from the company.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 11

Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy

Carrier Global's analyst price target has been reduced from $77.18 to $76.18. Analysts cite a softer residential HVAC outlook and ongoing margin pressures as key factors behind the revision.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 27

Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy

Carrier Global’s consensus price target has been revised downward from $81.13 to $77.18 as analysts note weaker near-term residential HVAC demand and inflation headwinds, despite strength in commercial segments and long-term growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Lowered 2025 U.S. residential HVAC outlook and weaker residential volumes are weighing on near-term sales and EPS estimates.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 12

Google Cloud And Air-Cooled Heat Pumps Will Power Smart Energy

Carrier Global’s price target was revised down to $81.13 as analysts factor in a softer U.S. residential HVAC outlook and near-term sales headwinds, despite continued strength in commercial and aftermarket segments. Analyst Commentary Lowered U.S. residential HVAC outlook and weaker residential volumes are pressuring near-term sales and earnings forecasts, leading to price target reductions.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 20

Carrier Global: A Climate Giant Entering A New Phase Of Transformation

Summary Carrier Global has transformed into a focused HVAC leader, bolstered by acquiring Viessmann, enhancing its heat pump segment and European market presence. The company’s strategic shift towards climate solutions and sustainable growth has improved margins and positioned it well for megatrends like decarbonization and energy efficiency. Carrier's financial health is strong, with increased profitability, significant free cash flow, and substantial shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Despite competitive pressures and potential macroeconomic risks, Carrier's diversified strategy and strong market position support a "Buy" rating with a target price of $64.51. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

CARRUS BuildingUS Market
7D-0.5%0.8%1.8%
1Y-7.5%-2.7%13.3%

Return vs Industry: CARR underperformed the US Building industry which returned -2.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CARR underperformed the US Market which returned 13.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CARR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CARR volatility
CARR Average Weekly Movement4.7%
Building Industry Average Movement5.9%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: CARR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CARR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201947,000Dave Gitlinwww.carrier.com

Carrier Global Corporation provides intelligent climate and energy solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Climate Solutions Americas; Climate Solutions Europe; Climate Solutions Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa; and Climate Solutions Transportation. The company provides air conditioners, heating systems, heat pumps, home and building energy management systems, automation systems, aftermarket components, and repair and maintenance and rental services, as well as modernization and upgrades to meet the heating, cooling, and ventilation needs of residential and commercial customers.

Carrier Global Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Carrier Global's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CARR fundamental statistics
Market capUS$45.02b
Earnings (TTM)US$1.17b
Revenue (TTM)US$22.11b
38.8x
P/E Ratio
2.1x
P/S Ratio

Is CARR overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CARR income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$22.11b
Cost of RevenueUS$16.65b
Gross ProfitUS$5.46b
Other ExpensesUS$4.29b
EarningsUS$1.17b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.42
Gross Margin24.69%
Net Profit Margin5.31%
Debt/Equity Ratio88.7%

How did CARR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

1.7%
Current Dividend Yield
67%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/22 21:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/22 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Carrier Global Corporation is covered by 31 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Varun GovindarajBernstein

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