Cummins Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Cummins has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 8.2%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 8.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 10.5% per year. Cummins's return on equity is 22.1%, and it has net margins of 8.4%.
Key information
8.19%
Earnings growth rate
9.68%
EPS growth rate
| Machinery Industry Growth | 8.77% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.50% |
| Return on equity | 22.05% |
| Net Margin | 8.44% |
| Next Earnings Update | 05 May 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Cummins: A Return To Growth Solidifies The Bull Case
Apr 22
CMI: Data Center Power And Zero Emission Projects Will Shape Balanced Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the Cummins fair value estimate by about $11 to $631.40, tying the move to a cluster of recent price target increases and refreshed views on revenue growth, margins, discount rates, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cummins clusters around fresh price targets, new inclusion on idea lists, and one downgrade, giving you a mix of constructive and cautious signals on execution and valuation.CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Recovery Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Cummins' analyst price target has nudged higher, with the internal fair value estimate moving from about $613.23 to $619.92 as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue assumptions, a higher future P/E and recent target raises across several firms, even as views on margins and ratings remain mixed. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins shows active debate around where the shares should trade, with several firms lifting price targets and at least one turning more cautious on the rating, even as others add the stock to shorter term idea lists.
CMI: Rising Data Center Demand Will Support Earnings Through Next Truck Cycle Trough
The analyst price target for Cummins has increased by $123, as analysts point to updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margins. They also note a modest adjustment to the discount rate and future P/E expectations.CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Guide Future Return Balance
Our Cummins narrative update lifts the analyst price target by about $53 to reflect higher modeled fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, and analysts' recent revisions to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following a series of target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins has been active, with a cluster of price target changes across a wide range of firms.
Cummins Inc. (CMI): The Power Generation Titan – Scaling Data Center Infrastructure and Multi-Fuel Innovation in 2026.
Cummins (CMI) is currently a pivotal player in the global industrial and energy landscape, trading at $560.10 as of the March 3, 2026, close. While the stock faced a 3.5% intraday decline today amid a broader market pullback, it remains a standout performer following a robust Q4 2025 earnings beat on February 5.CMI: Rising Data Center Demand Will Support Earnings Through Upcoming Truck Cycle Trough
The analyst fair value estimate for Cummins has been raised by $50 to $703, as analysts adjust their assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a recent wave of higher price targets across the Street, with some offset from a downgrade and one lower target. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that Cummins is attracting a wave of constructive attention, with several bullish analysts adjusting their price targets higher in quick succession and only limited pushback from more cautious voices.CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Balanced Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Cummins by about $10 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, a modestly lower discount rate, and small upward adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, supported by recent research that highlights data center demand and improving unit profitability across the portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins gives you a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting their targets and ratings after the latest earnings and data center updates.CMI: Data Center Power And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts lifted their Cummins fair value estimate by about US$18 to roughly US$550, citing higher price targets across the Street, steady tweaks to revenue growth and margin assumptions, continued interest in data center power exposure, and a stabilizing North America truck cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Analysts with a bullish view are leaning into higher valuation frameworks as multiple firms have raised price targets into the US$515 to US$630 range, signaling increased confidence in Cummins’ execution and earnings power.CMI: Data Center Demand Will Reshape Earnings Profile Through Truck Cycle Trough
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Cummins has moved from US$417.82 to US$653.00 as analysts factor in a larger US$7b data center opportunity, improving unit profitability across the portfolio, and signs that the North America truck and on highway markets may be moving past peak weakness. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more constructive on Cummins, with several bullish analysts highlighting data center exposure, earnings execution and a potentially less challenging backdrop in North America on highway markets.CMI: Data Center Demand And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Future Performance
Our Cummins fair value estimate has increased modestly to approximately $532 from $522 per share. Analysts highlight a strengthening data center power opportunity, improving unit profitability, and signs that the North America truck cycle is nearing a trough, supporting slightly higher long term growth, margins, and valuation multiples.CMI: Data Center Demand And Truck Cycle Trough Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cummins higher to approximately $522 from about $510, citing a strengthening outlook for data center driven power demand, improving unit profitability across the portfolio, and early signs that the North America truck cycle is nearing a trough. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cummins underscores a constructive but balanced outlook, with growing confidence in the company’s ability to monetize secular data center demand while navigating a soft on highway and truck cycle.CMI: AI-Driven Demand and Truck Cycle Shifts Will Influence Outlook Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for Cummins from approximately $469 to $510, citing improved profitability, a resilient earnings outlook, and new opportunities related to data center and AI-related demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports on Cummins reflect both robust optimism and some caution among Wall Street analysts as the company navigates new growth avenues while managing near-term industry headwinds.CMI: Rising Engine Demand and Sector Risks Will Shape Outlook Ahead
The analyst price target for Cummins has increased from approximately $445 to $469. Analysts cite improved revenue growth prospects, rising profit margins, and expanding market opportunities, particularly in large engine demand driven by artificial intelligence.AI-Driven Demand and Electrification Will Unlock New Upside Opportunities
The analyst fair value estimate for Cummins has increased by approximately $13 to $444.74. This reflects heightened optimism around operational improvements, multiple expansion, and upside potential from AI-driven demand.Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities
Analysts have increased their price target for Cummins by $7 to $432, citing anticipated revenue and margin growth potential from artificial intelligence demand as well as recent adjustments to earnings estimates. Analyst Commentary Analysts have recently provided updates on Cummins, highlighting both opportunities and potential risks facing the company as it navigates a changing market impacted by artificial intelligence and broader macro trends.Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities
Analysts have raised Cummins’ price target to $424.98, citing underestimated revenue and margin potential from AI-driven engine expansion, recent operational improvements, and sustained sector strength, supporting a higher valuation outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight consensus underestimating Cummins’ revenue and margin potential from large engine capacity expansion driven by AI demand, with 2027 estimates materially above consensus.Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities
Analysts have raised Cummins’ price target to $418.53, citing underestimated margin upside from large engine capacity expansion—particularly due to AI demand—alongside stronger execution and potential for multiple expansion. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite underappreciated revenue and margin potential from Cummins' capacity expansion in large engines, particularly driven by rising artificial intelligence demand.Data Centers And Electrification Will Unlock Future Opportunities
The upward revision in Cummins’ consensus price target reflects a modest increase in its forward P/E ratio while profit margins remain stable, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $386.44 per share. What's in the News Board of Directors approved ~10% increase in quarterly common stock dividend from $1.82 to $2.00 per share.Is Cummins (NYSE:CMI) A Risky Investment?
Jul 14
Some Confidence Is Lacking In Cummins Inc.'s (NYSE:CMI) P/E
Jul 02Cummins: Tariff Turbulence Creates A Buying Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)
Apr 08Cummins: The Time To Buy Has Passed For Now (Rating Downgrade)
Jan 21Cummins: Paying Up For Improving Fundamentals (Rating Downgrade)
Dec 11Cummins: Solid Fundamentals And Undervalued
Sep 30Cummins: A Blue-Chip Dividend Stock To Buy Now
Sep 12Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Cummins makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 33,670 | 2,843 | 3,057 | 1,389 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 33,581 | 2,668 | 3,049 | 1,400 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 33,720 | 2,941 | 3,054 | 1,414 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 33,873 | 2,777 | 3,098 | 1,436 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 34,102 | 3,946 | 3,153 | 1,461 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 34,198 | 2,097 | 3,237 | 1,497 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 34,173 | 1,944 | 3,259 | 1,514 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 34,015 | 1,938 | 3,295 | 1,519 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 34,065 | 735 | 3,333 | 1,500 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 33,292 | 2,797 | 3,037 | 1,443 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 32,194 | 2,541 | 2,909 | 1,415 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 30,142 | 2,523 | 2,657 | 1,330 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 28,074 | 2,151 | 2,657 | 1,278 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 26,154 | 1,914 | 2,448 | 1,233 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 24,789 | 2,048 | 2,227 | 1,151 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 24,314 | 1,946 | 2,310 | 1,128 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 24,021 | 2,131 | 2,374 | 1,090 |
| 03 Oct 21 | 24,001 | 2,238 | 2,232 | 1,057 |
| 04 Jul 21 | 23,151 | 2,205 | 2,235 | 1,015 |
| 04 Apr 21 | 20,892 | 1,881 | 2,080 | 928 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 19,811 | 1,789 | 2,125 | 906 |
| 27 Sep 20 | 19,559 | 1,588 | 2,116 | 922 |
| 28 Jun 20 | 20,209 | 1,709 | 2,173 | 940 |
| 29 Mar 20 | 22,578 | 2,108 | 2,338 | 1,002 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 23,571 | 2,260 | 2,454 | 1,001 |
| 29 Sep 19 | 24,119 | 2,539 | 2,396 | 974 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 24,294 | 2,609 | 2,415 | 961 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 24,205 | 2,479 | 2,390 | 929 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 23,771 | 2,141 | 2,437 | 902 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 23,121 | 1,288 | 2,383 | 866 |
| 01 Jul 18 | 22,463 | 1,049 | 2,480 | 850 |
| 01 Apr 18 | 21,409 | 928 | 2,413 | 806 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 20,428 | 999 | 2,429 | 754 |
| 01 Oct 17 | 19,455 | 1,651 | 2,283 | 704 |
| 02 Jul 17 | 18,357 | 1,487 | 2,170 | 648 |
| 02 Apr 17 | 17,807 | 1,469 | 2,103 | 628 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 17,509 | 1,394 | 2,051 | 637 |
| 02 Oct 16 | 17,772 | 1,177 | 2,035 | 655 |
| 03 Jul 16 | 18,205 | 1,268 | 2,052 | 695 |
| 03 Apr 16 | 18,692 | 1,333 | 2,065 | 706 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 19,110 | 1,399 | 2,092 | 735 |
| 27 Sep 15 | 19,434 | 1,682 | 2,146 | 741 |
| 28 Jun 15 | 19,704 | 1,725 | 2,145 | 742 |
Quality Earnings: CMI has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: CMI's current net profit margins (8.4%) are lower than last year (11.6%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: CMI's earnings have grown by 8.2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: CMI's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: CMI had negative earnings growth (-28%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Machinery industry average (1.5%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: CMI's Return on Equity (22.1%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 11:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Cummins Inc. is covered by 47 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Luke Junk | Baird |
| Andrew Kaplowitz | Barclays |