EMCOR Group, Inc.

NYSE:EME Stock Report

Market Cap: US$34.4b

EMCOR Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

EMCOR Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.8% and 9.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 33.4% in 3 years.

Key information

12.8%

Earnings growth rate

16.02%

EPS growth rate

Construction earnings growth24.8%
Revenue growth rate9.6%
Future return on equity33.39%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated27 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

EMCOR Group: AI-Driven Data Center Growth Supports Strong Revenue And Earnings Upside

Summary EMCOR Group is rated Buy, driven by robust AI/data center infrastructure demand and record Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO). EME’s strong bookings, recent acquisitions, and advanced prefabrication/VDC capabilities underpin revenue and productivity growth despite labor cost pressures. Management guides FY2026 revenue to $20–$20.5B and an operating margin of 9.5–9.8%, with backlog conversion and AI megaprojects as key catalysts. Trading at a 22.96x forward P/E and 0.54x PEG, EME’s premium valuation is justified by superior revenue and EPS growth versus sector medians. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Sep 03

EME: Sustained Margin Floors And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Bullish Case

Analysts have reset their view on EMCOR Group with a lower price target of $1,047 from $1,123, citing what they see as sustainable Q2 margin strength supported by stronger margin floors, operating leverage, and an updated FY26 outlook. What’s in the News for EMCOR Group EMCOR Group reported record quarterly revenue of US$5.2b in Q2, with nearly 20% year over year growth and adjusted EPS of US$9.06, which was a second quarter record, according to recent earnings coverage.
Narrative Update • Aug 19

EME: High Tech And Data Center Margins Will Shape Compounding Potential

Analysts have adjusted the EMCOR Group fair value estimate to $885 from $825, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, growth, margins, and future P/E that are broadly aligned with recent Street research highlighting sustainable margin strength and exposure to high-tech manufacturing and data center projects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on EMCOR Group points to a generally constructive view on the business model and margin profile, while also signaling that expectations have tightened as the share price has moved higher.
Narrative Update • Aug 05

EME: Data Center And High Tech Projects Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst price target for EMCOR Group has been raised from $1,123 to $1,200 as analysts highlight the company’s exposure to high-tech manufacturing projects and data center development, and describe it as a higher-quality infrastructure services provider with potential long-term compounding and acquisition options. What’s in the News for EMCOR Group EMCOR Group reported record Q2 2026 earnings with EPS of US$9.06, which was over 25% above analyst estimates, on revenue of about US$5.15b.
Narrative Update • Jul 22

EME: Data Center And Infrastructure Pipeline Will Test Compounding Story

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for EMCOR Group to $825 from $885, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and long-term P/E expectations as they incorporate recent Street research highlighting the company’s exposure to high-tech manufacturing and data center projects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on EMCOR Group highlights both optimism around the company exposure to high-tech manufacturing and data center projects and a more measured stance on how much of that opportunity is already reflected in the stock price.
Narrative Update • Jun 26

EME: Data Center And High Tech Projects Will Support Forward Profitability

The analyst price target for EMCOR Group has been adjusted from $900.00 to $1,123.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and long term P/E expectations. This revision is supported by recent bullish Street research highlighting the company’s exposure to high tech manufacturing projects and data center development.
Narrative Update • Jun 12

EME: High Tech And Data Center Projects Will Test Compounding Narrative

Analysts have raised EMCOR Group's price target by $215 to $1,100, citing the company’s position in high-tech manufacturing and data center projects, as well as its potential for long-term compounding supported by acquisitions. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights EMCOR Group's role in high tech manufacturing and data center projects, with several firms setting a US$1,100 price target and framing the company as a potential long term compounder supported by acquisition opportunities.
Narrative Update • May 29

EME: High Tech Projects And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience

The fair value estimate for EMCOR Group is updated from $770 to $885. Analysts point to higher Street price targets, supported by views of the company as a high-quality infrastructure services provider with exposure to high tech manufacturing projects, data center development and potential acquisition-driven growth.
Narrative Update • May 14

EME: Data Center Demand And 2026 Margins Will Shape Fair Outlook

Analysts have lifted the implied fair value estimate for EMCOR Group by $96.5 to $983.5. This reflects a higher assumed future P/E multiple and recent price target increases from several firms after positive views on earnings compounding potential and strength in key U.S. segments. Analyst Commentary Recent research across several firms has been broadly supportive of EMCOR Group, with multiple price target hikes and new coverage pointing to confidence in earnings compounding potential and key U.S. business lines.
Narrative Update • Apr 28

EME: Data Center Projects And 2026 Margins Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the EMCOR Group fair value estimate by $22.83 to $887.00. This reflects updated price targets that reference recent Q4 revenue outperformance in U.S. Electrical and U.S. Mechanical, expectations for future margin improvement, and continued interest from firms highlighting exposure to data centers and complex facilities projects.
Narrative Update • Apr 14

EME: 2026 Cash Returns And Data Center Exposure Will Shape Outlook

The analyst price target for EMCOR Group has been adjusted slightly, with the fair value estimate moving by about $5 to $864. Analysts are factoring in a modestly higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple informed by recent target raises from firms now clustered in the $814 to $945 range.
Narrative Update • Mar 31

EME: 2026 Cash Returns And Data Center Work Will Drive Upside

Analysts have lifted the consolidated price target for EMCOR Group to $869, citing a cluster of recent research updates that include new and higher targets ranging from $814 to $945 following Q4 results and ongoing interest in the company's exposure to U.S. Electrical, U.S. Mechanical, data centers, and complex facilities projects. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts frame the higher price targets in the US$814 to US$945 range as a reflection of confidence in EMCOR Group's ability to execute on U.S. Electrical, U.S. Mechanical, data center, and complex facilities work.
Narrative Update • Mar 17

EME: 2026 Dividend Hike And Buybacks Will Support Margin Upside Potential

Narrative Update on EMCOR Group The analyst price target framework for EMCOR Group has been revised from $772.00 to about $869.29. This reflects updated views from analysts who point to recent target increases across the Street and supportive commentary around Q4 execution, margin potential, and balance sheet flexibility.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

EME: Data Center Exposure And Capital Returns Will Test Earnings Resilience

The analyst fair value estimate for EMCOR Group has moved from $713 to $770, as analysts highlight updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, along with recent Street research that points to earnings compounding potential, balance sheet capacity for growth, and exposure to data centers and complex facilities projects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a wide spread between published price targets and views on how much earnings growth is already reflected in EMCOR Group's share price.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

EME: Higher 2026 Payout And Buybacks Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for EMCOR Group by $13.50 to $772.00, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as reflected in recent research such as the Stifel report. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the raised US$772.00 price target as better aligned with updated fair value assumptions that incorporate their latest work on discount rates, revenue expectations, and margin profiles.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

EME: Higher Fair Value And Capital Returns Will Test Margin Resilience

Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for EMCOR Group to $713 from $675, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around EMCOR Group's updated fair value has not been uniformly positive, and several bearish analysts are flagging areas where they see less room for upside relative to the new US$713 estimate.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

EME: Normalized U.S. Electrical Margins And 2025 Guidance Will Support Profitability

Narrative Update Overview Analysts have trimmed their EMCOR Group price target by US$5 to US$713, citing slightly better than expected Q3 results and higher 2025 guidance, as well as near term U.S. Electrical margin pressure from Miller amortization and project specific earnings reversals. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the trimmed price target to US$713 but still frame the call within an overall constructive view on EMCOR Group, pointing to operating execution and updated guidance as key supports for their outlook.
Narrative Update • Jan 05

EME: U.S. Electrical Margin Pressures Will Test Fair Balance Of Rewards

Analysts now place EMCOR Group's fair value around $675, up from about $510.73. They cite a higher assumed revenue growth rate and a richer future P/E multiple, even as they factor in slightly higher discount rates and some pressure on profit margins following recent U.S. Electrical segment headwinds highlighted in Street research.
Narrative Update • Dec 20

EME: Normalized U.S. Electrical Margins Will Support Higher Long-Term Profitability

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for EMCOR Group from $750 to $900 per share. This reflects confidence that underlying U.S. Electrical margins, which analysts note would be 14% or higher absent temporary project and acquisition headwinds, can support higher long term profitability despite a slightly higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions.
Narrative Update • Dec 05

EME: Raised 2025 Guidance Will Outweigh Near Term Margin Volatility

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on EMCOR Group to $713 from $718, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on near term growth and margins, while still highlighting resilient end market demand, raised 2025 guidance, and the company’s strategic role in the ongoing U.S. reshoring investment cycle. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain broadly constructive on EMCOR’s positioning in the U.S. industrial and infrastructure reshoring cycle, even as they modestly trim near term valuation assumptions to reflect recent margin volatility in the U.S. Electrical segment.
Narrative Update • Nov 21

EME: U.S. Reshoring Will Drive Demand Despite Margin Pressures

EMCOR Group's analyst price target was lowered by $5 to $713. Analysts cited near-term margin pressures in U.S. Electrical operations, despite solid Q3 performance and raised 2025 guidance.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

EME: Future U.S. Reshoring Trends Will Drive Demand And Margin Recovery

EMCOR Group's analyst price target has increased from $716.00 to $758.50. This change reflects analyst expectations for continued demand amid robust U.S. industrial reshoring trends and stabilized operating margins, despite recent project-specific challenges.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analyst Upgrades Highlight EMCOR Group’s Strong Outlook and Improved Valuation Amid Reshoring Trends

Analysts have raised their price target for EMCOR Group from $711.67 to $716.00, citing strong demand driven by industrial reshoring trends and robust recent performance. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment toward EMCOR Group has grown increasingly positive, with recent coverage highlighting the company’s strategic positioning and performance in the evolving U.S. industrial landscape.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Rising Demand In Data Centers And Healthcare Will Expand Markets

Analysts have raised EMCOR Group’s fair value target by $30, citing increased revenue growth expectations and sustained demand from the ongoing U.S. industrial reshoring trend. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research highlights both the strong tailwinds benefiting EMCOR Group and areas that warrant continued attention for sustained outperformance.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Rising Demand In Data Centers And Healthcare Will Expand Markets

Analysts remain bullish on EMCOR Group, citing strong execution, robust free cash flow from its asset-light model, multi-market growth catalysts, and solid Q2 results, with these positives underpinning the unchanged consensus price target of $681.67. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite EMCOR’s consistent record of strong execution and proven capital deployment as drivers of upward price target revisions.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:EME - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202824,2391,8912,0482,1844
12/31/202722,3261,6131,6481,80110
12/31/202620,3201,4581,4221,5459
6/30/202618,5981,4391,1711,290N/A
3/31/202617,7471,3381,0791,194N/A
12/31/202516,9861,2731,1891,302N/A
9/30/202516,2431,1301,1491,247N/A
6/30/202515,6391,1051,2081,298N/A
3/31/202515,0011,0511,3031,384N/A
12/31/202414,5661,0071,3331,408N/A
9/30/202414,2359271,2831,362N/A
6/30/202413,7468261,0151,097N/A
3/31/202413,1257191,0411,117N/A
12/31/202312,583633821900N/A
9/30/202312,093548669735N/A
6/30/202311,712484674732N/A
3/31/202311,374444448509N/A
12/31/202211,076406449498N/A
9/30/202210,766381394443N/A
6/30/202210,462375260307N/A
3/31/202210,192372273312N/A
12/31/20219,904384283319N/A
9/30/20219,545362334373N/A
6/30/20219,225323484523N/A
3/31/20218,801142752796N/A
12/31/20208,797133758806N/A
9/30/20208,920140679726N/A
6/30/20209,006161623675N/A
3/31/20209,316328N/A334N/A
12/31/20199,175325N/A356N/A
9/30/20199,000318N/A382N/A
6/30/20198,759316N/A261N/A
3/31/20198,389303N/A273N/A
12/31/20188,131286N/A271N/A
9/30/20187,914260N/A194N/A
6/30/20187,754245N/A231N/A
3/31/20187,696231N/A311N/A
12/31/20177,687228N/A366N/A
9/30/20177,624217N/A374N/A
6/30/20177,661204N/A319N/A
3/31/20177,698204N/A298N/A
12/31/20167,552185N/A262N/A
9/30/20167,379193N/A300N/A
6/30/20167,155183N/A321N/A
3/31/20166,875174N/A247N/A
12/31/20156,719172N/A267N/A
9/30/20156,656165N/A233N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EME's forecast earnings growth (12.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: EME's earnings (12.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EME's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EME's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EME's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EME's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (33.4%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/13 01:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

EMCOR Group, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Justin HaukeBaird
Andrew WittmannBaird
Manish SomaiyaCantor Fitzgerald & Co.