HawkEye 360 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

HawkEye 360 is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 54% and 23% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 52.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.4% in 3 years.

Key information

54.0%

Earnings growth rate

52.74%

EPS growth rate

Aerospace & Defense earnings growth	18.3%
Revenue growth rate	23.0%
Future return on equity	4.40%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jun 19

HawkEye 360: Strong Space-Based Intelligence Platform, But Valuation Keeps Me At Hold

Summary HawkEye 360 earns a hold rating due to strong fundamentals but an expensive 11x forward revenue valuation. HAWK's scale, proprietary RF signal archive, and rapid revenue growth differentiate it in space-based intelligence, but customer concentration and government exposure heighten risk. A backlog of $302.7 million is sizable, yet its conversion to revenue is uncertain given government procurement complexities and high customer concentration. I require either a more attractive valuation or clearer evidence of consistent backlog conversion and margin expansion before considering a more bullish stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HAWK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028	329	36	36	63	7
12/31/2027	268	12	11	44	9
12/31/2026	214	-12	-5	34	9
12/31/2025	118	0	-28	-17	N/A
12/31/2024	68	-31	-24	12	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HAWK's forecast earnings growth (54% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: HAWK's earnings (54% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HAWK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HAWK's revenue (23% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HAWK's revenue (23% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HAWK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/06/22 13:47
End of Day Share Price	2026/06/18 00:00
Earnings	2025/12/31
Annual Earnings	2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HawkEye 360, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Peter Arment	Baird
Ronald Epstein	BofA Global Research
Noah Poponak	Goldman Sachs