Loading...
GEO logo

The GEO Group, Inc.NYSE:GEO Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.9b
Share Price
US$20.71
My Fair Value
US$35
40.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y55.7%
7D-4.7%
Portfolio Value
View

The GEO Group, Inc.

NYSE:GEO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

GEO Group (GEO) Stock Overview

Owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. More details

GEO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation4/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

GEO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 32 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

US$12.00
FV
51.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
22.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
6users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
24users have followed this narrative
New narrative

The GEO Group, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for GEO Group
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$20.71
52 Week HighUS$36.46
52 Week LowUS$11.75
Beta0.77
1 Month Change-20.65%
3 Month Change-23.10%
1 Year Change55.71%
3 Year Change154.11%
5 Year Change86.91%
Change since IPO1,971.00%

Recent News & Updates

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Recent updates

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Jul 10
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Jun 22
Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

The GEO Group: The 'Trump Bump' Might Be Over

Jun 03

Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

May 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Mar 21

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential

Feb 10

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Jan 18
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy

Jan 13

When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

Dec 31
When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Dec 16
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

Dec 04
Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

Oct 29
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus

Oct 24
User avatar

Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions

New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Sep 05
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Aug 15
We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

Aug 13
Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price

GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff

Aug 06

We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Jul 29
We Think GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Jul 15
Is There An Opportunity With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) 47% Undervaluation?

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

May 08
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Apr 22
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Geo Group: A Potential Election Play

Apr 17

Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 07
Here's Why GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

GEO Group Could Resume The Dividend Sooner Than Later

Jan 29

GEO Group Offers Attractive 10% Yields On Long Term Debt

Jan 22

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Dec 20
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

GEO Group: Despite Uneven Results, A Lot Of Upside Remains

Nov 15

GEO Group: The Opportunity Is Still Big

Nov 08

Shareholder Returns

GEOUS Commercial ServicesUS Market
7D-4.7%-0.7%0.2%
1Y55.7%3.8%15.5%

Return vs Industry: GEO exceeded the US Commercial Services industry which returned 3.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GEO exceeded the US Market which returned 15.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GEO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GEO volatility
GEO Average Weekly Movement6.5%
Commercial Services Industry Average Movement7.1%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: GEO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GEO's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
198416,500Dave Donahuewww.geogroup.com

The GEO Group, Inc. owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services; Reentry Services; and International Services.

The GEO Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do GEO Group's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GEO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.92b
Earnings (TTM)US$88.37m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.45b
32.5x
P/E Ratio
1.2x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GEO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.45b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.82b
Gross ProfitUS$633.39m
Other ExpensesUS$545.02m
EarningsUS$88.37m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.64
Gross Margin25.83%
Net Profit Margin3.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio122.8%

How did GEO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/26 21:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/26 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The GEO Group, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian HoffmanAvondale Partners
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity