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Updated 2h ago
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Meritage Homes CorporationNYSE:MTH Stock Report

Market Cap US$4.3b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-15.2%
7D0.2%
1D-2.8%
Portfolio Value
​
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Meritage Homes Corporation

NYSE:MTH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.3b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Meritage Homes (MTH) Stock Overview

Designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. More details

MTH fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 89.4% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 11.88% per year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 27.2%

Risk Analysis

Profit margins (6.1%) are lower than last year (10.3%)


MTH Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 14 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
20.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures

197
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Costs And Demographic Shifts Will Bleed US Housing Value

47
0
1
AN
AnalystHighTarget
32.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•7mo ago

Energy Efficiency And Demographic Tailwinds Will Sustain Housing Demand

19
0
0

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
20.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures

197
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
11.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Rising Costs And Demographic Shifts Will Bleed US Housing Value

47
0
1
AN
AnalystHighTarget
32.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•7mo ago

Energy Efficiency And Demographic Tailwinds Will Sustain Housing Demand

19
0
0
View all narratives

Meritage Homes Corporation Competitors

Cavco Industries

Symbol: NasdaqGS:CVCO
Market cap: US$4.1b

M/I Homes

Symbol: NYSE:MHO
Market cap: US$3.6b

KB Home

Symbol: NYSE:KBH
Market cap: US$3.0b

Champion Homes

Symbol: NYSE:SKY
Market cap: US$4.6b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Meritage Homes
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$63.96
52 Week HighUS$85.38
52 Week LowUS$58.03
Beta1.36
1 Month Change-11.45%
3 Month Change-15.54%
1 Year Change-15.24%
3 Year Change1.02%
5 Year Change27.13%
Change since IPO1,605.58%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 12

Meritage Homes: Attractive Valuation And Strong Execution Support A Buy Upgrade

Summary Meritage Homes is upgraded to buy as shares now trade at 0.8x book value, offering attractive downside support. MTH demonstrates strong execution in procurement cost savings, community count growth, and a strategic shift toward first-time move-up buyers. Accretive share repurchases below book value and a >3% dividend yield enhance medium- to long-term shareholder returns. Despite persistent macro headwinds, risk-reward is favorable given valuation, operational improvements, and robust liquidity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 16

MTH: Acquisition Appeal And Credit Constraints Will Guide Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have nudged their Meritage Homes fair value estimate higher to $72 from $69, reflecting updated second-quarter modeling, slightly revised discount rate and margin assumptions, a higher future P/E, and ongoing attention on the stock as a potential acquisition target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on how investors should balance potential acquisition interest with credit quality and execution risk.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 12

Meritage Homes: Attractive Valuation And Strong Execution Support A Buy Upgrade

Summary Meritage Homes is upgraded to buy as shares now trade at 0.8x book value, offering attractive downside support. MTH demonstrates strong execution in procurement cost savings, community count growth, and a strategic shift toward first-time move-up buyers. Accretive share repurchases below book value and a >3% dividend yield enhance medium- to long-term shareholder returns. Despite persistent macro headwinds, risk-reward is favorable given valuation, operational improvements, and robust liquidity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 16

MTH: Acquisition Appeal And Credit Constraints Will Guide Fairly Valued Shares

Analysts have nudged their Meritage Homes fair value estimate higher to $72 from $69, reflecting updated second-quarter modeling, slightly revised discount rate and margin assumptions, a higher future P/E, and ongoing attention on the stock as a potential acquisition target. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on how investors should balance potential acquisition interest with credit quality and execution risk.
Analysis Article • Aug 05

Meritage Homes Corporation Just Beat EPS By 6.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

As you might know, Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ) recently reported its second-quarter numbers. Meritage Homes...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 02

MTH: Acquisition Optionality And Credit Constraints Will Shape Future Share Performance

Analysts have lifted their combined price targets on Meritage Homes by up to $11, pointing to updated post earnings models, a reassessment of margins and credit risk, and growing interest in the stock as a potential acquisition candidate within the homebuilder group. Analyst Commentary on Meritage Homes Recent research on Meritage Homes highlights a mix of optimism around updated models and acquisition optionality, alongside a clearer outline of the risks that could limit upside for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 06

MTH: Sector Consolidation Readthrough And Lower Multiples Will Restrain Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to $69.00 from $58.30, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E multiples, along with recent sector readthroughs from consolidation activity and price target changes across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Meritage Homes points to a more cautious tone, even as consolidation activity in the sector is influencing how investors think about homebuilder valuations and potential acquisition interest.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 22

MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Floor Will Shape Balanced Future Return Potential

The updated analyst fair value estimate for Meritage Homes has shifted from $77.78 to $80.25 as analysts factor in slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with readthroughs from recent sector consolidation and price target revisions across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with multiple firms revisiting their price targets and using consolidation among homebuilders as a reference point for valuation.
Analysis Article • Jun 19

Meritage Homes (MTH) Stock Could Be 2.6% Undervalued After Institutional Buying Picks Up

Recent filings show major institutions have lifted their positions in Meritage Homes (MTH), raising its institutional shareholding rank to first in the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry and drawing attention to its financial health metrics. See our latest analysis for Meritage Homes. Meritage Homes shares have picked up clear momentum recently, with a 24.41% 1 month share price return and a 28.88% 3 month share price return, contributing to a 24.47% 1 year total shareholder return...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

MTH: Buybacks And Consolidation Potential Will Support Future Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, reflecting slightly lower P/E assumptions and discount rates, while still pointing to interest in the stock as a potential acquisition candidate following recent sector consolidation headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Meritage Homes has focused on valuation reset, consolidation potential in the homebuilding sector, and how its trading multiples compare with peers following the Taylor Morrison sale agreement.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 20

MTH: Share Buybacks And Spec Model Will Support Future Earnings Power

Analysts have lowered their average price target on Meritage Homes by about $5 to roughly $78, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent target reductions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes reflects a more cautious stance on valuation after a period of prior optimism, including an earlier Buy initiation with a US$90 price target tied to the company's 100% spec strategy.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 29

MTH: Margin Pressures And Lower Sector Multiples Will Constrain Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Meritage Homes by several dollars, reflecting updated views on profit margins, future P/E assumptions and recent sector research that has generally lowered price objectives across homebuilders. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has centered on a series of price target reductions, even as some firms had previously been constructive on the company and the broader U.S. homebuilding group.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Shape Future Margin Resilience

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Meritage Homes by single-digit dollar amounts, with updates such as $8, $6, and $2 cuts. They continue to highlight efficiencies from the company's 100% spec approach as a key support for long-term volume potential and margins.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

MTH: Spec Model And Dividend Yield Will Frame Future Margin Trade Off

Analysts have adjusted their average price targets on Meritage Homes toward the $90 range. This reflects mixed views that balance concerns about margin pressure with interest in the company's 100% spec strategy and current dividend yield.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 17

MTH: Spec Build Model And Incentives Will Shape Future Margin Resilience

Analysts have kept their average price target for Meritage Homes broadly in line with prior levels, with recent changes centered around the $90 to $104 range as they weigh the company's 100% spec build approach, comments on margin risk and housing demand, and views on its dividend yield and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Meritage Homes reflects a mix of supportive and cautious views, with attention fixed on how the 100% spec build model, pricing incentives, and margin trends could affect the stock's risk and reward profile.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 02

MTH: Elevated Incentives And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Share Returns

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target on Meritage Homes by a few dollars, citing a mix of lower targets tied to margin and demand concerns, along with higher targets around $90 to $104 that reflect views of relatively inexpensive valuation and potential for steadier longer term housing conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets into the $90 to $104 range while several bearish analysts trim expectations on margins, demand, and earnings power.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 16

MTH: Margin Pressures And Incentives Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Meritage Homes from $74.00 to $62.00, citing recent cuts to Street price targets and concerns around margin risk, even as some still point to relatively low P/E assumptions and income support from the dividend. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of caution and support around Meritage Homes, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or cutting ratings while others still point to income and valuation support.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 02

MTH: Buybacks And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Housing Upside

Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to US$95.00 from about US$103.57. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent research shows a mix of lower and higher price targets alongside differing views on housing demand and builder profitability.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 19

MTH: Share Repurchases And Dividend Yield Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their implied fair value estimate for Meritage Homes to about $104 from roughly $100, reflecting slightly higher assumed revenue growth and P/E multiples, partially offset by more cautious profit margin expectations following recent research highlighting pressure on builder incentives and gross margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Meritage Homes has been mixed, but there are clear pockets of optimism that support the modestly higher fair value estimate.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

MTH: Share Repurchases And EPS Outlook Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Meritage Homes from US$107.00 to about US$99.88, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Meritage Homes repurchased 772,010 shares for US$55 million, equal to 1.08% of its shares.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 21

MTH: Higher Margins And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on Meritage Homes from approximately $60.00 to $74.00 per share, citing expectations for stronger profit margins and a modestly higher future earnings multiple, despite slightly slower projected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate. What's in the News Meritage Homes completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 772,010 shares, or 1.08% of outstanding shares, for $55 million under its ongoing authorization (company filing).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 07

MTH: Fed Cut And Share Buybacks Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on Meritage Homes slightly higher, from about $82.63 to roughly $83.13, citing updated homebuilder valuations and the view that the recent Fed cut will not significantly alter the near term housing market trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from bullish analysts highlights a constructive view on Meritage Homes, reflected in modestly higher price targets and a continued positive stance on the company’s execution and positioning within the housing cycle.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 23

MTH: Recent Market Supply Dynamics Will Support Earnings Strength Ahead

Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing expectations that a recent Fed rate cut will have a limited immediate impact on the housing market's trajectory. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to several factors driving optimism about Meritage Homes' prospects following the price target adjustment.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 08

MTH: Future Profit Margins Will Drive Positive Sentiment Among Market Participants

Analysts have increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, citing improved revenue growth and profit margins, even though there was only a modest adjustment to fair value estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research provide insights into the revised outlook for Meritage Homes.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 25

Sun Belt Homebuilders Will See Continued Demand Amid Rate and Margin Pressures

Analyst Price Target Update for Meritage Homes Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85. They cite updated sector coverage and note that recent shifts in interest rates are not expected to significantly affect the housing market outlook in the near term.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 10

Sun Belt Demand Will Spur Homebuilding Growth Despite Margin Risks

Narrative Update on Meritage Homes Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Meritage Homes from $79 to $85, supported by updates to industry expectations and the view that recent macroeconomic shifts are unlikely to significantly alter housing market trends in the short term. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analyst perspectives highlight key factors affecting Meritage Homes' valuation and near-term outlook.
Analysis Article • Sep 24

Slowing Rates Of Return At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analysis Article • Jul 12

When Should You Buy Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of...
Analysis Article • Apr 13

Is There Now An Opportunity In Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH)?

Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...
Analysis Article • Mar 26

Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...
Analysis Article • Mar 11

Returns At Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Are On The Way Up

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...
Analysis Article • Feb 05

Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Meritage Homes: Strong Execution And Resilient Demand Fuel Growth

Summary Meritage Homes' strong order growth and record backlog conversion demonstrate robust demand, despite a tough macro backdrop and high mortgage rates. Management's conservative FY25 guidance sets the stage for potential outperformance, aligning with MTH's historical trend of beating expectations. MTH's quick move-in strategy and aggressive land acquisitions position it well for future growth, particularly in high-demand entry-level segments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Dec 18

There Is A Reason Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Undemanding

Meritage Homes Corporation's ( NYSE:MTH ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.3x might make it look like a strong...
Seeking Alpha • Dec 14

Meritage Homes: Favourable Macro Backdrop And A Right Strategy In Place

Summary I maintain a buy rating for Meritage Homes Corporation due to strong earnings growth outlook and favorable macro conditions, including tight housing supply and elevated mortgage rates. MTH's strategic focus on quick, move-in ready homes with a 60-day closing guarantee positions it well to capture demand in the current market. Risks include tighter regulations affecting home financing and supply chain pressures from increased new home construction. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Dec 05

Are Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Meritage Homes is US$148 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Meritage...
Analysis Article • Nov 07

Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

The recent earnings posted by Meritage Homes Corporation ( NYSE:MTH ) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as...
Analysis Article • Nov 04

Is Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) Using Too Much Debt?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

Shareholder Returns

MTHUS Consumer DurablesUS Market
7D0.2%-1.0%-1.6%
1Y-15.2%-10.5%12.1%

Return vs Industry: MTH underperformed the US Consumer Durables industry which returned -10.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MTH underperformed the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MTH's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MTH volatility
MTH Average Weekly Movement5.7%
Consumer Durables Industry Average Movement6.5%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: MTH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MTH's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19851,860Phillippe Lordwww.meritagehomes.com

Meritage Homes Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Homebuilding and Financial Services. It acquires and develops land; and constructs, markets, and sells homes for entry-level and first move-up buyers in Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee.

Meritage Homes Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Meritage Homes's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MTH fundamental statistics
Market capUS$4.29b
Earnings (TTM)US$329.27m
Revenue (TTM)US$5.39b
12.7x
P/E Ratio
0.8x
P/S Ratio

Is MTH overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MTH income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$5.39b
Cost of RevenueUS$4.39b
Gross ProfitUS$985.34m
Other ExpensesUS$656.07m
EarningsUS$329.27m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 28, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)5.05
Gross Margin18.28%
Net Profit Margin6.11%
Debt/Equity Ratio36.5%

How did MTH perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.0%
Current Dividend Yield
38%
Payout Ratio

Does MTH pay a reliable dividends?

See MTH dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy MTH by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Meritage Homes dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 15 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 30 2026
Days until Ex dividend2 days
Days until Dividend pay date13 days

Does MTH pay a reliable dividends?

See MTH dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/16 21:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Meritage Homes Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen KimBarclays
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Tyler BatoryBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)

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