Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Overview
Designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
TOL passed our risk checks.
TOL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Toll Brothers, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$155.67 |
| 52 Week High | US$168.36 |
| 52 Week Low | US$107.23 |
| Beta | 1.37 |
| 1 Month Change | 15.89% |
| 3 Month Change | 14.08% |
| 1 Year Change | 38.40% |
| 3 Year Change | 105.18% |
| 5 Year Change | 167.47% |
| Change since IPO | 15,630.87% |
Recent News & Updates
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.Recent updates
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.Toll Brothers: Better Execution, But Still Not Enough For A Buy
Summary Toll Brothers remains a hold as order growth is driven by community expansion, not per-community demand acceleration. Backlog and margins are still down year-over-year, with incentives persistently elevated at 8% of gross sales price. Management raised FY2026 guidance and maintained low cancellations, but absorption per community fell 2% year-over-year. I would need to see improved absorption, backlog recovery, and lower incentives before upgrading from hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.Shareholder Returns
| TOL | US Consumer Durables | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| 1Y | 38.4% | 15.5% | 25.7% |
Return vs Industry: TOL exceeded the US Consumer Durables industry which returned 15.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TOL exceeded the US Market which returned 25.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TOL volatility | |
|---|---|
| TOL Average Weekly Movement | 6.0% |
| Consumer Durables Industry Average Movement | 7.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: TOL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: TOL's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1967 | 4,900 | Karl Mistry | www.tollbrothers.com |
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational amenities, such as golf courses, marinas, pool complexes, country clubs, and fitness and recreation centers; and develops, operates, rents apartments and student housing communities.
Toll Brothers, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| TOL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$14.55b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.29b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$11.05b |
Is TOL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TOL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$11.05b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$8.26b |
| Gross Profit | US$2.78b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.50b |
| Earnings | US$1.29b |
Last Reported Earnings
Apr 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 13.78 |
| Gross Margin | 25.20% |
| Net Profit Margin | 11.66% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 32.8% |
How did TOL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
Does TOL pay a reliable dividends?
See TOL dividend history and benchmarks| Toll Brothers dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Jul 10 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jul 24 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 17 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 31 days |
Does TOL pay a reliable dividends?
See TOL dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/22 21:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/10/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Toll Brothers, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |