Tri Pointe Homes Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Tri Pointe Homes's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 4.9% and 19.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.3% in 3 years.
Key information
-19.7%
Earnings growth rate
-12.18%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables earnings growth | 7.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | -4.9% |
| Future return on equity | 6.32% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 16 Feb 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Tri Ponte Homes: Q4 May Represent A Bottom, But Valuations Still Look Concerning
Feb 12
Premium Community Expansion And Margin Pressure Will Shape A Cautious Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Tri Pointe Homes Tri Pointe Homes is a U.S. homebuilder focused on premium move up buyers across Western, Central and Eastern regions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?At US$33.74, Is It Time To Put Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH) On Your Watch List?
Dec 15
At US$37.14, Is Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH) Worth Looking At Closely?
Sep 08Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Jul 13Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPH) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
May 29The Return Trends At Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Look Promising
May 14Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Apr 29A Look At The Fair Value Of Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH)
Apr 23Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Mar 19Things Look Grim For Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH) After Today's Downgrade
Feb 20Tri Pointe Homes: Things Get Tougher From Here
Feb 18When Should You Buy Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH)?
Feb 13Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPH) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Jan 28Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Jan 15We Think Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Dec 08Tri Pointe Homes: Returns Fading, Now At Fair Value
Dec 07Estimating The Fair Value Of Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH)
Nov 10Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 10%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Oct 27Returns At Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Are On The Way Up
Sep 16Tri Pointe Homes: Still Building Value Even After Doubling
Sep 15
Calculated Expansions And Efficient Capital Management Propel Homebuilder's Growth Amid Market Challenges
Tri Pointe Homes' strategic expansion and operational efficiencies indicate strong future growth potential through geographical diversification and increased revenue from higher home deliveries.We Think Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Sep 01Is There Now An Opportunity In Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH)?
Aug 16Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPH) Earnings Despite 25% Price Jump
Jul 24Tri Pointe Homes: Shares Have More Room To Run
Jun 12Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
Jun 06Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 3,351 | 210 | 266 | 112 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,128 | 183 | 192 | 137 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,386 | 248 | 266 | 255 | 4 |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,752 | 310 | 271 | 301 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,042 | 366 | 394 | 423 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,294 | 423 | 495 | 520 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,493 | 458 | 673 | 696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,499 | 462 | 381 | 406 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,193 | 425 | 140 | 165 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,875 | 368 | 179 | 204 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,715 | 344 | 170 | 195 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,978 | 414 | 726 | 751 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,212 | 488 | 782 | 810 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,392 | 563 | 658 | 696 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,349 | 576 | 401 | 444 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,036 | 521 | -14 | 34 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,997 | 504 | 105 | 154 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,998 | 486 | 237 | 273 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,982 | 469 | 390 | 420 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,833 | 437 | 428 | 454 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,632 | 382 | 499 | 519 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,384 | 321 | 687 | 707 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,260 | 282 | 565 | 588 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,341 | 285 | 724 | 748 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,257 | 269 | 557 | 586 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,185 | 239 | 311 | 342 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,083 | 207 | 286 | 316 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,074 | 189 | 259 | 288 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,101 | 190 | N/A | 207 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,174 | 227 | N/A | 146 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,263 | 270 | N/A | 311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,259 | 245 | N/A | 240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,201 | 253 | N/A | 322 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,001 | 222 | N/A | 264 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,810 | 187 | N/A | 102 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,456 | 171 | N/A | -108 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,320 | 134 | N/A | -193 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,374 | 175 | N/A | -131 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,405 | 195 | N/A | -158 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,512 | 222 | N/A | -90 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,578 | 238 | N/A | 22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,448 | 219 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,401 | 205 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,156 | 162 | N/A | -113 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,986 | 123 | N/A | -395 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 1,833 | 92 | N/A | -197 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TPH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-19.7% per year).
Earnings vs Market: TPH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-19.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TPH's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TPH's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-4.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TPH's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.9% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TPH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/02/20 12:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/02/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| Alexander Rygiel | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Jay McCanless | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |