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Updated 2h ago
TGT logo

Target CorporationNYSE:TGT Stock Report

Market Cap US$70.1b
Updated 2h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y73.9%
7D-1.8%
1D0.2%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Target Corporation

NYSE:TGT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$70.1b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Target (TGT) Stock Overview

Operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. More details

TGT fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends5/6

Rewards

Trading at 30.4% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings grew by 11.7% over the past year

Pays a reliable dividend of 3%

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Has a high level of debt


TGT Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 337 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
15.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

TGT: Margin Stability And Leadership Changes Will Shape Recovery Amid Competitive Pressures

1.3k
0
150
AN
AnalystHighTarget
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

AI And Suburban Migration Will Power Retail Digital Evolution

224
0
11
AN
AnalystLowTarget
23.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Digital Shift And Mounting Costs Will Crush Margins

216
0
4

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
15.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•1mo ago

TGT: Margin Stability And Leadership Changes Will Shape Recovery Amid Competitive Pressures

1.3k
0
150
AN
AnalystHighTarget
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1mo ago

AI And Suburban Migration Will Power Retail Digital Evolution

224
0
11
AN
AnalystLowTarget
23.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Digital Shift And Mounting Costs Will Crush Margins

216
0
4
View all narratives

Target Corporation Competitors

Dollar General

Symbol: NYSE:DG
Market cap: US$27.5b

Dollar Tree

Symbol: NasdaqGS:DLTR
Market cap: US$21.2b

Costco Wholesale

Symbol: NasdaqGS:COST
Market cap: US$399.7b

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings

Symbol: NYSE:BJ
Market cap: US$12.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Target
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$154.68
52 Week HighUS$170.75
52 Week LowUS$83.44
Beta0.99
1 Month Change2.43%
3 Month Change18.31%
1 Year Change73.93%
3 Year Change28.46%
5 Year Change-36.02%
Change since IPO21,037.79%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Target's Turnaround Is Shaping Up Nicely, But The Rising Valuation Forces A Downgrade

Summary Target has executed a solid turnaround, with value-focused pricing, store remodels, and improved private-label offerings driving recent outperformance. I now rate TGT as a hold, citing slightly rich valuation metrics and mounting macroeconomic headwinds that could pressure consumer spending and margins. Current fundamentals include a 17.05 GAAP TTM PE, 2.79% dividend yield, and recent positive comps and revenue surprises, though growth expectations may be aggressive. Continued success hinges on sustaining momentum amid potential Fed rate hikes, consumer weakness, and the risk of margin compression from rising costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

TGT: Turnaround Hype Will Cap Future Earnings Power Through 2027

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Target to $125.75 from $103.70. This reflects a series of higher Street price targets that indicate improved confidence in the company's turnaround progress, merchandising efforts, and margin recovery.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 08

Target's Turnaround Is Shaping Up Nicely, But The Rising Valuation Forces A Downgrade

Summary Target has executed a solid turnaround, with value-focused pricing, store remodels, and improved private-label offerings driving recent outperformance. I now rate TGT as a hold, citing slightly rich valuation metrics and mounting macroeconomic headwinds that could pressure consumer spending and margins. Current fundamentals include a 17.05 GAAP TTM PE, 2.79% dividend yield, and recent positive comps and revenue surprises, though growth expectations may be aggressive. Continued success hinges on sustaining momentum amid potential Fed rate hikes, consumer weakness, and the risk of margin compression from rising costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

TGT: Turnaround Hype Will Cap Future Earnings Power Through 2027

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Target to $125.75 from $103.70. This reflects a series of higher Street price targets that indicate improved confidence in the company's turnaround progress, merchandising efforts, and margin recovery.
Analysis Article • Aug 22

Results: Target Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Investors in Target Corporation ( NYSE:TGT ) had a good week, as its shares rose 7.1% to close at US$165 following the...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 17

TGT: Merchandising Reset And Traffic Gains Will Support Turnaround Momentum

The analyst price target for Target has shifted from $168.06 to $177.00 as analysts factor in a slightly higher revenue outlook, modestly stronger profit margins, and support from recent research pointing to improving store traffic, merchandising efforts, and a generally supportive spending backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target points to a cluster of price target increases and upbeat commentary around Q2 earnings, store traffic, and merchandising resets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 03

TGT: Merchandising Reset And Execution Gains Will Support Turnaround Momentum

Target's analyst fair value estimate is now $168.06, up from $159.32, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases tied to Q2 beat and raise expectations, along with growing confidence in the turnaround plan. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target shows a clear cluster of price target increases and rating upgrades, with bullish analysts pointing to improving execution, early progress on the turnaround, and stronger earnings delivery as key supports for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 20

TGT: Turnaround Execution And Reinvestment Plans Will Shape Balanced Outlook Forward

Analysts have lifted the Target fair value estimate from $96.52 to $133.84, citing increased confidence in the turnaround plans, a reduced discount rate, and updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples, informed by a series of higher Street price targets and supportive management meetings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Target gives you a mixed but useful snapshot of how professional investors are framing the turnaround story, valuation reset, and execution risks.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 06

TGT: Higher Merchandising And Technology Spend Will Cap Future Earnings Power

Analysts have raised the Target fair value estimate to $103.70 from $95.31, reflecting higher Street price targets and growing confidence that the company’s reset, merchandising changes, and faster execution can support somewhat stronger revenue growth even as modeled profit margins and future P/E assumptions shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target highlights a clear split between optimistic views on the turnaround and more cautious takes that focus on execution risks, tougher comparisons ahead, and how much of the recent share move already reflects improving fundamentals.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 22

TGT: Merchandising Reset And Guest Experience Overhaul Will Support Turnaround Trajectory

Target's updated fair value estimate has edged up by about $0.88 per share as analysts incorporate higher price targets and increased confidence in the company’s turnaround efforts, merchandising resets, and operational changes following recent management meetings and Q1 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target points to a more constructive tone from many Wall Street firms, with several raising price targets following Q1 results and management meetings that highlighted merchandising resets, operational changes, and a clearer roadmap for the turnaround.
Analysis Article • Jun 20

Target (TGT) Stock Could Be 17.5% Undervalued After Isaac Mizrahi Brand Push

Target (TGT) has become a closely watched retail stock after a series of moves to refresh its brand, including appointing Isaac Mizrahi as creative director at large and expanding key merchandising partnerships. See our latest analysis for Target. After a sharp run earlier in 2026, Target’s recent moves, including the Mizrahi appointment and new merchandising partnerships, come as the stock shows a 90-day share price return of 15.43% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 42.83%. The 5-year...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 06

TGT: Merchandising Turnaround And Guest Experience Investments Will Support Future Earnings Power

Narrative Update on Target The analyst price target for Target has been adjusted slightly higher, with the updated fair value estimate moving by about $0.07 to $158.44, as analysts factor in recent Q1 beats, raised FY26 guidance, and early signs of progress from the company's ongoing transformation and merchandising efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent research is broadly constructive on Target, with many bullish analysts lifting price targets following the Q1 earnings beat, raised FY26 guidance, and early progress on the company’s transformation plans.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 23

TGT: Merchandising And Guest Experience Turnaround Will Support Future Earnings Power

Narrative Update on Target The updated analyst price target for Target moves from about $154.82 to $158.51. This reflects analysts' responses to recent Q1 earnings beats, raised FY26 guidance, and early progress on the company’s merchandise and operational turnaround, even as they continue to flag risks around SG&A growth, tougher upcoming comparisons, and execution in key categories.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 29

TGT: Heavy Self Funded Turnaround Spending Will Restrain Earnings Recovery Potential

The analyst price target for Target edges higher, reflecting a fair value shift from about $94.61 to $95.31, supported by Street research that cites updated earnings models, improving margin assumptions, and management's plans to restore merchandising strength and customer traffic. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target reflects a wide range of views, with many firms raising price targets but differing on how much confidence to place in the company’s execution and earnings path.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 14

TGT: Heavy Self Funded Investments Will Cap 2026 Earnings Recovery Potential

Target's analyst price target has been lifted slightly as analysts factor in updated Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and recent investor day messaging that outlines a clearer path to profitable growth. This outlook is supported by modest tweaks to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 31

TGT: Merchandising And Guest Experience Investments Will Rebuild Earnings Power

Analysts have raised Target's fair value estimate to $154.82 from $140.00. This change reflects a series of higher price targets tied to updated earnings models, slightly stronger assumed revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following Q4 results, guidance, and investor day commentary.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 16

TGT: Intensifying Competition And Traffic Pressure Will Restrain 2026 Earnings Multiple

Analysts have lifted the updated fair value estimate for Target shares to $94.61 from $66.69, reflecting higher long term profit margin and P/E assumptions supported by recent Q4 results, 2026 guidance, and multiple price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Target reflects a wide range of views, with many firms lifting price targets following Q4 results and 2026 guidance, while still flagging execution risks, traffic challenges, and ongoing competition from large peers.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 02

TGT: Upcoming Earnings And Investor Day Will Rebuild Earnings Power

The analyst price target for Target has been raised from about $137 to $140. This change reflects analysts' updated views that slightly higher long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions are reasonable in light of recent Street research, which has generally moved price targets higher while still noting mixed traffic and recovery expectations.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 16

TGT: Reinvestment In Merchandising And AI Will Rebuild Earnings Power

The analyst fair value estimate for Target has been raised by about $10 to $136.65, as analysts factor in modestly higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a somewhat richer assumed future P/E multiple, while keeping a broadly similar discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Target reflects a mixed but improving tone, with several bullish analysts focusing on the potential for execution on the turnaround plan, valuation re-rating, and incremental investments in growth and efficiency.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 02

TGT: Reinvestment Year And Sales Slump Will Depress Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Target by about $0.40, citing recent price target adjustments, mixed yet stabilizing reactions to Q3 results, and expectations that planned investments and margin efforts could support a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage paints a mixed picture for Target, with several firms updating their models after Q3 results and management's updated investment plans.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 19

TGT: Extended Turnaround Spending And Weak Sales Will Constrain Margin Recovery

Our updated Target price target edges lower, as fair value shifts to about $66 from $67. Analysts highlight mixed Q3 results, a long and investment heavy turnaround path, and differing views on earnings multiples and capital spending plans.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 05

TGT: Heavier Reinvestment In Merchandising And AI Will Reset Earnings Base

Narrative Update on Target Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value for Target from about $130.77 to $126.14 as a group of firms reduced price targets, citing a more cautious earnings multiple, slightly softer growth and margin assumptions, and uncertainty around the scale of reinvestment needed for the turnaround plan. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Target paints a mixed but detailed picture, with most firms trimming price targets after Q3 while still highlighting key elements of the turnaround plan and capital allocation that matter for long term investors.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 13

TGT: Reinvestment And Turnaround Spending Will Prolong Margin Pressure And Earnings Weakness

Analysts have reduced our Target fair value estimate to approximately $67 from $82, reflecting lower assumed revenue growth and margins, a slightly higher discount rate, and more conservative valuation multiples amid a tougher macro backdrop and increased reinvestment needs highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on Target, with a series of price target cuts, largely Neutral or lower ratings, and an emphasis on execution risk in the company’s turnaround plan.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 28

TGT: Near-Term Headwinds And Reinvestment Needs Will Shape Recovery Path Forward

Target's analyst price target was reduced from approximately $101 to $97 per share, as analysts cite increasing uncertainty around reinvestment needs and a more cautious outlook following recent quarterly results. Analyst Commentary The latest round of analyst commentary on Target offers a balanced mix of optimism and caution, as experts digest the company’s quarterly performance and forward-looking strategies.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 14

TGT: Leadership Transition And Operational Efficiency Will Drive Business Recovery

Target’s analyst price target was revised down from $101.36 to $100.70 per share. Analysts point to continued sales headwinds and the need for significant reinvestment to improve long-term performance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 31

TGT: Margin Stability And Leadership Changes Will Shape Recovery Amid Competitive Pressures

Target’s analyst price target saw a modest decrease, slipping from $101.52 to $101.36. Analysts cited ongoing industry headwinds and the need for significant investment to address margin and revenue challenges.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 17

Competition From Walmart And Amazon Will Impede Future Performance

Target's fair value estimate has been slightly lowered to $101.52 from $101.79. This reflects analysts' concerns about ongoing weak sales, required reinvestment, and continued pressure on margins, despite some stabilization in fundamentals.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 03

Competition From Walmart And Amazon Will Impede Future Performance

The analyst price target for Target has been revised downward by nearly $2 to $101.79. Analysts cite soft sales trends and the need for substantial reinvestment in merchandising, technology, and store experience.

Shareholder Returns

TGTUS Consumer RetailingUS Market
7D-1.8%-0.06%-1.6%
1Y73.9%3.3%12.1%

Return vs Industry: TGT exceeded the US Consumer Retailing industry which returned 3.3% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TGT exceeded the US Market which returned 12.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TGT's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TGT volatility
TGT Average Weekly Movement4.8%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement5.4%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: TGT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: TGT's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1902415,000Michael Fiddelkecorporate.target.com

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, deli, bakery, meat, produce, and food service; electronics which includes video games and consoles, toys, sporting goods, entertainment, and luggage; bed and bath, home décor, school/office supplies, storage, small appliances, kitchenware, greeting cards, party supplies, furniture, lighting, home improvement, and seasonal merchandise; and household essentials, such as household cleaning, paper products, over-the-counter healthcare, vitamins and supplements, baby gear, and pet supplies.

Target Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do Target's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TGT fundamental statistics
Market capUS$70.14b
Earnings (TTM)US$4.39b
Revenue (TTM)US$107.71b
16.0x
P/E Ratio
0.7x
P/S Ratio

Is TGT overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TGT income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$107.71b
Cost of RevenueUS$77.14b
Gross ProfitUS$30.57b
Other ExpensesUS$26.18b
EarningsUS$4.39b

Last Reported Earnings

Aug 01, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Nov 18, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)9.67
Gross Margin28.38%
Net Profit Margin4.08%
Debt/Equity Ratio86.7%

How did TGT perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.0%
Current Dividend Yield
47%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/16 22:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/16 00:00
Earnings2026/08/01
Annual Earnings2026/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Target Corporation is covered by 57 analysts. 36 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Seth SigmanBarclays

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