Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB) Stock Overview
Owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
BRCB Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$8.19 |
| 52 Week High | US$30.40 |
| 52 Week Low | US$6.11 |
| Beta | 0 |
| 1 Month Change | 4.73% |
| 3 Month Change | 18.52% |
| 1 Year Change | n/a |
| 3 Year Change | n/a |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -70.25% |
Recent News & Updates
BRCB: Positive Traffic Trends And 2026 Guidance Will Start Rebuilding Confidence
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Black Rock Coffee Bar from about $15.43 to $12.57. This reflects lower Street price targets clustered around $9 to $13 and commentary that recent results, traffic trends and the need to rebuild investor confidence justify using more conservative P/E assumptions.BRCB: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance Will Potentially Rebuild Confidence After Legal Setbacks
Analysts have reduced the Black Rock Coffee Bar price target from about $18.67 to roughly $15.43, reflecting a shift to lower valuation multiples and a more cautious stance on execution and investor confidence, despite balanced risk/reward commentary and reiterated guidance from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Black Rock Coffee Bar highlights a mix of confidence in the company’s long term potential and caution around valuation and execution for a relatively young, newly public stock in a competitive category.Black Rock Coffee Bar: Strong Store Economics, But Valuation Already Assumes A Lot
Summary Black Rock Coffee Bar is rated hold due to a demanding valuation and uncertain incremental growth from new stores. BRCB targets 1,000 stores by 2035 with strong unit economics, but cannibalization and flat transaction growth raise concerns. Loyalty program and menu expansion offer upside, with pilots showing >2x engagement and significant incremental spending. At ~40x NTM PE and ~13x NTM EBITDA, BRCB’s current price already reflects much of its long-term growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
BRCB: Positive Traffic Trends And 2026 Guidance Will Start Rebuilding Confidence
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Black Rock Coffee Bar from about $15.43 to $12.57. This reflects lower Street price targets clustered around $9 to $13 and commentary that recent results, traffic trends and the need to rebuild investor confidence justify using more conservative P/E assumptions.BRCB: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance Will Potentially Rebuild Confidence After Legal Setbacks
Analysts have reduced the Black Rock Coffee Bar price target from about $18.67 to roughly $15.43, reflecting a shift to lower valuation multiples and a more cautious stance on execution and investor confidence, despite balanced risk/reward commentary and reiterated guidance from recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Black Rock Coffee Bar highlights a mix of confidence in the company’s long term potential and caution around valuation and execution for a relatively young, newly public stock in a competitive category.Black Rock Coffee Bar: Strong Store Economics, But Valuation Already Assumes A Lot
Summary Black Rock Coffee Bar is rated hold due to a demanding valuation and uncertain incremental growth from new stores. BRCB targets 1,000 stores by 2035 with strong unit economics, but cannibalization and flat transaction growth raise concerns. Loyalty program and menu expansion offer upside, with pilots showing >2x engagement and significant incremental spending. At ~40x NTM PE and ~13x NTM EBITDA, BRCB’s current price already reflects much of its long-term growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
BRCB: Future Store Openings Will Test Resilient Margin And Comp Expectations
The analyst fair value estimate for Black Rock Coffee Bar has been reset from $15.00 to $9.00 as analysts weigh a tougher macro backdrop, intense competition, and more moderate growth and P/E assumptions against generally constructive views on margins and long term comparable sales potential. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Black Rock Coffee Bar points to a more cautious stance from several bearish analysts, with multiple price target reductions and a new Neutral rating at US$9.
Black Rock Coffee Bar Stock Will Benefit From Digital Loyalty And Drive Thru Convenience Trends
Catalysts About Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar operates company owned coffee shops that focus on drive thru convenience, in store community and a premium beverage and food menu. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Loyalty And Digital Adoption Will Support Long Term Store Expansion Potential
Catalysts About Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar operates company-owned coffee shops that focus on drive-thru and lobby formats, offering coffee, energy drinks and food with a community-focused service model. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Rising Store Density And Marketing Dependence Will Test Long Term Expansion Potential
Catalysts About Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar operates company-owned coffee shops focused on drive-thru and lobby formats that serve coffee, energy drinks and food across multiple U.S. states. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Shareholder Returns
| BRCB | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 11.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | n/a | 0.2% | 20.1% |
Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how BRCB performed against the US Hospitality industry.
Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how BRCB performed against the US Market.
Price Volatility
| BRCB volatility | |
|---|---|
| BRCB Average Weekly Movement | 11.8% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: BRCB's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: BRCB's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2,800 | Mark Davis | www.br.coffee |
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. It offers classic espresso-based drinks, energy drinks, and savory and sweet items under the all-day breakfast brand. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| BRCB fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$410.10m |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.54m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$223.56m |
Is BRCB overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| BRCB income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$223.56m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$126.14m |
| Gross Profit | US$97.42m |
| Other Expenses | US$95.89m |
| Earnings | US$1.54m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.069 |
| Gross Margin | 43.58% |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.69% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 27.9% |
How did BRCB perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/16 04:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Matthew Curtis | D.A. Davidson & Co. |
| Andrew Barish | Jefferies LLC |